Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) (TSX:ABX) – The feasibility
study for the expansion of Barrick’s Lumwana mine in Zambia is
expected to be completed by the end of the year, paving the way for
construction to start in 2025 the company said today.
Speaking during a webinar focused on updating
the market on the Lumwana Super Pit Expansion Project, Barrick
president and chief executive Mark Bristow said the expansion
unlocks the potential to transform the Lumwana mine into a
long-life, high yielding, Top 25 copper producer1 and a Tier One2
copper mine, capable of contending with the volatility of the
copper demand cycles.
The expansion involves first doubling throughput
by twinning the existing process circuit and then by significantly
increasing mining volumes. Plant throughput will grow from the
current 27Mt to 52Mt, doubling the mine’s annual copper production
from 120kt to a life-of-mine average of 240kt per annum3. The
process expansion is supported by a ramp up of total mining
volumes, which are planned to increase incrementally year-on-year,
from 150Mt in 2024 to approximately 240Mt in 2028 and then to an
average rate of 290Mt per annum from 2030 onwards1,4.
Chief Operating Officer for Africa and Middle
East Sebastiaan Bock said: “The phased ramp-up will enable a
competitive cost profile over the life of the mine and annual
operating cash flow and free cash flow5 are projected to improve by
as much as 85% and 60%, respectively, based on the long-term copper
price consensus. These production and cost improvements will
contribute to an estimated incremental net present value (NPV8)
of $1.7 billion1.”
At a flat long term average copper price
consensus of $4.13/lb, Barrick estimates that the project will
deliver an incremental IRR (Internal Rate of Return) of 20%6 and a
total mine IRR of more than 50%6, paying back the initial expansion
capital in approximately two years after completion of the
expansion. Post-expansion, cost of sales and C1 cash costs7 are
estimated at approximately $2.36/lb and $1.85/lb, respectively,
placing Lumwana in the first quartile of the industry, excluding
the benefit of any byproducts.
According to Mineral Resource Management and
Evaluation Executive Simon Bottoms, the process plant engineering
has matured to a point that has allowed Barrick to select major
equipment vendors and place orders for long lead equipment,
including both mills and crushers. “We are starting detailed
engineering works this quarter and expanding our onsite
accommodation while building partnerships with key suppliers and
contractors ahead of the pre-construction ground preparation works,
which are scheduled to start next year,” said Bottoms.
Commissioning of the new process plant is
planned to start in the second half of 2027. Once the new process
circuit is commissioned, the existing circuit will undergo a series
of planned shutdowns, allowing Barrick to install upgrades, while
ensuring uninterrupted copper delivery throughout the
expansion.
The permitting process for the expansion is well
underway, with the Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
already submitted to the Zambian authorities and approval expected
by the end of this year.
Barrick enquiries
Investor and media relationsKathy du Plessis+44 20 7557
7738Email: barrick@dpapr.com
Website: www.barrick.com
Technical InformationThe
scientific and technical information contained in this press
release has been reviewed and approved by Richard Peattie, MPhil,
FAusIMM, Mineral Resources Manager: Africa and Middle East; Simon
Bottoms, CGeol, MGeol, FGS, FAusIMM, Mineral Resource Management
and Evaluation Executive; John Steele, CIM, Metallurgy, Engineering
and Capital Projects Executive; and Joel Holliday, FAusIMM,
Executive Vice-President, Exploration—each a “Qualified Person” as
defined in National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for
Mineral Projects.
Endnotes
1 |
Financial metrics and production metrics are based upon Barrick's
internal pre-feasibility study which is conceptual in nature
because it includes mineral resources that are not yet categorized
as mineral reserves, and there is no certainty that the
pre-feasibility assessment will be realized. These metrics are
subject to change upon completion of the feasibility study. The
assumptions outlined within the pre-feasibility study assessment
have formed the basis for the ongoing study and were made by a
Qualified Person. The Qualified Person will evaluate the results of
the completed feasibility study before determining whether all or a
part of the mineral resource for the Super Pit Expansion Project
may be converted to a mineral reserve. |
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2 |
A Tier One Copper Asset is an asset with a $3.00/lb reserve with
potential for 5 million tonnes or more of contained copper to
support a minimum 20-year life, annual production of at least
200ktpa, with all-in sustaining costs per pound in the lower half
of the industry cost curve. Tier One Assets must be located in a
world class geological district with potential for organic reserve
growth and long-term geologically driven addition. |
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3 |
Life of Mine Plan mined tonnes, grade and ounces and financials are
based on the pre-feasibility study but are conceptual in nature due
to using mineral resources and are subject to change with
completion of the feasibility study which is anticipated for Q4
2024. |
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4 |
The results in this press release represent forward-looking
information and are based on Barrick’s internal pre-feasibility
study for the Super Pit. These results are based on mineral
resources only and depend on inputs that are subject to a number of
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may
cause actual results to differ materially from those presented
here. Barrick is in the process of completing a feasibility study
in respect of the Super Pit, the results of which may differ from
the figures disclosed in this press release. Barrick does not
currently identify Lumwana as a material property. Barrick expects
to re-evaluate Lumwana’s status as a potential material property
following the completion of the feasibility study for the Super Pit
Expansion Project and the preparation of updated mineral reserves
and resources estimates for Lumwana as of December 31, 2024. A
Technical Report will be prepared in accordance with Form 43-101F1
and filed on SEDAR+ within 45 days of the disclosure of the results
of the feasibility study if Lumwana is classified as a material
property. |
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5 |
“Free cash flow” is a non-GAAP financial performance measure which
deducts capital expenditures from net cash provided by operating
activities. Management believes this to be a useful indicator of
our ability to operate without reliance on additional borrowing or
usage of existing cash. Free cash flow is intended to provide
additional information only and does not have any standardized
definition under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or
as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance
with IFRS. Other companies may calculate this measure differently.
