National Westminster Bank Plc 14
February 2025
Annual Report and Accounts
2024
Pillar 3 Report 2024
A copy of the Annual Report and
Accounts 2024 for National Westminster Bank
plc will shortly be submitted to the National
Storage Mechanism and will be available for inspection
at https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism.
The document will be available on NatWest Group
plc's website at https://investors.natwestgroup.com/reports-archive
We have also published the 2024
Pillar 3 report, available on our website. For further information,
please contact:
For further information, please
contact: Media Relations
+44 (0) 131 523 4205
Investor relations Claire Kane
Investor Relations
+44 (0) 207 672 1758
For the purpose of compliance with
the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, this announcement
also contains risk factors extracted from the Annual Report and
Accounts 2024 in full unedited text. Page references in the text
refer to page numbers in the Annual Report and Accounts
2024.
Principal Risks and
Uncertainties
Set out below are certain risk
factors that could have a material adverse effect on NWB Group's
future results, its financial condition and/or prospects and cause
them to be materially different from what is forecast or expected,
and directly or indirectly impact the value of its securities.
These risk factors are broadly categorised and should be read in
conjunction with other risk factors in this section and other parts
of this annual report, including the forward-looking statements
section, the strategic report and the risk and capital management
section. They should not be regarded as a complete and
comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties
facing NWB Group.
Economic and political risk
NWB Group, its customers and its
counterparties face continued economic and political risks and
uncertainties in the UK and global markets, including as a result
of inflation and interest rates, supply chain disruption, and
geopolitical developments.
As a principally UK-focused banking
group, NWB Group is affected by global economic and market
conditions, and is particularly exposed to those conditions in the
UK. Uncertain and volatile economic conditions in the UK or
globally can create a challenging operating environment for
financial services companies such as NWB Group. The outlook for the
UK and the global economy is affected by many dynamic factors
including: GDP, unemployment, inflation and interest rates, asset
prices (including residential and commercial property), energy
prices, monetary and fiscal policy (such as
increases in bank levies), supply chain
disruption, protectionist policies or trade
barriers (including tariffs).
Economic and market conditions could
be exacerbated by a number of factors including: instability in the
UK and/or global financial systems, market volatility and change,
fluctuations in the value of the pound sterling, new or extended
economic sanctions, volatility in commodity prices, political
uncertainty, concerns regarding sovereign debt (including sovereign
credit ratings), any lack or perceived lack of creditworthiness of
a counterparty or borrower that may trigger market-wide liquidity
problems, changing demographics in the markets that NWB Group and
its customers serve, rapid changes to the economic environment due
to the adoption of technology, automation, artificial
intelligence, or due to the consequences of
climate change, biodiversity loss, nature degradation and/or
increasing social and other
inequalities.
NWB Group is also exposed to risks
arising out of geopolitical and other events or political
developments that may hinder economic or financial activity levels,
and may, directly or indirectly, impact UK,
regional or global trade and/or NWB Group's customers and
counterparties. NatWest Group's business and performance could be
negatively affected by political, military
or diplomatic events, geopolitical tensions, armed conflict (for
example, the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East conflicts),
terrorist acts or threats, more severe and frequent extreme weather
events, widespread public health crises, and the responses to any
of the above scenarios by various governments and
markets.
In recent years, the UK has
experienced significant political uncertainty. NWB Group may also
face political uncertainty in Scotland if there is another Scottish
independence referendum. Scottish independence may adversely affect
NWB Group both in relation to its entities incorporated in Scotland
and in other jurisdictions. Any changes to Scotland's relationship
with the UK or the EU may adversely affect the environment in which
NatWest Group plc and its subsidiaries operate and may require
further changes to NatWest Group's (including NWB Group's)
structure, independently or in conjunction with other mandatory or
strategic structural and organisational changes, any of which could
adversely affect NWB Group. The value of NWB Group's own and other
securities may be materially affected by economic and market
conditions. Market volatility, illiquid market conditions and
disruptions in the financial markets may make it very difficult to
value certain of NWB Group's own and other securities, particularly
during periods of market displacement. This could cause a decline
in the value of NWB Group's own and other securities, or inaccurate
carrying values for certain financial instruments.
In addition, financial markets are
susceptible to severe events evidenced by, or resulting in, rapid
depreciation in asset values, which may be accompanied by a
reduction in asset liquidity. Under these conditions, hedging and
other risk management strategies may not be as effective at
mitigating losses as they would be under more normal market
conditions. Moreover, under these conditions, market participants
are particularly exposed to trading strategies employed by many
market participants simultaneously (and often automatically) and on
a large scale, increasing NWB Group's counterparty risk. NWB
Group's risk management and monitoring processes seek to quantify
and mitigate NWB Group's exposure to extreme market moves. However,
market events have historically been difficult to predict, and NWB
Group, its customers and its counterparties could realise
significant losses if severe market events were to
occur.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Changes in interest rates will
continue to affect NWB Group's business and results.
NWB Group's performance is affected
by changes in interest rates. Benchmark overnight interest rates,
such as the UK base rate, decreased in 2024, and forward rates
suggest that interest rates will continue to decline in 2025.
Stable interest rates support more predictable income flow and less
volatility in asset and liability valuations, although persistently
low and negative interest rates may adversely affect NWB Group.
Further, volatility in interest rates may result in unexpected
outcomes both for interest income and asset and liability
valuations which may adversely affect NWB Group. For example,
decreases in key benchmark rates such as the UK base rate may
adversely affect NWB Group's net interest margin, and unexpected
movements in spreads between key benchmark rates such as sovereign
and swap rates may in turn affect liquidity portfolio valuations.
In addition, unexpected sharp rises in rates may also have negative
impacts on some asset and derivative valuations.
Moreover, customer and investor
responses to rapid changes in interest rates can have an adverse
effect on NWB Group. For example, customers may make deposit
choices that provide them with higher returns than those being
offered by NWB Group. Alternatively, NWB Group may not respond with
competitive products as rapidly, for example following an interest
rate change, which may in turn decrease NWB Group's net interest
income.
Movements in interest rates also
influence and reflect the macroeconomic situation more broadly,
affecting factors such as business and consumer confidence,
property prices, default rates on loans, customer behaviour (which
may adversely impact the effectiveness of NWB Group's hedging
strategy) and other indicators that may indirectly affect NWB
Group.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Fluctuations in currency exchange
rates may adversely affect NWB Group's results and financial
condition.
Decisions of central banks
(including the BoE, the European Central Bank, and the US Federal
Reserve) and political or market events, which are outside NWB
Group's control, may lead to sharp and sudden fluctuations in
currency exchange rates.
Although NWB Group is principally a
UK-focused banking group, it is subject to structural foreign
exchange risk from capital deployed in NatWest Group's foreign
subsidiaries and branches. NWB Group also issues internal
instruments in non-sterling currencies, such as US dollars and
euros, that assist in meeting NWB Group's regulatory requirements.
In addition, NWB Group conducts banking activities in non-sterling
currencies (for example loans, deposits and dealing activity) which
affect its revenue. NWB Group also uses service providers based
outside the UK for certain services and as a result certain
operating results are subject to fluctuations in currency exchange
rates.
NWB Group maintains policies and
procedures designed to manage the impact of its exposure to
fluctuations in currency exchange rates. Nevertheless, changes in
currency exchange rates, particularly in the sterling-US dollar and
sterling-euro rates, may adversely affect various accounting and
financial metrics including, the value of assets, liabilities
(including the total amount of instruments
eligible to contribute towards the minimum
requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities
('MREL')), foreign
exchange dealing activity, income and expenses, RWAs and hence the
reported earnings and financial condition of NWB Plc.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
HM Treasury (or UKGI on its behalf)
could exercise, or be perceived as being capable of exercising,
influence over NatWest Group and NWB Group is controlled by NatWest
Group.
In its Autumn Budget 2024, the UK
Government confirmed its commitment to exit its shareholding in
NatWest Group plc by 2025-2026 subject to market conditions.
Accordingly, following various prior sell-downs of parts of its
shareholding in NatWest Group plc, HM Treasury is no longer a
"controlling shareholder" of NatWest Group plc. As at 13 January
2025, HM Treasury held 8.90% of the ordinary share capital with
voting rights of NatWest Group plc.
HM Treasury has indicated that it
intends to respect the commercial decisions of NatWest Group and
that NatWest Group entities (including NWB Group) will continue to
have their own independent board of directors and management team
determining their own strategy. However, for as long as HM Treasury
remains NatWest Group plc's largest single shareholder, HM Treasury
and UK Government Investments Limited ('UKGI') (as manager of HM
Treasury's shareholding) could exercise, or be perceived as being
capable of exercising, influence over NatWest Group (including NWB
Group) including: changes to NatWest Group's (including NWB Group)
directors and senior management, NatWest Group's (including NWB
Group) capital strategy, dividend policy, remuneration policy or
the conduct by NatWest Group's (including NWB Group) of its
operations. HM Treasury or UKGI's approach largely depends on
government policy, which could change. Any exercise of such
influence, or the perception that such influence may be exercised,
may have an adverse effect on NatWest Group, which may in turn
adversely affect the governance, business strategy, future results,
financial condition and/or prospects of NWB Group.
The way in which HM Treasury or UKGI
exercises HM Treasury's rights as the largest single shareholder of
NatWest Group could give rise to conflicts between the interests of
HM Treasury and the interests of other shareholders, including as a
result of a change in government policy. In addition, NWB Plc is a
wholly owned subsidiary of NatWest Group plc, and NatWest Group plc
therefore controls NWB Group's board of directors, corporate
policies and strategic direction. The interests of NatWest Group
plc as an equity holder and as NWB Group's parent may differ from
the interests of NWB Group or of potential investors in NWB Group's
securities.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Business change and execution risk
The implementation and execution of
NatWest Group's (of which NWB Group forms part) strategy carries
execution and operational risks and it may not achieve its stated aims and targeted outcomes.
NatWest Group's strategy (including
the strategic priorities of disciplined growth, bank-wide
simplification and active balance sheet and risk management) and
NWB Group's strategy are intended to reflect the rapidly changing
environment and backdrop of significant disruption in society
driven by technology and changing customer expectations. Further,
shifting trends including digitalisation, decarbonisation,
automation, artificial intelligence, e-commerce and hybrid working,
have resulted in significant market volatility and change. There is
also increasing investor, employee, stakeholder, regulatory and
customer scrutiny regarding how businesses address these changes
and related environmental challenges, including climate change,
biodiversity and other sustainability issues, (such as, how NatWest
Group supports its customers' transition to net zero, is tackling
inequality, working conditions, workplace health, safety and
wellbeing, diversity and inclusion, data protection and management,
workforce management, human rights and supply chain
management).
As part of NatWest Group's strategy,
in December 2023, a transfer pricing arrangement between NWB Group
and NWM Group allowing a sharing of certain Commercial &
Institutional ('C&I') business segment profits through payment
from NWB Group to NWM Group was approved. Weaker performance in NWM
Group, could lead to a higher payment from NWB Group to NWM Group
and therefore reduced profitability in NWB Group.
Many factors may adversely impact
the successful implementation of NatWest Group's strategy,
including:
-
macroeconomic challenges which may adversely
affect NWB Group's customers and could in turn adversely impact
certain strategic initiatives for NWB Group (see
'NWB Group, its customers and its counterparties
face continued economic and political risks and
uncertainties in the UK and global
markets, including as a result of inflation and interest rates,
supply chain disruption, and geopolitical
developments');
-
changing customer expectations and behaviour in
response to macroeconomic conditions or developments, technology
and other factors which could reduce the profitability,
competitiveness, or volume of services NWB Group offers;
-
the rapid emergence and deployment of new
technologies (such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing,
blockchain and digital currencies) resulting in a potential shift
across the market, towards products and services that are not part
of NWB Group's core offering today;
-
increased competitive threats from incumbent
banks, fintech companies, large retail and technology conglomerates
and other new market entrants (including those that emerge from
mergers and consolidations) who may have competitive advantages in
terms of scale, technology and customer engagement; and
-
changes to the regulatory environment and
associated requirements which could lead to shifts in operating
cost and regulatory capital requirements, that impact NWB Group's
product offerings and business models; (see 'NWB Group's businesses
are subject to substantial regulation and oversight, which are
constantly evolving and may adversely affect NWB Group'; and NWB
Group could incur losses or be required to maintain higher levels
of capital as a result of limitations or failure of various
models)
Delivery of NWB Group's strategy
will require:
-
maintaining effective governance, procedures,
systems and controls giving effect to NatWest Group's
strategy;
-
managing a broad range of risks and opportunities
related to changes in the macroeconomic environment, customer
expectations and behaviour, technology, regulation, competitiveness
and climate and other sustainability-related areas;
-
achieving the stated financial, capital and
operational targets and expectations within the relevant
timeframes; and
-
continued cost-controlling measures, which may
result in provisions in connection with a lower NatWest Group (and
NWB Group) cost base, may divert investment from other areas, and
may vary considerably from year to year.
