via NetworkWire – Black Iron Inc. (“Black Iron”)
(TSX: BKI; OTC: BKIRF; FRANKFURT: BIN) reaffirms the economic
projections for its Shymanivske project, citing a weeks-long surge
in iron ore prices after one of the world’s largest iron ore
producers took 11 mines offline, significantly crimping
supply.
On January 25, 2019, one of Vale’s mines in
Brazil experienced a disastrous tailings dam failure, causing the
producer to voluntarily shut ten of its iron ore mines (~40Mtpa
production) to minimize the risk of additional upstream tailings
dam failure. On February 4, 2019, as reported by several news
outlets, regulatory authorities in Brazil ordered Vale to shut its
second-largest iron ore mine, taking an additional 30Mtpa of
production offline and causing Vale to claim force majeure on its
ability to supply iron ore to some of its customers.
The shut-down of Vale’s mines resulted in a
combined production loss of 70Mtpa, representing ~6% of global
consumption. In response, iron ore prices spiked to the current
US$87/T for benchmark 62% iron content fines and US$106/T for 65%
iron content fines.
While analysts have mixed projections on how
long the iron content benchmark price will stay at elevated levels,
there is consensus that prices of iron content products - more
specifically iron ore pellets – will increase for at least the next
few years as the industry responds to lower supply. As a result,
premium 68% iron pellet feed product, as planned to be produced by
Black Iron, is expected to sell for a significantly higher price
than benchmark iron ore for at least the next two to three
years.
Shymanivske Project
Economics
Producing high grade iron ore (i.e. >65%
iron) and pellets requires substantial investment and time to
permit and construct suitable production facilities.
Black Iron, however, plans to produce pellet
feed containing 68% iron, which is in the top 4% iron content
globally. The Company’s Shymanivske project is expected to be
built in two phases, taking advantage of its proximity to rail,
power, ports and skilled labor to reduce upfront capital and time
required to generate cashflows. A capital investment of
US$436 million is required for the first phase of the Shymanivske
project, expected to produce 4 million tonnes a year. An additional
US$312 million is required to double the production capacity of
Shymanivske project to 8 million tonnes a year and this could
potentially be fully funded from the free cash generated by phase 1
production.
On November 21, 2017, Black Iron released its
rescoped preliminary economic assessment (the “PEA”) based on a
long-term price for benchmark 62% iron ore selling for US$62/T and
its expected high grade 68% iron content pellet feed at a price of
US$97/T delivered to China. Using these sale prices and the
estimated US$31/T cost to mine, process, rail and load ocean going
vessels with iron ore plus US$11.50/T for shipping to China, the
PEA estimated that the Shymanivske project will have an
unlevered after-tax net present value of US$1.66 billion using a
10% discount rate and an internal rate of return of 36%.
An available chart shows the after-tax projected
project economic returns, assuming 60% debt financing for the
mine’s construction across a range of iron ore (“Fe”) prices,
including current much higher actual prices of US$87/T and ~US$6/1%
Fe. The chart can be viewed
here: http://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/b8bfa39d-d3dd-4dfd-a907-98f4c24e3236
This chart shows the after-tax projected project
economic returns, assuming 60% debt financing for the mine’s
construction across a range of iron ore (“Fe”) prices, including
current much higher actual prices of US$87/T and ~US$6/1% Fe.
About Black IronBlack Iron is
an iron ore exploration and development company advancing its
100%-owned Shymanivske project located in Kryvyi Rih, Ukraine. The
Shymanivske project contains a NI 43-101 compliant resource
estimated to be 646 Mt Measured and Indicated mineral resources,
consisting of 355 Mt Measured mineral resources grading 31.6% total
iron and 18.8% magnetic iron, and Indicated mineral resources of
290 Mt grading 31.1% total iron and 17.9% magnetic iron, using a
cut-off grade of 10% magnetic iron. Additionally, the Shymanivske
project contains 188 Mt of Inferred mineral resources grading 30.1%
total iron and 18.4% magnetic iron. Full mineral resource details
can be found in the NI 43-101 compliant technical report entitled
“Preliminary Economic Assessment of the Re-scoped Shymanivske Iron
Ore Deposit” effective November 21, 2017, under the Company's
profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. The Shymanivske project is
surrounded by five other operating mines, including ArcelorMittal's
iron ore complex. Please visit the Company's website at
www.BlackIron.com for more information.
The technical and scientific contents of this
press release have been prepared under the supervision of and have
been reviewed and approved by Matt Simpson, P.Eng., CEO of Black
Iron, who is a Qualified Person as defined by NI 43-101.
Cautionary StatementThe PEA is
preliminary in nature, and it includes inferred mineral resources
that are considered too speculative geologically to have the
economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to
be categorized as mineral reserves. There is no certainty that the
PEA will be realized.
For more information, please contact:
Black Iron
Inc.
Matt
Simpson
Chief Executive OfficerTel: +1 (416) 309-2138
info@BlackIron.com
Corporate Communications:
NetworkWire (NW) New York, New Yorkwww.NetworkNewsWire.com
212.418.1217 OfficeEditor@NetworkWire.com
Forward-Looking InformationThis
press release contains forward-looking information. Forward-looking
information is based on what management believes to be reasonable
assumptions, opinions and estimates of the date such statements are
made based on information available to them at that time, including
those factors discussed in the section entitled ‘‘Risk Factors’’ in
the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December
31, 2017 or as may be identified in the Company’s public disclosure
from time to time, as filed under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com. Forward-looking information may include, but
is not limited to, statements with respect to the Shymanivske
project, the mineralization of the Shymanivske project, the results
of the PEA, the realization of the PEA, the price of iron ore, the
impact of Vale shutting down its mines, the Company’s ability to
construct the Shymanivske project and future plans for the
Company’s development. Generally, forward looking information can
be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as
"plans", "expects" or "does not expect", "is expected", "budget",
"scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends", "anticipates" or
"does not anticipate", or "believes", or variations of such words
and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results "may",
"could", "would", "might" or "will be taken", "occur" or "be
achieved". Forward-looking information is subject to known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the
actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of
the Company to be materially different from those expressed or
implied by such forward-looking information, including but not
limited to: general business, economic, competitive, geopolitical
and social uncertainties; the actual results of current exploration
activities; other risks of the mining industry and the risks
described in the annual information form of the Company. Although
the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in
forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause
results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can
be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as
actual results and future events could differ materially from those
anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not
place undue reliance on forward looking information. The Company
does not undertake to update any forward-looking information,
except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
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