By William L. Watts
The U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen lost ground Wednesday as
upbeat results and forecasts from chip giant and economic
bellwether Intel Corp. dented safe-haven demand for the
low-yielding currencies.
A pair of U.S. economic reports that showed consumer prices rose
in line with expectations in June and a New York manufacturing
index rose more than expected put further pressure on the
dollar.
The dollar fell back a little more in the immediate aftermath of
the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last monetary
policy meeting. The minutes showed the central bank expects the
economy to weaken less fast, but unemployment to rise.
Also of interest to currency traders, the notes showed the Fed
remained wary of buying more Treasury bonds as part of a program it
initiated this year to keep interest rates down and encourage
borrowing.
With Fed-controlled interest rates at zero and very low bond
yields, dollar-denominated fixed-assets are now shunned by
risk-takers and are considered among the safest, along with
Japanese ones.
"It's looking more and more likely that the Fed will not add to
the current policy accommodation from non-traditional measures (via
a more definitive policy rate commitment or increased/expedited
asset purchases), unless of course the floor falls from under the
economy," said Michael Gregory, market strategist at BMO Capital
Markets.
Meanwhile, major currency pairs remained range-bound and
continued to take short-term trading cues from the equity markets,
traders said.
U.S. stocks rallied sharply on Wall Street, with the Dow Jones
Industrial Average (DJI) rising more than 250 points. European
equities and Asian stocks also rose.
The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a
trade-weighted basket of six major rivals, fell to 79.437 from
80.185 in North American trade late Tuesday afternoon.
The tone in equity markets was set by chip giant Intel (INTC),
whose shares jumped 7% after it posted better-than-expected
quarterly results and forecast.
Financial markets will continue to digest Tuesday's releases,
while looking forward to earnings from J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM),
Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC), later this week, said
Jessica Hoversen, a currency strategist at MF Global Research in
Chicago.
While strong earnings from Goldman Sachs (GS) on Tuesday morning
and the Intel earnings after the close encouraged risk taking,
results from Yum Brands (YUM) and Altera (ALTR) were less positive,
she noted.
"The greater driver of the trade will be the outlook for
growth," Hoversen said.
Consumer prices in check
The euro bought $1.3964, up from $1.3933 late Monday.
Annual consumer price inflation in the 16-nation euro zone fell
0.1% in June after a flat reading in May, marking the first time
inflation had turned negative since the launch of the euro a decade
ago, the European Union statistics agency Eurostat confirmed
Wednesday.
The figure matched a preliminary estimate released last
month.
The euro posted little significant reaction to the data.
The British pound, meanwhile, rose 0.6% versus the U.S. dollar
to trade at $1.6316, tracking the stronger tone in financial sector
stocks.
The Office for National Statistics painted a mixed but generally
gloomy picture of the U.K. labor market. The data showed the number
of people claiming jobless benefits rose at its slowest pace in
more than a year in June, but also showed the overall unemployment
rate rose to its highest level since January 1997 in the three
months ending in May.
"Sterling initially softened on the news, but cable [the British
pound vs. the U.S. dollar] continues to hold above last night's
close and well within the confines of its range," said Jane Foley,
research director at Forex.com.
Currency markets had a muted reaction to news that the Bank of
Japan decided at its two-day policy meeting that concluded
Wednesday to extend its special liquidity-boosting measures for an
additional three months to support the recovery.
The dollar was at 94.22 yen, compared with 93.24 yen
Tuesday.
The Bank of Japan left its overnight call rate unchanged at
0.1%, as was widely expected.