Company unveils strategy to expand America's
largest fiber broadband network1 to 50 million+ total
locations2.
Company provides long-term guidance for
sustained growth in consolidated service revenue, adjusted EBITDA,
free cash flow and adjusted EPS, underpinned by continued capital
investment.
Company expects improved financial performance
to support $40 billion+ of anticipated shareholder returns through
dividends and share repurchases over the next three years,
including an initial share repurchase authorization of $10 billion that management expects to complete
by the end of 2026.
Company to webcast Analyst & Investor Day
presentation at 2 p.m. ET today on
the AT&T Investor Relations website.
DALLAS, Dec. 3, 2024
/PRNewswire/ -- Ahead of its 2024 Analyst & Investor Day
presentation, AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) unveiled a bold,
multi-year strategic plan highlighted by continued profitable 5G
and fiber subscriber growth. This growth is expected to fuel
enhanced shareholder returns on network investments through a
robust and balanced capital allocation program.
"Over the last four years, we've achieved durable and profitable
subscriber growth, generated attractive returns on network
investment, and strengthened our balance sheet," said
John Stankey, AT&T CEO.
"We're putting customers first to become the best connectivity
provider in America. Our plan expands the country's largest fiber
network to more than 50 million total locations, modernizes our
wireless network and rewards our shareholders. As we grow, we
expect to return more than $40
billion to shareholders over the next three years through
dividends and share repurchases. With this bold strategy, we are
entering a new era of sustained growth at AT&T."
Momentum to Continue with Investment-Led Strategy and
Customer-Centric Approach
AT&T is making progress on its
journey to become the best connectivity provider in America. Over
the past four-plus years, the Company has streamlined its
operations and centered its business around the customer as it
enhanced and simplified their experiences with AT&T. The
Company has also greatly expanded its 5G and fiber services to more
people and places and is the largest capital investor in U.S.
connectivity infrastructure since 2019.
With the plans announced today, the Company will unlock new
capabilities that further its momentum while investing in future
growth – ultimately enabling more robust shareholder returns. As a
result of continued investment, the Company expects to be in a
differentiated position within the connectivity industry by the end
of the decade.
In Mobility, the Company is building a more efficient,
high-capacity, programmable and open network. By 2027, it expects
to have largely completed the modernization of its 5G wireless
network with open technology, with deep mid-band 5G spectrum
covering 300 million+ people by the end of 2026. This network will
support super-fast download speeds and serve as a platform for new
product and GenAI innovation.
In broadband, the Company is creating even more distance between
itself and the competition on what is already the largest fiber
broadband network in America. By the end of 2029, it expects to
reach 50 million+ total locations with fiber. This includes
expectations to pass about 45 million locations through its organic
fiber deployment and serve 5 million+ fiber locations
through Gigapower, its joint venture with Blackrock, as well
as through agreements with commercial open-access providers.
The Company's fiber expansion will greatly increase its
opportunity to serve customers how they want to be served, by one
provider in a converged manner. While building the network of the
future, the Company is actively working to exit its legacy copper
network operations across the large majority of its wireline
footprint by the end of 2029.
The Company believes sustaining industry-leading levels of
network investment and pursuing these strategic objectives will
ultimately allow it to offer the best value, greater
personalization and security and more customer-centric products and
services on the largest, highest-capacity, lowest-marginal cost
network in America.
Long-Term Outlook
AT&T expects to achieve the
following 2025 and long-term financial targets through 2027.
Beginning in the first quarter of 2025, and as a result of the
pending disposition of our DIRECTV equity method investment, the
Company plans to report adjusted EPS and free cash flow excluding
earnings and cash flows related to DIRECTV. The Company continues
to expect the sale of its entire 70% stake in DIRECTV to TPG to
close in mid-2025. For comparability to these targets, the Company
has provided a recast of historical results for these two financial
measures in its Form 8-K dated December 3,
2024.
- Consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit
range annually from 2025-2027.
- Mobility service revenue growth in the 2% to 3% range
annually.
- Consumer fiber broadband revenue growth in the mid-teens
annually.
- Adjusted EBITDA* growth of 3% or better annually from
2025-2027.
- Mobility EBITDA* growth in the 3% to 4% range annually.
- Consumer Wireline EBITDA* grows at a double-digit compounded
annual growth rate (CAGR) through 2027.
- Business Wireline EBITDA* declines at a low-double-digit CAGR
through 2027; Business Solutions EBITDA* approaching stabilization
by the end of 2027.
