General Motors Corp. (GM) is expected to file for bankruptcy
protection Monday, the government-imposed deadline for the
100-year-old auto maker to restructure itself into a viable
company.
Meanwhile, economists expect the U.S. unemployment rate to climb
to 9.2% for May; that report is due next Friday. Also on tap this
coming week will be the month's figures on auto and same-store
sales.
Home builders Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (HOV) and Toll Brothers
Inc. (TOL) are among the few companies reporting quarterly results
next week.
GM Bankruptcy Likely To Be Short
The Obama administration plans to usher GM into bankruptcy court
Monday and push through a restructuring that will cost taxpayers
billions of dollars more than previously envisioned, turning what
once was one of the most profitable companies in the world into a
government ward.
Under the latest plan, the U.S. would provide the Detroit auto
maker with at least $30 billion in financing to carry it through
and out of bankruptcy, on top of the $20 billion in loans the
government has given the company. It also agreed to turn the loans
into a controlling ownership stake in GM of up to 72.5%.
Meanwhile, Chrysler, which entered bankruptcy at the end of
April, could emerge as soon as next week, assuming a judge approves
sale of the company's assets to Italian auto maker Fiat SpA
(FIATY).
May Jobless Rate Likely To Top 9%
Economists are predicting May unemployment will rise to 9.2%
from 8.9% a month earlier. The government will release the latest
job statistics next Friday. On Thursday, Richard Fisher, president
of the Dallas branch of the Federal Reserve, predicted the
unemployment rate would reach as high as 10% before reversing,
saying employment didn't trough until 21 months after the end of
the 2001 recession.
Auto Makers, Retailers Report May Sales
Auto makers and retailers will report May sales on Tuesday and
Thursday, respectively. New-vehicle sales are expected to rise from
April but still remain far below year-earlier levels. Also,
car-shopping Web site Edmunds.com predicted Ford Motor Co. (F) and
Toyota Motor Corp. (TM) may come within striking distance of GM.
Edmunds sees May sales at 890,000 vehicles, down 36% from a year
earlier but up 8.9% from April.
On the retail front, this will be the first monthly sales report
since 1979 without data from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), which said
in April it would stop reporting such figures. Strong results at
the world's largest retailer and drugstore chains drove the biggest
monthly gain in same-store sales last month since August, at 1.2%.
Lower-end department stores also posted improved results, signaling
that consumers are increasing their spending beyond the discount
chains.
April Income, Spending Figures Due
The government will report on April personal income and spending
rates as well as April construction spending Monday. Also due that
day is the Institute for Supply Management's May index of
manufacturing activity. That group will report on the service
sector Wednesday.
On Tuesday, the National Association of Realtors will issue its
April pending home sales index. The index increased 3.2% in
March.
Also out Wednesday are data on April factory orders, which are
expected to rise slightly. A revised number for first-quarter
productivity is expected Thursday.
Among appearances by Federal Reserve officials: Chairman Ben
Bernanke will testify about the federal budget before House
lawmakers Wednesday and present welcoming remarks to a conference
on financial markets and monetary policy Thursday in
Washington.
Homebuilders Likely To Post More Losses
Both Hovnanian and Toll Brothers are expected to post losses
when they report fiscal second-quarter results on Tuesday and
Wednesday, respectively. The latest data has not shown much
improvement in the housing market, and prices are being hurt by a
glut of unsold houses. Family-controlled Hovnanian has reported
losses in the past 10 quarters, and Toll, which builds large
suburban houses and upscale urban condos, has seen losses in the
past six.
Also reporting next week are wine maker Constellation Brands
Inc. (STZB) and defense contractor SAIC Inc. (SAI), both
Wednesday.
Cancer Drug Studies To Be Detailed
Thousands of cancer doctors - and a good number of investors -
will converge in Orlando through Tuesday to discuss the latest
developments in cancer treatment, and the impacts on drug makers
such as Roche Holding AG (RHHBY), Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) and OSI
Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OSIP). The annual meeting of the American
Society of Clinical Oncology comes after a data deluge of more than
4,000 cancer studies released two weeks ago. Some of that data will
be further detailed, while the most notable studies have been
withheld as "late breakers" that will be orally presented by
researchers.
Obama To Visit Mideast, Europe
President Barack Obama said he will discuss the need to
diversify energy sources when he meets with Saudi King Abdullah
next week, saying neither country benefits from turbulent prices
and an overreliance on fossil fuels. Obama and Abdullah will meet
in Riyadh on Wednesday, at the start of the president's trip to
Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Germany and France.
Obama plans to discuss U.S. relations with the Muslim world in a
speech Thursday in Egypt, part of his attempt to mend the U.S.
image in the Islamic world. Obama is then due to visit the German
city of Dresden and the former Nazi death camp at Buchenwald next
Friday and attend D-Day commemorations in France on June 6.
Geithner To Discuss Trade In China
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner heads to Beijing this
weekend to urge Chinese leaders to fundamentally alter the
export-oriented economy that has created years of trans-Pacific
trade tensions. In meetings with Chinese President Hu Jintao and
Premier Wen Jiabao, Geithner is expected to reiterate U.S. support
for the giant stimulus package that China has implemented to combat
the global recession. But he also is planning to press Beijing to
take drastic measures to turn China's economy into one that depends
heavily on sales to domestic consumers and less on sales to the
U.S. and other foreign markets, according to a senior Treasury
Department official.
Conan Takes Over 'The Tonight Show'
Jay Leno passes "The Tonight Show" desk to Conan O'Brien Monday
after 17 years and more than 3,800 episodes at the helm of NBC's
late-night talk show. O'Brien will be just the fifth man to take
the hot seat in the show's 55-year history. Leno will return to the
network in September in a program running Monday through Friday at
10 p.m. EDT.
Conferences
Among the significant conferences next week are the Standard
& Poors Insurance Conference from Sunday through Tuesday in
Brooklyn; Goldman Sachs Lodging, Gaming, Restaurant & Leisure
Conference on Monday and Tuesday in New York; RBC Capital Markets
Global Energy & Power Conference on Monday and Tuesday in New
York; Bank of America and Merrill Lynch U.S. Technology Conference
on Wednesday and Thursday in New York; and Keefe, Bruyette &
Woods Inc. Diversified Financial Services Conference on Wednesday
and Thursday in New York.
-By Kathy Shwiff, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5975;
kathy.shwiff@dowjones.com
(Dow Jones Newswires staff contributed to this report.)