The domestic bond market in the U.S. has witnessed material
shifts in the recent past. Perceived as one of the ‘safest’
investment avenues in the world, the U.S. Dollar denominated
Treasury Bonds have a long tradition of being the ultimate savior
for the investors seeking refuge from the turmoil in the global
economy.
To start with, let us consider the past five years. The gloomy
days of the 2008 sub-prime crisis are still fresh in the memories
of investors worldwide. Not only did it threaten to doom the entire
U.S. financial system, but also caused massive losses across major
stock exchanges across the globe. (read 3 Safe Havens to Weather
the Storm)
In October 2008, when Lehman Brothers filed a bankruptcy
petition (which marked the beginning of the crisis), the benchmark
10 year Treasury rates were hovering near 3.82% levels around. As a
result of global risk aversion and widespread fear among investors,
the yields dropped sharply to end the year at around 2.25%
level.
Similarly, the 20 year Treasury rates plummeted to 3.05% from
4.50% and the 30 year Treasury rates to 2.69% from 4.21% as of
those dates. Of course the rates rebounded on account of fresh
stimulus from monetary authorities to tackle the ongoing crisis and
restore growth. (read How Low Can Yields Go?)
Looking at the present scenario--the U.S Treasury Bonds
(especially the long dated ones) have witnessed a significant rally
in the past one year, mainly thanks to the Eurozone debt crisis and
economic slowdown in most parts of the world. Due to a sharp
increase in volatility in the equity markets across the board the
investors shifted to a ‘flight to safety’ mode. (see Three Low
Volatility ETFs For Stormy Markets)
The sovereign rating of the U.S. was downgraded to ‘AA+’ by
rating agency Standard and Poor’s back in August last fiscal.
Technically it was supposed to push interest rates upwards due to
the added default risk premium; however, rates continued to plunge
on account of the worsening debt situation across the Atlantic,
making the U.S. Treasury bonds the ultimate safe haven.
As a result, income seeking bond investors are forced to look at
other investment options for their current income needs, during
times of low yields.
Thankfully, there are a variety of choices available to
investors in the exchange traded funds category. Preferred stocks
ETFs can make for a great source of current income. PFF
currently yields 5.80% and is up by
10.86% on year-to-date basis. Also,
PGF has a solid annual distribution yield
of 6.62% and has returned 13.40% so far this year. (read
Complete Guide to Preferred Stock ETF Investing)
However, preferred stock ETFs are not very popular investment
vehicles, mainly thanks to the highly complex and hybrid nature of
these instruments. Moreover, the issuers of preferred stocks are
mostly from the banking industry, who issue these securities to
strengthen their Tier I capital. Many investors are still hesitant
to invest in the banking industry, given the current volatile state
of the economy.
We would like to highlight seven products from the ETF industry,
targeting the bond space. These presently yield more than the
benchmark 10 year Treasury rates of 1.83%. These
ETFs provide investors with a basket of securities from various
issuers across different maturity buckets.
However, these seven ETFs vary across different genres, weighted
average duration and residual maturities. Therefore each of these
products demands a different risk appetite and time horizon. Below
is a table which summarizes the types, performances and interest
rate sensitivity of each of these products, followed by a brief
discussion about each of these ETFs.
ETF
|
Type
|
1 Year Returns (as on 30th June)
|
Year Till Date Returns (as on 30th
June)
|
Average Duration
|
Average Maturity
|
Yield
|
ELD
|
Emerging Market Bond
|
-2.28%
|
4.66%
|
4.4 yrs
|
5.14 yrs
|
3.61%
|
BND
|
Total Bond Market
|
6.87%
|
2.60%
|
5.1 yrs
|
7.1 yrs
|
2.93%
|
BIV
|
Total Market (Intermediate Term)
|
9.64%
|
3.92%
|
6.4 yrs
|
7.3 yrs
|
3.57%
|
EMB
|
Emerging Market Bond
|
9.74%
|
7.60%
|
7.59 yrs
|
12.08 yrs
|
4.45%
|
LQD
|
Corporate Bond
|
11.40%
|
5.14%
|
7.78 yrs
|
12.06 yrs
|
3.89%
|
VCLT
|
Corporate Bond
|
19.89%
|
5.72%
|
13.9 yrs
|
24.4 yrs
|
4.28%
|
EDV
|
Government Treasury
|
64.45%
|
8.06%
|
26.3 yrs
|
24.7 yrs
|
2.65%
|
In the past one year we have seen a considerable fall in yields,
not only across Treasury bonds but also across corporate bonds.
