Foreign Exchange

Has Risk Off Run Its Course? | USD/JPY, USD/CHF

May 23 2019 @ 02:43
Risk-off may have taken a breather, but that doesn’t necessarily mean its over. And, looking at the price action on USD/JPY and USD/CHF, perhaps it’s time for another bout of risk-off. The Japanese yen began to see inflows today when Japan’s PMI contracted after a 1-month hiatus ‘expanding’. Yet reports that Panasonic had halted component […]

NZD/JPY Consolidates At The Lows But (Surely) Can't Stay Boxed In Forever

May 22 2019 @ 03:14
NZD/JPY has had a rough couple of months, shedding nearly -7% from its March high. Now within a consolidation phase, we’re on the lookout for a breakout, one way or another. We can see on the daily chart the trend is clearly bearish with its strong momentum, lower lows and shallow pullbacks. Yet given the […]

Understanding Forex Trading Terms

May 21 2019 @ 05:55
If you want to trade foreign exchange (forex) then there’s a learning curve you have to climb, and part of that is getting to grips with the jargon used. You need to understand the basic terminology before you can make any trades. Here’s a list of some of the forex trading terms you will encounter. […]

Weekly COT Report - Demand For USD Drops For A 2nd Week

May 21 2019 @ 03:52
A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators. As of Tuesday 14th May: Large speculators were net-long the US dollar by $29.7 billion ($34.3 against G10 currencies) Net long exposure to the USD fell by -$4.6 billion, the largest weekly decline in 3-month Net […]

CHF/JPY Compression Suggests Volatility Could Be Approaching

May 17 2019 @ 03:45
Whilst both the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen are safe-haven currencies, it’s interesting to note that the yen has remained the favoured currency as trade wars have developed. This has saw CHF/JPY drop to its lowest level since January’s flash crash last week, and if trade wars are to heat up once more, we […]

Auto Tariff Delay Could Seal A Corrective Low For DAX

May 16 2019 @ 03:24
The announcement that Trump plans to delay EU auto tariffs provided the DAX quite the tailwind yesterday. Technically, we suspect it could extend its bounce from here. Since the prior analysis in April, the bullish channel has maintained its structure and the breakout from compression rallied just shy of the September high around 12,400, after creeping along the inside of the […]

AU Employment Underwhelms | AUD: 69c Defended - Time For A Bounce?

May 16 2019 @ 03:21
AU Employment Underwhelms | AUD:  69c Defended – Time For A Bounce? Australian unemployment rose to 5.2%, its highest level since August. Whilst it’s not enough to confirm an RBA cut, there are signs unemployment could rise further at a time RBA are closely watching the sector. Unemployment rose faster than expected to 5.2% (vs 5.1% […]

Terrors In Tandem: BTC and CNH Plot Their Next Moves

May 15 2019 @ 03:59
Both Bitcoin and USD/CNH have been on a tare leading up to and around trade talks. But with both markets now pausing for breath at critical levels, traders are closely watching for their next momentous moves. It’s interesting to note that USD/CNH’s breakout has been closely tracked by Bitcoin’s melt up and how Bitcoin was […]

AUD/USD Hits Fresh Lows On Trade, Trump and Wages Miss | Employment Up Next

May 15 2019 @ 03:57
The Aussie found itself under pressure ahead of today’s wage data, thanks to soft consumer growth and Trump’s latest trade-twist. Just 27pips above 69c, it may take more than stronger employment tomorrow for this level to hold. Quarterly wage growth slightly undershot expectations, coming in at 0.5% versus 0.6% expected, whilst the annual rate remained […]

AUD/JPY Downside Risks Remain Whilst Trade Tensions Continue To Escalate

May 14 2019 @ 03:39
Escalated trade tensions saw AUD/JPY hit its lowest level since January’s flash crash, yet dominant forces likely point lower still, without a trade deal in sight. China’s retaliation kept sentiment on the back ropes, seeing USD/JPY hit a 3-month low and FX traders flock back to the yen. AUD/JPY was the largest FX mover of the day, plummeting […]
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