Further details including a detailed reconciliation of this
non-GAAP financial measure to its most directly comparable GAAP
measure are incorporated by reference and provided on page 59 of
the MD&A that accompanies Barrick’s second quarter 2024
financial statements, respectively, filed on SEDAR+ at
www.sedarplus.ca and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. |
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6 |
All financial metrics are estimated based upon CIBC Global Mining
Group mean long-term consensus forecast copper price of $4.13/lb.
Refer to the below table for the complete list of Barrick’s outlook
assumptions. |
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|
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Key Outlook Assumptions |
2024 |
2025 |
2026+ |
|
|
|
Gold Price ($/oz) |
1,900 |
1,300 |
1,300 |
|
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|
Copper Price ($/lb) |
3.50 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
|
|
|
Oil Price (WTI) ($/barrel) |
80 |
70 |
70 |
|
|
|
AUD Exchange Rate (AUD:USD) |
0.75 |
0.75 |
0.75 |
|
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ARS Exchange Rate (USD:ARS) |
800 |
800 |
800 |
|
|
|
CAD Exchange Rate (USD:CAD) |
1.30 |
1.30 |
1.30 |
|
|
|
CLP Exchange Rate (USD:CLP) |
900 |
900 |
900 |
|
|
|
EUR Exchange Rate (EUR:USD) |
1.10 |
1.20 |
1.20 |
|
|
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7 |
“C1 cash costs” per pound is a non-GAAP financial measure. “C1 cash
costs” per pound is based on cost of sales but excludes the impact
of depreciation and royalties and includes treatment and refinement
charges. Management believes that the use of “C1 cash costs” per
pound will enable investors to better understand the operating
performance of our copper mines as this measure reflects all of the
sustaining expenditures incurred in order to produce copper. “C1
cash costs” per pound is intended to provide additional information
only and does not have a standardized definition under IFRS and
should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for
measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Other
companies may calculate this measure differently. Further details
including a detailed reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial
measure to its most directly comparable GAAP measure are
incorporated by reference and provided on pages 72-73 of the
MD&A accompanying Barrick’s second quarter 2024 financial
statements filed on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on EDGAR at
www.sec.gov. |
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Cautionary Statement on Forward-Looking
Information Certain information contained in this press
release, including any information as to our strategy, projects,
plans or future financial or operating performance, constitutes
“forward-looking statements”. All statements, other than statements
of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. The words
“would”, “will”, “projected”, “estimated”, “starting”, “planned”,
“expand”, “expect” “growth”, “scheduled” and similar expressions
identify forward-looking statements. In particular, this press
release contains forward-looking statements including, without
limitation, with respect to: Barrick’s Lumwana Super Pit expansion
project and its ability to extend Lumwana’s life of mine; global
projected copper production and demand profiles; the potential for
Lumwana to become a Tier One asses, and the potential for Lumwana
to become a top 25 copper asset; estimated copper production from
the Lumwana Super Pit expansion, including projected mining rates;
the financial performance of the Lumwana Super Pit expansion; the
estimated capital budget for the Lumwana Super Pit expansion,
including anticipated capital intensity, investment spend and
targeted run rates; anticipated timelines for delivery of the
feasibility study, project construction and key execution
timeframes for the Lumwana Super Pit expansion; estimated timing
for approval of the Environmental and Social Impact Assessment at
Lumwana; Barrick’s strategy, plans, targets and goals in respect of
environmental and social governance issues, including local
community development and, climate change initiatives; and
expectations regarding future price assumptions, financial
performance and other outlooks or guidance.