In pursuing NatWest Group's
strategy, NWB Group may not be able to successfully: (i) implement
some or all aspects of its strategy; (ii) meet any or all of the
related targets or expectations of its strategy and otherwise
realise the anticipated benefits of its strategy, in a timely
manner, or at all; or (iii) realise the intended strategic
objectives of any other future strategic or growth initiative. The
scale and scope of NatWest Group's (and NWB Group's) strategy and
the intended changes continue to present material business,
operational and regulatory (including compliance with the UK
ring-fencing regime), conflicts, legal, execution, IT system,
cybersecurity, internal culture, conduct and people risks.
Implementing changes and strategic actions, including in respect of
any growth, simplification or cost-saving initiatives, requires the
effective application of robust governance and controls frameworks
and IT systems; and there is a risk that NatWest Group (and NWB
Group) may not be successful in these respects. The
implementation of NatWest Group's strategy could
result in materially higher costs or risks than initially
contemplated (including due to material uncertainties and factors
outside of NatWest Group's control) and may not be completed as
planned (both in terms of substantive targets and timing), or at
all. This could lead to additional management actions by NatWest
Group (or NWB Group).
Additionally, as a result of the
UK's withdrawal from the EU, certain aspects of the services
provided by NWB Group require local licences or individual
equivalence decisions (temporary or otherwise) by relevant
regulators. In April 2024, the European Parliament approved the
Banking Package (CRR III/CRD VI). From 10 January 2027, non-EU
firms providing 'banking services' will be required to apply for
and obtain authorisation to operate as third country branches in
each relevant EU member state where they provide these services,
unless an exemption applies. NatWest Group continues to evaluate
its EU operating model, making adaptations as necessary. Changes
to, or uncertainty regarding, NWB Group's EU operating model have
been, and may continue to be, costly and may: (i) adversely affect
customers and counterparties who are dependent on trading with the
EU or personnel from the EU; and/or (ii) result in further costs
and/or regulatory sanction due to a failure to receive the required
regulatory permissions and/or further changes to NatWest Group's
business operations, product offering, customer engagement, and
regulatory requirements.
Each of these risks, and others
identified in this section entitled 'Principal Risks and
Uncertainties', individually or collectively could jeopardise the
implementation and delivery of NatWest Group's strategy, impact NWB
Group's products and services offering, its reputation with
customers or business model and adversely affect NWB Group's
ability to deliver its strategy and meet its targets, guidance, and
forecasts.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Acquisitions, divestments, or other
transactions by NatWest Group (and/or NWB Group) may not be
successful.
NatWest Group (of which NWB Group
forms part) may decide to undertake acquisitions, investments, the
purchase of assets and liabilities, divestments, restructurings,
reorganisations, joint ventures and other strategic partnerships,
as well as other transactions and initiatives. In doing so, NatWest
Group (which includes NWB Group) may have to compete
with larger banks or financial institutions or
other larger entities offering financial services products
(including those that emerge from mergers and consolidations, as
well as retail and technology conglomerates). These competitors may
have more bargaining power in negotiations than NatWest Group (or NWB Group), and therefore may be in a
position to extract more advantageous terms than NatWest Group (and
NWB Group). See also, 'NWB Group operates in markets that are
highly competitive, with competitive pressures and technology
disruption'.
NatWest Group (of which NWB Group
forms part), may pursue these transactions and initiatives to,
amongst others: (i) enhance capabilities that may lead to better
productivity or cost efficiencies; (ii) acquire talent; (iii)
pursue new products or expand existing products; and/or (iv) enter
new markets or enhance its presence in existing markets. In
pursuing its strategy, NWB Group may not fully realise the expected
benefits and value from the above-mentioned transactions and
initiatives in the time, or to the degree anticipated, or at
all.
In particular, NatWest Group (and
NWB Group) may: (i) fail to realise the business rationale for the
transaction or initiative, or rely on assumptions underlying the
business plans supporting the valuation of a target transaction or
initiative that may prove inaccurate, for example, regarding
synergies and expected commercial demand; (ii) fail to successfully
integrate any acquired businesses, investment, joint-venture or
assets (including in respect of technologies, existing strategies,
products, governance, systems and controls, and human capital) or
to successfully divest or restructure a business; (iii) fail to
retain key employees, customers and suppliers of any acquired or
restructured business; (iv) be required or wish to terminate
pre-existing contractual relationships, which could prove costly
and/or be executed on unfavourable terms and conditions; (v) fail
to discover certain contingent or undisclosed liabilities in
businesses that it acquires, or its due diligence to discover any
such liabilities may be inadequate; and (vi) not obtain necessary
regulatory and other approvals (or onerous conditions may be
attached to such approvals). Accordingly, NatWest Group (or NWB
Group) may not be successful in achieving its strategy and any
particular transaction may not succeed, may be limited in scope or
scale and may not conclude on the terms contemplated, or at
all.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
The transfer of NatWest Group's
Western European corporate portfolio involves certain
risks.
To improve efficiencies and best
serve customers following the UK's withdrawal from the EU, certain
assets, liabilities, transactions and activities of NatWest Group
(including its Western European corporate portfolio, principally
consisting of term funding and revolving credit facilities), are
expected to be: (i) transferred from the ring-fenced subgroup of
NatWest Group, to NWM Group and/or (ii) transferred to the
ring-fenced subgroup of NatWest Group from NWM Group, subject to
regulatory and customer requirements. The timing, success and
quantum of any of these transfers remain uncertain as is the impact
of these transactions on its results of operations.
As a result, this may have a
material adverse effect on NatWest Group's (including NWB Group's)
future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Financial resilience risk
NWB Group may not achieve its
ambitions or targets, meet its guidance, or generate sustainable
returns.
NatWest Group has set a number of
financial, capital and operational targets and provided guidance
for NWB Group including in respect of: funding plans and
requirements, employee engagement, diversity and inclusion as well
as climate-related targets (including its climate and sustainable
funding and financing targets) and customer satisfaction
targets.
NWB Group's ability to meet NatWest
Group and NWB Group's respective ambitions, targets and guidance
and make discretionary capital distributions, is subject to various
internal and external factors, risks and uncertainties. These
include, but are not limited to: UK and global macroeconomic,
political, market and regulatory uncertainties, customer behaviour,
operational risks and risks relating to NWB Group's business model
and strategy (including risks associated with climate and other
sustainability-related issues), competitive pressures, and
litigation, governmental actions, investigations and regulatory
matters. If assumptions, judgements and estimates (for example
about future economic conditions) prove to be incorrect, NatWest
Group may not achieve any or all of its ambitions or targets, or
meet its guidance. A number of factors may impact NWB Group's
ability to maintain its current CET1 ratio, including impairments,
limited organic capital generation or unanticipated increases in
RWAs. See also 'The implementation and execution of NatWest Group's
(of which NWB Group forms part) strategy carries execution and
operational risks and it may not achieve its stated aims and
targeted outcomes.'
Any failure of NWB Group to achieve
NatWest Group and NWB Group's respective ambitions, targets or meet
its guidance may have a material adverse effect on NatWest Group's
future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NWB Group has significant exposure
to counterparty and borrower risk including credit losses, which
may have an adverse effect on NWB Group.
NWB Group has exposure to many
different sectors, customers and counterparties, and risks arising
from actual or perceived changes in credit quality and the
recoverability of monies due from borrowers and other
counterparties are inherent in a wide range of NWB Group's
businesses. NWB Group's lending strategy and associated processes
and systems may fail to identify, anticipate or quickly react to
weaknesses or risks in a particular sector, market, borrower or
counterparty, or NatWest Group's credit risk appetite relative to
competitors, or fail to appropriately value physical or financial
collateral. This may result in increased default rates or a higher
loss given default for loans, which may, in turn, impact NWB
Group's profitability. Refer to 'Risk and capital management -
Credit Risk'.
The credit quality of NWB Group's
borrowers and other counterparties may be affected by UK and global
macroeconomic and political uncertainties, as well as prevailing
economic and market conditions. Refer to
'NWB Group, its customers and its counterparties face continued
economic and political risks and uncertainties in the UK and global
markets, including as a result of inflation and interest rates,
supply chain disruption, and geopolitical developments'.
Any further deterioration in these conditions or
changes to legal or regulatory landscapes could worsen borrower and
counterparty credit quality or impact the enforcement of
contractual rights, increasing credit risk. Any increase in
drawings upon committed credit facilities may also increase NWB
Group's RWAs. In addition, the level of household indebtedness (on
a per capita basis) in the UK remains high. The ability of
households and businesses to service their debts could be worsened
by a period of high unemployment, or high interest rates or
inflation, particularly if prolonged.
NWB Group may be affected by
volatility in property prices (including as a result of UK
political or economic conditions) given that NWB Group's mortgage
loan portfolio as at 31 December 2024, amounted to
£197.1 billion,
representing 58% of
NWB Group's total loan exposure.
If property prices in the UK were to
weaken this could lead to higher impairment charges, particularly
if default rates also increase. In addition, NWB Group's credit
risk may be exacerbated if the collateral that it holds cannot be
realised as a result of market conditions, regulatory intervention,
or other applicable laws, or if it is liquidated at prices not
sufficient to recover the net amount outstanding to NWB Group after
accounting for any IFRS 9 provisions already made. This is most
likely to occur during periods of illiquidity or depressed asset
valuations.
Concerns about, or a default by, a
financial institution or intermediary could lead to significant
liquidity problems and losses or defaults by other financial
institutions or intermediaries, since the commercial and financial
soundness of many financial institutions and intermediaries is
closely related and interdependent as a result of credit, trading,
clearing and other relationships. Any perceived lack of
creditworthiness of a counterparty or borrower may lead to
market-wide liquidity problems and losses for NWB Group. In
addition, the value of collateral may be correlated with the
probability of default by the relevant counterparty ('wrong way
risk'), which would increase NWB Group's potential loss. Any of the
above risks may also adversely affect financial intermediaries,
such as clearing agencies, clearing houses, banks, securities firms
and exchanges with which NWB Group interacts on a regular basis.
See also, 'NWB Group may not meet the prudential regulatory
requirements for liquidity and funding or may not be able to
adequately access sources of liquidity and funding, which could
trigger the execution of certain management actions or recovery
options.'
As a result, adverse changes in
borrower and counterparty credit risk may cause additional
impairment charges under IFRS 9, increased repurchase demands,
higher costs, additional write-downs and losses for NWB Group and
an inability to engage in routine funding transactions. If NWB
Group experiences losses and a reduction in profitability, this is
likely to affect the recoverable value of fixed assets, including
goodwill and deferred taxes, which may lead to
write-downs.
NWB Group has applied an internal
analysis of multiple economic scenarios (MES) together with the
determination of specific overlay adjustments to inform its IFRS 9
ECL (Expected Credit Loss).
The recognition and measurement of
ECL is complex and involves the use of significant judgement and
estimation. This includes the formulation and incorporation of
multiple forward-looking economic scenarios into ECL to meet the
measurement objective of IFRS 9. The ECL provision is sensitive to
the model inputs and economic assumptions underlying the estimate.
Going forward, NWB Group anticipates observable credit
deterioration of a proportion of assets resulting in a systematic
uplift in defaults, which is mitigated by those economic assumption
scenarios being reflected in the Stage 2 ECL across portfolios,
along with a combination of post model overlays in both wholesale
and retail portfolios reflecting the uncertainty of credit
outcomes. See also, 'Risk and capital management - Credit Risk'. A
credit deterioration would also lead to RWA increases. Furthermore,
the assumptions and judgements used in the MES and ECL assessment
at 31 December 2024 may not prove to be adequate resulting in
incremental ECL provisions for NWB Group.
