TIDM85FA

Notting Hill Genesis

25 November 2020

Notting Hill Genesis Trading Update

6 months ended 30 September 2020

Overview

Notting Hill Genesis (NHG) is one of the largest housing associations in England, providing around 66,000 homes across London and the South East. NHG works in the community, providing homes for lower-income households. This is our primary purpose, and everything else we do supports that aim.

The COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic has evolved rapidly in 2020, and NHG has evaluated the potential impact of this on various areas of the business. This is discussed in further detail throughout the trading update.

The following trading update compares the NHG unaudited accounts for the six months ended 30 September 2020 with the unaudited prior year equivalent position, being the six months ended 30 September 2019.

Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income

 
                            6 months 
                            ended 30                               6 months ended 
                            Sep 2020                                  30 Sep 2019                             Movement 
                                GBPm                                         GBPm                                 GBPm 
                   -----------------  -------------------------------------------  ----------------------------------- 
 Turnover                      483.9                                        343.5                                140.4 
 Cost of sales               (147.7)                                       (59.9)                               (87.8) 
 Operating costs             (190.2)                                      (200.0)                                  9.8 
 Surplus on 
  disposal of 
  fixed 
  assets                         9.2                                         13.3                                (4.1) 
 Gains from joint 
  ventures                       3.0                                         11.8                                (8.8) 
                   -----------------  -------------------------------------------  ----------------------------------- 
 Operating 
  surplus                      158.2                                        108.7                                 49.5 
                   -----------------  -------------------------------------------  ----------------------------------- 
 Net interest 
  payable                     (71.5)                                       (60.7)                               (10.8) 
 Movements in 
 respect of 
 financial 
 derivatives               2.1                                                3.7                                (1.6) 
                   -----------------  -------------------------------------------  ----------------------------------- 
 Surplus to 30 
  September                     88.8                                         51.7                                 37.1 
                   -----------------  -------------------------------------------  ----------------------------------- 
 

Trading Update

Overall, turnover increased by 40.9% to GBP483.9m, while operating surplus increased by 45.5% to GBP158.2m from GBP108.7m. The growth in surplus can be attributed to increase in private sales up 587.4% from GBP25.8m to GBP177.5m primarily due to sales at the Canada Water, Wooddene and Manor Place Depot sites.

We sold 243 homes (30 September 2019: 337 homes) during the 6 months ended 30 September 2020. Due to the lower number of units staircased and less favourable surplus achieved on other sales, the surplus on sale of fixed assets decreased by 30.8% from GBP13.3m to GBP9.2m.

Joint venture income has decreased by 74.4% from GBP11.8m to GBP3.0m as there has been less sales activity in this area in 2020.

Net interest paid has increased by 17.8% to GBP71.5m due to the additional finance costs in relation to the sale of the Canada Water site and the reduction in interest capitalised.

The fair value movement of hedged financial derivatives has resulted in a positive movement of GBP2.1m (30 September 2019: GBP3.7m).

Consolidated Statement of Financial Position

 
                                 As at 30      As at 31 
                                 Sep 2020    March 2020   Movement 
                                     GBPm          GBPm       GBPm 
                               ----------  ------------  --------- 
 Housing properties               6,648.5       6,593.0       55.5 
 Other tangible assets              128.9         133.1      (4.2) 
 Investments                      1,075.5       1,064.2       11.3 
 Net current assets                 404.1         454.2     (50.1) 
                               ----------  ------------  --------- 
 Total assets less current 
  liabilities                     8,257.0       8,244.5       12.5 
                               ----------  ------------  --------- 
 Loans due in more than one 
  year                            3,296.8       3,364.7     (67.9) 
 Unamortised grant liability      1,229.8       1,212.2       17.6 
 Other long-term liabilities        303.1         322.1     (19.0) 
 Capital and reserves             3,427.3       3,345.5       81.8 
                               ----------  ------------  --------- 
 Total funding                    8,257.0       8,244.5       12.5 
                               ----------  ------------  --------- 
 

Investment and Debt Analysis

Housing properties have increased by 0.8% during the 6 months ended 30 September 2020. We have completed 442 properties (30 September 2019: 630 properties) since 1 April 2020, of which 81 (18%) (30 September 2019:127 (20.2%)) were specifically built for social or affordable rent. An additional 41 (30 September 2019: 128) homes have been delivered via stock transfers or the purchase and repair programme. We currently have over 10,082 (30 September 2019: 12,540) homes in our overall development programme, of which 61% (30 September 2019: 58%) are designated as affordable or social tenure types. The movement of 2,458 relates primarily to handovers, 651 as a result of aborted schemes and 803 homes on the sale of the Canada Water site.

