BOND REPORT: Treasury Yields Fall Ahead Of Jobs Report
September 04 2015 - 7:16AM
Dow Jones News
By Ellie Ismailidou, MarketWatch
Treasury yields declined Friday as traders braced for the August
jobs report, which could determine the timing of a potential
interest-rate increase by the data-dependent Federal Reserve.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note declined 3.3 basis points
to 2.135%, building on a drop Thursday that had pushed the yield to
its lowest level in a week, according to Tradeweb. Meanwhile, the
yield on the two-year note slipped 1.1 basis point to 0.689% and
the yield on the 30-year bond shaved off 3.9 basis points to
2.908%.
Bond yields fall when prices rise and vice versa.
The monthly jobs report is scheduled for release at 8.30 a.m.
Eastern Time and could trigger market volatility ahead of the
holiday weekend. Read: When do markets close for Labor Day
(https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CB8QqQIwAGoVChMI8Kqu3aPdxwIVhTk-Ch2s2gwn&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.marketwatch.com%2Fstory%2Fwhen-do-markets-close-for-labor-day-2015-09-03&usg=AFQjCNGmyGKIRjkDIGClbzV4ybP9Kzqv6Q&bvm=bv.101800829,d.cWw)
Traders will scan the nonfarm payrolls report
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-to-watch-in-the-critical-august-jobs-report-2015-09-03)
for clues on whether the Fed feels confident enough in the U.S.
economy to raise rates at its two-day meeting starting Sept. 16 for
the first time in nearly a decade.
"Today certainly could be a defining moment and it seems the
outcome is clear; if we get a strong enough report the Fed will
hike in September," David Ader, head of government bond strategy at
CRT Capital Group, said in a note.
But regardless of the outcome, this will be "the first purely
domestic input for us to focus on in a bit, given the external
influences of the last several weeks or months," Ader said.
Falling oil prices along with turmoil in global equity markets
fueled by concerns over the slowdown in China's economy have
recently sparked strong demand for U.S. Treasurys, which are
considered a global haven investment. Read: Foreign buyers flock to
Treasurys as global volatility sets in
(https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CCEQqQIwAGoVChMIy7DYsaXdxwIVhVc-Ch2cEwB5&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.marketwatch.com%2Fstory%2Fforeign-buyers-flock-to-treasurys-as-global-volatility-sets-in-2015-09-03&usg=AFQjCNGN2XMpWYCocJGSmS8ql3i_q-1bEg&bvm=bv.101800829,d.cWw)
(https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CCEQqQIwAGoVChMIy7DYsaXdxwIVhVc-Ch2cEwB5&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.marketwatch.com%2Fstory%2Fforeign-buyers-flock-to-treasurys-as-global-volatility-sets-in-2015-09-03&usg=AFQjCNGN2XMpWYCocJGSmS8ql3i_q-1bEg&bvm=bv.101800829,d.cWw)Growing
appetite for U.S. government bonds has pushed Treasury prices
higher and drove yields lower, but expectations that the Fed could
raise rates have kept yields from plummeting below the four-month
low reached on Aug. 24.
"The U.S. jobs data [are] irrefutably the preeminent moment to
re-shape the Fed expectations. In this context and as Friday's NFP
read is the last labor market data before the very much expected
FOMC meeting in September 16-17th, market volatility will certainly
rise to significant levels," Ipek Ozkardeskaya, market analyst at
London Capital Group, said in a note.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 04, 2015 08:01 ET (12:01 GMT)
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