FOCUS: Roche May Soften Hardball Tactics In Genentech Bid
February 24 2009 - 12:39PM
Dow Jones News
Roche Holding AG (RHHBY) may have to soften its hardball tactics
and lift the bid for the planned full acquisition of Genentech Inc.
(DNA), analysts say.
Although Genentech's renewed rejection of Roche's full takeover
attempt on Monday has hardened positions between the two, market
watchers believe a tipping point has now been reached.
"It is clear that with Roche raising capital, there is no
turning back and as such a sweetened offer should be expected",
said Karl-Heinz Koch, pharma analyst at Helvea.
Roche has already raised around $16 billion through a six-part
bond last week and is planning to raise more money by selling a
four-part bond to finance its $42.1 billion planned
acquisition.
Zuercher Kantonalbank also reckons that without raising its bid
price of $86.50-a-share to acquire the remaining 44% in its U.S.
biotech unit, Roche won't be able to gather enough shares before
the tender period ends next month.
"Without doubt, Roche needs the innovation power of Genentech
and may, because the financing is secured, offer a higher bid to
Genentech," the bank said in an investor note.
Zuercher Kantonalbank expects Roche to present fresh takeover
details about one week before the tender period ends on March
12.
A spokesman for Roche said the Swiss pharmaceuticals giant has
registered Genetech's fresh rebuttal, adding that the "decision is
up to Genentech's shareholders", declining to make further
comments.
A special committee of Genentech's board Monday rejected Roche's
bid and urged shareholders to follow its proposal, saying the
current bid level is "inadequate and not in the best interest of
shareholders".
Genentech is expected to convince shareholders of its views at
its R&D meeting, which has been brought forward to next Monday,
analysts said.
While Genentech has repeatedly said its shares were worth about
$112 each, analysts say this level is too high and that the U.S.
company will also have to revise its stance.
"We continue to believe that Genentech's ask price of $112 is
too high", said Andrew Weiss, pharma analyst at Bank Vontobel,
adding: "Eventually, Roche will need to improve its offer to $95 to
$100."
The takeover battle for Genentech started last July, when Roche
first approached its San Francisco, Calif.-based, unit about a full
takeover. An initial takeover bid was launched at $89-a-share and
was rejected by Genentech.
Roche later reduced its bid, turning the acquistion into hostile
venture, hoping that such a hardball stance may prove equally
successful as in the case of the takeover of Ventana Medical
Systems Inc, a Tuscon, Ariz.-based, firm it acquired in 2007
despite resistance from the company's board.
-By Goran Mijuk, Dow Jones Newswires, +41 43 443 80 47;
goran.mijuk@dowjones.com