2nd UPDATE:Royal Caribbean Swings To 1Q Loss;Results Top Views
April 23 2009 - 10:54AM
Dow Jones News
The seas are still rough for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL),
but they're not as rocky as expected.
The company swung to a narrower-than-expected first-quarter loss
as consumers continued to spend less on discretionary items like
vacations. But the second-largest cruise ship operator by market
share behind Carnival Corp. (CCL) found some encouragement in
cruise booking patterns, which are continuing to stabilize.
The cruise line company also cut its 2009 earnings forecast by a
nickel to $1.35 a share, while analysts recently were looking for a
steeper decline to 97 cents, according to Thomson Reuters.
"The most of remarkable news about the quarter and about our
outlook is that we have a very little new to report overall; the
year's developing pretty much in-line with what we said three
months ago," Chairman and Chief Executive Richard Fain said in the
company's earnings call.
Royal Caribbean's shares were up 9.6% to $12.50 in recent
trading. Through Wednesday, the stock was down two-thirds in the
past year.
With steadier booking patterns and financing related to ship
orders settled, Susquehanna Financial Group analyst Robert LaFleur
said a lot of negative overhang on Royal Caribbean's stock is gone.
He expects a "very strong day today."
Last week, Royal Caribbean announced it had arranged funding
commitments for 80% of the price of its new Oasis of the Seas
cruise ship, expected to launch in the fourth quarter. Previously a
concern, the announcement encouraged investors that the company
could still get financing despite the tough environment.
Chief Financial Officer Brian Rice said booking patterns have
stabilized further since January, when they began to regain their
footing, but a great deal of uncertainty remains.
Passengers continue to book trips closer to sail date, spend
less onboard, especially on art auctions and gambling, and prefer
shorter, cheaper trips to the Caribbean over longer sails to
Europe.
People also are looking to sail closer to home, with
three-fourths of Royal Caribbean's European passengers hailing from
the continent, the company said in the call.
Discounting remains aggressive, with CEO Fain calling pricing
"miserable" in the call. He did not elaborate how much cruise
prices have been discounted, but said the pricing hair cuts
remained within the company's expectations.
Also, price cuts have leveled off in the past few months, and
there has been a slight uptick in people booking trips recently
three to six months ahead, CFO Rice said in the call.
"We are obviously not completely back to equilibrium yet, but
the predictability of our bookings gets better every day," Rice
said.
Zacks Investment Research analyst Sean P. Smith found the
company's results encouraging, although he noted Royal Caribbean
still would still face challenges ahead.
Still, "this report could mark the beginning of stabilization
for the company's operations," Smith said.
Cruise lines' profits fell last year, but not as far as those of
some major hoteliers. Some analysts say cruise lines may be in
relatively good shape compared to other travel companies, owing to
their pricing and itinerary flexibility.
Royal Caribbean - whose brands also include Celebrity - reported
a net loss of $36.2 million, or 17 cents a share, compared with
prior-year net income of $75.6 million, or 35 cents a share. The
company in January projected a loss of 30 cents to 35 cents.
Revenue decreased to $1.33 billion, as ticket revenues and
amount spent onboard both fell. Analysts most recently expected
$1.31 billion.
Operating margin fell to 28.2% from 32.7% despite fuel costs
declining 2%. Net yields, or revenue per available passenger cruise
days, fell 13.5% - slightly less than the drop projected in
January. The second quarter's figure is seen falling 17%, or 12% on
a constant currency basis.
For the year, the company expects net yields to be toward the
lower end of its prior guidance of a 12% to 13% drop.
-By Kelly Nolan; Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-4049;
kelly.nolan@dowjones.com
(Tess Stynes contributed to this report.)