Commenting on the Company's second quarter 2019 results, Steve
Laut, Executive Vice-Chairman of Canadian Natural stated, "Canadian
Natural's second quarter results demonstrated the advantages of our
diverse and balanced asset base combined with our flexible capital
allocation resulting in significant adjusted funds flow in the
quarter of approximately $2.7 billion. Throughout the first half of
2019 we were able to deliver on our four pillars of capital
allocation through disciplined economic resource development,
increasing returns to shareholders, strengthening our balance sheet
and opportunistically acquiring accretive assets. The Company
continues its focus on maximizing shareholder value while
delivering responsible and sustainable operations."
Canadian Natural's President, Tim McKay, added,
"Canadian Natural's ability to effectively and efficiently execute,
delivered strong operating costs of $11.68/BOE across our
Exploration and Production ("E&P") assets in the second
quarter, resulting in operating cost reductions of 8% from both
Q1/19 and Q2/18 levels. The Company achieved strong second quarter
production of 1,025,800 BOE/d, strategically managing maintenance
activities and optimizing its production volumes by executing on
our curtailment optimization strategy.
The integration of the Devon assets that were
recently acquired on June 27, 2019, continues to progress smoothly
and our teams are working together to leverage learnings and
maximize synergies between our existing and the acquired crude oil
assets. Since the close of the acquisition, the Company has already
realized significant cost savings. In addition, we are targeting to
move a portion of heavy crude oil production from the acquired
properties to the Company's 100% owned ECHO pipeline by the end of
Q3/19, more than one year ahead of our initial plan."
Canadian Natural's Chief Financial Officer, Mark
Stainthorpe, continued, "In the second quarter of 2019, the Company
delivered another quarter of strong financial results with net
earnings of approximately $2.8 billion and adjusted net earnings of
approximately $1.0 billion, an increase of $204 million over Q1/19
levels.
Canadian Natural continues to deliver on its
free cash flow allocation policy. In the first half of 2019, the
Company returned a total of $1,484 million to shareholders, $852
million by way of dividends and $632 million by way of share
purchases. Subsequent to the quarter, up to July 31, 2019, an
additional 2.3 million common shares were purchased for
cancellation at an average share price of $34.55. Our financial
position remains strong as net long-term debt, excluding financing
related to the recently closed acquisition, decreased by
approximately $1.2 billion over Q1/19 levels. To fund the asset
acquisition in the quarter, we successfully syndicated a 3 year,
$3.25 billion term facility while available liquidity improved over
the quarter to approximately $4.6 billion, including cash and cash
equivalents.
At current strip pricing and based on our
corporate guidance, we target to exit 2019 with a debt to adjusted
EBITDA, debt to cash flow and debt to book capital ratios at levels
below those existing at December 31, 2018, despite the completion
of the $3.2 billion Devon acquisition which was financed through
the Company's strong balance sheet and after returns to
shareholders by way of dividends and share purchases throughout the
year. The accretive Devon acquisition results in the Company
growing long life low decline reserves and production and when
combined with the robustness of the business model allows for
significant free cash flow generation, continued returns to
shareholders and further strengthening of our financial position
through 2019."
QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($
millions, except per common share amounts) |
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Net earnings |
|
$ |
2,831 |
|
|
$ |
961 |
|
|
$ |
982 |
|
|
|
$ |
3,792 |
|
|
$ |
1,565 |
|
Per common share |
– basic |
|
$ |
2.37 |
|
|
$ |
0.80 |
|
|
$ |
0.80 |
|
|
|
$ |
3.17 |
|
|
$ |
1.28 |
|
|
– diluted |
|
$ |
2.36 |
|
|
$ |
0.80 |
|
|
$ |
0.80 |
|
|
|
$ |
3.16 |
|
|
$ |
1.27 |
|
Adjusted net
earnings from operations (1) |
|
$ |
1,042 |
|
|
$ |
838 |
|
|
$ |
1,279 |
|
|
|
$ |
1,880 |
|
|
$ |
2,164 |
|
Per common share |
– basic |
|
$ |
0.87 |
|
|
$ |
0.70 |
|
|
$ |
1.05 |
|
|
|
$ |
1.57 |
|
|
$ |
1.77 |
|
|
– diluted |
|
$ |
0.87 |
|
|
$ |
0.70 |
|
|
$ |
1.04 |
|
|
|
$ |
1.57 |
|
|
$ |
1.76 |
|
Cash flows from
operating activities |
|
$ |
2,861 |
|
|
$ |
996 |
|
|
$ |
2,613 |
|
|
|
$ |
3,857 |
|
|
$ |
5,082 |
|
Adjusted funds
flow (2) |
|
$ |
2,652 |
|
|
$ |
2,240 |
|
|
$ |
2,706 |
|
|
|
$ |
4,892 |
|
|
$ |
5,029 |
|
Per common share |
– basic |
|
$ |
2.22 |
|
|
$ |
1.87 |
|
|
$ |
2.20 |
|
|
|
$ |
4.09 |
|
|
$ |
4.10 |
|
|
– diluted |
|
$ |
2.22 |
|
|
$ |
1.86 |
|
|
$ |
2.19 |
|
|
|
$ |
4.08 |
|
|
$ |
4.08 |
|
Cash
flows used in investing activities |
|
$ |
4,464 |
|
|
$ |
1,029 |
|
|
$ |
1,138 |
|
|
|
$ |
5,493 |
|
|
$ |
2,507 |
|
Net
capital expenditures, excluding Devon acquisition costs (3) |
|
$ |
908 |
|
|
$ |
977 |
|
|
$ |
974 |
|
|
|
$ |
1,885 |
|
|
$ |
2,077 |
|
Total
net capital expenditures, including Devon acquisition costs
(3) |
|
$ |
4,125 |
|
|
$ |
977 |
|
|
$ |
974 |
|
|
|
$ |
5,102 |
|
|
$ |
2,077 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Daily
production, before royalties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural gas (MMcf/d) |
|
1,532 |
|
|
1,510 |
|
|
1,539 |
|
|
|
1,521 |
|
|
1,576 |
|
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d) |
|
770,409 |
|
|
783,512 |
|
|
793,899 |
|
|
|
776,924 |
|
|
824,060 |
|
Equivalent production (BOE/d) (4) |
|
1,025,800 |
|
|
1,035,212 |
|
|
1,050,376 |
|
|
|
1,030,480 |
|
|
1,086,757 |
|
- Adjusted net earnings from
operations is a non-GAAP measure that the Company utilizes to
evaluate its performance, as it demonstrates the Company’s ability
to generate after-tax operating earnings from its core business
areas. The derivation of this measure is discussed in the
Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”).
- Adjusted funds flow (previously
referred to as funds flow from operations) is a non-GAAP measure
that the Company considers key to evaluate its performance as it
demonstrates the Company’s ability to generate the cash flow
necessary to fund future growth through capital investment and to
repay debt. The derivation of this measure is discussed in the
MD&A.
- Net capital expenditures is a
non-GAAP measure that the Company considers a key measure as it
provides an understanding of the Company’s capital spending
activities in comparison to the Company's annual capital budget.
For additional information and details, refer to the net capital
expenditures table in the Company's MD&A.
- A barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”)
is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural
gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This
conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation,
since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the
value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas
prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value.
- Net earnings of $2,831 million were
realized in Q2/19, increases of $1,870 million and $1,849 million
over Q1/19 and Q2/18 levels, respectively. Adjusted net earnings of
$1,042 million were achieved in Q2/19, a $204 million increase over
Q1/19 levels.
- Cash flows from operating
activities were $2,861 million in Q2/19, an increase of $1,865
million compared to Q1/19 levels.
