Across the board, energy ETFs have had a rough start to 2012.
The price of crude oil has slumped significantly, pushing down
demand for energy stocks both in the traditional sense and in the
clean energy domain as well.
This news has been especially unfortunate for clean energy
companies as it comes at a time of reduced subsidies from many of
the biggest Western governments. Furthermore, clean energy
companies seem to be under continuous pressure and have been some
of the worst investments over the long term for many investors (see
more in the Zacks ETF Center).
Yet despite this downward trend in the space, some industries
have managed to buck the trend in the energy ETF world from a
year-to-date look. In this respect, a number of MLP ETFs and ETNs
have been able to hold relatively firm as companies in these
segments tend to see similar levels of revenues no matter what the
market conditions and are often ones that have high levels of
current income as well.
Beyond this space, there has been a single ETF that, at time of
writing, is up on the year, the PowerShares Wilderhill
Progressive Energy ETF (PUW). This outlier has managed to
add roughly 0.9% so far in 2012, outperforming the broad energy
sector by close to 700 basis points and crushing many of its
counterparts in the clean energy segment by even more than that
(read Thrive In Clean Energy With These Two ETFs).
This performance has been downright incredible when one compares
it to the returns that investors have been seeing in a number of
other clean energy ETFs so far this year. In fact, the three funds
that have more assets than PUW in the broad clean energy ETF world
have an average performance of –roughly -13% at time of
writing.
Given this broad divergence, many investors have likely been
scratching their heads, wondering just how PUW managed to outdo its
competitors by so much to start the year. Below, we highlight some
of the main reasons for PUW’s likely outperformance and how the
product has managed to be such a star not just in the clean energy
market but in the broad energy ETF space as well:
PUW tracks the WilderHill Progressive Energy Index to give
investors exposure to the broad clean energy space with a slight
twist. The index provider doesn’t focus on the broad space but
instead targets firms that are engaged in transitional energy
technologies that improve the use of fossil fuels and nuclear power
(Follow Buffett Into Clean Energy With These Solar ETFs).
As a result, the index is composed of companies focused on the
following areas: alternative energy, better efficiency, emission
reduction, new energy activity, greener utilities, innovative
materials and energy storage. The Fund is rebalanced and
reconstituted quarterly and charges 70 basis points a year in
fees.
With this focus, the product has a heavy tilt towards growth
companies that are also on the small side. In fact, large caps
constitute about 25% of the portfolio while small caps make up
about 40% of the total assets.
From a sector perspective, industrials account for about 50% of
the sector exposure, while energy and technology round out the top
three. Given this exposure profile, the fund may not be the most
directly correlated to the energy industry and instead may just be
a tangential play on the space. This is further confirmed from an
industry look; electrical equipment and heavy machinery account for
the two biggest segments from this respect.
Investors should also note that PUW has a heavy focus on
American firms and U.S. dollar exposure. American companies account
for 70% of the assets while U.S. dollars account for nearly all of
the currency exposure (read Three ETFs for The Energy Efficiency
Boom).
While this scenario may not be good when emerging markets are
soaring, it has been a great strategy as the dollar has
strengthened and emerging and European markets have crumbled in
recent months.
Lastly, the product also seems to benefit from its well spread
out nature among the fund’s 55 components. Currently, no single
stock accounts for more than 2.8% of the asset total ensuring that
just under one-quarter of the total exposure goes to the top ten
holdings.
Clean Energy ETF Competition
Surprisingly, many of these figures are quite different when one
looks at the rest of the clean energy ETF space. Seemingly, the
other three relatively popular ETFs in the
space—PBW, PBD, and
GEX—all have a slightly different focus. While
this tilt may not matter much when markets are going up across the
board, it has clearly been a huge factor during the tumultuous
markets that investors have seen as of late.
For example, PBW had a heavy focus on technology companies which
account for over one-third of the total exposure. This is led by
semiconductors, electrical equipment, and electronic components
from an industry look, while the cap exposure is heavily focused on
micro cap securities.
PBW has apparently fallen behind thanks to the riskier nature of
its holdings and the greater focus on the tech space. While the
country and currency exposure is similar to what investors see in
PUW, PBW has clearly just been too volatile for many, pushing the
product down over 16% so far this year (Is Now The Time To Buy The
Coal ETFs?).
In another PowerShares example of this, investors can look to
the Global Clean Energy Portfolio, PBD. This product uses an equal
weight methodology to achieve exposure to the space, once again
putting a big focus on technology.
However, in this case, industrials account for about 30% while
safe utilities account for another 22% as well. Given this and the
inclusion of some large and mid cap securities—these make up about
35% of the exposure—it may initially be unclear why PBD has lagged
and lost about 11.3% so far this year.
Seemingly, the product has been hurt by its country and currency
exposure, stemming from its more global focus. The product puts
just 34% in North American securities and about 32% in the hard hit
European region.
In addition to this, the product has just 38% of its assets in
dollars, with a host of other foreign currencies comprising the
rest. Since the dollar has been relatively strong this year, this
has likely also contributed to the underwhelming performance of PBD
to start 2012.
Lastly, investors have the case of the Market Vectors
Global Alternative Energy ETF (GEX) as well. This product
focuses on alternative energy companies but uses more of a cap
weighted focus, giving it a higher concentration level in its top
securities (read Three ETFs For A Nuclear Power Renaissance).
Given this top heavy approach, some might assume that this is
the culprit for GEX’s double digit loss so far to start 2012.
However, both of the fund’s top components were star performers as
both Cooper Industries and Cree have been in the green to start the
time period.
However, once again the heavy focus on semiconductors and pint
sized securities has helped to sink the product. Small and micro
caps make up close to 60% of assets while tech accounts for nearly
one-third of the total exposure in GEX.
Beyond this, the product has also been hurt by a modest level of
exposure to European equities. North American companies make up
roughly three-fifths of the total while European assets account for
about 20%. Thanks to this and the modest levels of European
currency exposure—roughly 20% in total—and GEX was unable to cash
in on the strength of some of its top holdings in the first few
months of the year.
Conclusion
Although the energy market has been quite rough this year, there
have been a few stand outs. While a broad play on the space seems
like a bad idea some of the more specialized corners of the market
have held up surprisingly well in the face of market turmoil.
Seemingly these corners are a little less correlated with the price
of oil and have been able to trade on their own fundamentals
instead of on commodity prices (see Inside The Forgotten Energy
ETFs).
This has especially been the case of PUW so far this year as the
ETF’s focus on transitional technologies and more industrial
companies have saved it from a big slump. Furthermore, the currency
and country exposure has proven to be a big issue as well, as PUW
tilts towards dollars and the U.S. in general while many of the
other products have a more global focus.
Thanks to these realities, it looks as though PUW could be a
good pick if market trends continue and investors want to maintain
some level of exposure to the energy space. While the product isn’t
the most direct play on the industry, this tangential exposure
could be the way to go when energy markets are uncertain and other
clean energy products are having a difficult time keeping their
heads above water.
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Author is long PBW
MKT VEC-GLBL AE (GEX): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-GLB CL-EY (PBD): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-W CL EGY (PBW): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-PRG EGY (PUW): ETF Research Reports
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