TIDMMGGT

RNS Number : 5467T

Meggitt PLC

25 March 2021

Date: 25 March 2021

Meggitt PLC

("the Company")

Publication of Annual Report and Accounts 2020 and the Notice of the 2021 Annual General Meeting

The Company has today posted and published on its website https://www.meggitt.com/investors/ its Annual Report and Accounts ("Annual Report") for the year ended 31 December 2020 and Notice of its 2021 Annual General Meeting ("Notice of Meeting").

The Company's Annual General Meeting will be held as a hybrid meeting at 11.00am on Thursday 29 April 2021 at the Company's offices at Pilot Way, Ansty Business Park, Coventry, CV7 9JU, and via live broadcast.

Due to the current UK Government's restrictions on public gatherings, shareholders will not be permitted to attend the Annual General Meeting in person. This is to ensure the safety of both our employees and shareholders. The Company will keep the situation under review and may make further changes to allow shareholder attendance if the UK Government's guidance and restrictions permit this at the time of the Annual General Meeting. Any changes will be announced via RNS and on the Company's website.

Shareholders are invited to participate in the Annual General Meeting via a live broadcast and will be able to ask questions and vote during the meeting. As shareholders will not be able to attend in person, they are encouraged to vote in advance by appointing the Chairman as their proxy by one of the methods set out in the Notice of Meeting.

In compliance with Listing Rule 9.6.1R of the UK Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA"), the Annual Report, Notice of Meeting and Form of Proxy for the 2021 Annual General Meeting will be submitted to the UK Listing Authority and will shortly be available for inspection at the National Storage Mechanism https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism .

The information included in the preliminary results announcement released on 4 March 2021, together with the information in the Appendices to this announcement which is extracted from the Annual Report, constitute the materials required by the FCA's Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 6.3.5R. This announcement is not a substitute for reading the Annual Report in full and page and note references in the Appendices below refer to page and note references in the Annual Report.

Enquiries:

Meggitt PLC

Marina Thomas, Group Company Secretary ( marina.thomas@meggitt.com )

Katie Lewis, Senior Assistant Company Secretary ( katie.lewis@meggitt.com )

Simon Grant, Assistant Company Secretary ( simon.r.grant@meggitt.com )

PRINCIPAL RISKS & UNCERTAINTIES

The Group's strategic objectives can only be achieved if certain risks are taken and managed effectively. We have listed below the most significant risks that may affect our business, although there may be other risks - of which the Group is unaware or are considered less significant - which may affect our performance. The potential impacts of each of our principal risks were considered as part of the viability stress testing and considered to be consistent with, analogous to or less significant than the scenarios modelled.

Approach to COVID-19

Given the wide-ranging impact of COVID-19 on the aviation industry we have assessed the effect on our existing risks and considered resultant emerging risks rather than having a single, standalone COVID-19 risk.

Strategic priorities

   1       Strategic Portfolio 
   2       Customers 
   3       Competitiveness 
   4       Culture 

Change in risk

Increase

   -      No change 

Decrease

Risk velocity

   H     High:           Impact within 6 months of risk occurring 
   M   Medium:     Impact between 6 and 36 months of risk occurring 
   L    Low:           Impact after more than 36 months of risk occurring 

KPIs

-- Financial performance (organic revenue growth, underlying operating profit, ROCE, underlying EPS growth and free cash flow)

   --        R&D investment 
   --        TRIR (total recordable incident rate) 
   --        Inventory turns 

