EARNINGS PREVIEW: US Internet Cos Hope To Hold Steady In 1Q
April 09 2009 - 7:07AM
Dow Jones News
TAKING THE PULSE: It has become readily apparent over the past
several months that Internet companies have not been immune to the
economic downturn, although some have fared better than others.
Many have moved to cut costs as they sharpen their focus and build
for future growth. First-quarter results are expected to be modest
given weak consumer spending and forecasts indicating that Internet
advertising could fall by as much as by 5%, the first contraction
in since the dot-com bubble burst, according to market research
group IDC.
Meanwhile, online retailer Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) is looking to
profit from a shift in consumer spending habits to Internet
shopping sites, while eBay Inc. (EBAY) is hoping to better develop
its online identity.
COMPANIES TO WATCH:
Google Inc. (GOOG) - reports April 16
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters
project the Internet-search giant to report per-share earnings of
$4.95 on revenue excluding traffic acquisition costs of $4.09
billion. The prior year's net income was $4.12, or $4.84 excluding
stock-compensation costs, on revenue including $1.49 billion of
TAC, which is commissions paid to marketing partners, of $5.19
billion.
Key Issues: Google during the quarter abandoned efforts to sell
radio and print ads as it focuses resources on more promising
products. Speculation is growing Google may strike a partnership
with micro-blogging phenomenon Twitter Inc. The company also took
its first step toward selling ads targeted to viewers' likely
interests, a controversial type of Web advertising its competitors
already offer.
Yahoo Inc. (YHOO) - reports April 21
Wall Street Expectations: The Internet portal is seen posting
per-share earnings of 8 cents on revenue excluding TAC of $1.2
billion. A year ago, the company reported per-share earnings of 37
cents amid a gain from Alibaba.com's initial public offering and
$1.82 billion of revenue, which includes $465.5 million of TAC.
Key Issues: Yahoo has been struggling with a dramatic slowdown
in display-ad spending, a key market in which Yahoo is more heavily
exposed than Google or Microsoft Corp. (MSFT). Chief Executive
Carol Bartz, who took the helm of Yahoo in January, has reorganized
management and said she intends to build the company for the long
term and make it more viable as an independent.
eBay Inc. (EBAY) - reports April 22
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts project earnings of 33 cents
a share on revenue of $1.95 billion, down from 34 cents and $2.19
billion, respectively, a year earlier.
Key Issues: After a poor holiday season, the online retailer has
said it will focus on its online-marketplace business for used and
overstocked goods rather than the retail market for new goods.
EBay, which has been losing market share to rival Amazon, has
struggled with a shift in consumer spending away from the novelty
of online auctions to fixed-price sites.
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) - tentatively set to report April 23
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts forecast per-share earnings
of 31 cents on revenue of $4.75 billion. A year ago, the e-commerce
company reported earnings of 34 cents and revenue of $4.13
billion.
Key Issues: Amazon continues to expand the number of product
categories it offers to consumers. It recently challenged GameStop
Corp. (GME) by introducing a used-game trade-in program. Amazon is
also girding for battle with eBay's dominant PayPal online-payment
service, where eBay has said its greatest growth potential rests.
Amazon in February unveiled a new version of it Kindle e-book
reader.
(The Thomson Reuters financial estimates and year-earlier net
may not be comparable due to one-time items and other
adjustments.)
-By John Kell, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5285;
john.kell@dowjones.com