Stocks Waver on Last Day of Turbulent Week
December 28 2018 - 11:30AM
Dow Jones News
By Avantika Chilkoti and Jessica Menton
U.S. stocks flipped between small gains and losses Friday,
following a week of dramatic swings on Wall Street that underscore
the uncertainty gripping investors heading into 2019.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 13 points, or less than
0.1%, to 23152, after storming back with a record rebound Thursday.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.1%.
All three major U.S. indexes are up at least 3% this week, on
course to snap a three-week losing streak. Despite the gains, the
indexes are all poised for annual losses for the first time since
2008, while the blue chips and the S&P 500 are on pace for
their worst December since 1931.
Financial stocks were a bright spot in the S&P 500 Friday,
though a modest decline in energy shares kept the gains in check.
Widely held technology stocks also declined modestly, with
Microsoft, Alphabet and Netflix off about 0.3%.
The holiday period has been defined by wild market swings, with
U.S. stocks slumping Thursday before staging a dramatic comeback
just before markets closed. The Dow swung from an intraday 2.7%
fall to close 1.1% higher.
The S&P 500 and Dow industrials were on the brink of a bear
market, typically defined as at least a 20% decline from a recent
high, at the beginning of the week. Following a rally over the past
two trading days, the indexes were down 15% and 14% from their
respective peaks.
"A bear market doesn't just come on this fast and this strong,"
said Tatyana Bunich, president and founder at Financial 1 Wealth
Management, adding there would need to be signs of a recession,
such as rising unemployment, weak earnings and slumping
consumer-spending data.
"None of that is happening. I do believe there's going to be
slowing in the economy, but it's not going to happen overnight,"
she said.
Ms. Bunich, whose clients are mostly retirees, said the firm
temporarily moved about 80% of its portfolio into cash in
mid-December to get through the year-end volatility. She said value
stocks could be coming back in favor next year as investors move
away from high-growth names. She also attributed this month's
volatility to tax-loss selling, margin calls and automated
trading.
Despite the rally this week, analysts remain cautious about the
prospects for equity markets into the new year.
"Investors continue to be worried by the economic outlook," said
Charles St Arnaud, senior investment strategist at Lombard Odier
Investment Managers. He also pointed to a string of news from
Washington that has created uncertainty for investors, including
President Trump's complaints about the U.S. Federal Reserve, just
as thin trading exaggerates market moves.
Top of mind in the U.S. this week is the partial government
shutdown, which is expected to continue into January as the issue
of funding a wall on the border with Mexico cleaves further open a
partisan split in Congress.
Concerns that the U.S. economy is set for a slowdown have
weighed on markets in recent months, as the effects of President
Trump's tax reforms wear off and the U.S. central bank tightens
monetary policy.
Equity markets rallied earlier this year, led by the technology
sector, but those gains have been reversed in the final three
months of the year. The S&P 500 and the Dow industrials this
quarter are down 15% and 13%, respectively.
There have been few havens for investors, with gold,
international bonds and cash equivalents all offering paltry
returns.
The WSJ Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against a basket
of 16 currencies, was down 0.2%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield
ticked up to 2.747%, from 2.744% on Thursday. Yields move inversely
to prices.
U.S. oil prices added 1.8% to $45.41 a barrel, despite a
smaller-than-expected drop in crude inventories.
In corporate news, Tesla shares rose 3% after the electric auto
maker named a pair of new independent directors -- including Oracle
Chairman Larry Ellison and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson, the global
head of human resources for Walgreens Boots Alliance, to a board
that has been under fire for its oversight of Chief Executive Elon
Musk.
Elsewhere, the Stoxx Europe 600 added 1.8%. In Asia, Hong Kong's
Hang Seng Index rose 0.1% and China's Shanghai Composite gained
0.4%.
Write to Avantika Chilkoti at Avantika.Chilkoti@wsj.com and
Jessica Menton at Jessica.Menton@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 28, 2018 12:15 ET (17:15 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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