BOND REPORT: Treasury Prices Surge Most In 3 Weeks As Stock Rout Sparks Flight To Safety
January 04 2016 - 11:10AM
Dow Jones News
By Ellie Ismailidou, MarketWatch
Treasury yields fall to lowest level since mid December
Treasury prices surged Monday, pushing yields to their lowest
level since mid December, as a global stock-market rout fueled
demand for assets perceived as safe, including government
bonds.
As stocks were hammered, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
falling over 400 points,
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-set-for-tumble-at-open-as-china-fears-return-2016-01-04)
demand for Treasurys rose and yields plummeted in all Treasury
maturities.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note lost 6.8 basis points to
2.207%, its lowest point since Dec. 18, according to Tradeweb. Bond
yields fall when prices rise and vice versa.
The yield on the two-year Treasury note fell 3.6 basis points to
1.028%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was down 6.5
basis points to 2.9484%.
Worries originated in China, where the Shanghai Composite Index
slid almost 7% on the back of a weak manufacturing reading
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chinese-manufacturing-index-slips-as-demand-stalls-2016-01-03).
The slide activated a new circuit-breaker system for Chinese
stocks, halting trading on the mainland for the rest of the day
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-slide-on-fears-of-stalling-chinese-economy-2016-01-03)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-slide-on-fears-of-stalling-chinese-economy-2016-01-03)and
rekindling fears of a repeat of last August's plunge, when another
selloff in China's stock market sparked an unraveling of stocks
around the world.
European stocks skidded and Germany's DAX 30 index (DAX)was on
track for its worst day since August
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/european-stocks-slammed-lower-by-chinese-market-rout-2016-01-04).
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-set-for-tumble-at-open-as-china-fears-return-2016-01-04)
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-set-for-tumble-at-open-as-china-fears-return-2016-01-04)"The
Treasury market was the clear beneficiary of the flight-to-quality
flows," said Ian Lyngen, senior rates strategist at CRT Capital
Group, in a note, particularly as traders had "the urgency to
establish positions" before Friday's official U.S. jobs report.
Monday's moves mean that "fundamentals began to matter again,"
said Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group,
adding that this is expected "to intensify in 2016 because the
crutch of central bank policy, particularly from the [Federal
Reserve], is beginning to break."
The weak economic data weren't limited to Chinese manufacturing.
In the U.S., the Markit PMI manufacturing index fell Monday to its
lowest level since October 2012, while the ISM manufacturing index
fell to its lowest reading since the past month of the Great
Recession.
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-manufacturers-still-struggling-ism-finds-2016-01-04)
But the final eurozone manufacturing purchasing managers index
(https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/PressRelease.mvc/4fa6a086cb8e4710ba65529c2126f148)
showed factories in the currency bloc ended 2015 with the strongest
growth since April 2014.
Yields also declined in the eurozone, as stocks got crushed,
withe the benchmark 10-year german yield falling 6.7 basis points
to 0.566%, its lowest level since Dec. 21.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 04, 2016 11:55 ET (16:55 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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