Strategic risks

 
Risk                           Description                   Impact             How we manage it 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Industry changes               Significant variation         Volatility 
1 H                            in demand                      in revenue              *    Demand is managed by monitoring external economic and 
                               for air travel and/or          and underlying               commercial environment and long-lead indicators 
KPIs:                          our products due               profitability.               whilst maintaining focus on balanced portfolio. 
 *    Financial performance    to aerospace and 
                               defence business 
                               downcycles coinciding;                                 *    Monitoring international political and tax 
                               serious political,                                          developments to assess implications of future 
                               economic, pandemic                                          legislation. 
                               (including the on-going 
                               impacts of COVID-19) 
                               or terrorist events; 
                               or industry consolidation 
                               that materially changes 
                               the competitive landscape. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Business model                 Failure to respond            Decreased 
2 - M                          to fundamental changes         revenue                 *    Alignment of Group, divisional and functional 
KPIs:                          in our aerospace               and profit.                  strategy processes. 
 *    Financial performance    business model, primarily 
                               the evolving aftermarket. 
                               This includes more                                     *    Dedicated full-service aftermarket organisation. 
 *    R&D investment           durable parts requiring 
                               less frequent replacement, 
                               a growing supply                                       *    Long-term customer agreements including 
                               of surplus parts,                                           SMARTSupport(R) packages to create tailored solutions 
                               OE customers seeking                                        for customers throughout the product life cycle 
                               greater control of                                          enabling more effective performance monitoring and 
                               their aftermarket                                           more predictable pricing. 
                               supply chain and 
                               accelerated pace 
                               of new aircraft deliveries                             *    Investment in research and development to maintain 
                               leading to the earlier                                      and enhance Meggitt's intellectual property. 
                               retirement of older 
                               aircraft. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Climate change                 Failure to adapt              Decreased 
3 M                             to the transition            revenue                        *    Continued dialogue with governments, industry bodies 
KPIs:                           and physical impacts         and profit,                         and customers to maintain awareness of evolving 
 *    Financial performance     of climate change,           damage to                           aviation sector requirements. 
                                including:                   operational 
                                - government legislation     performance 
 *    R&D investment            to limit air travel;         and reputation.                *    Continued focus on developing technologies to support 
                                - regulations limiting                                           sustainable aviation and on reducing the carbon 
                                greenhouse gas emissions                                         intensity of our production operations. 
                                from aviation come 
                                into effect faster 
                                than technical solutions;                                   *    Allocation of two-thirds of innovation budget to 
                                - societal attitudes                                             sustainable solutions. 
                                shifting against 
                                air travel (e.g. 
                                "flight shaming");                                          *    Reduction in Group carbon footprint through new 
                                - acute physical                                                 facilities, more efficient production processes and 
                                risks such as the                                                using green energy sources. 
                                increased likelihood 
                                of extreme weather 
                                events; and                                                 *    Comprehensive business continuity plans across the 
                                - chronic physical                                               Group, supported by an insurance programme subject to 
                                risks such as changing                                           annual renewal. 
                                weather patterns 
                                including rising 
                                temperatures and                                            *    Long-term weather considerations as part of site 
                                sea levels.                                                      footprint strategy. 
 
 
 
                                                                                           These are considered further 
                                                                                           as part of the TCFD disclosures 
                                                                                           on page 71. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Operational risks 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Quality escape/                Defective product             Decreased 
equipment failure               leading to in-service        revenue                  *    System safety analysis, verification and validation 
3 - H                           failure, accidents,          and profit,                   policy and processes, combined with quality and 
                                the grounding of             damage to                     customer audits and industry certifications. 
KPIs:                           aircraft or prolonged        operational 
 *    Financial performance     production shut-downs        performance 
                                for the Group and            and reputation.          *    Meggitt Production System (MPS). 
                                its customers. 
 
