Is Bitcoin $100,000 Goal In Jeopardy? Options Market Show Increased Downside Protection
December 04 2024 - 2:00AM
NEWSBTC
As attention shifts to altcoins, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a
pause in the uptrend that has characterized the past month.
Currently trading 3.8% below its record high of $99,540, questions
are raised about the sustainability of this growth and the
possibility of a correction as the year draws to a close. Investors
Flock To Ethereum And XRP Chris Newhouse, director of research at
Cumberland Labs, pointed out that while strong institutional buying
pressure persists—particularly from companies like MicroStrategy,
which continues to accumulate Bitcoin—there is a noticeable shift
in capital flows. Newhouse noted that the broader crypto
ecosystem is experiencing a “diversification of capital flows” from
both institutional and non-institutional participants. This
diversification indicates that as Bitcoin stabilizes, investor
interest is increasingly shifting to other digital assets,
including Ethereum (ETH) and XRP, which had previously lagged
behind Bitcoin. Related Reading: XRP Q3 Overview: Key Metrics
Suggest A Bright Future For The Third Biggest Crypto Following the
victory of President-elect Donald Trump, who has emerged as a
crypto advocate, expectations for more favorable US regulations
have risen. This has contributed to the massive rally in the XRP
price, which has seen a 400% increase in the monthly time frame.
This optimism is also reflected in the record monthly net inflows
into Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in November,
which reached $6.5 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively.
Bloomberg data shows that last Friday marked an all-time high for
daily Ether ETF subscriptions. $2 Billion Silk Road Bitcoin Moved
To Coinbase In the options market, there has been a noticeable
increase in downside protection for Bitcoin at later expiries this
month. Meanwhile, BTC futures have exhibited moderate leverage,
remaining relatively subdued after Bitcoin surpassed the $99,000
mark. According to Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33,
on-chain data suggests that traders who purchased BTC in the
$55,000 to $70,000 range are now actively realizing profits.
“Profit-taking has been particularly intense with BTC trading north
of $90,000,” Lunde remarked. Jake Ostrovskis, a trader at
Wintermute OTC, observed that “the market has taken a pause over
the last 10 days as Bitcoin sits just under $100,000. Volatility
levels have compressed slightly, with Bitcoin in the 64th
percentile and Ether significantly higher at the 81st.” This
volatility compression suggests a cautious sentiment among traders
as they assess the market’s next moves, with the potential for a
fresh wave of lower support levels to be retested in BTC’s price
action, which could jeopardize the $100,000 milestone being reached
by the end of the year. Related Reading: CryptoQuant CEO Warns Not
To Short XRP Due To Insider Whale Activity Adding to the
uncertainty in the market is a recent development reported by
NewsBTC on Monday that nearly $2 billion worth of BTC previously
confiscated from the Silk Road marketplace has been moved from US
government wallets to Coinbase. Such moves often spark
speculation among traders, as similar moves by the US government to
massively liquidate its holdings contributed to the downtrend in
the second and third quarter of the year, when BTC fell over 20% in
two consecutive months. At the time of writing, BTC is
trading at $94,480, down 0.5% over the past 24 hours. Featured
image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
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