Why Bitcoin Bulls Might Be Ready To Breach $20,000 Into The Monthly Close
September 26 2022 - 01:28PM
NEWSBTC
Stuck right below its 2017 all-time high, Bitcoin is moving
sideways with low volatility over the past few days. The crypto
market is preparing to close another monthly candle in the coming
days. This event is set to move BTC and other cryptocurrencies, but
in what direction? Related Reading: TRON Showing Hints Of A Major
Rebound After A Week Of Rout At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC)
trades at $19,000 with 0.4% profit and a 2% loss in the last 24
hours and 7-days, respectively. The benchmark cryptocurrency has
been one of the worst performing assets in the top 10 by market cap
as XRP (+30%) and Solana (+7%) take the lead. Bitcoin Option Expiry
Will Bring Volatility To The Market The current status quo in the
market might be coming to a decision as this monthly candle close
will coincide with the expiration of over 100,000 BTC in option
contracts. This event often brings volatility to the market as big
players push to move the price closer to their strike price. Data
from Coinglass indicates that there is over $5 billion in open
interest for Bitcoin options, as big players unwind their positions
and shift them, the cryptocurrency is likely to see more action.
According to the team behind KingFisher, a platform to view data on
crypto derivatives, the more likely scenario is to the upside. In
the short term, as monthly close, and options expiry kick in, the
price of Bitcoin could quickly trend towards $20,000. Volatility
might be fueled by a spike in short positions opened as BTC trended
sideways at its current levels. If bulls can push Bitcoin to the
upside, taking out these short positions, the price action might be
more violent and fuel a longer relief rally. The team behind King
Fisher commented the following: Probably some vanna hedging
activity related to end of the month We could see a jump to 19.8k
in a matter of hours TWAP Long ended, either reducing carry, vol
fund, options desk. Some short liquidations have been passed
through the engine we could expect more fairly soon
pic.twitter.com/MQ9xEdSRks — TheKingfisher (@kingfisher_btc)
September 26, 2022 What A Green Monthly Close Could Imply For
Bitcoin Additional data from the team behind Material Indicators
claims that Bitcoin has two critical resistance levels if bulls
score a green close above $20,000. These levels sit at around
$20,100 and $39,000. Although Bitcoin is unlikely to reach the
latter levels, due to the current macroeconomic conditions, the
cryptocurrency might reclaim the high of $20,000. In support of
this thesis, Material Indicators noted a spike in activity from
investors with bid orders of $100,000 and investors with bid orders
of $10,000. The activity from these investors was able to “offset
the week’s sell pressure with $117 million in market buys”. If this
buying pressure sustains, the crypto market might see some green
after two weeks of trending in the red. Related Reading: Staked ETH
Nears 14 Million As Ethereum Readies For Breakout However, the
mid-term still points to more pain, according to Material
Indicators: There are short term signs of a potential pump, but the
crossing of key moving averages suggests the broader trend will
continue down. Resist the urge to overtrade or FOMO in.
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