Investments have increased by 1.1%, which is primarily due to expenditure on market rent properties in our Folio business. Investment properties are revalued annually by an external third party valuer at 31 March. Investment properties have not been revalued at 30 September in either year.

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing market uncertainties, the Board and management continue to review the carrying value of investments. Management have also considered the likelihood of recovery of all debtors with specific consideration to the level of arrears, and likelihood of non-payment.

Group debt as at 30 September 2020 was GBP3,418.3m (as at 31 March 2020: GBP3,486.2m) and undrawn facilities as at September 2020 was GBP879.6m (as at 31 March 2020: GBP474.5m).

It is currently difficult to measure the potential impact of Covid 19 crisis on every area of operations on which restrictions remain in place. However, NHG remains a financially robust organisation with substantial liquidity. NHG retains good relationships with its principal lenders, and is ready and able to access the capital market as necessary.

Principal Financing Activities

During the half year, the Bank of England confirmed NHG as eligible to access its Covid Corporate Finance Facility from July 2020 with a limit of GBP300.0m. As at 30 September, GBP255.0m had been utilised.

In addition, our market rent subsidiary, Folio London Limited secured GBP250.0m by issuing a seven year bond. The bond was secured on 1,523 homes in London and Chelmsford. The yield was 1.248%. The bond was priced on 21 September 2020 and the proceeds received on 5 October 2020. The funds were used to reduce intra group financing.

Other financial information

 
                          6 months    6 months 
                          ended 30    ended 30 
                          Sep 2020    Sep 2019            Movement 
                              GBPm        GBPm                GBPm 
                        ----------  ----------  ------------------ 
 Capitalised interest          8.7        11.9               (3.2) 
                        ----------  ----------  ------------------ 
 Housing depreciation         25.7        26.1               (0.4) 
                        ----------  ----------  ------------------ 
 Other depreciation            4.9         4.0                 0.9 
                        ----------  ----------  ------------------ 
 

The decrease in capitalised interest is mainly attributable to the carrying value of on-site schemes at 30 September 2020, which is GBP243.0m lower than the carrying value of schemes on site at 30 September 2019. In addition, the impact of the first UK-wide lockdown due to COVID-19 in March 2020, meant that some development sites halted construction for some time. All developments are now back on site.

Housing depreciation has remained broadly consistent year on year.

Key performance statistics

 
                                              6 months     6 months 
                                             to 30 Sep    to 30 Sep 
                                                  2020         2019   Movement 
                                                     %            %          % 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Surplus as % of turnover                         18.4         15.1        3.3 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Operating margin                                 32.7         31.6        1.1 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Operating margin - Social Housing 
  lettings                                        33.7         25.5        8.2 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Surplus as % of income from lettings             36.7         22.2       11.2 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Rent losses (voids and bad debts 
  as % of rent and service charges 
  receivable)                                      2.6          2.8      (0.2) 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Rent arrears (gross arrears as 
  % of rent and service charges 
  receivable)                                      9.0          7.7        1.3 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 Interest cover (surplus before 
  interest payable, depreciation 
  and amortisation of housing properties 
  as % of interest payable)                      246.0        205.6       40.4 
                                           -----------  -----------  --------- 
 

Gearing (total loans as a % of housing properties (including investment properties and unsold homes) fell from 40.7% at 31 March 2020 to 40.5% at 30 September 2020.

Full year position

We are currently undertaking a comprehensive safety review across a six-block residential development in West London, the Paragon, following receipt of expert advice regarding the construction of the buildings. Approximately 1,000 residents were asked to vacate their homes to protect their health and safety, while further investigative work is being carried out.

The financial impact on NHG arising from the Paragon works will be included in the financial statements for the year ending 31 March 2021.

The Board set a budgeted surplus of GBP50.1m for the 6 months ended 30 September 2020, achieving GBP88.8m, with a full year budgeted surplus to 31 March 2020 of GBP101.2m. Although the current operating environment is more volatile than usual, and the costs arising at the Paragon remain uncertain, we currently expect to achieve the budgeted surplus.

Neither the budget, nor the year end estimate include allowances for mark to market movements in financial derivatives, or for movements in the value of investment properties.

 
 For further information, please 
  contact: 
 Financial enquiries 
                                             -------------- 
 Paul Phillips, Chief Financial 
  Officer                                     020 3815 0031 
                                             -------------- 
 Media enquiries 
                                             -------------- 
 Kate Jeffreys, Director of Communications    020 3815 0072 
                                             -------------- 
 

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