Bitcoin Futures Market Remains Heated As Leverage Stays High
October 16 2022 - 12:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin futures market has remained heated
recently as leverage taken on by investors has been quite high.
Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio Declines A Bit, But Still Remains
Very High Following the rise in derivative activities, the leverage
in the market hit a new all-tine high recently, as noted by an
analyst in a CryptoQuant post. The “all exchanges estimated
leverage ratio” is an indicator that’s defined as the ratio between
the open interest and the derivative exchange reserve. When the
value of this metric is high, it means the average investor is
currently using a large amount of leverage on exchanges. Such a
trend suggests holders are willing to take high risk currently. On
the other hand, low values of the indicator imply holders are going
for a low-risk approach at the moment as they aren’t using much
leverage. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin
all exchanges estimated leverage ratio over the last couple of
years: The value of the metric seems to have rapidly risen during
the last few weeks | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the
above graph, the Bitcoin estimated leverage ratio had been rising
in recent weeks and hit a new all-time just a while ago. However,
since then the indicator’s value has come down a bit. This decrease
was instigated by the recent temporary rush of volatility in the
market due to the CPI release, which flushed out a large amount of
leverage. Nonetheless, the indicator’s value has remained pretty
high despite the decline, meaning there is still plenty of leverage
to go around in the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Struggles To
Break Past $19,500 As New Twist Surfaces, Here’s What To Expect
Historically, overleveraged markets have usually ended in very
sharp price moves as liquidations tend to occur quite easily in
such environments. Such liquidations amplify the price move that
caused them, leading to even more liquidations. This event where
liquidations cascade together is called a squeeze. Since leverage
is so high in the Bitcoin futures market right now, a squeeze could
likely take place and break BTC’s price out of the range. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Shakes Off Bears Following CPI Release, But Will
This last? As for which direction the squeeze might go in, the
quant comments: “With retail traders overly bullish compared to
institutional traders, the risk-reward does not look good for the
bulls.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats
around $19.1k, down 2% in the last seven days. Looks like the value
of the crypto has once again gone stagnant after the CPI volatility
| Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on
Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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