2nd UPDATE: CISA Seeks "China-Specific" Price For Iron Ore
October 16 2009 - 5:29AM
Dow Jones News
China is seeking a "China-specific" iron ore benchmark price and
won't "blindly" take cues from term prices set by other Asian
buyers, China Iron and Steel Association Secretary-General Shan
Shanghua said Friday.
Speaking at an association conference that is traditionally seen
as a venue to lay the groundwork for next year's iron ore term
price talks with global mining majors, Shan said the new benchmark
contract could be for a six-month or a one-year term.
China also prefers a contract year that starts Jan. 1, Shan
said. Contracts now start from Apr.1, in line with the Japanese
fiscal year, a legacy of the times when Japanese steel makers used
to lead price negotiations.
"China's iron ore negotiation mechanism is only an idea now, and
there is a long way to go in achieving it," Shan said.
The comments mirror similar remarks made by CISA Chairman Deng
Qilin earlier this week, in an interview with Dow Jones Newswires,
and generally reflect the thinking among Chinese industry officials
who are expected to lead 2010 price negotiations on behalf of the
vast majority of Chinese steel mills.
CISA, which led negotiations for 2009 prices failed to reach an
agreement with key suppliers earlier this year after major miners
such as BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), Rio Tinto Ltd. (RIO) and Vale S.A
(VALE) refused to agree to the deep price cuts demanded by the
association.
In the past, the first agreement of the season became the
industry benchmark, but that tradition has been gradually breaking
down with Rio and BHP successfully holding out for higher prices in
2008 despite Vale reaching a price deal with the Chinese first.
The strains on the benchmark pricing system grew late last year
when buyers, including China, opted for more spot deals during the
global economic crisis as spot prices fell below long-term contract
prices. China's refusal to accept 2009 prices offered to Japanese
and South Korean steel mills also accelerated the shift away from
uniform pricing across markets and regions.
At the conference Friday, Shan said the country wants "one price
per grade" of iron ore from all miners, and wants to stop miners
from simultaneously selling iron ore on the benchmark contract and
in the spot market.
Major miners such as BHP have said they expect to sell as much
as 30% of their annual production in the spot market this year.
Health Of The Market In Focus Ahead Of 2010 Talks
The association has sought to highlight the percieved weaknesses
in China's steel industry ahead of 2010 price negotiations.
It presented considerably conservative growth projections for
China's steel demand next year to the World Steel Association this
week, and during Friday's conference, Chinese officials underlined
what they see as a supply overhang in the current market.
Weak steel prices may prompt local steel mills to cut production
towards the end of this year, Han Weidong, deputy markets chief for
Hebei Iron and Steel Group Co., China's second largest steelmaker,
said.
Han said China's steel output and iron ore demand may shrink
next year on the back of declining loan growth and government
investments.
Meanwhile, iron ore stocks at major Chinese ports have risen to
76 million metric tons at the end of September, Fu Jinxiu, deputy
chief for transportation and safety at China's Ministry of
Transport, said Friday.
Stocks had hovered around 70 million tons for months, and the
increase suggests a trend that threatens steel prices, as they inch
closer to a record 89 million tons held at ports in October last
year, before steel prices collapsed following the global financial
crisis.
Nonetheless, China continues to import vast amounts of iron ore,
posting a record 64.6 million-ton influx in September, as traders
and mills took advantage of relatively cheap spot prices in
August.
At the World Steel Forum in Beijing Monday, China's Industry
Minister Li Yizhong said the current 112 licensed iron ore
importers were far too many, although he didn't offer details on
how the government planned to reduce that number.
But CISA's Deng said China will soon move to regulate import of
the commodity. Under new rules, trading houses will not be allowed
to import iron ore unless they hold firm orders from local steel
companies, he said Monday.
-Juan Chen contributed to this article; Dow Jones Newswires;
8610 6588 5848; juan.chen@dowjones.com