                                                                                      *    Supplier quality assurance process. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Business interruption          A catastrophic event          Decreased 
3 H                            such as natural disasters     revenue                  *    Group-wide business continuity and crisis management 
KPIs:                          (including earthquake         and profit,                   plans, subject to regular testing and also invoked 
 *    Financial performance    - the Group has a             damage to                     during 2020 in response to COVID-19. 
                               significant operational       operational 
                               presence in Southern          performance 
                               California); civil            and reputation.          *    Comprehensive insurance programme, renewed annually 
                               unrest, military                                            and subject to property risk assessment visits. 
                               conflict or terrorist 
                               activity; or a pandemic 
                               (including further 
                               impacts from COVID-19) 
                               could lead to 
                               infrastructure 
                               disruption and/or 
                               property damage which 
                               prevents the Group 
                               from fulfilling its 
                               contractual obligations. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Project/programme              Failure to meet new           Failure 
management                      product development          to deliver                          *    Rigorous commercial and technological reviews of bids 
3 - M                           programme milestones         financial                                and contractual terms before entering into 
KPIs:                           and certification            returns                                  programmes. 
 *    Financial performance     requirements and             against 
                                successfully transition      investment 
                                new products into            and/or                              *    Continuous review of programme performance through 
 *    R&D investment            manufacturing as             significant                              the Programme Lifecycle Management (PLM) process 
                                production rates             financial                                including: 
                                increase. This also          penalties 
                                covers lower than            leading 
                                expected production          to decreased                       o regular monitoring of 
                                volumes, including           profit and                         the end-market performance 
                                programme cancellations      damage to                          of key OE programmes; 
                                or delays, notably           reputation.                        o internal review process, 
                                the 737 MAX.                                                    to stress-test readiness 
                                                                                                to proceed at each stage 
                                                                                                of key programmes; and 
                                                                                                o regular monitoring of 
                                                                                                the financial health of 
                                                                                                customers. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Customer satisfaction          Failure to meet customers'    Failure 
2 - M                           cost, quality and             to win future           *    Creation of a customer-facing organisational 
                                delivery standards            programmes                   structure including a dedicated aftermarket division. 
KPIs:                           or qualify as preferred       resulting 
 *    Financial performance     suppliers.                    in decreased 
                                                              revenue                 *    Regular monitoring of customer scorecards and 
                                                              and profit.                  ensuring responsiveness to issues via Voice of the 
 *    Inventory turns                                                                      Customer process. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Functional excellence in operations, project 
                                                                                           management and engineering. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Increased utilisation of low-cost manufacturing base. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
IT/Systems failure             A breach of IT security       Decreased 
1 H                            due to increasingly           revenue                  *    Information Security infrastructure, policies and 
KPIs:                          more sophisticated            and profit,                   procedures supported by a Group wide security 
 *    Financial performance    cyber crime/terrorism         damage to                     awareness programme. 
                               resulting in intellectual     operational 
                               property or other             performance 
                               sensitive information         and reputation.          *    Intelligence sharing on threats with government and 
                               being lost, made                                            security bodies including the FBI, CPNI and NCSC. 
                               inaccessible, corrupted 
                               or accessed by 
                               unauthorised                                           *    Group-wide intellectual property protection 
                               users. This also                                            programme. 
                               includes the loss 
                               of critical systems 
                               such as SAP due to                                     *    Management of third party service providers and risks, 
                               poorly executed                                             including resilience and disaster recovery processes. 
                               implementation 
                               or change of control; 
                               poor maintenance,                                      *    Rolling programme of system upgrades (including SAP 
                               business continuity                                         implementation) to replace legacy systems. 
                               or back -- up procedures 
                               and the failure of 
                               third parties to                                       *    Defined vulnerability management policy with 
                               meet service level                                          monitoring capability to ensure that vulnerabilities 
                               agreements.                                                 are identified and appropriately patched. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Dedicated cyber-security protective monitoring 
                                                                                           resources, employing industry-leading technical 
                                                                                           controls and procedures. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Supply chain                   Failure or inability          Decreased 
1 - M                           of critical suppliers        revenue                  *    Supplier excellence framework combined with 
KPIs:                           to supply unique             and profit,                   integrated commercial and procurement approach to 
 *    Financial performance     products, capabilities       damage to                     contractual terms and conditions including 
                                or services preventing       operational                   development of long -- term agreements. 
                                the Group from satisfying    performance 
 *    Inventory turns           customers or meeting         and reputation. 
                                contractual requirements.                             *    Local sourcing strategy to improve operational 
                                                                                           efficiency and minimise potential impacts and 
                                                                                           disruption from cross -- border tariffs. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Maintenance of buffer inventory for critical and sole 
                                                                                           -- source suppliers. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Implementation of measures to mitigate counterfeit 
                                                                                           and fraudulent parts at high -- risk facilities. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Group change management        Failure to successfully,      Decreased 
3 - M                          simultaneously, deliver       revenue                  *    PMO oversight of large capital projects. 
KPIs:                          the significant change        and profit, 
 *    Financial performance    programmes currently          increased 
                               in process and planned,       costs, damage            *    Dedicated site consolidation and property management 
                               including site                to operational                teams for Ansty Park. 
 *    Inventory turns          consolidation                 performance 
                               activity such as              and reputation. 
                               Ansty Park and investments                             *    Regular monitoring by Executive Committee through 
                               in new carbon                                               operational and project reviews. 
                               manufacturing 
                               facilities in the 
                               USA.                                                   *    HPS implementation at new/expanded sites. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
People                         Failure to attract,           Decreased 
4 - H                           retain or mobilise            revenue                 *    Embedding of High Performance Culture. 
KPIs:                           people due to factors         and profit, 
 *    Financial performance     including industrial          damage to 
                                action, workforce             operational             *    Action plans to improve employee engagement. 
                                demographics, lack            performance. 
 *    Inventory turns           of training, availability 
                                of talent and inadequate                              *    Graduate and apprentice programmes in partnership 
                                compensation.                                              with schools and universities. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Regular oversight by Executive Committee. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Creation of Employee Resource Groups to foster 
                                                                                           diversity, boost employee engagement and enable 
                                                                                           global collaboration. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 
Corporate risks 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Legal and compliance           Significant breach            Damage to 
3 - H                          of increasingly complex       reputation,              *    Continuing investment in compliance programmes 
KPIs:                          trade compliance,             loss of                       including Board -- approved policies and rollout of 
 *    Financial performance    bribery and corruption,       supplier                      training and IT solutions. 
                               US Government contracting,    accreditations, 
                               ethics, intellectual          suspension 
 *    TRIR                     property, data protection     of activity,             *    Regular monitoring of ethics and anti-bribery 
                               or competition/antitrust      fines from                    programme by Corporate Responsibility Committee. 
                               laws and facilitation         civil and 
                               of tax evasion.               criminal 
                                                             proceedings.             *    On -- going trade compliance programme including 
                                                                                           third -- party audits. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Comprehensive ethics programme including training, 
                                                                                           anti -- corruption policy and 'Speak Up' Line. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    Third -- party and internal audits including HS&E and 
                                                                                           Anti-Bribery & Corruption. 
 