In line with certain mandated
COVID-19 pandemic support schemes, NWB Group assisted customers
with a number of initiatives including NWB Group's participation
in the Bounce Back Loan Scheme
('BBLS'), the Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme
('CBILS') and the Coronavirus Large Business Interruption Loan Scheme
('CLBILS') products. NWB Group sought to
manage the risks of fraud and money laundering against the need for
the fast and efficient release of funds to customers and
businesses. NWB Group may be exposed to fraud, conduct and
litigation risks arising from inappropriate approval (or denial) of
BBLS, CBILS or CLBILS or the enforcing or pursuing repayment of
BBLS, CBILS and CLBILS (or a failure to exercise forbearance),
which may have an adverse effect on NWB Group's reputation and
results of operations. The implementation of the initiatives and
efforts mentioned above may result in litigation, regulatory and
government actions and proceedings. These actions may result in
judgements, settlements, penalties, fines, or removal of recourse
to the government guarantee provided under those schemes for
impacted loans.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group operates in markets that
are highly competitive, with competitive pressures and technology
disruption.
NWB Group faces increasing
competitive pressures and technology disruption from incumbent
traditional UK banks, challenger banks and building societies
(including those resulting from mergers between these entities),
fintech companies, large technology conglomerates and new market
entrants who could look to scale technology and/or other
competitive advantages to compete with NWB Group for customer
engagement. "BigTech" companies are seen as threats to incumbent
banking providers because of their customer innovation and global
reach. In addition, digital-first banks (often referred to as
"neobanks") and fintechs are aiming to compete with incumbent
banking providers on the basis that customers increasingly use a
constellation of providers to support their complex and evolving
needs (e.g., personal financial management and paying for goods and
services in foreign currency).
NWB Group expects competition to
continue and intensify in response to various trends including:
evolving customer behaviour, technological changes (including
digital currencies, stablecoins and the growth of digital banking),
competitor behaviour, new market entrants, competitive foreign
exchange offerings, industry trends resulting in increased
disaggregation or unbundling of financial services or, conversely,
the re-intermediation of traditional banking services, and the
impact of regulatory actions, among others. In particular, NWB
Group may be unable to grow or retain its market share due to new
(or more competitive) banking, lending and payment products and
services that are offered by rapidly evolving incumbents and
challengers (including shadow banks, alternative or direct lenders
and new entrants). These competitive pressures and the introduction
of disruptive technology may result in a shift in customer
behaviour and impact NWB Group's revenues and profitability.
Moreover, innovations in biometrics, artificial intelligence,
automation, cloud services, blockchain, cryptocurrencies and
quantum computing may rapidly facilitate industry
transformation.
Increasingly, many of NWB Group's
products and services are, and will become, more technology
intensive, including through digitalisation, automation, and the
use of artificial intelligence while needing to continue complying
with applicable and evolving regulations. NWB Group's ability to
develop or acquire digital solutions and their integration into NWB
Group's structures, systems and controls has become increasingly
important for retaining and growing NWB Group's market share and
customer-facing businesses.
NWB Group's innovation strategy,
which includes investing in its IT capability to address increasing
customer and merchant use of online and mobile banking technology,
as well as selective acquisitions (such as fintech ventures,
including Mettle, Rooster Money, Boxed and Cushon), may not be
successful or may not result in NWB Group offering innovative
products and services in the future. Furthermore, current or future
competitors may be more successful than NWB Group in implementing
technologies for delivering products or services to their
customers, which may adversely affect its competitive position. In
addition, continued consolidation and/or technological developments
in the financial services industry could result in the emergence of
new competitors or NWB Group's competitors gaining greater capital
and other resources, including the ability to offer a broader, more
attractive and/or better value range of products and services and
geographic diversity. For example, new market entrants, including
non-traditional financial services providers, such as retail or
technology conglomerates, may have competitive advantages in scale,
technology and customer engagement and may be able to develop and
deliver financial services at a lower cost base.
NWB Group may also fail to identify
future opportunities, or fail to derive benefits from technological
innovation, changing customer behaviour and changing regulatory
demands. Competitors may be better able to attract and retain
customers and key employees, have more effective IT systems, have
access to lower cost funding and/or be able to attract deposits on
more favourable terms than NWB Group. Although NWB Group invests in
new technologies and participates in industry and research-led
technology development initiatives, such investments may be
insufficient or ineffective, especially given NWB Group's focus on
business simplification and cost efficiencies. This could affect
NWB Group's ability to offer innovative products or technologies to
customers.
If NWB Group is unable to offer
competitive, attractive and innovative products that are also
profitable and released in a timely manner; it will lose market
share, incur losses on some or all of its initiatives and possibly
lose growth opportunities. For example, NWB Group is investing in
the automation of certain solutions and interactions within its
customer-facing businesses, including through artificial
intelligence. There can be no certainty that such initiatives will
allow NWB Group to compete effectively or will deliver the expected
cost savings. In addition, the implementation of NWB Group's
strategy, delivery on its climate ambition and cost-controlling
measures, may also have an impact on its ability to compete
effectively and maintain satisfactory returns.
Moreover, activist investors have
increasingly become engaged and interventionist in recent years,
which may pose a threat to NWB Group's strategic
initiatives.
Some of these trends have been
catalysed by various regulatory and competition policy
interventions, including the UK initiative on Open Banking, 'Open
Finance' and other remedies imposed by the Competition and Markets
Authority ('CMA'), which are designed to further promote
competition within the financial sector.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group may not meet the
prudential regulatory requirements for liquidity and funding or may
not be able to adequately access sources of liquidity and funding,
which could trigger the execution of certain management actions or
recovery options.
Liquidity and the ability to raise
funds continues to be a key area of focus for NWB Group and the
industry as a whole. NatWest Group and NWB Plc (as a member of the
Domestic Liquidity sub-group) are required by regulators in the UK,
the EU and other jurisdictions in which they undertake regulated
activities to maintain adequate liquidity and funding resources. To
satisfy its liquidity and funding requirements, NWB Group may
therefore access sources of liquidity and funding through retail
and wholesale deposits, as well as through the debt capital
markets. As at 31 December 2024, NWB Plc held £343.1 billion in deposits from banks
and customers.
Level of deposits at NWB Group may
fluctuate due to factors outside of its control, such as a loss of
customers, loss of customer and/or investor confidence (including
in individual NatWest Group entities or as a result of volatility
in the financial industry), changes in customer behaviour, changes
in interest rates, government support, increasing competitive
pressures for retail and corporate customer deposits or the
reduction or cessation of deposits by wholesale depositors, which
could result in a significant outflow of deposits within a short
period of time. An inability to grow, or any material decrease in
NWB Group's deposits could, particularly if accompanied by one or
more of the other factors mentioned above, adversely affect NWB
Group's ability to satisfy its liquidity or funding needs, or
comply with its related regulatory requirements. In turn, this
could require NWB Group to adapt its funding plans or change its
operations.
Macroeconomic developments,
political uncertainty, changes in interest rates, and market
volatility could affect NWB Group's ability to access sources of
liquidity and funding on satisfactory terms, or at all. This may
result in higher funding costs and failure to comply with
regulatory capital, funding and leverage requirements. As a result,
NWB Group could be required to change its funding
plans. This
could exacerbate funding and liquidity risk, which may adversely
affect NWB Group.
If NWB Plc's liquidity position
and/or funding were to come under stress, and if NWB Group were
unable to raise funds through deposits, in the debt capital markets
or through other reliable funding sources, on acceptable terms, or
at all, its liquidity position would likely be adversely affected
and it might be unable to meet deposit withdrawals on demand or at
their contractual maturity, to repay borrowings as they mature, to
meet its obligations under committed financing facilities, to
comply with regulatory funding requirements, to undertake certain
capital and/or debt management activities, and/or to fund new
loans, investments and businesses, or make capital distributions to
NatWest Group.
If, under a stress scenario, the
level of liquidity falls outside of NWB Group's risk appetite,
there are a range of recovery management actions that NWB Group
could take to manage its liquidity levels, but any such actions may
not be sufficient to restore adequate liquidity levels and the
related implementation may have adverse consequences for NWB
Group's operations.
Under the PRA Rulebook, NatWest
Group must maintain a recovery plan acceptable to its regulator,
such that a breach of NWB Group's applicable liquidity requirements
may trigger the application of NatWest Group's recovery plan to
attempt to remediate a deficient liquidity position.
NWB Group may need to liquidate
assets to meet its liabilities, including disposals of assets not
previously identified for disposal to reduce its funding
commitments or trigger the execution of certain management actions
or recovery options. In a time of reduced liquidity, NWB Group may
be unable to sell its assets, at attractive prices, or at all,
which may have a material adverse effect on NWB Group's
liquidity.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group may not meet the
prudential regulatory requirements for regulatory capital and MREL,
or manage its capital effectively, which could trigger the
execution of certain management actions or recovery
options.
NatWest Group and NWB Plc (via the
Domestic Liquidity sub-group) are required by regulators in the UK,
the EU and other jurisdictions in which they undertake regulated
activities to maintain adequate financial resources.
Adequate levels of capital provide
NatWest Group (including NWB Group) with financial flexibility
specifically in its core UK operations in the face of turbulence
and uncertainty in the UK and the global economy.
As at 31 December 2024, NWB Plc's
CET1 ratio was 11.4%. A number of subsidiaries and sub-groups within NWB Group,
principally banking entities, are subject to various individual
regulatory capital requirements in the UK and overseas. NatWest
Group plc currently targets a CET1 ratio in the range of 13-14% by
31 December 2025. NatWest Group plc's target CET1 ratio is based on a
combination of its views on the appropriate level of capital and
its actual and expected regulatory requirements and internal
modelling, including stress scenarios and management's and/or the
PRA's views on appropriate buffers above minimum required operating
levels. NatWest Group's current capital strategy for NWB Plc is
based on: the expected accumulation of additional capital through
the accrual of retained earnings over time; the receipt of assets
and resultant RWAs from other NatWest Group entities; RWA growth in
the form of regulatory uplifts and lending growth and other capital
management initiatives which focus on improving capital efficiency
through improved data and upstreaming of dividends from NWB Plc to
NatWest Group plc and ensuring NatWest Group meets its medium to
long term targets.
A number of factors may impact NWB
Group's ability to maintain its CET1 ratio target and achieve its
capital strategy. These include:
-
a depletion of its capital resources through
increased costs or liabilities or reduced profits (for example, due
to an increase in provisions due to a deterioration in UK economic
conditions);
-
an increase in the quantum of RWAs/leverage
exposure in excess of that expected, including due to regulatory
changes (including their interpretation or application) or a
failure in internal controls or procedures to accurately measure
and report RWAs/leverage exposure;
-
changes in prudential regulatory requirements
including NWB Plc's total capital requirement/leverage requirement
set by the PRA, including Pillar 2 requirements, as applicable, and
regulatory buffers as well as any applicable scalars;
-
reduced upstreaming of dividends from NWB Group
plc's subsidiaries because of changes in their financial
performance and/or the extent to which local capital requirements
exceed NWB Plc's target ratio; and
-
limitations on the use of double leverage (i.e.
NWB Group's use of debt to invest in the equity of its
subsidiaries, as a result of the BoE's and/or NWB Group's evolving
views on distribution of capital within groups).
In addition to regulatory capital,
NWB Plc is required to maintain a set quantum of internal MREL set
as the higher of: (i) two times the sum of Pillar 1 and Pillar 2A,
or (ii) if subject to a leverage ratio requirement, two times the
applicable requirement. The BoE has identified single
point-of-entry at NatWest Group plc, as the preferred resolution
strategy for NatWest Group. As a result, NatWest Group plc is the
only entity that can externally issue securities that count towards
its MREL requirements, the proceeds of which can then be
downstreamed to meet the internal MREL requirements of its
operating entities, including NWB Plc. NWB Plc is therefore
dependent not only on NatWest Group plc to fund its internal MREL
targets over time, but also on NatWest Group plc's ability to issue
and maintain sufficient amounts of external MREL liabilities to
support NWB Plc. In turn, NWB Plc is required to fund the internal
capital and MREL requirements of its subsidiaries. See also, 'NWB
Group is reliant on NatWest Group for capital and funding support,
and is substantially reliant on NatWest Group plc's ability to
issue sufficient amounts of capital and external MREL securities
and downstream the proceeds to NWB Group. The inability to do so
may adversely affect NWB Group.'
If, under a stress scenario, the
level of regulatory capital or MREL falls outside of NWB Group's
risk appetite, there are a range of recovery management actions
(focused on risk reduction and mitigation) that NWB Group could
seek to take to manage its capital levels, but any such actions may
not be sufficient to restore adequate capital levels. Under the PRA
Rulebook, NatWest Group must maintain a recovery plan acceptable to
its regulator, such that a breach of NWB Group's applicable capital
or leverage requirements may trigger the application of NatWest
Group's recovery plan to remediate a deficient capital
position.
