an amendment to the royalty agreement, which would require the approval of the Trustees as well as approval of 66 2/3% in interest of the Trust Certificate Holders.
Quarterly Royalty Report and Royalty Payments
On October 29, 2021, Mesabi Trust received the quarterly royalty report of iron ore shipments out of Silver Bay, Minnesota during the quarter ended September 30, 2021 (the “Royalty Report”) from Cliffs, the parent company of Northshore, and the Trust received royalty payments as summarized below.
As reported to Mesabi Trust by Cliffs in the Royalty Report, based on production and shipments of iron ore products by Northshore during the three months ended September 30, 2021, Mesabi Trust was credited with a base royalty of $12,553,161. For the three months ended September 30, 2021, Mesabi Trust was also credited with a bonus royalty in the amount of $7,245,537. The royalty also included a reduction of $6,078,357 as a result of negative pricing adjustments to base and bonus royalty calculations related to changes in price estimates made in prior quarters. The October 29, 2021 royalty amount also included an additional payment of $2,314,114 related to pellets and sinter volumes identified by Cliffs as 2020 deemed shipped adjustments. In addition, a royalty payment of $185,017 was paid to the Mesabi Land Trust. Accordingly, the total third quarter 2021 royalty payments received by Mesabi Trust on October 29, 2021 from Cliffs were $16,219,472.
The royalties paid to Mesabi Trust are based on the volume of shipments of iron ore pellets for the quarter and the year to date, the pricing of iron ore product sales, and the percentage of iron ore pellet shipments from Mesabi Trust lands rather than from non-Mesabi Trust lands. In the third calendar quarter of 2021, Cliffs credited Mesabi Trust with 1,169,461 tons of iron ore shipped, as compared to 916,364 tons shipped during the third calendar quarter of 2020.
Separately, on October 29, 2021, Cliffs/Northshore also paid Mesabi Trust $2,833,687 for the resolution of past royalties on DR grade pellets in 2019 and 2020, including interest, pursuant to the AAA final award decision which the Trust received on October 1, 2021.
The volume of production and shipments of iron ore pellets (and other iron ore products) by Northshore varies from quarter to quarter and year to year based on a number of factors, including the requested delivery schedules of customers, general economic conditions in the iron ore industry, and weather conditions on the Great Lakes. In addition, Cliffs’ recently announced plans to shift production of DR grade pellets away from Northshore to Minorca, to no longer sell pellets to third parties in the coming years and to keep idle the Northshore plant from time to time, when and if implemented, would likely impact the volume of production and shipments of iron ore products from Silver Bay, Minnesota. Accordingly, if and when any of these plans or intentions are implemented by Cliffs, such actions would have a material adverse effect on Mesabi Trust’s future royalty revenue and would materially reduce funds available for distribution. See “Risk Factors” set forth on page 3 through 14 of Mesabi Trust’s Annual Report for the year ended January 31, 2021 (filed April 27, 2021), as updated by Part II, Item 1A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Royalty payments anticipated to be received during the current year will continue to reflect pricing estimates for shipments of iron ore products that will be subject to positive or negative pricing adjustments pursuant to the Cliffs’ customer pellet supply agreements. Based on the above factors, and as indicated by Mesabi Trust’s historical distribution payments, the royalties received by Mesabi Trust, and the distributions paid to Unitholders, if any, in any particular quarter are not necessarily indicative of royalties that will be received, or distributions that will be paid, if any, in any subsequent quarter or full year.
With respect to calendar year 2021, Northshore has not advised Mesabi Trust of its expected shipments of iron ore products, or what percentage of 2021 shipments will be from Mesabi Trust iron ore. Further, Cliffs has not advised the Trust of any implementation of, or changes to, its publicly announced plans for Northshore. In the Cliffs’ Royalty Report, Cliffs stated that the royalty payments being reported today were based on estimated iron ore pellet prices under the Cliffs’ Customer Contracts, which are subject to change. It is possible that future production decreases, idling (whether temporary or longer term) of the Northshore plant, or negative price adjustments could offset, or even eliminate, royalties or royalty income that would otherwise be payable to Mesabi Trust in any particular quarter, or at year end, thereby materially reducing cash available for distribution to Mesabi Trust’s Unitholders in future quarters.
Arbitration with Cliffs and Northshore
As previously reported, on December 9, 2019, Mesabi Trust initiated arbitration with the American Arbitration Association (“AAA”) against Northshore, the lessee/operator of the leased lands, and its parent, Cliffs. The Trust asserted claims concerning the calculation of royalties related to the production, shipment and sale of iron ore, including DR-grade pellets. The arbitration was completed before a panel of three arbitrators in July 2021 under the commercial rules of the AAA. The Trust received the AAA final award on October 1, 2021, which awarded the Trust damages in the amount of $2,312,106 for the resolution of royalties on DR grade pellets in 2019 and 2020 and interest in the amount of $430,710, calculated through June 30, 2021, and continuing to accrue until paid. Pursuant to the award, Cliffs paid the damages award to the Trust on October 29, 2021. The Tribunal granted the Trust’s request for a declaration that “for purposes of calculating royalties on intercompany sales, Northshore shall reference all third-party pellet sales,