 
                                                                                      *    HPS implementation to enhance safety measures, 
                                                                                           validated by third -- party audits. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 
Financial risks 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Pension funding                The Group operates            Higher pension 
3 M                              defined benefit              scheme funding          *    Triennial valuation process and deficit funding 
KPIs:                            pensions schemes             contributions                agreement with UK Pension Trustees. 
 *    Financial performance      in the UK, US                resulting 
                                 and Switzerland.             in decreased 
                                 The level of deficits        cash and                *    Continued monitoring of asset allocations and funding 
                                 in these schemes             profit.                      levels for all schemes. 
                                 may be affected 
                                 adversely by investment 
                                 returns, interest                                    *    Closure of UK and US defined benefit schemes to 
                                 rates, increasing                                         future accrual. 
                                 life expectancy 
                                 and changes in 
                                 the regulatory 
                                 environment. The 
                                 rates at which 
                                 deficits are funded 
                                 is subject to 
                                 agreement with 
                                 the trustees in 
                                 the UK and is 
                                 dependent on legislation 
                                 in the US and 
                                 Switzerland. 
                                ========================= 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Liquidity                      Financial risk management     Inability 
3 M                             is considered in              to access               *    Maintaining sufficient headroom in committed credit 
KPIs:                           detail on pages 172           financing                    facilities and against covenants in those facilities. 
 *    Financial performance     to 173.                       on normal 
                                                              commercial 
                                                              terms.                  *    Arranging funding with maturities spread over several 
                                                                                           years or the ability to terminate early at little or 
                                                                                           no cost to the Group. 
---------------------------  ----------------------------  -----------------  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
 