- Canadian Natural generated
significant quarterly adjusted funds flow of $2,652 million in
Q2/19, an increase of 18% or $412 million over Q1/19 levels. The
increase over Q1/19 was primarily due to higher crude oil and NGLs
netbacks in the Company's North America and International segments,
partially offset by lower Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO") production
volumes in the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment and lower
natural gas netbacks.
- Cash flows used in investing
activities were $4,464 million in Q2/19. Before net acquisitions,
the Company's cash flows used in investing activities were $1,052
million in Q2/19.
- Canadian Natural delivered strong
quarterly free cash flow of $1,295 million after net capital
expenditures of $908 million, and dividend requirements of $449
million, excluding costs related to the recently closed
acquisition, reflecting the strength of our long life low decline
asset base and our effective and efficient operations.
- Canadian Natural is committed to
returns to shareholders, returning a total of $840 million in the
quarter, $449 million by way of dividends and $391 million by way
of share purchases. In the first half of 2019, the Company has
returned a total of $1,484 million to shareholders, $852 million by
way of dividends and $632 million by way of share purchases.
- Share purchases for cancellation in
the quarter totaled 10,450,000 common shares at a weighted average
share price of $37.41.
- Subsequent to quarter end, up to
and including July 31, 2019, the Company executed on additional
share purchases for cancellation of 2,300,000 common shares at a
weighted average share price of $34.55.
- Subsequent to quarter end, the
Company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.375 per share, payable
on October 1, 2019.
- Capital expenditures in the
first six months of 2019 were approximately $190 million below the
original budget, showing strong discipline on capital spending with
flexibility for potential execution of these projects later in 2019
or into 2020. Annual 2019 corporate capital guidance has increased
by $100 million, representing amounts required to maintain the
acquired Devon assets.
- Curtailment Optimization
Strategy Update
- On December 5, 2018, the Company
released its budgeted annual 2019 production guidance which only
included Company originated estimated voluntary curtailments
through to the end of Q2/19. Subsequently, on January 1, 2019, the
Government of Alberta mandatory curtailment program came into
effect, which superseded the Company's voluntary curtailment
estimates. The government mandatory curtailment has been successful
in stabilizing the crude oil differential discount that Alberta was
receiving for both light crude oil and heavy crude oil. As the year
has progressed, mandatory curtailments have continued and timing of
the cessation of mandatory curtailments remains uncertain. Crude by
rail has continued to increase from Q1/19 levels, while storage
levels have trended down, albeit at a slower rate than was
originally envisioned. As a result, the Company now budgets for
continued government mandated curtailments through to the end of
2019. The Company currently has significant additional production
capacity beyond the currently mandated curtailed production levels
available and continues to execute operational flexibility through
its curtailment optimization strategy as follows:
- Mitigating production impacts from
unplanned maintenance activities at both Scotford and Horizon by
increasing conventional and thermal in situ crude oil production.
As a result of the Company's execution on its curtailment
optimization strategy, North America Exploration and Production
("E&P") and thermal in situ oil sands production exceeded Q2/19
production guidance, excluding acquisition volumes.
- During the planned turnaround at
Horizon in the fall, the Company targets to achieve its mandatory
curtailment allowable by executing its curtailment optimization
strategy along with production from pad additions at Primrose,
which continue to be ahead of schedule, demonstrating the Company's
ability to manage production while under curtailment.
- Modifying timing of the Company's
planned turnaround activities to achieve its monthly curtailment
allowable.
- Maximizing value through production
optimization of higher netback assets and reducing operating
costs.
- Despite mandatory government
curtailments being beyond the Company budgeted voluntary
curtailment estimates, the Company's revised production guidance
still remains in the range of original budget guidance levels,
adjusted for the targeted production from the recently closed Devon
acquisition, reflecting the Company’s strong asset base, flexible
operations as well as the implementation of the Company's
curtailment optimization strategy.