NatWest Group's regulator may
request that NWB Group carry out certain capital management actions
or, if NatWest Group plc's CET1 ratio falls below 7%, certain
regulatory capital instruments issued by NatWest Group plc will be
written-down or converted into equity, and there may be an issue of
additional equity by NatWest Group plc, which could result in the
reduction in value of the holdings of
NatWest Group plc's existing shareholders. The success of such issuances will
also be dependent on favourable market conditions and NatWest Group
may not be able to raise the amount of capital required on
acceptable terms, or at all.
Separately, NatWest Group may
address a shortage of capital by taking action to reduce leverage
exposure and/or RWAs via asset or business disposals. These actions
may, in turn, affect: NWB Group's product offering, credit ratings,
ability to operate its businesses, pursue its strategy and
strategic opportunities, any of which may adversely affect NWB
Group. See also, 'NatWest Group (including NWB Group) may become
subject to the application of UK statutory stabilisation or
resolution powers which may result in, for example, the write-down
or conversion of NWB Group's eligible liabilities.'; and also 'NWB
Group may be adversely affected if NatWest Group fails to meet the
requirements of regulatory stress tests'.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group is reliant on NatWest
Group for capital and funding support, and is substantially reliant
on NatWest Group plc's ability to issue sufficient amounts of
capital and external MREL securities and downstream the proceeds to
NWB Group. The inability to do so may adversely affect NWB
Group.
NWB Plc receives capital and funding
from NatWest Group. NWB Plc has set target levels for different
tiers of capital and for the internal MREL, as percentages of its
RWAs. The level of capital and funding required for NWB Plc to meet
its internal targets is therefore a function of the level of RWAs
and its leverage exposure in NWB Plc and this may vary over
time.
NWB Plc's internal MREL comprises
the capital value of regulatory capital instruments and
loss-absorbing senior funding issued by NWB Plc to its ultimate
parent, NatWest Group plc. The BoE has identified that the
preferred resolution strategy for NatWest Group is as a single
point of entry at NatWest Group plc. As a result, only NatWest
Group plc is able to issue Group MREL eligible liabilities to
third-party investors, using the proceeds to fund the internal MREL
targets and/or requirements of its operating entities, including
NWB Plc.
NWB Plc is therefore dependent on
NatWest Group plc to fund its internal capital targets and its
ability to source appropriate funding at NatWest Group plc level to
support this. NWB Plc is also dependent on NatWest Group plc to
fund its internal MREL target over time and its ability to raise
and maintain sufficient amounts of external MREL liabilities to
support this.
If NatWest Group plc is unable to
issue adequate levels of MREL securities such that it is unable to
downstream sufficient amounts to NWB Plc, this could lead to a
failure of NWB Group to meet its own individual internal MREL
requirements as well as the internal MREL requirements of
subsidiaries within NWB Group, which in either case may have a
material adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial
condition, prospects, and reputation. See also, 'NWB Group may not
meet the prudential regulatory requirements for capital and MREL,
or manage its capital effectively, which could trigger the
execution of certain management actions or recovery
options'.
Any reduction in the credit rating
and/or outlooks assigned to NatWest Group plc, any of its
subsidiaries (including NWB Plc or other NWB Group subsidiaries) or
any of their respective debt securities could adversely affect the
availability of funding for NWB Group, reduce NWB Group's liquidity
and funding position and increase the cost of funding.
Rating agencies regularly review
NatWest Group plc, NWB Plc and other NatWest Group entities' credit
ratings and outlooks. NWB Group entities' credit ratings and
outlooks could be negatively affected (directly and indirectly) by
a number of factors that can change over time, including without
limitation: credit rating agencies' assessment of NWB Group's
strategy and management's capability; its financial condition
including in respect of profitability, asset quality, capital,
funding and liquidity, and risk management practices; the level of
political support for the sectors and regions in which NWB Group
operates; the legal and regulatory frameworks applicable to NWB
Group's legal structure; business activities and the rights of its
creditors; changes in rating methodologies; changes in the relative
size of the loss-absorbing buffers protecting bondholders and
depositors; the competitive environment; political, geopolitical
and economic conditions in NWB Group's key markets (including
inflation and interest rates, supply chain disruptions and
geopolitical developments); any reduction of the UK's sovereign
credit rating and market uncertainty. In addition, credit rating
agencies are increasingly taking into account
sustainability-related factors, including climate, environmental,
social and governance related risk, as part of the credit rating
analysis, as are investors in their investment
decisions.
Any reductions in the credit ratings
of NatWest Group plc, NWB Plc or of certain other NatWest Group
entities could significantly affect NWB Group. Adverse consequences
for NWB Group from downgrades could include, without limitation, a
reduction in the access to capital markets or in the size of its
deposit base, and trigger additional collateral or other
requirements in its funding arrangements or the need to amend such
arrangements, which could adversely affect NWB Group's liquidity
and funding position, cost of funding and could limit the range of
counterparties willing to enter into transactions with NWB Group on
favourable terms, or at all. This may in turn adversely affect NWB
Group's competitive position and threaten its prospects.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group may be adversely affected
if NatWest Group fails to meet the requirements of regulatory
stress tests.
NatWest Group is subject to annual
and other stress tests by its regulator in the UK. Stress tests are
designed to assess the resilience of banks such as NWB Group to
potential adverse economic or financial developments and ensure
that they have robust, forward-looking capital planning processes
that account for the risks associated with their business profile.
If the stress tests reveal that a bank's existing regulatory
capital buffers are not sufficient to absorb the impact of the
stress, then it is possible that the NWB Group may need to take
action to strengthen its capital position.
Failure by NatWest Group to meet the
quantitative and qualitative requirements of the stress tests as
set forth by its UK regulator may result in: NatWest Group's
regulators requiring NatWest Group to generate additional capital,
reputational damage, increased supervision and/or regulatory
sanctions, restrictions on capital distributions and loss of
investor confidence.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NatWest Group's future results, financial
condition, prospects, and/or reputation and, in turn, NWB
Group.
NWB Group could incur losses or be
required to maintain higher levels of capital as a result of
limitations or failure of various models.
Given the complexity of NWB Group's
business, strategy and capital requirements, NWB Group relies on
models for a wide range of purposes, including to manage its
business, assess the value of its assets and its risk exposure, as
well as to anticipate capital and funding requirements (including
to facilitate NatWest Group's mandated stress testing). In
addition, NWB Group utilises models for valuations, credit
approvals, calculation of loan impairment charges on an IFRS 9
basis, financial reporting and to help address financial crime
(criminal activities in the form of money laundering, terrorist
financing, bribery and corruption, tax evasion and sanctions as
well as external or internal fraud (collectively, 'financial
crime'). NWB Group's models, and the parameters and assumptions on
which they are based, are periodically reviewed.
Model outputs are inherently
uncertain, because they are imperfect representations of real-world
phenomena, are simplifications of complex real-world systems and
processes, and are based on a limited set of observations. NWB
Group may face adverse consequences as a result of actions or
decisions based on models that are poorly developed, incorrectly
implemented, non-compliant, outdated or used inappropriately. This
includes models that are based on inaccurate or non-representative
data (for example, where there have been changes in the micro or
macroeconomic environment in which NWB Group operates) or as a
result of the modelled outcome being misunderstood, or used for
purposes for which it was not designed. This could result in
findings of deficiencies by NatWest Group's (and in particular, NWB
Group's) regulators (including as part of NatWest Group's mandated
stress testing), increased capital requirements, may render some
business lines uneconomical, may require management action or may
subject NWB Group to regulatory sanction, any of which in turn may
also have an adverse effect on NWB Group and its
customers.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group's financial statements are
sensitive to underlying accounting policies, judgements, estimates
and assumptions.
The preparation of financial
statements requires management to make judgements, estimates and
assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets,
liabilities, income, expenses, exposures and RWAs. While estimates,
judgements and assumptions take into account historical experience
and other factors (including market practice and expectations of
future events that are believed to be reasonable under the
circumstances), actual results may differ due to the inherent
uncertainty in making estimates, judgements and assumptions
(particularly those involving the use of complex
models).
Further, accounting policy and
financial statement reporting requirements increasingly require
management to adjust existing judgements, estimates and assumptions
for the effects of climate-related, sustainability and other
matters that are inherently uncertain and for which there is little
historical experience which may affect the comparability of NWB
Group's future financial results with its historical results.
Actual results may differ due to the inherent uncertainty in making
climate-related and sustainability estimates, judgements and
assumptions.
Accounting policies deemed critical
to NWB Group's results and financial position, based upon
materiality and significant judgements and estimates, involve a
high degree of uncertainty and may have a material impact on its
results. For 2024, these include loan impairments, fair value, and
deferred tax. These are set out in 'Critical accounting
policies'.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Changes in accounting standards may
materially impact NWB Group's financial results.
NWB Group prepares its consolidated
financial statements in conformity with the requirements of the
Companies Act 2006 and in accordance with IFRS as issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board. Changes in accounting
standards or guidance by accounting bodies or in the timing of
their implementation, whether immediate or foreseeable, could
result in NWB Group having to recognise additional liabilities on
its balance sheet, or in further write-downs or impairments to its
assets, and could also have an adverse effect on NWB
Group.
From time to time, the International
Accounting Standards Board may issue new accounting standards or
interpretations that could materially impact how NWB Group
calculates, reports and discloses its financial results and
financial condition, and which may affect NWB Group capital ratios,
including the CET1 ratio and the required levels of regulatory
capital. New accounting standards and interpretations that have
been issued by the International Accounting Standards Board but
which have not yet been adopted by NWB Group are discussed in
'Future accounting developments'.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NatWest Group (including NWB Group)
may become subject to the application of UK statutory stabilisation
or resolution powers which may result in, for example, the
write-down or conversion of NWB Group's eligible
liabilities.
The BoE, the PRA, the FCA, and HM
Treasury (together, the 'Authorities') are granted substantial
powers to resolve and stabilise UK-incorporated financial
institutions. Five stabilisation options exist: (i) transfer of all
of the business of a relevant entity or the shares of the relevant
entity to a private sector purchaser; (ii) transfer of all or part
of the business of the relevant entity to a 'bridge bank' wholly or
partially-owned by the BoE; (iii) transfer of part of the assets,
rights or liabilities of the relevant entity to one or more asset
management vehicles for management of the transferor's assets,
rights or liabilities; (iv) the write-down, conversion, transfer,
modification, or suspension of the relevant entity's equity,
capital instruments and liabilities; and (v) temporary public
ownership of the relevant entity. These options may be applied to
NatWest Group plc as the parent company or to NWB Group, as a
subsidiary, where certain conditions are met (such as, whether the
firm is failing or likely to fail, or whether it is reasonably
likely that action will be taken (outside of resolution) that will
result in the firm no longer failing or being likely to fail).
Moreover, there are modified insolvency and administration
procedures for relevant entities within NatWest Group, and the
Authorities have the power to modify or override certain
contractual arrangements in certain circumstances and amend the law
for the purpose of enabling their powers to be used effectively and
may promulgate provisions with retrospective
applicability.
Under the UK Banking Act 2009, the
Authorities are generally required to have regard to specified
objectives in exercising the powers provided for by the UK Banking
Act 2009. One of the objectives (which is required to be balanced
as appropriate with the other specified objectives) refers to the
protection and enhancement of the stability of the financial system
of the UK.
Moreover, the 'no creditor worse
off' safeguard provides that where certain resolution actions are
taken, the Authorities are required to ensure that no creditor is
in a worse position than if the bank had entered into normal
insolvency proceedings. Although, this safeguard may not apply in
relation to an application of the separate write-down and
conversion power relating to capital instruments in circumstances
where a stabilisation power is not also used, the UK Banking Act
2009 still requires the Authorities to respect the hierarchy on
insolvency when using the write-down and conversion power. Further,
holders of debt instruments which are subject to the power may,
however, have ordinary shares transferred to or issued to them by
way of compensation.
Uncertainty exists as to how the
Authorities may exercise their powers including the determination
of actions to be undertaken in relation to the ordinary shares and
other securities issued by NatWest Group (including NWB Group),
which may depend on factors outside of NWB Group's control.
Moreover, the UK Banking Act 2009 provisions remain largely
untested in practice, particularly in respect of resolutions of
large financial institutions and groups. If NatWest Group is at or
is approaching the point such that regulatory intervention is
required, there may be a corresponding material adverse effect on
NWB Group's future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
NatWest Group is subject to
regulatory oversight in respect of resolution, and NWB Group could
be adversely affected should the BoE in the future deem NatWest
Group's preparations to be inadequate.