- Capital investment* in the $22
billion range annually from 2025-2027.
- Free cash flow*, excluding DIRECTV, of $16 billion+ in 2025,
with annual growth of approximately $1
billion, resulting in free cash flow* of $18 billion+ in
2027.
- In addition, AT&T expects to receive $5.4 billion of after-tax cash payments in 2025
and $0.5 billion in 2029 related to
the sale of the DIRECTV investment.
- Adjusted EPS*, excluding DIRECTV, of $1.97 to $2.07 in
2025, accelerating to double-digit percentage growth in 2027.
- $3 billion+ in run-rate cost savings by the end of 2027,
inclusive of the Company's target of achieving $2 billion+ in
run-rate cost savings by mid-2026.
Long-Term Capital Allocation Plan: $50 Billion+ of Financial
Capacity Supports $40 Billion+ of Dividends and Share
Repurchases
AT&T expects this plan to provide $50
billion+ of financial capacity* over the next three years, largely
through organic growth. Financial capacity represents anticipated
free cash flow after distributions to noncontrolling interests,
plus expected cash payments from the announced agreement to sell
AT&T's stake in DIRECTV to TPG, as well as net borrowing
capacity after the Company achieves its net leverage target. The
Company continues to expect to achieve its net leverage target of
net-debt-to-adjusted EBITDA* in the 2.5x range in the first half of
2025, and maintain leverage within this range through 2027.
The Company expects to return $40 billion+ of this financial
capacity to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Under this capital return plan, the Company expects to maintain its
current annualized common stock dividend of $1.11 per share. This plan would result in $20
billion+ in total dividend payments, with capacity for about
$20 billion in share repurchases,
from 2025-2027.
Under this plan, the Company also expects approximately
$10 billion in incremental financial
flexibility* for items such as potential organic or inorganic
strategic growth investments, debt repayment, redemptions of
noncontrolling interests, or additional dividends or share
repurchases.
Of the $20 billion share
repurchase capacity, AT&T's Board has authorized an initial
tranche of approximately $10 billion
in common stock repurchases. Management expects share repurchases
under this authorization to commence when the Company reaches its
net leverage target range and expects to conclude by the end of
2026. Additionally, the Company expects approximately $10 billion of share repurchases in 2027, pending
Board authorization.
2024 Outlook
For the full-year, AT&T expects:
- Wireless service revenue growth in the 3% range.
- Broadband revenue growth of 7%+.
- Adjusted EBITDA* growth in the 3% range.
- Capital investment* at the high-end of the $21 to $22 billion
range.
- Free cash flow* in the $17 to
$18 billion range, tracking toward
the midpoint of this range; excluding approximately $2.5 billion of after-tax cash payments from
DIRECTV, free cash flow in the $15
billion range.
- Adjusted EPS* of $2.20 to
$2.25, reflecting an increase from
the previously provided $2.15 to
$2.25 range. This includes an
expected adjusted equity in net income from DIRECTV of
approximately $0.30 per share
post-tax. When excluding this, the Company expects adjusted EPS in
the $1.90 to $1.95 range.
Tune Into AT&T's Analyst & Investor Day
Presentation
The Company will provide more details around
its strategy and plans to drive strong returns to shareholders
today at 2 p.m. ET. AT&T's 2024
Analyst & Investor Day presentation webcast, replay and related
materials will be available at investors.att.com.
To automatically receive AT&T financial news by email,
please subscribe to email alerts.
1 Based on the number of fiber to the home households
using publicly available data. Locations include both residential
and business locations.
2 "Total locations" includes consumer and business
locations (i) passed with fiber and (ii) served with fiber through
commercial open-access providers.
* Further clarification and explanation of non-GAAP measures and
reconciliations to their most comparable GAAP measures can be found
in the "Non-GAAP Measures and Reconciliations to GAAP Measures"
section of the release and at investors.att.com.
About AT&T
We help more than 100 million U.S.
families, friends and neighbors, plus nearly 2.5 million
businesses, connect to greater possibility. From the first phone
call 140+ years ago to our 5G wireless and multi-gig internet
offerings today, we @ATT innovate to improve lives. For more
information about AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T), please visit us at
about.att.com. Investors can learn more at investors.att.com.
Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking
Statements
Information set forth in this news release
contains financial estimates and other forward-looking statements
that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results
might differ materially. A discussion of factors that may affect
future results is contained in AT&T's filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. AT&T disclaims any
obligation to update and revise statements contained in this news
release based on new information or otherwise. This news release
may contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations
between the non-GAAP financial measures and the GAAP financial
measures are available below and on the Company's website at
investors.att.com.
