Bitcoin Hits S2F Threshold: Should You Hold Tight Or Take Profits?
November 22 2024 - 6:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has so far continued to level up in terms of price
performance, hitting new highs consistently for the past week. As a
result of this, investors seem to be curious about whether it’s
time to secure profits or stay bullish for the next leg of the
cycle. A recent analysis by a CryptoQuant analyst, known as
Darkfost, sheds light on this and the current market sentiment,
offering insights into potential strategies for navigating the
current phase of Bitcoin’s cycle. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals
Bitcoin’s Hidden Price Zones: Key Levels Investors Need To Watch
Time to Secure Profits? Darkfost’s observations center around the
S2F reversion metric, a tool used to gauge market conditions and
identify strategic moments for buying or selling Bitcoin. According
to the analyst, this metric has reached 2.5, a historical indicator
that signals the market is “heating up.” While this doesn’t suggest
Bitcoin has reached its cycle peak, it indicates that the asset is
entering a phase where profit-taking could be a wise strategy.
Darkfost wrote: Currently, the S2F reversion has reached the 2.5
level, which historically suggests that starting to take some
profits may be prudent. This doesn’t indicate we’ve reached the
cycle’s top, but it means that the market is beginning to heat up
but stay bull. Notably, the S2F (Stock-to-Flow) reversion metric is
derived from Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow model, which compares the
asset’s existing supply with its annual production rate. This model
has historically provided insights into Bitcoin’s valuation and
potential price movements. The S2F reversion specifically measures
deviations from this model, with higher levels typically indicating
overbought conditions in the market. While the S2F metric for
Bitcoin has now reached 2.5 level, Darkfost has pointed out when to
take profit, noting: The next target for further profit-taking
would likely be when the S2F reversion metric reaches the 3.0
level. Bitcoin Market Performance Bitcoin remains in a bullish
trend. Earlier today, the asset reached a new all-time high (ATH)
of $98,310 bringing its year-to-date price performance to over
160%. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Warns of Potential Bitcoin
Market Shift as Exchange Reserves Decline However, at the time of
writing, BTC has faced a little price correction from its peak as
it trades for $97,236, down by 1.2% from its ATH but still up by
3.1% in the past day. Analysts say the asset is primed for a
further rally to the six-figure price mark. Ali, one of the
prominent crypto analysts in the space, for instance has recently
highlighted that with Bitcoin breaking out of a bullish flag on the
lower time frames, the asset could reach $100,000 as soon as today.
#Bitcoin $BTC could reach $100,000 today as it appears to be
breaking out of a bull flag on the lower timeframes.
pic.twitter.com/UKKcXilHO4 — Ali (@ali_charts) November 21, 2024
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