NatWest Group is subject to
regulatory oversight by the BoE and the PRA and is required (under
the PRA rulebook) to carry out an assessment of its preparations
for resolution, submit a report of the assessment to the PRA, and
disclose a summary of this report. NatWest Group has dedicated
significant resources towards the preparation of NatWest Group for
a potential resolution scenario. In August 2024, the BoE
communicated its assessment of NatWest Group's preparations and did
not identify any areas for further enhancement, shortcomings,
deficiencies or substantive impediments. NatWest Group, and in turn
NWB, could be adversely affected should future BoE assessments deem
NatWest Group's preparations to be inadequate.
If future BoE assessments
identify any areas for further enhancement,
shortcomings, deficiencies or substantive impediments
in NatWest Group's ability to achieve the
resolvability outcomes, or reveals that NatWest Group is not
adequately prepared to be resolved, or does not have adequate plans
in place to meet resolvability requirements, NatWest Group may be
required to take action to enhance its preparations to be
resolvable, resulting in additional costs and the dedication of
additional resources. Such a scenario may have an impact on NatWest
Group (and NWB Group) as, depending on the BoE's assessment,
potential action may include, but is not limited to, restrictions
on maximum individual and aggregate exposures, a requirement to
dispose of specified assets, a requirement to change its legal or
operational structure, a requirement to cease carrying out certain
activities, and/or to maintain a specified amount of MREL. This may
also impact NatWest Group's (and NWB Group's) strategic
plans.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, reputation, and/or lead to a loss of investor
confidence.
Operational and IT resilience risk
Operational risks (including
reliance on third party suppliers and outsourcing of certain
activities) are inherent in NWB Group's businesses.
Operational risk is the risk of loss
or disruption resulting from inadequate or failed internal
processes, procedures, people or systems, or from external events,
including legal and regulatory risks, third party processes,
procedures, people or systems. NWB Group offers a diverse range of
products and services supported directly or indirectly by third
party suppliers. As a result, operational risks or losses can arise
from a number of internal or external factors (including for
example, payment errors or financial crime and fraud), for which
there is continued scrutiny by third parties of NWB Group's
compliance with financial crime requirements; see 'NWB Group is
exposed to the risks of various litigation matters, regulatory and
governmental actions and investigations as well as remedial
undertakings, the outcomes of which are inherently difficult to
predict, and which could have an adverse effect on NWB
Group.'
These risks are also present when
NWB Group relies on critical service providers (suppliers) or
vendors to provide services to it or its customers, as is
increasingly the case as NWB Group outsources certain activities,
including with respect to the implementation of technologies,
innovation (such as cloud-based services and artificial
intelligence) and responding to regulatory and market
changes.
Operational risks also exist due to
the implementation of NatWest Group's strategy, and the
organisational and operational changes involved, including: NatWest
Group's cost-controlling and simplification measures; continued
digitalisation and the integration of artificial intelligence in
the business; acquisition, divestments and other transactions; the
implementation of recommendations from internal and external
reviews with respect to certain governance processes, policies,
systems and controls of NatWest Group entities including with
respect to customer account closures; and conditions affecting the
financial services industry generally (including macroeconomic and
other geopolitical developments) as well as the legal and
regulatory uncertainty resulting from these conditions. Any of the
above may place significant pressure on NWB Group's ability to
maintain effective internal controls and governance
frameworks.
NWB Group also faces operational
risks as it continues to invest in the automation of certain
solutions and customer interactions, including through artificial
intelligence. Such initiatives may result in operational,
reputational and conduct risks if the technology is not used
appropriately, is defective or inadequate, or is not fully
integrated into NWB Group's current solutions, systems and
controls.
NWB Group increasingly provides
certain shared critical services and operations, including, without
limitation, property, technology, finance, accounting, treasury,
legal, risk, regulatory compliance and reporting, financial crime,
human resources, and certain other support and administrative
functions to other entities within NatWest Group (in particular,
NWM Plc) and receives income in respect of these services. As a
result, NWB Group may be exposed to a loss of income if these
services are not required to the same extent, or are no longer
required at all.
The effective management of
operational risks is critical to meeting customer service
expectations and retaining and attracting customer business.
Although NWB Group has implemented risk controls and mitigation
actions, with resources and planning having been devoted to
mitigate operational risk, such measures may not be effective in
controlling each of the operational risks faced by NWB
Group.
Ineffective management of such risks
may have a material adverse effect on NWB Group's future results,
financial condition, prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group is subject to
sophisticated and frequent cyberattacks, and compliance with
cybersecurity and data protection regulations is becoming
increasingly complex.
NatWest Group experiences a constant
threat from cyberattacks across the entire NatWest Group (including
NWB Group) and against NatWest Group and NWB Group's supply chain
networks, reinforcing the importance of the due diligence of,
ongoing risk management of, and close working relationship with,
the third parties on which NWB Group relies. NWB Group is reliant
on technology, against which there is a constantly evolving series
of attacks that are increasing in terms of frequency,
sophistication, impact and severity. As cyberattacks evolve and
become more sophisticated, NWB Group is required to continue to
invest significant resources in additional capability designed to
defend against emerging threats.
Third parties continue to make
hostile attempts to gain access to, introduce malware (including
ransomware) into, and exploit potential vulnerabilities of,
financial services institutions' IT systems, including those of NWB
Group. For example, in 2024, NWB Group and
its supply chain were subjected to a small number of attempted
Distributed Denial of Service and ransomware attacks.
These hostile attempts were addressed without
material impact on NatWest Group or its customers by deploying
cybersecurity capabilities and controls that seek to manage the
impact of any such attacks, and sustain availability of services
for NWB Group's customers. Consequently,
NWB Group continues to invest significant resources in developing
and evolving cybersecurity capabilities and controls that are
designed to mitigate the potential effect of such attacks. However,
given the nature of the threat, there can be no assurance that
these capabilities and controls will prevent the potential adverse
effect of an attack from occurring. See also, 'NWB Group's
operations are highly dependent on its complex IT systems and any
IT failure could adversely affect NWB Group.'
Any failure in NWB Group's
information and cybersecurity policies, procedures or controls, may
result in significant financial losses, major business disruption,
inability to deliver customer services, or loss of, or ability to
access, data or systems or other sensitive information (including
as a result of an outage) and may cause associated reputational
damage. Any of these factors could increase costs (including costs
relating to notification of, or compensation for customers, credit
monitoring or card reissuance), result in regulatory investigations
or sanctions being imposed, or may affect NWB Group's ability to
retain and attract customers. Regulators in the UK, US, Europe and
Asia continue to recognise cybersecurity as an important systemic
risk to the financial sector and have highlighted the need for
financial institutions to improve their monitoring and control of,
and resilience (particularly of critical services) to cyberattacks,
and to provide timely reporting or notification of them, as
appropriate (including, for example, the SEC cybersecurity
requirements and the new EU Digital
Operational Resilience Act ('DORA')).
Furthermore, cyberattacks on NWB Group's counterparties and
suppliers may also have an adverse effect on NWB Group's
operations.
Additionally, malicious third
parties may induce employees, customers, third party providers or
other users with access to NWB Group's systems to wrongfully
disclose sensitive information to gain access to NWB Group's data
or systems or that of NWB Group's customers or
employees.
Cybersecurity and information
security events can derive from groups or factors such as: internal
or external threat actors, human error, fraud or malice on the part
of NWB Group's employees or third parties, including third party
providers, or may result from technological failure (including
defective, inadequate or inappropriately used artificial
intelligence based solutions).
NWB Group expects greater regulatory
engagement, supervision and enforcement to continue in relation to
its overall resilience to withstand IT and IT-related disruption,
either through a cyberattack or some other disruptive event. Such
increased regulatory engagement, supervision and enforcement is
uncertain in relation to the scope, cost, consequence and the pace
of change, which may have a material adverse effect on NWB Group.
Due to NWB Group's reliance on technology, the adoption of
innovative solutions, the integration of automated processes and
artificial intelligence in its business, and the increasing
sophistication, frequency and impact of cyberattacks, such attacks
may have an adverse effect on NWB Group.
In accordance with applicable UK and
EU data protection, and cybersecurity laws and regulations, NWB
Group is required to ensure it implements timely, appropriate and
effective organisational and technological safeguards against
unauthorised or unlawful access to the data of NWB Group, its
customers and its employees. In order to meet this requirement, NWB
Group relies on the effectiveness of its internal policies,
controls and procedures to protect the confidentiality, integrity
and availability of information held on its IT systems, networks
and devices as well as with third parties with whom NWB Group
interacts.
A failure to monitor and manage data
in accordance with applicable requirements may result in financial
losses, regulatory fines and investigations and associated
reputational damage.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group's operations and strategy
are highly dependent on the accuracy and effective use of
data.
NWB Group relies on the
availability, sourcing, and effective use of accurate and high
quality data to support, monitor, evaluate, manage and enhance its
operations, innovate its products offering, meet its regulatory
obligations, and deliver its strategy. Investment is being made in
data tools and analytics, including raising awareness around
ethical data usage (for example, in relation to the use of
artificial intelligence) and privacy across NWB Group. The
availability and accessibility of current, complete, detailed,
accurate and, wherever possible, machine-readable customer segment
and sub-sector data, together with appropriate governance and
accountability for data, is fast becoming a critical strategic
asset, which is subject to increased regulatory focus. Failure to
have or be able to access that data or the ineffective use or
governance of that data could result in a failure to manage and
report important risks and opportunities or satisfy customers'
expectations including the inability to deliver products and
services. This could also place NWB Group at a competitive
disadvantage by increasing its costs, inhibiting its efforts to
reduce costs or its ability to improve its systems, controls and
processes. Any of the above could result in a failure to deliver
NWB Group's strategy. These data weaknesses and limitations, or the
unethical or inappropriate use of data, and/or non-compliance with
data protection laws could give rise to conduct and litigation
risks and may increase the risk of operational challenges, losses,
reputational damage or other adverse consequences due to
inappropriate models, systems, processes, decisions or other
actions.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group's operations are highly
dependent on its complex IT systems and any IT failure could
adversely affect NWB Group.
NWB Group's operations are highly
dependent on the ability to process a very large number of
transactions efficiently and accurately while complying with
applicable laws and regulations. The proper functioning of NatWest
Group's (including NWB Group's) transactional and payment systems,
financial crime and fraud detection systems and controls, risk
management, credit analysis and reporting, accounting, customer
service and other IT systems, including cloud services providers
(some of which are owned and operated by other entities in NatWest
Group or third parties), as well as the communication networks
between their branches and main data processing centres, is
critical to NWB Group's operations.
Individually or collectively, any
system failure (including defective or inadequate automated
processes or artificial intelligence based solutions), loss of
service availability, mobile banking disruption, or breach of data
security could potentially cause significant damage to: (i)
important business services across NWB Group; and (ii) NWB Group's
ability to provide services to its customers, which could result in
reputational damage, significant compensation costs and regulatory
sanctions (including fines resulting from regulatory
investigations), or a breach of applicable regulations and could
affect NWB Group's regulatory approvals, competitive position,
business and brands, which could undermine its ability to attract
and retain customers and talent.
NWB Group outsources certain
functions as it innovates and offers new digital solutions to its
customers to meet the demand for online and mobile banking.
Outsourcing alongside remote working heighten the above risks. NWB
Group uses IT systems that enable remote working interface with
third-party systems, and NWB Group could experience service denials
or disruptions if such IT systems exceed capacity or if NWB Group
or a third-party system fails or experiences any interruptions, all
of which could result in business and customer interruption and
related reputational damage, significant compensation costs,
regulatory sanctions and/or a breach of applicable
regulations.
In 2024, NWB Group continued to make
considerable investments to further simplify, upgrade and improve
its IT and technology capabilities (including migration of certain
services to cloud platforms). NWB Group continues to develop and
enhance digital services for its customers and seeks to improve its
competitive position through integrating automated processes and
artificial intelligence based solutions in its business and by
enhancing controls and procedures and strengthening the resilience
of services including cybersecurity. Any failure of these
investment and rationalisation initiatives to achieve the expected
results, due to cost challenges, poor implementation, defects or
otherwise, may adversely affect NWB Group's operations, its
reputation and ability to retain or grow its customer business or
adversely affect its competitive position.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group relies on attracting,
retaining and developing diverse senior management and skilled
personnel, and is required to maintain good employee
relations.
NWB Group's success depends on its
ability to attract, retain (through creating an inclusive
environment), and develop highly skilled and qualified diverse
personnel, including senior management, directors and key employees
(including technology and data focused roles), in a highly
competitive market and under internal cost efficiency
pressures.
