Kiwi Falls As RBNZ Monetary Policy Spurs Less Chance Of Rate Hike
February 27 2024 - 8:35PM
RTTF2
The New Zealand dollar weakened against other major currencies
in the Asian session on Wednesday, after the New Zealand's central
bank left the benchmark interest rate unchanged for the fifth
straight meeting, as widely expected, and suggested that the rate
will remain tight for a sustained period of time.
The Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of New
Zealand, governed by Adrian Orr, decided to hold the Official Cash
Rate at 5.50 percent.
The bank had raised its policy rate sharply from 0.25 percent
since October 2021.
Policymakers said that interest rates need to remain at a
restrictive level for a sustained period of time to ensure that
inflation returns to the target range.
The MPC noted that risks to the outlook for inflation were more
balanced than at the time of the November 2023 statement.
Although inflation eased to 4.7 percent in the fourth quarter of
2023, it remained well above the 1-3 percent target band.
In the Asian trading, the NZ dollar fell to near 2-week lows of
0.6103 against the U.S. dollar and 91.84 against the yen, from
yesterday's closing quotes of 0.6169 and 92.84, respectively. If
the kiwi extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support around
0.60 against the greenback and 90.00 against the yen.
Moving away from a recent 2-day low of 1.7555 against the euro,
the kiwi slipped to more than a 3-week low of 1.7752. The kiwi may
test support near the 1.78 region.
Against the Australian dollar, the kiwi dropped to near 2-week
low of 1.0686 from Tuesday's closing value of 1.0599. On the
downside, 1.07 is seen as the next support level for the kiwi.
The other antipodean currency, or the Australian dollar also
fell against its major counterparts after the RBNZ rate
decision.
In economic news, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics
showed that Australia's consumer price inflation remained stable in
January. The monthly consumer price index posted an annual increase
of 3.4 percent in January. The rate was forecast to rise to 3.6
percent. The current inflation was the lowest since November
2021.
The Australian dollar fell to nearly a 2-week low of 0.6512
against the U.S. dollar and an 8-day low of 98.09 against the yen,
from yesterday's closing quotes of 0.6543 and 98.47, respectively.
If the aussie extends its downtrend, it is likely to find support
around 0.63 against the greenback and 97.00 against the yen.
Against the euro, the aussie slipped to 1.6627 from Tuesday's
closing value of 1.6568. The aussie may test support near the 1.67
region.
Moving away from a recent 2-day high of 0.8861 against the
Canadian dollar, the aussie edged down to 0.8823. On the downside,
1.67 is seen as the next support level for the aussie.
Looking ahead, the European Commission is set to release euro
area economic sentiment survey data for February at 5:00 am ET in
the European session.
In the New York session, U.S. MBA mortgage approvals data,
Canada current account data for the fourth quarter, U.S. GDP data
for the fourth quarter, U.S. good trade balance for January, core
PCE price data for the fourth quarter, wholesale inventories for
January, and EIA crude oil data are slated for release.
At 9:00 am ET, ECB Member of the supervisory board Elizabeth
McCaul will speak at industry outreach conference on counterparty
credit risk management (CCR) organized by the Federal Reserve Bank
of New York in collaboration with the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision (BCBS) in New York, U.S.A.
At 10:30 am ET, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann takes
part in Financial Times panel discussion, in London, U.K.
At 12:00 pm ET, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President
Raphael Bostic will deliver a speech on monetary policy and the
economy before the Greater North Fulton Chamber of Commerce, in
Roswell, Georgia.
At 12:15 pm ET, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan
Collins will speak in a fireside chat before an event hosted by the
Center for Business, Government and Society at the Dartmouth
College Tuck School of Business, in Hanover, New Hampshire,
U.S.
Half-an-hour later, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President
John Williams will participate in hybrid economic briefing
organized by the Long Island Association, in Garden city, New York,
U.S.
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