Non-GAAP Measures and Reconciliations to GAAP
Measures
Schedules and reconciliations of non-GAAP financial
measures cited in this document to the most directly comparable
financial measures under generally accepted accounting principles
(GAAP) can be found at investors.att.com. Additionally,
historical reconciliations for adjusted diluted EPS and free cash
flow, excluding DIRECTV, can be found in our Form 8-K dated
December 3, 2024. Adjusted diluted
EPS, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, net debt and net
debt-to-adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures frequently
used by investors and credit rating agencies.
EBITDA is net income plus income tax, interest and
depreciation and amortization expenses minus equity in net income
of affiliates and other income (expense) – net. Adjusted
EBITDA is calculated by excluding from operating revenues and
operating expenses certain significant items that are
non-operational or non-recurring in nature, including dispositions
and merger integration and transaction costs, significant
abandonments and impairments, benefit-related gains and losses,
employee separation and other material gains and losses. Adjusted
EBITDA and net debt (defined below) estimates depend on future
levels of revenues, expenses and other metrics which are not
reasonably estimable at this time. Accordingly, we cannot provide a
reconciliation between projected Adjusted EBITDA and net
debt-to-adjusted EBITDA and the most comparable GAAP metrics and
related ratios without unreasonable effort.
As a supplemental presentation to our Communications segment
operating results, AT&T Business Solutions results are
provided in the Financial and Operational Schedules & Non-GAAP
Reconciliations document on the company's Investor Relations
website, investors.att.com. Business Solutions includes both
wireless and fixed operations and is calculated by combining our
Mobility and Business Wireline operating units and then adjusting
to remove non-business operations. This combined view presents a
complete profile of the entire business customer relationship and
underscores the importance of mobile solutions to serving our
business customers.
At the segment, business unit or Business Solutions,
EBITDA is operating income before depreciation and
amortization. EBITDA estimates depend on future levels of revenues,
expenses and other metrics which are not reasonably estimable at
this time. Accordingly, we cannot provide a reconciliation between
projected segment, business unit or Business Solutions EBITDA and
the most comparable GAAP metrics without unreasonable effort.
Adjusted Diluted EPS is calculated by excluding from
operating revenues, operating expenses, other income (expenses) and
income tax expense, certain significant items that are
non-operational or non-recurring in nature, including dispositions
and merger integration and transaction costs, actuarial gains and
losses, significant abandonments and impairments, benefit-related
gains and losses, employee separation and other material gains and
losses.
Non-operational items arising from asset acquisitions and
dispositions include the amortization of intangible assets. While
the expense associated with the amortization of certain wireless
licenses and customer lists is excluded, the revenue of the
acquired companies is reflected in the measure and those assets
contribute to revenue generation.
We also adjust for net actuarial gains or losses associated with
our pension and postemployment benefit plans due to the
often-significant impact on our results (we immediately recognize
this gain or loss in the income statement, pursuant to our
accounting policy for the recognition of actuarial gains and
losses). Consequently, our adjusted results reflect an expected
return on plan assets rather than the actual return on plan assets,
as included in the GAAP measure of income.
The tax impact of adjusting items is calculated using the
effective tax rate during the quarter except for adjustments that,
given their magnitude, can drive a change in the effective tax
rate, in these cases we use the actual tax expense or combined
marginal rate of approximately 25%.
Beginning with our first-quarter 2025 reporting, the Company
plans to remove from adjusted earnings the equity in net income
from our DIRECTV investment. Reconciliations of Adjusted EPS
excluding DIRECTV for 2023 and year-to-date 2024 to reflect the
pending disposition of our DIRECTV equity investment are included
in our Form 8-K dated December 3,
2024. The Company expects adjustments to 2024 to 2027
reported diluted EPS to a non-cash mark-to-market benefit plan
gain/loss and other items. The Company expects the mark-to-market
adjustment, which is driven by interest rates and investment
returns that are not reasonably estimable at this time, to be a
significant item. For 2024, projected adjusted EPS excluding
DIRECTV in the $1.90-$1.95 range is calculated as projected adjusted
EPS in the $2.20-$2.25 range, less an adjustment of approximately
$0.30 to exclude approximately
$2.8 billion (pre-tax) of adjusted
equity income from the DIRECTV investment. Our projected 2024
adjusted EPS and projected 2024-2027 adjusted EPS excluding DIRECTV
depend on future levels of revenues and expenses, most of which are
not reasonably estimable at this time. Accordingly, we cannot
provide a reconciliation between these projected non-GAAP metrics
and the reported GAAP metrics without unreasonable effort.