NWB Group's ability to attract,
retain and develop highly skilled and qualified diverse senior
management and skilled personnel may be more difficult due to
cost-controlling measures, failure to pay employees competitive
compensation, heightened regulatory oversight of banks and the
increasing scrutiny of, and (in some cases) restrictions placed
upon, employee compensation arrangements. In addition, certain economic, market and regulatory
conditions and political developments may reduce the pool of
candidates for key management and non-executive roles, including
non-executive directors with the right skills, knowledge and
experience, or may increase the number of departures of existing
employees. Moreover, a failure to foster a diverse and inclusive
workforce may adversely affect NWB Group's employee engagement and
the formulation and execution of its strategy, and could also have
an adverse effect on its reputation with employees, customers,
investors and regulators.
Many of NWB Group's employees in the
UK, the Republic of Ireland
and continental Europe are represented by employee
representative bodies, including trade unions and works councils.
Engagement with its employees and such bodies is important to NWB
Group in maintaining good employee relations. Any failure to do so
may adversely affect NWB Group's ability to operate its business
effectively.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
A failure in NWB Group's risk
management framework could adversely affect NWB Group, including
its ability to achieve its strategic objectives.
Risk management is an integral part
of all of NWB Group's activities and delivery of its long-term
strategy. NatWest Group's Enterprise-Wide Risk Management Framework
sets out the approach for managing risk within the NWB Group
including in relation to risk governance and risk appetite. A
failure to adhere to this framework and to agreed risk appetite
statements, or any material weaknesses or deficiencies in the
framework's controls and procedures, could adversely affect NatWest
Group's financial condition and strategic delivery, as well as
accurate reporting of risk exposures.
In addition, financial crime risk
management is dependent on the use and effectiveness of financial
crime assessment, systems and controls. Weak or ineffective
financial crime processes and controls may risk NWB Group
inadvertently facilitating financial crime which may result in
regulatory investigation, sanction, litigation, fines and/or
reputational damage. Financial crime continues to evolve, whether
through fraud, scams, cyberattacks or other criminal activity.
These risks are exacerbated as NWB Group continues to innovate its
product offering and increasingly offers digital solutions to its
customers, including through mobile banking.
NatWest Group (including NWB Group)
has made and continues to make significant, multi-year investments
to strengthen and improve its overall financial crime control
framework with prevention systems and capabilities,
including investment in new technologies and
capabilities to further enhance customer due diligence, transaction
monitoring, sanctions and anti-bribery and corruption
systems.
Financial risk management is highly
dependent on the use and effectiveness of internal stress tests and
models and ineffective risk management may arise from a wide
variety of factors, including lack of transparency or incomplete
risk reporting, manual processes and controls, inaccurate data,
inadequate IT systems, unidentified conflicts or misaligned
incentives, lack of accountability control and governance,
incomplete risk monitoring and management, insufficient challenges
or assurance processes, or a failure to commence or timely complete
risk remediation projects. Failure to manage risks effectively, or
within regulatory expectations, could adversely affect NWB Group's
reputation or its relationship with its regulators, customers,
shareholders or other stakeholders.
NWB Group's operations are
inherently exposed to conduct risks, which include business
decisions, actions or reward mechanisms that are not responsive to
or aligned with NWB Group's regulatory obligations, customers'
needs or do not reflect NWB Group's strategy, ineffective product
management, unethical or inappropriate use of data, information
asymmetry, implementation and utilisation of new technologies,
outsourcing of customer service and product delivery, inappropriate
behaviour towards customers, customer outcomes, the possibility of
mis-selling of financial products and mishandling of customer
complaints. Some of these risks have materialised in the past and
ineffective management and oversight of conduct risks may lead to
further remediation and regulatory intervention or enforcement. NWB
Group's businesses are also exposed to risks from employee,
contractor or service providers misconduct including non-compliance
with policies and regulations, negligence or fraud (including
financial crimes and fraud), any of which could result in
regulatory fines or sanctions and serious reputational or financial
harm to NWB Group. Hybrid working arrangements for NWB Group
employees place heavy reliance on the IT systems that enable remote
working and may place additional pressure on NWB Group's ability to
maintain effective internal controls and governance frameworks and
increase operational risk.
Hybrid working arrangements are also
subject to regulatory scrutiny to ensure adequate recording,
surveillance and supervision of regulated activities, and
compliance with regulatory requirements and expectations, including
requirements to: meet threshold conditions for regulated
activities; ensure the ability to oversee functions (including any
outsourced functions); ensure no detriment is caused to customers;
and ensure no increased risk of financial crime.
In addition, the UK's Net Zero
Strategy and NatWest Group's (including NWB Group) strategy
relating to climate and sustainability are important drivers as to
how NWB Group integrates climate (including physical and transition
risks) and other sustainability-related risks into its risk
management framework and practices (including for financing
activities or engaging with counterparties (including suppliers)).
Furthermore, legislative and regulatory authorities are publishing
expectations as to how banks should prudently manage and
transparently disclose climate and other sustainability-related
risks. Any failure of NWB Group to fully and timely embed climate
and other sustainability-related risks into its risk management
practices and framework to appropriately identify, assess,
prioritise and monitor such risks may have an adverse effect on NWB
Group.
Similarly, if NWB Group is unable to
apply the appropriate product governance processes in line with
NatWest Group's (including NWB Group) strategy and applicable legal
and regulatory requirements, it may have an adverse effect on NWB
Group.
NWB Group seeks to embed a risk
awareness culture across the organisation and has implemented
policies and allocated new resources across all levels of the
organisation to manage and mitigate conduct risk and expects to
continue to invest in risk management, including the ongoing
development of a NatWest Group risk management strategy in line
with regulatory expectations. However, such efforts may not
insulate NWB Group from instances of misconduct and no assurance
can be given that NWB Group's strategy and control framework will
be effective. Any failure in NWB Group's risk management framework
may result in the inability to achieve its strategic objectives for
its customers, employees and wider stakeholders.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group's operations are subject
to inherent reputational risk.
Reputational risk relates to
stakeholder and public perceptions of NWB Group arising from an
actual or perceived failure to meet stakeholder or the public's
expectations, including with respect to NatWest Group's strategy
and related targets or due to any events, behaviour, action or
inaction by NWB Group, its employees or those with whom NWB Group
is associated. See also, 'NWB Group's businesses are subject to
substantial regulation and oversight, which are constantly evolving
and may adversely affect NWB Group.' This includes harm to its
brand, which may be detrimental to NWB Group's business, including
its ability to build or sustain business relationships with
customers, stakeholders and regulators, and may cause low employee
morale, regulatory censure or reduced access to, or an increase in
the cost of, funding.
Reputational risk may arise whenever
there is, or there is perceived to be, a material lapse in
standards of integrity, controls, compliance, customer or operating
efficiency, or regulatory or press scrutiny, and may adversely
affect NWB Group's ability to attract and retain
customers.
In particular, NWB Group's ability
to attract and retain customers (particularly,
corporate/institutional and retail depositors), and talent, and
engage with counterparties may be adversely affected by factors
including: negative public opinion resulting from the actual or
perceived manner in which NWB Group or any other member of NatWest
Group conducts or modifies its business activities and operations,
media coverage (whether accurate or otherwise), employee
misconduct, NWB Group's financial performance, IT systems failures
or cyberattacks, data breaches, financial crime and fraud, the
level of direct and indirect
government support, or the actual or perceived
practices in the banking and financial industry in general, or a
wide variety of other factors.
Technologies, in particular online
social networks and other broadcast tools that facilitate
communication with large audiences in short timeframes and with
minimal costs, may also significantly increase and accelerate the
impact of damaging information and allegations.
Although NWB Group has a
Reputational Risk Policy and framework to identify, measure and
manage material reputational risk exposures, there is a risk that
it may not be successful in avoiding or mitigating damage to its
business or its various brands from reputational risk.
Any of the above aspects of
reputational risk may have a material adverse effect on NWB Group's
future results, financial condition, prospects, and/or
reputation.
Legal and regulatory risk
NWB Group's businesses are subject
to substantial regulation and oversight, which are constantly
evolving and may adversely affect NWB Group.
NWB Group is subject to extensive
laws, regulations, guidelines, corporate governance practice and
disclosure requirements, administrative actions and policies in
each jurisdiction in which it operates, which represents ongoing
compliance and conduct risks. Many of these are constantly evolving
and are subject to further material changes, which may increase
compliance and conduct risks, particularly as the laws of different
jurisdictions (including those of the EU/EEA and UK) diverge. NWB
Group expects government and regulatory intervention in the
financial services industry to remain high for the foreseeable
future.
Regulators and governments continue
to focus on reforming the prudential regulation of the financial
services industry and the way financial services are conducted.
Measures have included: enhanced capital, liquidity and funding
requirements, through initiatives such as the Basel 3.1 standards
implementation (and any resulting effect on RWAs and models), the
UK ring-fencing regime, the strengthening of the recovery and
resolution framework applicable to financial institutions in the
UK, EU and US, financial industry reforms (such as the FSMA 2023),
corporate governance requirements, rules relating to the
compensation of senior management and other employees, enhanced
data protection and IT resilience requirements (such
as DORA), financial market
infrastructure reforms, enhanced regulations in respect of the
provision of 'investment services and activities'.
There is also increased regulatory
focus in certain areas, including conduct, model risk governance,
consumer protection in retail or other financial markets (such as
the FCA's rules governing interactions with
and the provision of services to retail customers, the
'Consumer Duty'), competition and disputes
regimes, anti-money laundering, anti-corruption, anti-bribery,
anti-tax evasion, payment systems, sanctions and anti-terrorism
laws and regulations. In addition, there is significant oversight
by competition authorities. The competitive landscape for banks and
other financial institutions in the UK, EU/EEA, US and Asia is
rapidly changing. Recent regulatory and legal changes have resulted
and may continue to result, in new market participants and changed
competitive dynamics in certain key areas. Regulatory and
competition authorities, including the CMA, are also looking at and
focusing more on how they can support competition and innovation in
digital and other markets. Future competition investigations,
market reviews, or regulation of mergers may lead to the imposition
of financial penalties or market remedies that may adversely affect
NatWest Group's competitive or financial position. Recent
regulatory changes and heightened levels of public and regulatory
scrutiny in the UK, EU and US have resulted in increased capital,
funding and liquidity requirements, changes in the competitive
landscape, changes in other regulatory requirements and increased
operating costs, and have impacted, and will continue to impact,
product offerings and business models.
Moreover, uncertainties remain as to
the extent to which EU/EEA laws will diverge from UK law. For
example, bank regulation in the UK may diverge from European bank
regulation following the enactment of the Financial Services and
Markets Act 2023 ('FSMA 2023') and the Retained EU Law (Revocation
and Reform) Act 2023. In particular, FSMA 2023 provides for the
revocation of retained EU laws relating to financial services
regulation, but sets out that this process will likely take a
number of years and the intention is that specific retained EU laws
will not be revoked until such time as replacement regulatory rules
are in place. The actions taken by regulators in response to any
new or revised bank regulation and other rules affecting financial
services, may adversely affect NWB Group, including its business,
non-UK operations, group structure, compliance costs, intragroup
arrangements and capital requirements.
