Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio Nears All-Time Lows, Big Move Soon?
May 24 2023 - 01:03PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin sell-side risk ratio has approached
all-time lows recently, a sign that a big move could be coming for
the coin. Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio Has Observed A Plunge
Recently As pointed out by the lead on-chain analyst at Glassnode
in a Tweet, BTC sellers may have become exhausted recently. The
“sell-side risk ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio
between the sum of all profits and losses being realized in the
Bitcoin market and the realized cap. The “realized cap” here refers
to the capitalization model for Bitcoin that calculates a sort of
“true” value for the cryptocurrency by assuming that each coin in
the supply is not worth the same as the current spot price, but the
price at which it was last moved. As the profits and losses being
harvested in the market are nothing but a measure of the selling
pressure in the market, this indicator tells us how the selling
pressure (or the sell-side risk) looks like relative to the value
of the cryptocurrency (the realized cap). When the value of this
indicator is high, it means the investors are participating in a
high amount of profit/loss realization right now. Such a market is
usually high risk, as the price tends to be more volatile during
periods with these values. On the other hand, low values imply the
holders are reluctant to sell currently. These conditions generally
occur when the market has calmed down and accumulation tends to
take place in such periods. Related Reading: Litecoin’s MVRV Has
Surged, Why This Is Bearish Now, here is a chart that shows the
trend in the Bitcoin sell-side risk ratio over the history of the
cryptocurrency: Looks like the value of the metric has observed a
decline in recent days | Source: @_Checkmatey_ on Twitter As shown
in the above graph, the Bitcoin sell-side risk ratio has seen a
sharp plunge recently, a sign that there is little profit or loss
realization going in the market right now. The indicator is now
below the “low value realization” line that the analytics firm has
defined (colored in red in the chart). Historically, whenever the
metric has plunged into this zone, the market has built up towards
a sizeable move in the price. Related Reading: Sharks & Whales
Accumulate Stablecoins, Why This Could Be Bullish For Bitcoin Since
such low values of the indicator imply the lack of sellers in the
market, the common expectation may be that this can be a bullish
sign. However, as is visible from the graph, this hasn’t
necessarily been the case. Both bullish and bearish price action
has occurred following the formation of this pattern. Just back in
March of this year, the indicator had shown this trend, but the
cryptocurrency had followed up with a sharp correction. Breaks into
the high value realization zone (that is, the condition where there
is a large amount of selling going on), though, have generally
always been bearish for Bitcoin. As the indicator has once again
dipped into the low value realization area, it’s possible that a
large move in the price may follow soon. Although it’s uncertain
which direction exactly this volatility might go. BTC Price At the
time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $26,100, down 2% in the
last week. BTC appears to have plunged | Source: BTCUSD on
TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts
from TradingView.com, Glassnode.com
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