Since the end of 2012, economic policy in Japan has been all about
‘Abenomics’. This program, instituted by Shinzo Abe, the Prime
Minister of Japan, looks to eliminate deflation and reinflate the
Japanese economy through a variety of government initiatives.
So far, the program has been a success for equities, as the broad
Japanese markets have seen incredible gains. However, while many
investors that bought Japanese securities saw nice profits thanks
to this trend, arguably one of the biggest beneficiaries was
WisdomTree (WETF).
That is because this company—the only pure play publicly traded ETF
issuer on the market—experienced great success with its WisdomTree
Japan Hedged ETF (DXJ). This fund crushed unhedged Japanese ETF
counterparts thanks to a massive slide in the yen against the
dollar (due to Abenomics policies) and it quickly became a driver
for WisdomTree’s massive gains in assets under management.
In fact, DXJ now has more than $11 billion in assets under
management, blowing away the fund provider’s second biggest
fund—which has just under $4 billion in assets—and making the ETF
the company’s only representative on the list of 30 most popular
equity ETFs on the market today (see Best ETF Strategies for
2014).
The fund has become so popular—thanks in large part to the degree
of outperformance of hedged funds over unhedged Japan funds as of
late—that DXJ is even closing in on the
iShares MSCI Japan
ETF (EWJ) for the title of most popular Japan fund as
well.
Replicating This
Success
Obviously with this kind of success, WisdomTree has been moving
further into the hedged ETF world looking to find another concept
that resonates so well with investors. The company has launched a
Small Cap Hedged Fund (DXJS) targeting Japan, as
well as funds focusing on other nations like Germany, the UK, and
Korea (read For Japan ETFs, Think Small Caps).
None have really caught on though, and WisdomTree has refocused
back on Japan with a recent launch of five ETFs that hedge out yen
exposure in the market. These funds will take a sector focus, and
look to play on some of the key trends which may result from
Abenomics for investors who want to get in on a continuation of
this story in some of Japan’s most impacted sectors.
According to WisdomTree, this sector strength will be concentrated
in a few areas which look to play off of three Abenomics trends
including reflation, growth, and yen sensitivity. These sectors
include real estate and financials for reflation,
tech/media/telecom and health care for growth, and then capital
goods for yen sensitivity.
All of these segments now have their own ETFs that use a hedging
technique as well, and we have described some of the initial
details for these funds below:
Hedged Financials Fund: DXJF and the Hedged Real Estate
Fund: DXJR
These ETFs looks to benefit from Abenomics’ plan to reflate
financial asset prices. The Bank of Japan has a goal of keeping the
risk premium of owning equities down, purchasing ETFs and making
REIT investments as well, so a financial play could be way to
target this tenet of Japanese economic policy (see all the Top
Ranked ETFs here).
DXJF will have a focus on Banks (60%), while insurance and capital
markets look to receive double digit weights as well. For DXJR,
real estate management companies make up a plurality of assets in
the fund at roughly 42% of the total, while REITs take up about
26%, and construction & engineering firms account for roughly
13% of the total.
Hedged Capital Goods Fund: DXJC
The capital goods segment in Japan has a heavy focus on exports, as
this sector includes firms in the aerospace, automotive, and heavy
equipment industries just to name a few. These sectors are very
sensitive to changing exchange rates, so they could definitely see
a boost from a continued yen slide.
Investors can play this with DXJC, a fund that puts roughly 31% of
its assets in the automobile space, and then roughly 27% in
machinery, and 15% in auto components. Top stocks in this fund look
to include the well-known Toyota and Honda Motor companies, as well
as Fanuc, Nippon Steel, and Nissan Motor to round out the top five.
Hedged Health Care Fund: DXJH and the Hedged Tech, Media
and Telecom Fund: DXJT
Growth looks to also be an important part of getting Japan out of
its slump, and both the health care and the broad tech, media and
telecom industry look to pull Japan higher. Abe has said that
health care is important to his growth strategy, while due to
government initiatives which support capital spending, the tech,
media, and telecom space could also benefit (read Direxion Launches
Leveraged Japan ETFs).
DXJH looks to give investors direct exposure to the pharma side of
the health care play, as close to 70% of the assets are targeted at
this segment, while health care equipment at 15.2% of assets comes
in second. For the tech and media fund, DXJT, electronic equipment
instruments is the biggest sector at 31.6% of assets, followed by
wireless telecoms, and tech hardware which make up, respectively,
19% and 12% of the assets.
All Five Funds
Once again, all five will strip out yen exposure, leaving just the
stocks’ movements to determine returns. It is also worth noting
that all five funds will charge just 43 basis points a year in fees
for this exposure, making them relatively cheap sector funds, at
least when looking at international securities, and especially so
given the hedging employed.
Can They Succeed?
Admittedly, I was a little skeptical of the approach when I first
saw the filing for these five funds. The hedged equity ETF world is
getting pretty crowded, and one could argue that many of the gains
have already been had in the Japan ETF space (see Japanese Yen ETF
Investing 101).
However, it does appear as if there is a solid methodology behind
the selection of these five industries, and that these could
benefit from the next phase of Abenomics. If this is the case, and
if a positive economic path can continue in Japan, these might see
some success and become another group of popular ETFs for
WisdomTree, though it will likely be a tough sell in the near term
given the shaky market in Japan and current worries over
growth.
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WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-JP HSCF (DXJS): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
WISDOMTREE INV (WETF): Free Stock Analysis Report
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