Other areas in which, and examples
of where, governmental policies, regulatory and accounting changes,
and increased public and regulatory scrutiny may have an adverse
effect (some of which could be material) on NWB Group include, but
are not limited to:
-
general changes in government, regulatory,
competition, or central bank policy (such as changes to the BoE
levy (including as a result of the proposed Bank Resolution
(Recapitalisation) Bill), or changes in regulatory regimes that may
influence investor decisions in the jurisdictions in which NWB
Group operates;
-
rules relating to foreign ownership,
expropriation, nationalisation and confiscation or appropriation of
assets;
-
increased scrutiny including from the CMA, FCA and
Payment Systems Regulator ('PSR') for the protection and resilience
of, and competition and innovation in, digital and other markets,
UK payment systems (with the development of the government's
National Payments Vision and Strategy) and retail banking
developments relating to the UK initiative on Open Banking, Open
Finance and the European directive on payment services;
-
the ongoing compliance with CMA's Market Orders
including the Retail Banking Market Order 2017 and SME
Undertakings;
-
ongoing competition litigation in the English
courts around payment card interchange fees, combined with
increased regulatory scrutiny (from the PSR) of the Visa and
Mastercard card schemes;
-
increased risk of new class action claims being
brought against NWB Group in the Competition Appeal Tribunal for
breaches of competition law;
-
increased risk of legal action against NWB Group
for financing or contributing to climate change and nature-related
degradation;
-
new or increased regulations relating to customer
data protection as well as IT controls and resilience, such as the
India Digital Personal Data Protection Act 2023;
-
the introduction of, and changes to, taxes, levies
or fees applicable to NWB Group's operations, changes in tax rates
(including changes to the taxation of non-UK domiciled
individuals), changes in the scope and administration of the Bank
Levy, increases in the bank corporation tax surcharge in the UK,
restrictions on the tax deductibility of interest payments or
further restrictions imposed on the treatment of carry-forward tax
losses that reduce the value of deferred tax assets and require
increased payments of tax;
-
the potential introduction by the BoE of a Central
Bank Digital Currency which could result in deposit outflows,
higher funding costs, and/or other implications for UK
banks;
-
regulatory enforcement in the form of PRA imposed
financial penalties for failings in banks' regulatory reporting
governance and controls, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny; the PRA's
thematic reviews of the governance, controls and processes for
preparing regulatory returns of selected UK banks, including
NatWest Group (of which NWB Group is a part of);
-
changes in policy and practice regarding
enforcement, investigations and sanctions, supervisory activities
and reviews;
-
the introduction of regulatory requirements to
ensure sufficient access by the general public to cash services
such as branches and ATMs;
-
'Dear CEO' and similar letters issued by
supervisors and regulators from time to time;
-
recent or proposed US regulations around
cybersecurity incidents, climate disclosures and other climate and
sustainability-related rules, or greenwashing;
-
new or increased regulations relating to financial
crime; and
-
any regulatory requirements relating to the use of
artificial intelligence and large language models across the
financial services industry (such as the European Union Artificial
Intelligence Act).
Any of these developments (including
any failure to comply with or correctly interpret new rules and
regulations) could also have an adverse effect on NWB Group's
authorisations and licences, the products and services that it may
offer, its reputation and the value of its assets, NWB Group's
operations or legal entity structure, and the manner in which it
conducts its business.
Material consequences could arise
should NWB Group be found non-compliant with these regulatory
requirements. Regulatory developments may also result in an
increased number of regulatory investigations and proceedings and
have increased the risks relating to NWB Group's ability to comply
with the applicable body of rules and regulations in the manner and
within the timeframes required.
Changes in laws, rules or
regulations, or in their interpretation or enforcement, or the
implementation of new laws, rules or regulations, including
contradictory or conflicting laws, rules or regulations by key
regulators or policymakers in different jurisdictions, or failure
by NWB Group to comply with such laws, rules and regulations, may
adversely affect NWB Group's business, results of operations and
outlook. In addition, uncertainty and insufficient international
regulatory coordination as enhanced supervisory standards are
developed and implemented may adversely affect NWB Group's
reputation, ability to engage in effective business, capital and
risk management planning.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
NWB Group is exposed to the risks of
various litigation matters, regulatory and governmental actions and
investigations as well as remedial undertakings, the outcomes of
which are inherently difficult to predict, and which could have an
adverse effect on NWB Group.
NWB Group's operations are diverse
and complex and it operates in legal and regulatory environments
that expose it to potentially significant civil actions (including
those following on from regulatory sanction), as well as criminal,
regulatory and governmental proceedings. NWB Group has resolved a
number of legal and regulatory actions over the past several years
but continues to be, and may in the future be, involved in such
actions in the UK, the US, Europe, and other
jurisdictions.
NWB Group is, has been or will
likely be involved in a number of significant legal and regulatory
actions, including investigations, proceedings and ongoing reviews
(both formal and informal) by governmental law enforcement and
other agencies and litigation proceedings, including in relation to
the setting of benchmark rates such as LIBOR and related
derivatives trading, product mis-selling, customer mistreatment,
anti-money laundering, antitrust, VAT recovery, record keeping,
reporting, and various other issues. There is also an increasing
risk of new class action claims being brought against NWB Group in
the Competition Appeal Tribunal for breaches of competition law, as
well as a risk of activist actions, particularly relating to
climate change and sustainability-related matters. Legal and
regulatory actions are subject to many uncertainties, and their
outcomes, including the timing, amount of fines, damages or
settlements or the form of any settlements, which may be material
and in excess of any related provisions, are often difficult to
predict, particularly in the early stages of a case or
investigation. NWB Group's expectation for resolution may change
and substantial additional provisions and costs may be recognised
in respect of any matter. For additional information relating to
legal, and regulatory proceedings and matters to which NWB Group is
currently exposed, see 'Litigation and regulatory matters' at Note
26 to the consolidated accounts.
Recently resolved matters or adverse
outcomes or resolution of current or future legal, regulatory or
other matters, including conduct-related reviews, and redress
projects, could increase the risk of greater regulatory and
third-party scrutiny and/or result in future legal or regulatory
actions, and could have material financial, reputational, or
collateral consequences for NWB Group's business and result in
restrictions or limitations on NWB Group's operations.
These may include the effective or
actual disqualification from carrying on certain regulated
activities and consequences resulting from the need to reapply for
various important licences or obtain waivers to conduct certain
existing activities of NWB Group, which may take a significant
period of time and the results and implications of which are
uncertain. Disqualification from carrying on any activities,
whether automatically as a result of the resolution of a particular
matter or as a result of the failure to obtain such licences or
waivers may have an adverse effect on NWB Group. This in turn
and/or any fines, settlement payments or penalties may have an
adverse effect on NWB Group. Similar consequences could result from
legal or regulatory actions relating to other parts of NatWest
Group.
Failure to comply with undertakings
made by NWB Group to its regulators may result in additional
measures or penalties being taken against NWB Group.
In addition, any failure to
administer conduct redress processes adequately, or to handle
individual complaints fairly or appropriately, could result in
further claims as well as the imposition of additional measures or
limitations on NWB Group's operations, additional supervision by
NWB Group's regulators, and loss of investor confidence.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Changes in tax legislation (or
application thereof) or failure to generate future taxable profits
may impact the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets
recognised by NWB Group.
In accordance with the accounting
policies set out in 'Critical accounting policies', NWB Group has
recognised deferred tax assets on losses available to relieve
future profits from tax only to the extent it is probable that they
will be recovered. The deferred tax assets are quantified on the
basis of current tax legislation and accounting standards and are
subject to change in respect of the future rates of tax or the
rules for computing taxable profits and offsetting allowable
losses.
Failure to generate sufficient
future taxable profits or further changes in tax legislation or the
application thereof (including with respect to rates of tax) or
changes in accounting standards may reduce the recoverable amount
of the recognised tax loss deferred tax assets, amounting to
£333 million as at
31 December 2024. Changes to the treatment of certain deferred tax
assets may impact NWB Group's capital position. In addition, NWB
Group's interpretation or application of relevant tax laws may
differ from those of the relevant tax authorities and provisions
are made for potential tax liabilities that may arise on the basis
of the amounts expected to be paid to tax authorities. The amounts
ultimately paid may differ materially from the amounts provided
depending on the ultimate resolution of such matters.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's future results, financial condition,
prospects, and/or reputation.
Climate and sustainability-related risks
NWB Group and its Value Chain face
climate and sustainability-related risks that may adversely affect
NWB Group.
Climate change has been identified
as a source of systemic risk, with potentially severe consequences
for financial institutions. The financial impacts of
climate-related risks are expected to be widespread and may disrupt
the orderly functioning of financial markets and have an adverse
effect on financial institutions, including NWB Group.
Financial and non-financial risks
from climate change can arise through physical and transition
risks. In addition, physical and transition risks can trigger
further losses, stemming directly or indirectly from legal claims,
litigation and conduct liability (referred to as 'liability
risk').
Whilst there are significant
uncertainties relating to the location, magnitude and timing of
climate-related physical risks, scientific research suggests
physical risks may occur in increasing frequency and severity.
Climate-related events like flood, wildfires and climatic changes
can damage assets and disrupt operations, leading to increased
costs, changes in asset values and loan defaults. Damage or
disruption to NWB Group customers' and counterparties' (including
suppliers') properties, premises and operations could disrupt
business, result in the deterioration of the value of collateral or
insurance shortfalls, impair asset values and negatively impact the
creditworthiness of customers and their ability and/or willingness
to pay fees, afford new products or repay their debts, leading to
increased default rates, delinquencies, write-offs and impairment
charges in NWB Group's portfolios. In addition, NWB Group's
premises and operations, or those of its critical outsourced
functions may experience damage or disruption leading to increased
costs for NWB Group.
To meet the goals of the UK's Net
Zero Strategy by 2050 will require a net-zero transition across all
sectors of the UK economy. The timing and pace of the transition to
a net-zero economy will depend on many factors and uncertainties
and may be near-term, gradual and orderly, or delayed, rapid and
disorderly, or a combination of these. A transition to a net-zero
economy requires significant and timely policy and regulatory
changes, immediate actions from national and regional governments,
new technological innovations and changes to supply and demand
systems within industries. The transition to a net-zero economy may
also trigger changes in consumer behaviour and market sentiment. In
addition, there is significant uncertainty about how climate change
and the world's transition to a net-zero economy will unfold over
time and how and when climate and other sustainability-related
risks will manifest. These timeframes are considerably longer than
NWB Group's historical and current strategic, financial, resilience
and investment planning horizons.
NWB Group and its value chain
(including its investors, customers, counterparties (including its
suppliers), business partners and employees) ('NWB Group's Value
Chain') may face financial and non-financial risks arising from
broader (i.e. non-climate-related) sustainability issues such as
risks relating to nature loss (such as the loss and/or decline of
the state of nature including but not limited to, the reduction of
any aspect of biological diversity and other forms of environmental
degradation such as air, water and land pollution, soil quality
degradation and water stress). NatWest Group recognises that
climate and nature-related risks are interlinked and therefore
NatWest Group aims to work towards enhancing processes and
capabilities to include assessments of nature-related risks and
opportunities within governance, risk management and stakeholder
engagement practices.
Climate and nature-related risks
may:
- adversely affect the broader
economy, influencing interest rates, inflation and growth,
impacting profitability and stability;
- adversely affect asset pricing and
valuations of NWB Group's own and other securities and, in turn,
the wider financial system;
- adversely affect economic
activities directly (for example through lower corporate
profitability or the devaluation of assets) or indirectly (for
example through macro-financial changes);
- adversely affect the viability or
resilience of business models over the medium to longer term,
particularly those business models most vulnerable to climate and
sustainability-related risks;
- trigger losses stemming directly
or indirectly from liability risks and/or reputational damage,
including as a result of adverse media coverage, activists, the
public, NWB Group's Value Chain associating NWB Group or its
customers with adverse climate and sustainability-related
issues;
- adversely affect NWB Group's
ability to contribute to deliver on NatWest Group's strategy,
including achieving its climate ambitions and targets;
and
- exacerbate other risk categories
to which NWB Group is exposed, including credit risk, operational
risk (including business continuity), market risk (both traded and
non-traded), liquidity and funding risk (for example, net cash
outflows or depletion of liquidity buffers), reputational risk,
pension risk, regulatory compliance risk and conduct
risk.
In addition to nature-related risks,
NWB Group and NWB Group's Value Chain may face financial and
non-financial risks arising from other sustainability-related
issues such as (i) risks related to social issues (including human
rights), for example, negative impact on people's standard of
living and health, political and geopolitical tensions and conflict
endangering people's lives and security, displacement of
communities, the violation of indigenous people's rights, unjust
working conditions and labour rights breaches (including
discrimination, lack of diversity and inclusion, inequality,
gender/ethnicity pay gap and payments under the minimum wage),
modern slavery, accessible banking and financial inclusion,
financial crime, data privacy breaches, innovation, digitalisation
and AI, and lack of support for the vulnerable; and (ii)
governance-related risks (including board diversity, ethical
corporate culture, executive compensation and management
structure).
There is also growing expectation
from customers, investors, policymakers, regulators and society of
the need for a 'just transition' - in recognition that the
transition to net zero should happen in a way that is as fair and
inclusive as possible to everyone concerned. Although NatWest Group
(including NWB Group) continues to evaluate and assess whether and,
if so, how it integrates 'just transition' considerations into its
strategy and decision-making, a failure (or perception of failure)
by NatWest Group (including NWB Group) to sufficiently factor these
considerations into existing products and service offerings may
adversely affect NatWest Group (including NWB Group), including
NatWest Group's (including NWB Group) reputation.