- On June 27, 2019, the Company
successfully closed the acquisition of substantially all of the
assets of Devon Canada Corporation, adding to the Company's long
life low decline asset base. In total, approximately 720 employees
were successfully transitioned to Canadian Natural. The Company's
teams are working together to leverage technology and maximize
synergies between the existing and acquired crude oil assets. The
Company is ahead of its initial plan in achieving targeted annual
cost savings of $135 million which includes the following cost
saving opportunities, for both primary heavy and thermal in situ
crude oil assets, with the potential for more:
- The Company is targeting to
consolidate acquired facilities and move a portion of the heavy
crude oil production from the acquired properties to its 100% owned
ECHO pipeline by the end of Q3/19, more than one year ahead of its
initial plan, targeting approximately $25 million in margin
improvements per year.
- Utilizing acquired sand storage,
deferring the need to construct a new facility.
- Redirecting approximately 3,700
bbl/d of primary heavy crude oil previously processed by a third
party to Canadian Natural facilities.
- Reducing trucking costs through
optimization of fluids in field production tanks, and disposing of
water volumes at acquired facilities.
- Capturing operating cost synergies
through consolidation of regional camps and aerodromes.
- Capturing economies of scale for
warehousing, contracting, as well as parts and procurement.
- Leveraging operational and
technical expertise for preventative maintenance programs across
the thermal in situ Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage ("SAGD")
assets.
- Reducing costs by optimizing well
servicing activities and rig utilization.
- Canadian Natural's continued focus
on delivering effective and efficient operations was demonstrated
as the Company's Exploration and Production ("E&P") Q2/19
operating costs were $11.68/BOE, an 8% reduction from both Q1/19
and Q2/18 levels.
- The Company achieved quarterly
production volumes of 1,025,800 BOE/d in Q2/19, comparable to Q1/19
and a 2% decrease from Q2/18 levels, reflecting the Company's
execution on its curtailment optimization strategy to offset the
impacts of the extended time to complete repairs at the Scotford
Upgrader and proactive maintenance activities at Horizon, as well
as production impacts of approximately 6,300 bbl/d from wildfires
near the Company's Pelican Lake and Woodenhouse operations.
- Canadian Natural's North America
E&P crude oil and NGLs production volumes, excluding thermal in
situ, averaged 235,066 bbl/d in Q2/19, exceeding Q2/19 production
guidance and a 4% increase over Q1/19 levels. The increase was
primarily due to execution on the Company's curtailment
optimization strategy, partially offset by production impacts in
late May and early June of approximately 6,300 bbl/d of quarterly
production lost due to wildfires near the Company's Pelican Lake
and Woodenhouse operations. The Company restarted operations at
Pelican Lake on June 8, 2019 and production for July averaged
approximately 62,000 bbl/d, comparable to rates prior to the
shutdown.
- Thermal in situ oil sands
production volumes averaged 109,599 bbl/d in Q2/19, a 16% increase
over Q1/19 levels, primarily due to execution on the Company's
curtailment optimization strategy and additional volumes from the
Devon asset acquisition that closed on June 27, 2019. Excluding the
acquisition volumes, thermal in situ crude oil production exceeded
Q2/19 production guidance.
- Pad additions at Primrose continue
to be ahead of schedule and on budget with initial production
targeted in Q3/19, offsetting production impacts from the planned
turnaround at Horizon as part of the Company's curtailment
optimization strategy. These pad additions are high return
activities as the Company utilizes available excess oil processing
and steam capacity at Primrose.
- As previously announced, at the
Company's Kirby North SAGD project, top tier execution and strong
productivity have resulted in the project remaining two quarters
ahead of the sanctioned schedule with overall cost performance
remaining on budget. The commissioning of the central processing
facility was ahead of schedule and as a result, the project began
steaming in Q2/19. As part of the Company's curtailment
optimization strategy, the Company targets to manage the ramp up of
production towards Kirby North's overall capacity of 40,000 bbl/d
in early 2021.