Oversight of risk and internal control

The Board is responsible for risk management and internal control and for maintaining and reviewing its financial and operational effectiveness. The Board has taken into account the guidance provided by the FRC on risk management and internal control in carrying out its duties. The system of internal control is designed to manage, but not to eliminate, the risk of failure to achieve business objectives and to provide reasonable, but not absolute, assurance against material misstatement or loss.

The Group's functions are responsible for determining Group policies and processes. The businesses are responsible for implementing them, with internal and/or external audits to confirm business unit compliance. The key features of the risk management and internal control system are described below, including those relating to the financial reporting process, as required under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules (DGTR):

-- Group policies - key policies are approved by the Board and other policies are approved by Group functions;

-- process controls - for example financial controls including the Group Finance Policies and Procedures Manual, the bid approval process, programme lifecycle management reviews, IT security framework and risk management; and

   --      the forecasting, budget and strategic plan processes. 

The Group's programmes for insurance and business continuity form part of our risk management and internal control framework.

-- The following features allow the Group to monitor the effective implementation of policies and process controls by business units:

-- a business performance review process (including financial, operational and compliance performance);

-- semi-annual business unit, product group and divisional sign-off of compliance with Group policies and processes;

-- compliance programmes and external audits (including trade compliance, ethics, anti-corruption, health, safety and environmental);

-- an effective internal audit function which, primarily, performs business unit reviews by rotation (including finance, programme management, IT, HR, ethics, anti-bribery & corruption and business continuity); and

   --      a whistleblowing line to enable employees to raise concerns. 

To review the effectiveness of the system of internal controls, the Board and Audit Committee applied the following processes and activities in 2020 and up to the date of approval of the Annual Report:

   --      reviews of the risk management process, risk register and risk appetite statement; 

-- written and verbal reports to the Audit Committee from internal and external audit on progress with internal control activities, including:

o Reviews of business processes and activities, including action plans to address any identified control weaknesses and recommendations for improvements to controls or processes;

o The results of internal audits;

o Internal control recommendations made by the external auditors; and

o Follow-up actions from previous internal control recommendations.

   --      regular compliance reports from the Group General Counsel and Director, Corporate Affairs; 

-- regular reports on the state of the business from the Chief Executive and Chief Financial Officer;

-- presentation on IT security activities and plans from the Chief Information Officer and the Chief Information Security Officer;

-- strategy reviews, review of the five-year financial plan and review and approval of the 2021 budget;

-- written reports to the Corporate Responsibility Committee on the effectiveness and outcomes of whistleblowing procedures; and

   --      reports on insurance coverage and uninsured risks. 

The risk management and internal control systems have been in place for the year under review and up to the date of approval of the Annual Report, and are regularly reviewed by the Board. The Board monitors executive management's action plans to implement improvements in internal controls that have been identified following the above mentioned reviews and reports. The Board confirms that it has not identified any significant failings or weaknesses in the Group's systems of risk management or internal control as a result of information provided to the Board and resulting discussions.

Viability statement

In accordance with the provision 31 of the 2018 Code, as part of their assessment of the Group's viability, the directors have assessed the prospects of the Group and its ability to meet its liabilities as they fall due.

Response to COVID-19 and impact on Meggitt's viability

During 2020, along with the rest of the civil aerospace sector, Meggitt responded to the pressures caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Year on year, the Group's revenues fell by GBP592m (26%) and as such, the last 12 months have tested the Group's viability.

