Many smaller ETF issuers have dominated the new fund growth
picture here in 2012, putting out a variety of fresh products.
Among these firms, ALPS has been extremely quiet, debuting just one
fund, the Sector Dividend Dogs ETF (SDOG), in the
first 11 months of the year.
However, the company now appears to be back on the product
development track having just released four new ETFs. The move
doubles the company’s total ETF offering and suggests that after a
period of uncertainty for the firm, it is on track once again (read
Three Biggest Mistakes of ETF Investing).
It is also worth noting that the group stretches across a
variety of segments and goes beyond the firm’s traditional
strengthen in the MLP and equal weight markets, giving the company
access to several new segments. Additionally, a partnership with
Goldman Sachs to develop the underlying indexes could add some
extra star power to this group and make them a series of successful
launches for the upstart firm.
“ALPS is excited to introduce ETFs based on the Goldman Sachs
indices to our suite of ETFs” said Tom Carter, Executive Vice
President of ALPS Holdings in a recent press release.
“This collaboration helps us achieve our shared goal of
providing ETF investors with thoughtful index-based investment
alternatives with various types of market exposures” said Federico
Gilly, managing director and head of the Equity Sales Strats and
Structuring Group at Goldman Sachs.
Potentially, this collaboration could be a big step for the
company and attract a new series of investors to the firm who are
looking for a different way to target the market. For those curious
on how this will work, we have highlighted some of the key points
for each of the four new ETFs below:
Three of the funds, the Multi-Asset Index ETF
(GSMA), the Growth Markets Equities and US
Treasuries Index ETF (GSGO), and the Asia ex-Japan
Equities and US Treasuries Index ETF (GSAX) utilize the
Goldman Sachs momentum builder technique to find top securities.
This means that they take a fund-of-funds approach and target ETFs
that have the highest six-month historical return subject to limits
on weighting and volatility (See The Truth about Low Volume
ETFs).
Additionally, on a daily basis, the three months realized
volatility of the current index is computed. If it exceeds the cap,
part of the portfolio is shifted to cash in order to reduce
volatility until realized volatility levels get back in line.
The products are then rebalanced on a monthly basis in order to
find the top momentum stocks at a regular interval for the given
volatility target.
At time of writing, GSMA was focused in on EFA,
ELD, and EMB giving it an
emerging market focus. Meanwhile, GSGO had heavy exposure to
FXI, EWW, and
TUR, as these three account for about 90% of
assets. Lastly, GSAX had an Asian stock ETF focus with
THD, EWA, and
EWH making up about 90% of assets for the new
fund.
The last product in the new offering doesn’t take a fund
of funds approach and instead zeroes in on American stocks. This
ETF, the Risk-Adjusted Return US Large Cap Index ETF
(GSRA), looks to target the highest risk-adjusted returns
available using 12 month price targets for stocks in the Russell
1000.
The selection process includes having coverage of at least five
analysts, ranking in the top 90% of market cap, along with
liquidity and corporate action filters. Risk-adjusted returns are
then calculated while sector risk parity is also computed to
determine the number of stocks to pick in each sector (read 4 Best
New ETFs of 2012).
Once that has been accomplished, securities are ranked within
sectors and a resulting target basket of about 50 stocks is
produced. This results in a well spread out portfolio across
sectors, with, at time of writing, no single stock taking up more
than 2.5% of assets.
Bottom Line
It is hard to say how well these products will do in
accumulating assets. Goldman certainly has plenty of star power in
the investing world, but marketing—at least with their other
products—hasn’t exactly been their strong suit.
Investors haven’t really embraced momentum or trend following
ETFs by and large either. Instead, the focus has been on low
volatility ETFs or those with high dividends, although this could
change if the Fiscal Cliff is resolved and if investors take a more
bullish look at the market again (see Invest like Warren Buffett
with These ETFs).
Given this, these funds could be well positioned to benefit,
save for one issue; their expense ratios. GSRA isn’t too bad,
charging investors 55 basis points a year, but the rest are a tad
pricier. The rest of the group all cost at least 1.14% a year with
GSGO and GSAX coming in at, respectively, 1.29% and 1.22%.
Due to this, there is a significant alpha hurdle which will have
to be cleared in order to justify these products to many investors.
However, if the intense momentum focused strategies can deliver and
make the costs worthwhile, any of the group could make for
interesting bullish plays heading into 2013.
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(GSAX): ETF Research Reports
(GSGO): ETF Research Reports
(GSMA): ETF Research Reports
ALPS-SEC DV DOG (SDOG): ETF Research Reports
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