- North America natural gas
production was 1,482 MMcf/d in Q2/19, an increase of 2% over Q1/19
levels and comparable with Q2/18 levels. The increase in Q2/19 was
primarily due to associated gas from the Company's light crude oil
and liquids rich natural gas drilling program, partially offset by
natural field declines.
- International E&P production
volumes were strong in Q2/19, averaging 51,244 bbl/d, increasing by
7% and 20% over Q1/19 and Q2/18 levels, respectively. The increases
over the comparable periods are due to the successful drilling
programs at Ninian and Baobab, partially offset by the planned
turnaround at Ninian and natural field declines. As a result these
strong operational results, the Company has increased its annual
2019 International production guidance.
- International production volumes benefit from premium Brent
pricing, generating significant free cash flow for the
Company.
- At the Company's world class Oil
Sands Mining and Upgrading assets, second quarter production
volumes averaged 374,500 bbl/d of SCO, a decrease of 10% from Q1/19
levels. The decrease in production primarily reflected extended
time to complete repairs at the Scotford Upgrader, as well as
proactive maintenance activities at Horizon. After completion of
these repairs and maintenance activities Oil Sands Mining
production has been strong, averaging approximately 463,000 bbl/d
of SCO production in the month of July.
- Total production costs were $814
million in Q2/19, comparable to Q1/19 levels and a 5% decrease from
$855 million in Q2/18. Production costs for the first half of 2019
were $1,636 million, a 5% or $92 million decrease from the
comparable period in 2018, demonstrating the Company's focus on
effective and efficient operations.
- Canadian Natural realized quarterly
operating costs of $24.17/bbl (US$18.06/bbl) of SCO in Q2/19, a 13%
increase over Q1/19 and a 5% increase over Q2/18 levels, reflecting
lower production volumes in the quarter.
- At Horizon, as a result of Canadian
Natural's industry leading integrity program, the Company
identified a portion of the piping to the amine unit that had
reduced thickness and made the proactive decision to advance this
maintenance in Q2/19, ahead of the planned fall turnaround. The
Company was able to mitigate some of the production impact from the
16 day outage by bringing on curtailed production.
- The Company has reviewed and
optimized the scope of work for the planned Horizon fall turnaround
and as a result, the turnaround is now targeted for 25 days
starting in late Q3/19, a reduction of 3 days.
- Canadian Natural maintains strong
financial stability and liquidity represented by cash balances, and
committed and demand bank credit facilities. At June 30, 2019 the
Company had approximately $4,560 million of available liquidity,
including cash and cash equivalents.
ENVIRONMENTAL HIGHLIGHTS
- In July 2019, Canadian Natural
published its 2018 Stewardship Report to Stakeholders, now
available on the Company's website at
https://www.cnrl.com/report-to-stakeholders. The report displays
how Canadian Natural continues to focus on safe, reliable,
effective and efficient operations while minimizing its
environmental footprint. Highlights from the 2018 report are as
follows:
- Canadian Natural's corporate greenhouse gas ("GHG") emissions
intensity has decreased by approximately 29% from 2012 to 2018, a
material reduction in emissions intensity.
- The Company's corporate GHG emissions intensity decreased in
2018 by approximately 5% from 2017 levels, including a reduction of
approximately 18% in Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading.
- Methane emissions have decreased 78% from 2012 to 2018 at the
Company's Alberta primary heavy crude oil operations.
- In the Company's North America E&P segment, in 2018 natural
gas flaring decreased by 4% and natural gas venting decreased by 6%
from 2017 levels.
- In 2018, in the Company's North America E&P segment,
Canadian Natural abandoned 1,293 wells, an increase of 68% over
2017 levels, and submitted 1,012 reclamation certificates, an
increase of approximately 67% over 2017 levels.
- The Company reclaimed 1,383 hectares of land in 2018 in the
Company's North America E&P segment, equivalent to
approximately 1,700 Canadian football fields and a 9% increase over
2017 levels.
- In the Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading segment, water use
intensity decreased in 2018 by 30% from 2017 levels.