Therefore not surprisingly, as we climb up the yield curve, the
returns tend to improve (as can be seen from the table above). For
example, BND which has an average duration of 5.1 years and an
average maturity of 7.1 years has returned 6.78% in the past one
year. However, during the same time period, EDV has returned 64.45%
with average duration of 26.3 years and average maturity of 24.7
years.
Fixed income securities at the longer end of the yield curve
(having a higher duration) tend to outperform their shorter end
peers in a falling interest rates scenario since they are more
sensitive to interest rates.
For investors seeking true emerging market exposure in the fixed
income security space, the WisdomTree Emerging Markets
Local Debt ETF (ELD) is truly the appropriate option. The
ETF tracks the performance of domestic debt securities denominated
in local currencies from a variety of emerging markets. Though
emerging markets have a higher economic growth rate than developed
markets, investing in emerging market debt securities would mean
taking an additional amount of risk in the form of default risk
premium. This is also because most emerging markets sovereign debt
ratings are inferior to those of developed nations. (read Emerging
Markets Sovereign Bond ETFs: Safe With Attractive Yields)
Of course, investors are compensated for this in the form of
higher yields. Also, investments in ELD would constitute of high
levels of currency risk, as the assets of the ETF are denominated
in a variety of currencies.
Nevertheless, with a distribution yield of 3.61%, ELD ensures
high levels of current income and diversification in terms of
country exposure. Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Mexico, Peru and Poland
are some of the countries which the ETF is exposed to.
ELD was launched in August of 2010 and has managed to amass
$1.20 billion in total assets. It charges investors 55 basis points
in fees and expenses and has an average daily volume of 221,947
shares.
Also targeting the emerging market bond space is the
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond
(EMB). It tracks the performance of the U.S. Dollar
denominated emerging market bonds as defined by the J.P. Morgan
EMBI Global Core Index. The index limits exposure to countries
which have higher debt and allocates more to countries with lower
debt levels. (see Japanese Bond ETF Investing 101)
It also takes into account various other factors pertaining to
liquidity and issuing bodies in order to include securities in its
portfolio. EMB allocates almost evenly across a variety of emerging
markets, some of which include Brazil (7.62%), Mexico (7.32%),
Russia (7.24%), Turkey (7.06%) and Philippines (6.95%).
The ETF charges 60 basis points in fees and expenses and has
total assets of $5.20 billion. However, while comparing it to its
counterpart ELD, it has certain added advantages like1) absence of
currency risk which may somewhat limit returns potential, 2) a
superior distribution yield of 4.45%. EMB was launched in December
of 2007 and has an average daily volume of 664,865 shares.
Now let us look at the total bond market
ETFs. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
(BND) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF
(BIV) are two offerings by Vanguard in the total bond
market space. Total bond market ETFs provide hybrid exposure across
the entire bond market and measure the performance of investment
grade debt securities which are issued by corporates, government
and other institutions.
BIV targets the intermediate end of the yield curve and holds
securities of residual maturities between 5 to 10 years. It tracks
the Barclays Capital U.S. 5-10 Year Government/Credit Bond Index
and the portfolio comprises of 52.7% of U.S Government Bonds. BIV
also adds an international flavor to its portfolio
as around 47.3% of the portfolio is comprised of securities issued
by other international bond market participants.
On the other hand BND tracks the pre expense price and yield
performance of the Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. The
index measures the performance of only those investment grade
securities which are traded in the U.S domestic bond
market. A major portion of its portfolio is allocated
towards the U.S treasuries (69.7%).
The difference in allocations towards the U.S. Treasuries
between BIV and BND explains the difference in yields. Since U.S.
Treasuries are generally low yielding, the fund that allocates more
towards them i.e. BND has a lower yield of 2.93%, whereas BIV which
allocated less than BND to the U.S sovereign bonds have a superior
yield of 3.57%. (see Three Impressive Small Cap Dividend ETFs)
Both the ETFs charge expense ratios which are lower than the
category average of 0.23%. BND charges 10 basis points whereas BIV
charges 0.11% in fees and expenses. From a holdings perspective,
both the ETFs hold a relatively large number of securities in their
portfolio. BND holds 5230 securities whereas the portfolio for BIV
consists of around 1338 investment grade securities.