Free Cash Flow, for periods prior to 2025, is
defined as cash from operations and cash distributions from DIRECTV
(classified as investing activities) minus capital expenditures and
cash paid for vendor financing.
Beginning with our first-quarter 2025 reporting, we plan to
revise our definition of free cash flow to remove cash flows
related to DIRECTV. Free Cash Flow excluding DIRECTV is
expected to be defined as cash from operations minus cash flows
related to our DIRECTV equity method investment (cash distributions
less cash taxes paid from DIRECTV), minus capital expenditures and
cash paid for vendor financing (classified as financing
activities). Reconciliations of free cash flow excluding DIRECTV
for 2023 and through the third quarter of 2024 have been recast to
reflect the pending disposition of our DIRECTV equity investment
and are included in our Form 8-K dated December 3, 2024.
For 2024, projected free cash flow in the $17-$18 billion
range is $12.8 billion free cash flow
for the nine months ended September 30,
2024, plus an estimate of approximately $4.2-$5.2 billion
for 4Q24 (cash from operating activities in the $10.7-$12.2 billion
range, plus cash distributions from DIRECTV classified as investing
activities of $0, minus capital
expenditures in the $6.3-$6.7 billion range and cash paid for vendor
financing in the $0.2-$0.3 billion range). For the nine months ended
September 30, 2024, free cash flow of
$12.8 billion is cash from operating
activities of $26.9 billion, plus
cash distributions from DIRECTV classified as investing activities
of $0.9 billion, minus capital
expenditures of $13.4 billion and
cash paid for vendor financing of $1.6
billion.
Due to high variability and difficulty in predicting items that
impact cash from operating activities, capital expenditures and
vendor financing payments, the Company is not able to provide a
reconciliation between projected 2025-2027 free cash flow excluding
DIRECTV and the most comparable GAAP metric without unreasonable
effort.
Capital Investment provides a comprehensive view of cash
used to invest in our networks, product developments and support
systems. In connection with capital improvements, we have favorable
payment terms of 120 days or more with certain vendors, referred to
as vendor financing, which are excluded from capital expenditures
and reported as financing activities. Capital investment includes
capital expenditures and cash paid for vendor financing.
For 2024, projected capital investment at the high-end of the
$21-$22
billion range is $15.0 billion
for the nine months ended September 30,
2024 ($13.4 billion of capital
expenditures plus $1.6 billion of
vendor financing payments) plus an estimate for 4Q24 of
approximately $6.5-$7.0 billion (capital expenditures in the
$6.3-$6.7
billion range plus vendor financing payments in the
$0.2-$0.3
billion range).
Due to high variability and difficulty in predicting items that
impact capital expenditures, vendor financing payments and future
levels of revenues, the Company is not able to provide
reconciliations between projected 2025-2027 capital investment and
the most comparable GAAP metric without unreasonable effort.
Financial Capacity for 2025-2027 of $50
billion+ represents anticipated cumulative free cash flow
excluding DIRECTV (based on $16 billion+ in 2025, with annual
growth of approximately $1 billion,
resulting in $18 billion+ in 2027), less distributions to
noncontrolling interests, plus expected cash payments from the
announced agreement to sell AT&T's entire 70% stake in DIRECTV
to TPG ($5.4 billion of after-tax
cash distributions and other payments not subject to tax in 2025),
plus an increase in net borrowing capacity (resulting from
projected growth in EBITDA while maintaining net debt-to-adjusted
EBITDA ratio in the 2.5x range) after the Company achieves its net
leverage target. Financial Flexibility for
2025-2027 represents incremental financial capacity for items
such as potential organic or inorganic strategic growth
investments, debt repayment, redemptions of noncontrolling
interests, or additional dividends or share repurchases. Due to
high variability and difficulty in predicting items that impact
cash from operating activities, capital expenditures, vendor
financing payments, distributions to noncontrolling interests and
borrowing capacity, the Company is not able to provide a
reconciliation between these projected non-GAAP metrics and the
reported GAAP metrics without unreasonable effort.
Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA is calculated by dividing net
debt by the sum of the most recent four quarters of adjusted EBITDA
(defined above). Net Debt is calculated by subtracting cash
and cash equivalents and time deposits (deposits at financial
institutions that are greater than 90 days, e.g., certificates of
deposit and time deposits) from total debt.
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Intellectual Property.
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