If NWB Group fails to identify,
assess, prioritise, monitor, react to and prevent appropriately:
(i) climate and sustainability-related impacts, risks and
opportunities; and (ii) changing regulatory and market expectations
and societal preferences that NWB Group and NWB Group's Value Chain
face, in a timely manner or at all, this may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's business, future results, financial
condition, prospects (including cash flows, access to finance or
cost of capital over the short, medium or long term), reputation or
the price of its securities.
NatWest Group's strategy relating to
climate change, ambitions, targets and transition plan entail
significant execution and/or reputational risks and are unlikely to
be achieved without significant and timely government policy,
technology and customer behavioural changes.
At NatWest Group's Annual General
Meeting in April 2022, ordinary shareholders passed an advisory
'Say on Climate' resolution endorsing NatWest Group's previously
announced strategic direction on climate change, including its
ambitions to at least halve the climate impact of its financing
activity by 2030, achieve alignment with the 2015 Paris Agreement
and reach net zero across its financed emissions, assets under
management and operational value chain by 2050. NatWest Group may
also announce other climate and sustainability-related ambitions,
targets and initiatives and/or retire or change existing
ones.
Making the changes necessary by NWB
Group to contribute to achieve NatWest Group's climate ambitions
and targets and executing its transition plan, together with the
active management of climate and sustainability-related risks and
other regulatory, policy and market changes, is likely to
necessitate material changes to NWB Group's business, operating
model, its existing exposures and the products and services NWB
Group provides to its customers (potentially on accelerated
timescales). NWB Group may be required to: (i) in the medium and
long term significantly reduce its financed emissions and its
exposure to customers that do not align with a transition to net
zero or do not have a credible transition plan in place, and (ii)
divest or discontinue certain activities for regulatory or legal
reasons or in response to the transition to a less carbon-dependent
economy.
Increases in lending and financing
activities may wholly or partially offset some or all these
reductions, which may increase the extent of changes and reductions
necessary.
Making the necessary changes, or
failing to make the necessary changes in a timely manner, or at all
to achieve NatWest Group's climate ambitions and targets and
executing its transition plan, together with the active management
of climate and sustainability-related risks and other regulatory,
policy and market changes may have an adverse effect on NatWest
Group and NatWest Group's ability to achieve its climate and
financial ambitions and targets, take advantage of climate
change-related opportunities and generate sustainable
returns.
NWB Group's ability to contribute to
achieving NatWest Group's strategy, including contributing to
achieve NatWest Group's climate ambitions and targets, will
significantly depend on many factors and uncertainties beyond NWB
Group's control. These include: (i) the extent and pace of climate
change, including the timing and manifestation of physical and
transition risks; (ii) the macroeconomic environment; (iii) the
effectiveness of actions of governments, legislators, regulators
and businesses; (iv) the response of the wider society, NWB Group's
Value Chain and other stakeholders to mitigate the impact of
climate and sustainability-related risks; (v) changes in customer
behaviour and demand; (vi) appetite for new markets, credit
appetite, concentration risk appetite, lending opportunities; (vii)
developments in the available technology; (viii) the rollout of low
carbon infrastructure; and (ix) the availability of accurate,
verifiable, reliable, auditable, consistent and comparable data.
These external factors and other uncertainties will make it
challenging for NWB Group to contribute to achieving NatWest
Group's climate ambitions and targets and there is a significant
risk that all or some of these ambitions and targets will not be
achieved or not achieved within the intended timescales.
NWB Group's ability to contribute to
achieving NatWest Group's climate ambitions and targets depends to
a significant extent on the timely implementation and integration
of appropriate government policies. The UK Climate Change Committee
('UK CCC') 2024 Progress Report to the UK Parliament states that
the UK is not on track to hit its legislated target to reduce
emissions in 2030 by 68% compared to 1990 levels and only a third
of the emission reductions required to achieve the UK's 2030 target
are currently covered by credible plans, with action needed across
all sectors of the economy. NatWest Group's climate ambitions are
unlikely to be achieved without timely and appropriate government
policy and technology developments, as well as supplier, customer
and societal response required to support the
transition.
The UK CCC is expected to publish
its Seventh Carbon Budget on 26 February 2025. NatWest Group
expects this to take into account new UK policy initiatives
announced by the UK government in November 2024 and NatWest Group
plans to review its climate ambitions in the context of the of the
UK's Seventh Carbon Budget, once released.
Climate and sustainability matters
are also becoming increasingly politicised and polarised. Some of
NWB Group's customers, investors or other stakeholders may decide
not to do business with NWB Group because, according to their own
assessment, NatWest Group's (including NWB Group) strategy,
ambitions and targets related to climate and sustainability do not
meet their expectations, either for lacking the necessary ambition
or progress, or for being perceived as overly concerned about
sustainability.
Any delay or failure by NWB Group in
putting into effect, making progress against or meeting NatWest
Group's climate and sustainability-related ambitions, targets and
plans may have a material adverse effect on NWB Group's future
results, financial condition, prospects, and/or reputation and may
increase the climate and sustainability-related risks NWB Group
faces.
There are significant limitations
related to accessing accurate, reliable, verifiable, auditable,
consistent and comparable climate and other sustainability-related
data that contribute to substantial uncertainties in accurately
modelling and reporting on climate and sustainability information,
as well as making appropriate important internal
decisions.
Accurate assessment and reporting of
climate and sustainability-related impacts,
risks, opportunities and other climate and sustainability-related
matters, and related metrics depends on access to accurate,
reliable, verifiable, auditable, consistent and comparable data
from counterparties (including suppliers), customers, or other
third parties. Data of adequate quality may not be generally
available or, if available, may not be accurate, reliable,
verifiable, auditable, consistent, or comparable. In the absence of other sources,
reporting on climate and sustainability-related matters (including
reporting on NatWest Group's (including NWB Group) financed
emissions) may be based on estimated or aggregated information
developed by third parties (or customers) that may be prepared in
an inconsistent way using different methodologies, interpretations,
or assumptions that may not be accurate for a given counterparty
(including supplier) or customer. There may also be data gaps and
limitations that are addressed using estimates based on assumptions
about matters that are inherently uncertain or proxy data, such as
sectoral averages or use of emissions estimated by a third party,
again developed in a variety of ways and in some cases not in a
timely manner causing data to be potentially outdated at the time
when they are used.
Significant risks, uncertainties and
variables are inherent in the assessment, measurement and
mitigation of climate and sustainability-related risks. These
include data quality gaps and limitations mentioned above, as well
as the pace at which climate science, greenhouse gas accounting
standards and various emissions reduction solutions develop. In
addition, there is significant uncertainty about how climate change
and the world's transition to a net-zero economy will unfold over
time and how and when climate and sustainability-related risks will
manifest. These timeframes are considerably longer than NWB Group's
historical and current strategic, financial, resilience and
investment planning horizons.
As a result, NWB Group's assessment
of climate and sustainability impacts, risks, opportunities and
other climate and sustainability-related matters is likely to
evolve and its climate and sustainability-related disclosures may
be amended, updated or restated in the future as the quality and
completeness of NWB Group's data and methodologies continue to
improve.
These data quality challenges, gaps
and limitations may also have a material impact on NWB Group's
ability to make effective business decisions about climate and
sustainability-related impacts, risks, opportunities and other
climate and sustainability-related matters, including risk
management decisions, to comply with disclosure requirements and to
monitor and report progress in meeting ambitions, targets and
pathways all of which may have an adverse effect on NWB
Group.
Climate-related risks are
challenging to model due to their forward-looking nature, the lack
of and/or quality of historical testing capabilities, lack of
accuracy, standardisation and incompleteness of emissions and other
climate and sub-sector related data and the immature nature of risk
measurement and modelling methodologies. As a result, it is very
difficult to predict and model the impact of climate-related risks
into precise financial and economic outcomes. The evaluation of
climate-related risk exposure and the development of associated
potential risk mitigation techniques also largely depend on the
choice of climate scenario modelling methodology and the
assumptions made which involves a number of risks and
uncertainties. Accordingly, these risks and uncertainties coupled
with significantly long timeframes make the outputs of
climate-related risk modelling, climate-related targets (including
emission reduction targets) and pathways, inherently more uncertain
than outputs modelled for traditional financial planning cycles
based on historical financial information.
Capabilities within NWB Group to
appropriately assess, model, report and manage climate and
sustainability-related impacts and risks and the suitability of the
assumptions required to model and manage climate and
sustainability-related risks appropriately continue to develop and
mature. Even when those capabilities are appropriately developed,
the high level of uncertainty regarding any assumptions modelled,
the highly subjective nature of risk measurement and mitigation
techniques, incorrect or inadequate assumptions and judgements and
data quality gaps and limitations may lead to inadequate risk
management information and frameworks, or ineffective business
adaptation or mitigation strategies or regulatory
non-compliance.
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's business, future results, financial
condition, prospects, reputation and the price of its
securities.
NWB Group is becoming subject to
more extensive, and sophisticated climate and other
sustainability-related laws, regulation and oversight and there is
an increasing risk of regulatory enforcement, investigation and
litigation.
NWB Group and its subsidiaries are
increasingly becoming subject to more extensive, and sophisticated
sustainability-related laws and regulations in the UK, EU and the
US, including in relation to mandatory climate and other
sustainability reporting and due diligence, climate transition
plan, product labelling and combatting "greenwashing".
Compliance with these complex,
evolving and often diverging legal, regulatory and supervisory
requirements and voluntary standards and initiatives is likely to
require NWB Group to implement significant changes to its business
models, IT systems, products, governance, internal controls over
financial and non-financial reporting, disclosure controls and
procedures, modelling capability and risk management systems, which
may increase the cost of doing business, result in higher capital
requirements, and entail additional change risk and increased
compliance, regulatory sanctions, conduct and litigation (including
settlements) costs. A failure by NWB Group or any of its
subsidiaries to comply with these climate and
sustainability-related legal, regulatory and supervisory
requirements and standards and meet expectations of NWB Group's
Value Chain in this respect may result in investigations and
regulatory sanction each of which may have an adverse effect on NWB
Group and the successful implementation of NatWest Group's
(including NWB Group) strategy relating to climate and
sustainability.
Certain non-UK subsidiaries of NWB
Group in the EU and elsewhere may also be subject to EU, national
and other climate and sustainability laws and regulations which in
some cases may differ. Divergence between UK, EU, US and other
climate and sustainability-related legal, regulatory and
supervisory requirements and their interpretation may increase the
cost of doing business (including increased operating costs) and
may result in regulatory non-compliance and litigation
risk.
Failure by NWB Group to comply with
these divergent legal, regulatory and supervisory requirements (if
applicable to NWB Group) may have an adverse effect on NWB Group's
ability to contribute to the successful implementation of NatWest
Group's strategy relating to climate change including when
contributing to setting up NatWest Group's climate ambitions and
targets and to executing NatWest Group's transition plan and may
result in NWB Group and/or its subsidiaries not meeting investors'
expectations.
Increasing new climate and
sustainability-related jurisprudence, laws and regulations in the
UK and other jurisdictions, regulatory scrutiny, expose financial
institutions, including NWB Group, to face increasing litigation,
conduct, enforcement and contract liability risks related to
climate change, nature-related degradation, human rights violations
and other social, governance and sustainability-related issues.
Furthermore, regulatory and enforcement activity around climate and
sustainability initiatives that promote more extensive
sustainability-related requirements and those that impose
divestment and other sanctions against financial institutions that
implement climate and sustainability-related initiatives is
becoming increasingly divergent and conflicting between
jurisdictions, in particular in the United States. Any failure of
NWB Group to develop and implement robust and effective governance,
controls and procedures over climate and sustainability-related
impact assessment, disclosure, reporting and other communications
and sustainability-related claims (including in relation to NWB
Group's products, services and strategy) and comply with them in
line with applicable legal and regulatory requirements and
expectations, may give rise to increased complaints, regulatory
enforcement (including sanctions), investigation and litigation and
may adversely affect NWB Group's regulatory compliance, investor
base and reputation.
Furthermore, there is a risk that
shareholders, campaign groups, customers and activist groups could
seek to take legal action against NWB Group for financing or
contributing to actual or perceived harm to the environment or
people, climate change, nature-related degradation and human rights
violations, failure to implement or follow adequate governance
procedures and for not supporting the principles of 'just
transition' (i.e. maximising the social benefits of the transition,
mitigating the social risks of the transition, empowering those
affected by the change, anticipating future shifts to address
issues up front and mobilising investments from the public and
private sectors).
Any of the above may have a material
adverse effect on NWB Group's business, future results, financial
condition, prospects, reputation and the price of its
securities
Legal Entity Identifier:
213800IBT39XQ9C4CP71