While the U.S. may not be the manufacturing powerhouse that it
once was, the country is still a massive producer of a number of
commodities. These products make up a good chunk of U.S. exports
and, thanks to changing demand pictures in both the energy and
agricultural markets, have been important contributors to the trade
balance for quite some time now.
In particular, the U.S. has developed a great advantage over
many nations in a few commodities; corn, natural gas, and soybeans.
In the case of the agricultural products, both have become
impressive sources of export dollars while natural gas production
threatens to disrupt the energy market by either eventually
becoming a major export to power hungry markets, or by hopefully
reducing crude oil imports at some point in the near future (read
The 5 Best ETFs over the Past Five Years).
Clearly, these three products are increasingly important to the
American economy and look to maintain their significance over the
next several years at least. As a result of this, investors looking
to tap into some of the more important goods for the American
economy could consider taking a look at any of the following three
commodity ETFs:
Corn
Thanks to growing use of biofuels and rising demand for animal
feed for meat consumption, corn demand has been through the roof.
World consumption increased by over 50% over roughly the last 15
years, led by huge gains in usage by China for livestock and
America for ethanol.
Currently, America is still the king of corn, accounting for
over one-third of the total world supply of the crop.
Furthermore, the U.S. exports more in corn each year than the
next three biggest exporters combined. Thanks to these factors,
corn represents one of the best ways to play an American
agricultural boom both via surging emerging market exports and
increased usage on the home front as well.
For investors seeking to play this via ETFs, the
Teucrium Corn ETF (CORN) is one of the only ways
to target the potentially positive trend in this agricultural
commodity. CORN currently has about $60 million in assets and has
expenses of about 1.49% (read Top Commodity ETFs In This Uncertain
Market).
While this may seem somewhat high, investors should note that
the product doesn’t just roll into a new contract every month and
instead uses a more dynamic process in order to hopefully mitigate
contango. This includes holding the second-to-expire,
third-to-expire, and the next December contract that expires
(following the third-to-expire contract).
This approach, and more importantly, the sweltering heat across
much of the Midwest, has helped the fund perform quite well in
recent weeks. In fact, the product is now up 22% in the past month,
although it is more or less flat from a year-to-date look.
Natural Gas
Although the U.S. is just the second biggest producer of natural
gas—trailing Russia by just a bit—the product is generally a local
commodity that doesn’t really stretch across international borders.
This is generally due to the lack of cross-ocean pipelines and the
relative difficulty that comes from transporting a gas quickly and
efficiently across vast distances.
Due to this, pretty much all the natural gas that is produced in
the U.S. stays in America, making the products that are focused on
U.S. natural gas futures a great way to ‘buy American’.
Furthermore, even if new technologies open up the market to
transportation or exports, America could benefit from lower oil
imports or higher exports to natural gas starved markets in the
Asia-Pacific region or even Europe (read Have The Natural Gas ETFs
Finally Bottomed Out?).
For these investors, a look at products which hone in on futures
of natural gas that is delivered to the Henry Hub, Louisiana could
be the way to play the vital commodity with an American focus.
Currently, there are a number of options targeting the natural gas
market in ETF form, although none are as popular as the
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG).
This ETF tracks Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Index, holding front
month futures for the important commodity. Fees come in at 98 basis
points a year while average daily volume is quite robust at 9.9
million shares a day (see Inside The Forgotten Energy ETFs).
The product has been decimated over the long term, losing a
substantial amount thanks to contango and extreme weakness in
natural gas prices. However, it appears as though natural gas may
have bottomed out, as UNG has actually gained 19% in the past three
month period.
Soybeans
The global soybean market is currently dominated by three
countries; the U.S., Brazil, and Argentina. Of these three, the
U.S. is the largest exporter, putting out just over half of the
world’s exports, followed by a 35% share for Brazil.
Currently, China is the destination for the vast majority of
these exports, helping push US exports of the product up by close
to 81% over the past 15 year period. Given the surging demand for
the crop and the limited supply of soybeans outside a few nations,
soybeans could continue to be a major growth market for the U.S.
for quite some time (read Top Commodity ETFs In This Uncertain
Market).
For investors looking to play this product in ETF form, there is
currently one option, the Teucrium Soybeans ETF
(SOYB). This relatively new fund hasn’t really caught on
with investors as of yet, as it just has $2.4 million in AUM and
trades less than 10,000 shares a day on average.
Part of this could be due to the relatively high fees as the ETF
charges investors 1.53% a year in expenses. However, another issue
could be the relatively unknown quantity that is soybeans, the
product doesn’t get the same amount of press as other more
well-known commodities in the agricultural space.
This is somewhat surprising as returns haven’t been too bad in
SOYB, as much like CORN, this fund spreads out exposure in order to
hopefully mitigate contango problems. Over the fund’s short
lifetime (it debuted in September of 2011), it has added about
1.5%, while it has gained about 11% in the past one month
period.
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TEUCRM-CORN FD (CORN): ETF Research Reports
TEUCRM-SOYBEAN (SOYB): ETF Research Reports
US-NATRL GAS FD (UNG): ETF Research Reports
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