Forward-looking statements are necessarily based
upon a number of estimates and assumptions including material
estimates and assumptions related to the factors set forth below
that, while considered reasonable by the Company as at the date of
this press release in light of management’s experience and
perception of current conditions and expected developments, are
inherently subject to significant business, economic and
competitive uncertainties and contingencies. Known and unknown
factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those
projected in the forward-looking statements and undue reliance
should not be placed on such statements and information. Such
factors include, but are not limited to: fluctuations in the spot
and forward price of gold, copper or certain other commodities
(such as silver, diesel fuel, natural gas and electricity); the
potential to convert all or part of the mineral resource for the
Super Pit expansion into a mineral reserve following the completion
of the feasibility study; risks associated with projects in the
early stages of evaluation and for which additional engineering and
other analysis is required; risks related to the possibility that
future exploration results will not be consistent with the
Company’s expectations, that quantities or grades of reserves will
be diminished, and that resources may not be converted to reserves;
risks associated with the fact that certain of the initiatives
described in this press release are still in the early stages and
may not materialize; changes in mineral production performance,
exploitation and exploration successes; risks that exploration data
may be incomplete and considerable additional work may be required
to complete further evaluation, including but not limited to
drilling, engineering and socioeconomic studies and investment; the
speculative nature of mineral exploration and development; lack of
certainty with respect to foreign legal systems, corruption and
other factors that are inconsistent with the rule of law;
disruption of supply routes which may cause delays in construction
and mining activities, including disruptions in the supply of key
mining inputs due to the invasion of Ukraine by Russia and
conflicts in the Middle East; risk of loss due to acts of war,
terrorism, sabotage and civil disturbances; risks associated with
artisanal and illegal mining; changes in national and local
government legislation, taxation, controls or regulations and/or
changes in the administration of laws, policies and practices;
expropriation or nationalization of property and political or
economic developments in Zambia or other countries in which Barrick
does or may carry on business in the future; risks relating to
political instability in certain of the jurisdictions in which
Barrick operates; timing of receipt of, or failure to comply with,
necessary permits and approvals; non-renewal of or failure to
obtain key licenses by governmental authorities; failure to comply
with environmental and health and safety laws and regulations;
increased costs and physical and transition risks related to
climate change, including extreme weather events, resource
shortages, emerging policies and increased regulations relating to
greenhouse gas emission levels, energy efficiency and reporting of
risks; Barrick’s ability to achieve its sustainability goals;
contests over title to properties, particularly title to
undeveloped properties, or over access to water, power and other
required infrastructure; the liability associated with risks and
hazards in the mining industry, and the ability to maintain
insurance to cover such losses; damage to the Company’s reputation
due to the actual or perceived occurrence of any number of events,
including negative publicity with respect to the Company’s handling
of environmental matters or dealings with community groups, whether
true or not; risks related to operations near communities that may
regard Barrick’s operations as being detrimental to them;
litigation and legal and administrative proceedings; operating or
technical difficulties in connection with mining or development
activities, including geotechnical challenges, tailings dam and
storage facilities failures, and disruptions in the maintenance or
provision of required infrastructure and information technology
systems; increased costs, delays, suspensions and technical
challenges associated with the construction of capital projects;
risks associated with working with partners in jointly controlled
assets; risks related to disruption of supply routes which may
cause delays in construction and mining activities; risks
associated with Barrick’s infrastructure, information technology
systems and the implementation of Barrick’s technological
initiatives, including risks related to cybersecurity incidents,
including those caused by computer viruses, malware, ransomware and
other cyberattacks, or similar information technology system
failures, delays and/or disruptions; risks related to competition
in the mining industry; employee relations including loss of key
employees; availability and increased costs associated with mining
inputs and labor; and risks associated with diseases, epidemics and
pandemics. In addition, there are risks and hazards associated with
the business of mineral exploration, development and mining,
including environmental hazards, industrial accidents, unusual or
unexpected formations, pressures, cave-ins, flooding and gold
bullion, copper cathode or gold or copper concentrate losses (and
the risk of inadequate insurance, or inability to obtain insurance,
to cover these risks).
Many of these uncertainties and contingencies
can affect our actual results and could cause actual results to
differ materially from those expressed or implied in any
forward-looking statements made by, or on behalf of, us. Readers
are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance. All of the forward-looking statements made in
this press release are qualified by these cautionary statements.
Specific reference is made to the most recent Form 40-F/Annual
Information Form on file with the SEC and Canadian provincial
securities regulatory authorities for a more detailed discussion of
some of the factors underlying forward-looking statements and the
risks that may affect Barrick’s ability to achieve the expectations
set forth in the forward-looking statements contained in this press
release.
Barrick disclaims any intention or obligation to
update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result
of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required
by applicable law.
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