Small Business Owner Optimism at Five-Year Low
May 27 2008 - 8:30AM
PR Newswire (US)
Latest Wells Fargo/Gallup Survey: Index drops 35 points since
January, falling to the lowest level reported since the survey's
inception SAN FRANCISCO, May 27 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Small
business owner optimism continues on a five-quarter decline,
according to the recent Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index
(Index) survey conducted in April. The Index score dropped to 48,
the lowest level reported since the survey's inception in August
2003, when the score was 69. The most recent results represent a
35-point drop from the previous survey in January 2008, and a
66-point drop from the Index's highest score of 114 in December
2006. The 35-point drop is the Index's largest quarterly decrease
to date. The Index score is the sum of both current and future
expectations of small business owners for six key measures:
financial situation, cash flow, revenues, capital allocation, job
hiring, and credit availability. Small business owners' future
expectations for the next 12 months fell sharply to 30, a 15-point
drop from the previous quarter. Small business owners' ratings of
their current situation dropped 20 points from January to 18. While
each of the six key measures in the Index continued to reflect a
drop from the previous quarter, the most significant changes were
found in small business owners' present revenue situation and
future expectations for cash flow and financial situation. "The
nearly-50 percent drop in the Index clearly reflects the
intensified financial pressures small business owners have felt
over the last three months," said Dr. Scott Anderson, Wells Fargo
senior economist. "The decline in both the present situation and
future expectations components doesn't bode well for a swift
recovery in small business conditions. However, as consumers begin
to receive -- and spend -- their economic stimulus checks, this
should soon begin easing the blow to small businesses in the third
quarter of this year." Despite the drop in overall optimism, survey
respondents said they feel satisfied being small business owners.
Satisfaction levels were relatively unchanged from January -- down
only four points to 86 percent. Additionally, 94 percent of
respondents said they feel successful being a small business owner,
virtually unchanged from all prior quarters. About the Small
Business Index For the last 19 quarters, the Wells Fargo/Gallup
Small Business Index has surveyed small business owners on their
current and future perceptions of their business financial
situation. The Index consists of two dimensions: 1) Owners' ratings
of the current situation of their businesses and, 2) Owners'
ratings of how they expect their businesses to perform over the
next 12 months. An Index score of zero reflects that an equal
number of small business owners are optimistic and pessimistic
about their companies' situation. Results are based on telephone
interviews with 600 small business owners nationwide conducted
April 2-16, 2008. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage
points. About the Gallup Organization For more than 60 years, the
Gallup Organization has been a recognized leader in the measurement
and analysis of people's attitudes, opinions and behavior. While
best known for the Gallup Poll, founded in 1935, Gallup's current
activities consist largely of providing marketing and management
research, advisory services and education to the world's largest
corporations and institutions. About Wells Fargo Wells Fargo &
Company is a diversified financial services company with $595
billion in assets, providing banking, insurance, investments,
mortgage and consumer finance through almost 6,000 stores and the
internet (wellsfargo.com) across North America and internationally.
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. is the only bank in the U.S., and one of
only two banks worldwide, to have the highest possible credit
rating from both Moody's Investors Service, "Aaa," and Standard
& Poor's Ratings Services, "AAA." Wells Fargo is America's #1
small business lender in total dollar volume according to the most
recent Community Reinvestment Act data (2006) and the #1 SBA 7a
bank lender in total dollar volume. Wells Fargo has loaned close to
$36 billion to women, African American, Latino and Asian business
owners since 1995. For more information, speak with a Wells Fargo
banker, visit wellsfargo.com/biz or call the National Business
Banking Center at 1-800-CALL-WELLS. Note to Editors: Survey results
available upon request. DATASOURCE: Wells Fargo & Company
CONTACT: Media, Allison White of Wells Fargo & Company,
+1-415-975-6291, Web site: http://www.wellsfargo.com/
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