- Approximately 75% of water used at Primrose was sourced from
recycled produced water in 2018.
- Canadian Natural has invested over
$3.4 billion in research and development since 2009 and continues
to invest in technology to unlock reserves, become more effective
and efficient, increase production and reduce the Company's
environmental footprint. Canadian Natural's culture of continuous
improvement leverages the use of technology and innovation to drive
sustainable operations and long-term value for shareholders.
- Canadian Natural has invested
significant capital to capture and sequester CO2. The Company has
carbon capture and sequestration facilities at Horizon, a 70%
working interest in the Quest Carbon Capture and Storage project at
Scotford, and through carbon capture facilities through its 50%
interest in the NWR refinery. As a result, Canadian Natural targets
capacity to capture and sequester 2.7 million tonnes of CO2
annually, equivalent to taking 576,000 vehicles off the road per
year, making the Company one of the largest CO2 capturer and
sequester for the oil and natural gas sector globally.
- Canadian Natural's commitment to
leverage technology, adopting innovation and continuous improvement
is evidenced by its In Pit Extraction Process ("IPEP") pilot at
Horizon, which will determine the feasibility of producing
stackable dry tailings. The project has the potential to reduce the
Company's carbon emissions and environmental footprint by reducing
the usage of haul trucks, the size and need for tailings ponds and
accelerating site reclamation. In addition, this process has the
potential to significantly reduce capital and operating costs.
- The initial testing phase for the
Company's IPEP pilot has concluded and results have been positive
with excellent recovery rates and evidence of stackable tailings.
Given the positive results thus far, the Company continues to make
enhancements and will operate and test the pilot through 2019.
OPERATIONS REVIEW AND CAPITAL
ALLOCATION
Canadian Natural has a balanced and diverse
portfolio of assets, primarily Canadian-based, with international
exposure in the UK section of the North Sea and Offshore Africa.
Canadian Natural’s production is well balanced between light crude
oil, medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, Pelican Lake heavy
crude oil, thermal in situ crude oil, bitumen and SCO (herein
collectively referred to as “crude oil”), natural gas and NGLs.
This balance provides optionality for capital investments,
maximizing value for the Company’s shareholders.
Underpinning this asset base is long life low
decline production from the Company's Oil Sands Mining and
Upgrading, thermal in situ oil sands and Pelican Lake heavy crude
oil assets. The combination of long life low decline, low reserves
replacement cost, and effective and efficient operations results in
substantial and sustainable adjusted funds flow throughout the
commodity price cycle.
Augmenting this, Canadian Natural maintains a
substantial inventory of low capital exposure projects within the
Company's conventional asset base. These projects can be executed
quickly and with the right economic conditions, can provide
excellent returns and maximize value for shareholders. Supporting
these projects is the Company’s undeveloped land base which enables
large, repeatable drilling programs which can be optimized over
time. Additionally, by owning and operating most of the related
infrastructure, Canadian Natural is able to control major
components of the Company's operating costs and minimize production
commitments. Low capital exposure projects can be quickly stopped
or started depending upon success, market conditions, or corporate
needs.
Canadian Natural’s balanced portfolio, built
with both long life low decline assets and low capital exposure
assets, enables effective capital allocation, production growth and
value creation.
Drilling Activity
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
|
|
|
|
2019 |
2018 |
(number of wells) |
Gross |
|
Net |
|
Gross |
|
Net |
|
Crude oil |
39 |
|
38 |
|
210 |
|
203 |
|
Natural gas |
12 |
|
10 |
|
13 |
|
9 |
|
Dry |
3 |
|
3 |
|
2 |
|
2 |
|
Subtotal |
54 |
|
51 |
|
225 |
|
214 |
|
Stratigraphic test / service wells |
379 |
|
335 |
|
555 |
|
477 |
|
Total |
433 |
|
386 |
|
780 |
|
691 |
|
Success rate (excluding stratigraphic test / service wells) |
|
94 |
% |
|
99 |
% |
- The Company's total crude oil and
natural gas drilling program of 51 net wells for the six months
ended June 30, 2019, excluding strat/service wells, decreased by
163 net wells from the same period in 2018. The Company's drilling
levels reflect the disciplined capital allocation process,
continued actions to enhance operations, and execution on the
Company's curtailment optimization strategy.