The first actions of the Group secured liquidity, and over the year the Group's funding structure has proved to be secure and resilient. In the first half, the Group secured a forward start on its RCF for one year on $575m to September 2022, and in November successfully refinanced $300m of debt. The Group also became an eligible issuer under the Bank of England's CCFF facility. However, the Group has not issued commercial paper under this facility at 31 December 2020 and at no point during 2020 was the Group viable only through access to these funds.

The Group has also addressed its structural cost base. As at the end of 2020, our global headcount is 26% or 3,319 lower than at the end of 2019. Overall, though GBP592m of revenue have been

lost year on year, the fall in underlying operating profit has been GBP212m, meaning for every GBP3 of revenue lost, just under GBP2 has been saved on cost. The Group also generated cash in the year with free cash flow (after interest and tax) of GBP32m and net debt lower by GBP138m year on year. The Group has received a small amount of support under government furlough schemes. The benefit to the income statement has not been critical to viability.

Meggitt's diversified business model has also proved robust. Though the Group's civil aerospace business has come under pressure, the defence business is up 4% on an organic basis and defence now represents 46% of the Group's revenue. In addition, the Group's global manufacturing base has proved resilient during 2020, with manufacturing capacity largely maintained through the pandemic despite significant levels of infection in both the UK and USA. Meggitt has benefitted from both globally distributed facilities and diverse end markets.

Overall, though far from over, the Group's response to COVID-19 has been encouraging. Nearly 12 months into the most severe crisis to hit aerospace in living memory, Meggitt continues to

be viable.

Assessment of prospects

The Board believes that, despite the impact of COVID-19 in 2020, the prospects for the Group continue to be favourable in the medium to long-term.

-- We believe that the desire for individuals to travel remains and that air travel will play a critical part in meeting that demand

o Growth in civil aerospace markets will return despite the near term impact of COVID-19; we provide equipment to all major new platforms entering service in the near future

o Meggitt has provided equipment to over 73,000 in service aircraft, and with an average aircraft lifespan of 25 years,

our aftermarket will be providing meaningful revenues to the Group for decades to come

   --      We are diversified by end market and by customer 

o We supply into both civil (43% revenue) and defence (46%) aircraft markets, and into selected energy markets (8%)

o Our revenues are split broadly evenly between equipment sales and aftermarket

o We work with a diverse group of customers from across the globe. Our top 10 customers generate less than 50% of our revenue

   --      We invest for the long term and protect our know-how 

o We invest in market leading technology. We continue to spend, on average, 5-7% of revenue on R&D through the cycle

o Our physical capital base is renewed regularly. We have maintained our investment levels in 2020 (GBP90m of capital expenditure vs. GBP94m in 2019)

o We grow, manage and defend our intellectual property portfolio robustly

o We continue to invest in next generation technologies to support a sustainable future for aviation and power generation

o We seek to attract and retain colleagues who can enable the extraordinary

   --      We manufacture based on quality, consistency and value 

o We manage our manufacturing facilities using HPS (previously MPS), a tiered improvement programme, providing a roadmap to best in class manufacturing.

o We operate a globally distributed manufacturing infrastructure, producing both in the OECD and in lower cost locations

   --      We have robust liquidity and a strong financial base 

o The Group has reduced its levels of debt by over GBP100m to GBP773m in spite of the financial pressure of the last 12 months. The Group generated free cash flow in 2020

o Our gearing ratio at the end of 2020 was 2.2x (net debt / EBITDA) and interest cover was 9.8x, both well within our covenant limits

o We have GBP1.5bn of committed facilities as at 31 December 2020, and a headroom of GBP908m

Assessment period

The Board considered the Group's principal risks as detailed in our risk register, and assessed the impact, likelihood and timeframe over which the risks might crystallise. It also considered over what timeframe certain business and sector changes currently impacting the Group would likely be resolved.

