Dutton Associates Announces Investment Opinion: On Track Innovations Raised To Strong Buy Rating By Dutton Associates
June 02 2005 - 11:30AM
Business Wire
Dutton Associates continues its coverage of On Track Innovations
Ltd. (NASDAQ:OTIV), raising its rating to Strong Buy and
maintaining its $18.00 price target. The 10-page report by Dutton
senior analyst Rafael K. Kapelinski is available at
www.jmdutton.com as well as from First Call, Bloomberg, Zacks,
Reuters, and other leading financial portals. We are raising our
rating to Strong Buy in light of the pullback of its share price
from its mid April highs. We continue to argue that the long-term
prospects remain intact and that OTI should be among the primary
beneficiaries of the accelerating switch to contactless
microprocessor-based smart card solutions in the banking, merchant,
medical and other industries. We believe that OTI generated some
revenue from both MasterCard and Amex in the last quarter, which
bodes well for the future given the relative immaturity of these
programs. Whatever the timing of the US ePassport contract, we do
believe that OTI will be among the contract winners given the
maturity of the Company's standards-compliant technology and the
strong track record. At present, our 2005 estimates include only a
nominal contribution from this opportunity. Management expects to
be able to win at least one international ePassport project, which
would provide a scope for a significant upgrade of our current
estimates. We are raising our 2005 revenue forecast from $29
million to $31 million as we had initially overestimated the
negative impact of the recent divestments of the Germany
subsidiary. The Chinese ID program continues to pick up the pace as
well. While we are upbeat about the revenue prospects in both 2005
and 2006, the profitability outlook has become slightly less
encouraging. We are lowering our 2005 EPS estimate from -$0.51 to
-$0.65 primarily as a function of slightly lower gross profit
margins. We estimate that the Company should be able to lift the
gross margin to 47% by 4Q 2005E as the Chinese ID program should
contribute to the revenues strongly. Finally, the growing
contribution of higher-margin non-product revenues should
additionally boost the gross margin. About Dutton Associates Dutton
Associates is one of the largest independent investment research
firms in the U.S. Its 27 senior analysts are primarily CFAs and
have expertise in many industries. Dutton Associates provides
continuing analyst coverage of over 95 enrolled companies, and its
research, estimates, and ratings are carried in all the major
databases serving institutions and online investors. The cost of
enrollment in our one-year continuing research program is US
$33,000 prepaid for 4 Research Reports, typically published
quarterly, and requisite Research Notes. The Firm does not accept
any equity compensation. We received $41,000 from the Company for 6
quarterly Research Reports with coverage commencing on 10/19/2004.
Our principals and analysts are prohibited from owning or trading
in securities of covered companies. The views expressed in this
research report accurately reflect the analyst's personal views
about the subject securities or issuer. Neither the analyst's
compensation nor the compensation received by us is in any way
related to the specific ratings or views contained in this research
report or note. Please read full disclosures and analyst background
at www.jmdutton.com before investing.
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