North America Exploration and Production
Crude oil and NGLs
– excluding Thermal In Situ Oil Sands |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Crude
oil and NGLs production (bbl/d) |
235,066 |
|
225,291 |
|
238,631 |
|
230,205 |
|
242,101 |
|
Net wells targeting crude
oil |
9 |
|
28 |
|
58 |
|
37 |
|
159 |
|
Net successful wells
drilled |
7 |
|
28 |
|
58 |
|
35 |
|
157 |
|
Success rate |
78 |
% |
100 |
% |
100 |
% |
95 |
% |
99 |
% |
- North America E&P crude oil and
NGLs production volumes averaged 235,066 bbl/d in Q2/19, exceeding
Q2/19 production guidance and a 4% increase over Q1/19 levels. The
increase was primarily due to execution on the Company's
curtailment optimization strategy, partially offset by production
impacts of approximately 6,300 bbl/d from wildfires near the
Company's Pelican Lake and Woodenhouse operations.
- Canadian Natural's primary heavy crude oil production averaged
77,667 bbl/d in Q2/19, a 13% increase over Q1/19 levels primarily
due to execution on the Company's curtailment optimization strategy
and additional volumes from the Devon asset acquisition that closed
on June 27, 2019. Primary heavy crude oil production decreased by
8% from Q2/18 levels primarily due to the Company's strategic
decision to reduce activity through 2018 as a result of the
widening price differentials in 2018 and the impact of the
Government of Alberta mandated production curtailments that came
into effect January 1, 2019.
- Operating costs of $17.52/bbl were achieved in the Company's
primary heavy crude oil operations in the quarter, comparable to
Q1/19 and a 3% increase over Q2/18 levels, strong results given the
8% decrease in volumes.
- The Company drilled 5 net primary heavy crude oil wells in
Q2/19, targeting strategic opportunities for future development,
particularly in Saskatchewan, where 3 of the 5 wells were drilled
as production is not impacted by curtailments. Canadian Natural is
leveraging the Company's multilateral horizontal technology
expertise on 2 of these wells.
- An additional 11 net multilateral horizontal wells, primarily
in Saskatchewan, are targeted to be drilled in the last half of the
year. By leveraging technology and taking advantage of the
Company's expertise, the Company continues to unlock value in its
primary heavy crude oil assets.
- The recently acquired primary heavy crude oil Manatokan lands,
with the potential for 658 net locations, are an excellent fit
within the Company's existing primary heavy crude oil operations.
As part of the Company's continued focus on technology and
innovation, 85% of the identified potential locations are
multilateral horizontal wells. The Company's teams are working
together to leverage technology and maximize synergies.
- The Company is ahead of its initial plan in achieving targeted
annual cost savings of $135 million on the Devon properties,
including both primary heavy and thermal in situ crude oil assets.
In addition to economies of scale, the Company has identified the
following primary heavy crude oil cost saving opportunities, with
the potential for more:
- The Company is targeting to consolidate acquired facilities and
move a portion of the heavy crude oil production from the acquired
properties to the Company's 100% owned ECHO pipeline by the end of
Q3/19, more than one year ahead of its initial plan, targeting
approximately $25 million in margin improvements per year.
- Utilizing acquired sand storage, deferring the need to
construct a new facility.
- Redirecting approximately 3,700 bbl/d of primary heavy crude
oil previously processed by a third party to Canadian Natural
facilities.
- Reducing trucking costs through optimization of fluids in field
production tanks, and disposing of water volumes at acquired
facilities.
