UPDATE: Chi Fed Midwest Manufacturing At 15-Year Low, Car Output Nosedive
March 18 2009 - 12:37PM
Dow Jones News
Plagued by a near-bankrupt U.S. auto industry, manufacturing
activity in the Midwestern U.S. plunged to a nearly 15-year low in
January, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago revealed
Wednesday.
The Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing index dropped 5.9% in
January to a seasonally adjusted level of 85.6. That's the lowest
reading since July 1994, the Chicago Fed reported.
Data compilers also revised downward its December index to 91.0,
from their initial estimate of 92.2.
The regional index was down 21.8% from January 2008, falling at
a faster clip than the 13.0% decline felt nationwide.
The same index was also weaker than the Federal Reserve Board's
industrial production index for manufacturing, which declined 2.6%
in January.
The auto sector was by far the weakest of the four components
that make up the manufacturing index.
The five-state Midwest region includes Michigan, which is home
to the nation's largest auto manufacturers. President Barack
Obama's auto task force is looking at ways outside of bankruptcy
court to restructure severely struggling General Motors Corp. (GM)
and Chrysler LLC.
The auto sector index tumbled 20.0% in January on the heels of
only a 1.8% decline in December. The January index reading of 49.5
was the lowest since August 1991, according to the Chicago Fed.
Compared to year-ago levels, regional output was down 42.2%,
versus a 24.3% decline nationwide. In January alone, national auto
output fell 10.1%, a much slower contraction than was experienced
on a regional basis.
Midwestern steel manufacturing dropped 4.9% in January,
following a 6.7% December decline. Nationally, steel output fell
3.8% in January and 20.5% from the same period a year ago. In the
Midwestern states, steel output dropped 26.5% from the year-ago
level.
The Chicago Fed also reported machinery output declined 3.5% in
January, from a 4.2% slide in December. Nationally, January's drop
was a more tepid 2.2%, and 11% below the year-ago figure. Compared
to January 2008, machinery output in the Midwest was down
16.2%.
A rise in food production resulted in the only increase among
the index's four major categories. Resource output edged up 0.1% in
January, following a 4.6% decline in December.
"The increase in food production offset the other four
subsectors - chemical, paper, wood, and nonmetallic mineral
production - that decreased from December to January," the Chicago
Fed said in a news release.
Nationally, resource production slipped 0.1% in January and fell
8.6% compared to the same time last year. Regional resource
production was down 10.1% during January, the Chicago Fed
reported.
In addition to Michigan, the index encompasses Illinois,
Indiana, Iowa and Wisconsin, making up the Chicago Federal Reserve
District.
The Chicago Fed counts the number of hours worked to measure
changes in regional activity.
The Chicago Fed is scheduled to release its February index April
6.
-By Howard Packowitz, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4132;
howard.packowitz@dowjones.com