1. Recovery of the civil aerospace market: Many industry observers including IATA see the civil aerospace market recovering to 2019 levels by 2024-25.

2. Refinancing: The Group expects to have refinanced a significant proportion of its debt, including its RCF by 2023-24.

3. Evolution of Meggitt: The Group has a number of projects, including the completion of the move into Ansty Park and other footprint reduction efforts, which are expected to complete within the next five years.

4. Programme investment: The Group typically expects the investment cycle of five years for engineering development programmes.

The Board concluded that these four major activities would be largely resolved in a five-year time frame and as such, five years continues to be the correct timeframe over which to assess viability and risk impact.

Assessment of viability and risk stress tests

The Group is modelling a progressive recovery in activity in the civil aerospace market from a low point in late 2020 and early 2021. Though a number of outcomes are possible, the Group believes that a full recovery in the civil aerospace market is likely by 2024-25 and it is on this baseline that the Group's viability has been tested.

Using the output of the Group's long-term planning activity, the Group has created two adverse downside scenarios. These are modelled against a baseline "COVID recovery" scenario detailed in note 1 of the consolidated financials statements and the financial impact quantified should a number of risks within those scenarios crystallise within a five-year period.

1. Loss of a major customer

The aviation sector is reliant on a well-developed system of global regulations and equipment qualifications to ensure confidence in the sector's functioning. In addition, particularly when working with the defence arms of governments, security of data and adherence to military protocols is critical.

The Group has modelled the impact of a significant loss of revenue following a regulatory or compliance failure at Meggitt. Censure for non-compliance is severe, whether through the loss of access to government contracts, or the grounding of fleet which are deemed to be unsafe.

This scenario is modelled to unfold in parallel with the recovery from COVID-19. Given necessary lead times to find alternative sources of supply, the full impact of this loss of customer scenario would take 12 months to be felt, during which time the civil AM recovery is underway in the underlying base case. The maximum impact of the scenario would be in 2023, when the Group is refinancing a number of facilities.

2. Major business disruption event

As the Group is currently experiencing a significant demand-side business disruption event in COVID-19, in testing the Group's viability, a supply-side shock has been considered. Specifically, manufacturing disruption in California as a result of a natural disaster.

On the Group's risk matrix, business disruption continues to be one of the highest impacting risks on the Group's financial performance, disrupting relationships with both major customers and suppliers.

The Group used knowledge of previous business disruption events to model the impact on the Group's future plans. As modelled, the Group is able to weather the earthquake event without needing to conclude any additional refinancing.

The Group has modelled the financial impact of the risks articulated above, together with mitigating actions. Mitigating actions include a reduction in investment both in PP&E and R&D or curtailment of indirect expenditure and headcount reduction. Levers such as dividend suspension or material reduction in discretionary spend are somewhat reduced in their effectiveness, as these actions have already been taken in response to COVID-19. However, the Group continues to sell into diverse end markets and enjoys long dated aftermarket revenue and technologically differentiated products. The Group would find it challenging should a second external shock occur before the recovery from COVID-19 is established. However, the Group continues to believe that both the scale of the potential mitigating levers available to it and the favourable outcomes achieved in 2020 against COVID-19 by it provide buffers to mitigate the impact of these scenarios.

Statement of viability

Based on the results of the analysis, the Board has a reasonable expectation that the Group will continue in operation and be able to meet its liabilities as they fall due over the five-year period of assessment.

Statement of directors' responsibilities in respect of the financial statements

The directors are responsible for preparing the Annual Report and the financial statements in accordance with applicable law and regulation.

Company law requires the directors to prepare financial statements for each financial year. Under that law the directors have prepared the Group financial statements in accordance with international accounting standards in conformity with the requirements of the Companies Act 2006. Additionally, the Financial Conduct Authority's Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules require the directors to prepare the Group financial statements in accordance with international financial reporting standards adopted pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1606/2002 as it applies in the European Union. The directors have prepared the Company financial statements in accordance with United Kingdom Generally Accepted Accounting Practice (United Kingdom Accounting Standards, comprising FRS 101 "Reduced Disclosure Framework", and applicable law).