Both these total bond market ETFs share a similar position in
the yield curve. Although both ETFs were launched around the same
time on April 2007, in terms of popularity and liquidity BND
clearly is the leader. BND’s total assets are $17.36 billion
compared to BIV with $3.15 billion in total assets. BND has an
average daily volume of 1.18 million shares whereas roughly 262,541
shares of its cousin exchange hands each day.
Like Treasury bonds, US corporate bonds’ prices also remained
largely unaffected by the sovereign credit rating
action. (see Top Four High Yield Bond ETFs) Nevertheless this
failed to cause any material impact in the corporate bond market in
the U.S. That was because the limelight had already been stolen by
the ongoing debt crisis in its cross Atlantic counterparts.
The iShares iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corporate Bond
(LQD) and the Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond
ETF (VCLT) are two products from the plain vanilla
corporate bond ETF space.
Launched in September of 2002, LQD is by far one of the most
popular, highly diversified and best performing corporate bond ETFs
available to investors. Its total assets stand at a whooping $23.46
billion and it has an average daily volume of about 1.98 million
shares. It tracks the iBoxx $ Liquid Investment Grade
Index which measures the performance of the investment
grade corporate bonds in U.S markets.
iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD)has an extremely
well diversified portfolio of 978 securities issued by some of the
biggest names in Corporate America and therefore of high credit
quality. Some of its exposure includes Wells Fargo & Co
(0.49%), AT&T Inc. (0.49%), Wal-Mart Stores Inc (0.48%) General
Electric (0.47%) and American International Group (0.46%). The ETF
is highly exposed to issuers from the financial sector (35.25%)
(read Can You Beat These High Dividend ETFs?).
Around 70% of its portfolio is allocated towards securities
having a residual maturity of less than, or equal to 10 years. It
has an annual distribution yield of 3.89% and has returned 11.40%
in the last one year period as on 30th June 2012. (See
table above). It charges investors a paltry expense ratio of 0.15%
compared to a category average of 18 basis points.
On the other hand VCLT targets the longer end of the yield curve
and measures the performance of corporate bonds issued by various
issuers having a residual maturity of more than 10 years as
measured by the Barclays Capital U.S. Long Corporate
Index.
The ETF was launched in November of 2009 and has been able to
attract an asset base of $958.83 million. It charges investors 14
basis points in fees and expenses and pays out an impressive yield
of 4.28% (see 3 Multi-Asset ETFs for Juicy Yields and Stability)
However, it has a superior interest rate risk as indicated by an
average duration of 13.9 years.
VCLT holds 1109 securities in all, issued by corporates across
various sectors. Industrials (63.8%), Finance (17.8%) and Utilities
(17.4%) are some of the sectors on which it lays maximum emphasis.
Almost 78.3% of its assets are allocated towards securities having
a residual maturity of 20 to 30 years.
Finally, we talk about the Vanguard Extended Duration
Treasury ETF (EDV) which tracks the Barclays
Capital U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20-30 Year Equal Par Bond
Index. The index measures the returns of U.S. Treasury
securities which are highly sensitive to interest rate changes and
of residual maturities ranging from 20 to 30 years.
A STRIPS play on the treasury bonds means that the interest
payments and principal repayments are made independent of each
other and are treated as separate components (see Convertible Bond
ETFs for Income With Growth Potential). While this may seem an
enticing option for investors providing separate plays on the two
payment obligations of a debt security, it is worthwhile noting
that this is an extremely complex investment strategy.
However, the ETF has had a fantastic run in the past one year
returning 64.45% in the past one year as on 30th June
2012. EDV targets the longest maturity bucket in the treasury yield
curve, and has a distribution yield (2.65%) far more superior than
most ETFs targeting the zero-coupon and money market bonds. (see
Comprehensive Guide to Money Market ETFs)
Also, adding to the flavor is the low expense ratio of 13 basis
points which is 0.02% lower than the category average. The ETF
holds only 54 securities in its portfolio. The ETF was launched in
December of 2007 and has an asset base of $208.93 million. However,
investing in EDV requires a steady appetite for risk as an average
duration of 26.3 years indicates that the interest rate risk is
quite high for this product.
VANGD-INT TRM B (BIV): ETF Research Reports
VANGD-TOT BOND (BND): ETF Research Reports
VANGD-EX DUR TR (EDV): ETF Research Reports
WISDMTR-EM LDF (ELD): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JPM EM B (EMB): ETF Research Reports
ISHARES GS CPBD (LQD): ETF Research Reports
VANGD-LT CRP B (VCLT): ETF Research Reports
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