With Fleets Mortgaged, Air Carriers Explore Cash Options
September 23 2009 - 8:09AM
Dow Jones News
U.S. airlines' moves to raise cash this week may be followed by
more creative ways to boost liquidity this winter if business
travel fails to recover, industry observers said this week.
Carriers have mortgaged everything from aircraft and spare parts
to frequent-flier miles and airport slots and gates to replenish
balance sheets still burdened with too much debt in an environment
of weak traffic and low fares.
The latest efforts to raise cash came late Tuesday and early
Wednesday. U.S. Airways Group Inc. (LCC) said it is selling 26.3
million new shares, Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) said it will offer
$500 million in senior second lien bonds and American Airlines said
it will sell $450 million in three-year notes through a private
offering.
American's parent, AMR Corp. (AMR), disclosed on Monday it plans
to sell 30 million common shares and $250 million in convertible
senior notes, just days after announcing a deal for $2.9 billion in
fresh funding.
AMR's plan to sell convertibles is viewed by some analysts as a
sign of what others may try to do, while some see aircraft and
engine manufacturers and other vendors as potential sources of
cash.
Airline cash reserves dwindled in a year in which industry
analysts expect North American carriers to lose $2.6 billion. A
year ago, AMR ended the third quarter with $5.1 billion in cash and
short-term investments.
"I personally think the carriers have pretty much exhausted all
their asset-backed options," said CreditSights analyst Roger King,
saying that US Airways has traditionally been the best at
"squeezing juice out of the lemon" of vendor financing.
A round of industry fundraising and recent signs that the drop
in average fares has at least stabilized has removed any threat of
bankruptcy. Eyeing liquidity needs, several airlines have sold
common stock this year, including Continental Airlines Inc. (CAL),
US Airways and JetBlue Airways Corp. (JBLU). But any supply-side
shocks, including the H1N1 virus, could still tip some carriers
into trouble.
Meanwhile, airline stocks have surged this year. The NYSE Arca
Airline Index (XAL) has more than doubled from its March lows.
The shift by carriers to convertibles, or to other methods such
as vendor financing at the hands of order-starved manufacturers,
would hardly be unprecedented. When airline stocks rise, carriers
typically use the opportunity to seek fresh sources of funding. And
a drought in orders presents airlines with opportunities to
negotiate.
But this highlights the near-exhaustion of the industry's
traditional cash till - liens against aircraft fleets - and raises
questions about cash burn if business travel doesn't recover during
the airlines' seasonal winter cash trough.
So-called unencumbered assets aren't the solution, King said.
The legacy carriers could raise at most a few hundred million
dollars each on what some of them say are billions of dollars in
unencumbered assets. But many are not liquid, he said, or are of
uncertain use outside the carrier.
"When Delta's management was asked about it on the first-quarter
earnings call, they said that there were basically none," said
Standard & Poor's Philip Baggaley.
Last week, when AMR secured the $2.9 billion in funding, which
included $1.3 billion from selling frequent-flier miles, AMR
Chairman and Chief Executive Gerard Arpey said the financing had
cut unencumbered assets to $2 billion from around $3.9 billion.
However, he acknowledged that what remained would be more difficult
to use as collateral.
That cash raise included aircraft. "American benefited from the
fact that the 737-800 is probably the best collateral from the
perspective of potential lenders," Baggaley said.
There will be some borrowing against collateral, he said, as the
airlines will borrow again on existing assets once they become
free. But, barring upstarts like Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) and a
few of the legacy carriers who tout their unencumbered assets, "the
other airlines are pretty much tapped out."
There are others who are more sanguine about the prospects of
borrowing against aircraft.
AMR will have at least $700 million in assets freed up for
refinancing in October, said Helane Becker of Jesup & Lamont
Securities.
"There is absolutely more to be done" in the bond markets, she
said. "As debt is paid down, it frees up assets to be sold and
mortgaged again."
But the cases where re-mortgaging can make a real difference
appear few to most observers.
"The good news is, the airlines are able to raise cash, and
they're doing so in advance of the winter," Baggaley said. "The bad
news is that they're steadily working their way down to the bottom
of the barrel as far as collateral is concerned."
-By Brendan Conway, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2670;
brendan.conway@dowjones.com