Under company law, directors must not approve the financial statements unless they are satisfied that they give a true and fair view of the state of affairs of the Group and Company and of the profit or loss of the Group for that period. In preparing the financial statements, the directors are required to:

   --      select suitable accounting policies and then apply them consistently; 

-- state whether international accounting standards in conformity with the requirements of the Companies Act 2006 and international financial reporting standards adopted pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1606/2002 as it applies in the European Union have been followed for the Group financial statements and United Kingdom Accounting Standards, comprising FRS 101 have been followed for the Company financial statements, subject to any material departures disclosed and explained in the financial statements;

   --      make judgements and accounting estimates that are reasonable and prudent; and 

-- prepare the financial statements on the going concern basis unless it is inappropriate to presume that the Group and Company will continue in business.

The directors are also responsible for safeguarding the assets of the Group and Company and hence for taking reasonable steps for the prevention and detection of fraud and other irregularities.

The directors are responsible for keeping adequate accounting records that are sufficient to show and explain the Group's and Company's transactions and disclose with reasonable accuracy at any time the financial position of the Group and Company and enable them to ensure that the financial statements and the Directors' Remuneration Report comply with the Companies Act 2006.

The Board are responsible for the maintenance and integrity of the Company's website. Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions.

Directors' confirmations

The Board consider that the annual report and accounts, taken as a whole, is fair, balanced and understandable and provides the information necessary for shareholders to assess the Group and Company's position and performance, business model and strategy.

Each of the directors, whose names and functions are listed in the Board of Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:

-- the Group financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with international accounting standards in conformity with the requirements of the Companies Act 2006 and international financial reporting standards adopted pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1606/2002 as it applies inthe European Union, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and loss of the Group;

-- the Company financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with United Kingdom Accounting Standards, comprising FRS 101, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit of the Company; and

-- the Strategic report and this Directors' Report includes a fair review of the development and performance of the business and the position of the Group and Company, together with a description of the principal risks and uncertainties that it faces.

In the case of each director in office at the date the Directors' Report is approved:

-- so far as the director is aware, there is no relevant audit information of which the Group's and Company's auditors are unaware; and

-- they have taken all the steps that they ought to have taken as a director in order to make themselves aware of any relevant audit information and to establish that the Group's and Company's auditors are aware of that information.

Fair, balanced and understandable

The Board of directors as at the date of this report consider that the Annual Report, taken as a whole, is fair, balanced and understandable and provides the information necessary for shareholders to assess the Group's position, performance, business model and strategy. The Board has made this assessment on the basis of a review of the accounts process, a discussion on the content of the Annual Report assessing its fairness, balance and understandability, together with the confirmation from executive management that the Annual Report is fair, balanced and understandable.

16. Related party transactions

During the year, the Group made sales to the joint ventures of GBP0.7m (2019: GBP2.9m) and purchases from the joint ventures of GBP0.6m (2019: GBP0.1m). Transactions between the Company and its subsidiaries have been eliminated on consolidation.

The remuneration of key management personnel of the Group, which is defined for 2020 as members of the Board and the Group Executive Committee, is set out below.

 
                                                  2020    2019 
                                                   GBP'm   GBP'm 
================================================  ======  ====== 
Salaries and other short-term employee benefits   4.7     10.8 
------------------------------------------------  ------  ------ 
Share-based payment (credit)/expense              (0.5)   2.5 
================================================  ======  ====== 
Total                                             4.2     13.3 
================================================  ======  ====== 
 

Full details of all elements in the remuneration package of each director, together with directors' share interests and share awards, are disclosed in the Directors' remuneration report on pages 114 to 141 which forms part of these consolidated financial statements.

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END

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March 25, 2021 12:30 ET (16:30 GMT)

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