BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey Finds Risk Appetite at Four-Year High as Investors Embrace Equities
January 19 2010 - 8:11AM
PR Newswire (US)
Portfolio Managers Urge Corporates to Step up Investment NEW YORK
and LONDON, Jan. 19 /PRNewswire/ -- Investors have rediscovered
their risk appetite and are putting cash reserves to work across
the equity markets, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Survey of
Fund Managers for January. (Logo:
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20090812/CL60095LOGO ) For the
first time since January 2006 the survey shows investors are taking
above average risk, relative to their benchmark. A net 2 percent is
taking "higher than normal" risk, compared with a net 7 percent
taking "below normal risk" in December. These figures follow
several months of investors displaying optimism about the economy
but maintaining a more cautious risk and investment profile.
Average cash balances have fallen to 3.4 percent, the lowest
reading since mid 2007 and down significantly from 4.0 percent in
December. Appetite for equities is strong. A net 52 percent of
asset allocators are overweight equities, up sharply from a net 37
percent in December. Fewer investors are protecting themselves
against a fall in equities. A net 55 percent have no protection
against a fall in the next three months, compared with a net 48
percent in December. Investors have been moving into cyclical
stocks, are positive about profits and are urging management teams
to invest in growth. "This survey is one of the more bullish we
have seen and suggests that investors buy into the idea that this
recovery has legs," said Gary Baker, head of European Equities
strategy at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. "We are, however,
seeing early signs that might alert contrarians looking for a
selling opportunity - namely low cash allocations and possible
complacency against a sell off in stocks," said Michael Hartnett,
chief Global Equities strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global
Research. Capex more important than debt reduction, investors tell
corporates Investors responding to the BofA Merrill Lynch Survey of
Fund Managers are urging companies to invest more in growth and
less in balance sheet repair. For the first time since mid 2006,
capital investment heads the list of investors' priorities - ahead
of reducing debt and returning cash to shareholders. Four out of
ten respondents say that capital spending is what they most want to
see corporates use their cash for. Improving the balance sheet,
which has been investors' priority for the past year and a half, is
now in second place. A net 55 percent of the panel say that
companies are currently under investing, up from a net 48 percent
in December. They are also happy to see companies take on more
debt. A net 15 percent of respondents take the view that corporate
balance sheets are "under leveraged", up from a net 9 percent a
month ago. The desire to see greater investment in growth reflects
how optimism about corporate earnings has pushed higher. A net 63
percent of global investors expect corporate earnings to increase
by at least 10 percent over the next 12 months. This represents a
significant month on month increase from a net 46 percent in
December. Almost a third of the panel says the 10 percent rise is
"very likely". The outlook for margins is also positive, with a net
40 percent of investors predicting that operating margins will
improve. Cyclicals and Japan back in favour Portfolio managers have
been showing signs of turning to "laggard" sectors and regions that
they have shunned in recent months. Global asset allocators have
consolidated positions in Technology and Energy but they have also
increased exposure to Banks and Consumer Discretionary in the past
month. The net percentage of respondents underweight banks has
fallen to 16 percent from 37 percent. European respondents to the
regional survey have become more bullish about Banks and also
Automotives. Japan is back in favour. Within Japan, optimism over
the economy and earnings has picked up since November. A net 63
percent of the regional panel expects a stronger Japanese economy
in 2010, up from 30 percent in November. A net 87 percent expect
improved earnings, up from 59 percent in November. The global panel
has identified Japanese equities as the most undervalued in the
world and over the past two months Japanese equities have become
more popular than eurozone equities. Japan is the region that 20
percent of the panel would most like to overweight in the coming
year, versus 10 percent opting for Europe. Survey of Fund Managers
A total of 209 fund managers, managing a total of US$539 billion,
participated in the global survey from 8 January to 14 January. A
total of 169 managers, managing US$404 billion, participated in the
regional surveys. The survey was conducted by BofA Merrill Lynch
Research with the help of market research company TNS. Through its
international network in more than 50 countries, TNS provides
market information services in over 80 countries to national and
multi-national organizations. It is ranked as the fourth-largest
market information group in the world. Bank of America Bank of
America is one of the world's largest financial institutions,
serving individual consumers, small- and middle-market businesses
and large corporations with a full range of banking, investing,
asset management and other financial and risk management products
and services. The company's corporate and investment banking, and
sales and trading businesses operate under the Bank of America
Merrill Lynch brand. Bank of America Merrill Lynch focuses on
middle-market and large corporations, institutional investors,
financial institutions and government entities. It provides
innovative services in M&A, equity and debt capital raising,
lending, trading, risk management, research, and liquidity and
payments management. Bank of America Merrill Lynch serves clients
in more than 150 countries and has relationships with 99 percent of
the U.S. Fortune 500 companies and nearly 96 percent of the Fortune
Global 500. Bank of America Merrill Lynch is the marketing name for
the global banking and global markets businesses of Bank of America
Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking
activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of
America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., member FDIC.
Securities, strategic advisory, and other investment banking
activities are performed globally by investment banking affiliates
of Bank of America Corporation ("Investment Banking Affiliates"),
including, in the United States, Banc of America Securities LLC and
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated, which are
both registered broker-dealers and members of FINRA and SIPC, and,
in other jurisdictions, locally registered entities. Investment
products offered by Investment Banking Affiliates: Are Not FDIC
Insured * May Lose Value * Are Not Bank Guaranteed
http://www.bankofamerica.com/
http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20090812/CL60095LOGODATASOURCE:
BofA Merrill Lynch Research CONTACT: Rinat Rond, BofA Merrill Lynch
Research, +1-646-855-3152, , or Tomos Rhys Edwards, BofA Merrill
Lynch Global Research, +44-20-7995-2763,
Copyright