- North America light crude oil and NGL production averaged
102,368 bbl/d in Q2/19, a 14% increase over Q2/18 and 7% increase
over Q1/19 levels, reflecting the Company's strategic decision to
reallocate capital to light crude oil and liquids rich areas, along
with strong results from the 2018 and 2019 drilling programs at
Wembley, Karr, and Southeast Saskatchewan, and execution on the
Company's curtailment optimization strategy.
- Within the greater Wembley area, results continue to exceed
expectations. In the first half of the year, the Company brought 12
net wells on production with initial 30 day liquids production
rates averaging approximately 680 bbl/d per well, exceeding
expectations of approximately 560 bbl/d per well. An additional 2
net wells are targeted to come on production in Q3/19. The Company
has identified the potential for 363 incremental high quality
premium light crude oil and liquids rich Montney drilling locations
on the Company's 155 net sections.
- In the first half of the year, in the Company's Karr area, 12
net wells have come on production, delivering strong results. The
wells are currently producing at approximately 2,750 bbl/d total,
in-line with expectations and being further optimized. Canadian
Natural holds approximately 50 net sections of prospective Dunvegan
rights with the potential of 45 high quality light crude oil
locations. The Company is currently evaluating water flood
implementation at Karr to increase recoveries and maximize long
term value.
- In Southeast Saskatchewan, the Company drilled 4 net light
crude oil wells in Q2/19, with an additional 7 net wells targeted
to be drilled in Q3/19. All 11 of these high return wells are
targeted to be on stream in Q3/19, with expected rates averaging
approximately 80 bbl/d per well. The Company strategically
reallocated capital from Alberta to Saskatchewan as production from
these wells are not impacted by the Government of Alberta mandated
production curtailments.
- In Q2/19 operating costs of $14.67/bbl were strong in the
Company's North America light crude oil and NGL areas, decreases of
8% and 7% from Q1/19 and Q2/18 levels respectively, primarily due
to increased production volumes and the Company's focus on cost
control.
- Pelican Lake quarterly production averaged 55,031 bbl/d in
Q2/19, a decrease of 10% from Q1/19 levels, reflecting production
impacts of approximately 5,400 bbl/d from the temporary shut-in of
crude oil production due to wildfires in northern Alberta.
- As previously announced, Canadian Natural completed a safe,
temporary shut down of Pelican Lake production on May 30, 2019 due
to wildfires in the region. The Company restarted operations on
June 8, 2019 and production for July averaged approximately 62,000
bbl/d, comparable to rates prior to the shut down.
- Strong operating costs of $6.72/bbl were achieved in Q2/19 at
Pelican Lake, comparable to Q1/19 and a 3% decrease from Q2/18
levels, impressive results given the decrease in production due to
the Alberta wildfires in the quarter.
- The Company’s annual 2019 North
America E&P crude oil and NGL production guidance has been
increased to incorporate the Devon acquisition and is now targeted
to range between 231,000 bbl/d - 251,000 bbl/d.
Thermal In Situ
Oil Sands |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Bitumen
production (bbl/d) |
109,599 |
|
94,146 |
|
104,907 |
|
101,915 |
|
108,359 |
|
Net wells targeting
bitumen |
— |
|
— |
|
21 |
|
— |
|
43 |
|
Net successful wells
drilled |
— |
|
— |
|
21 |
|
— |
|
43 |
|
Success rate |
— |
|
— |
|
100 |
% |
— |
|
100 |
% |
- Thermal in situ oil sands
production volumes averaged 109,599 bbl/d in Q2/19, a 16% increase
over Q1/19 levels, primarily due to the Company's execution on its
curtailment optimization strategy and additional volumes from the
Devon asset acquisition that closed on June 27, 2019. Excluding the
acquisition volumes, thermal in situ crude oil production exceeded
Q2/19 production guidance.
- At Primrose, Q2/19 production volumes averaged 71,917 bbl/d, an
increase of 16% over Q1/19 levels, primarily due to execution on
the Company's curtailment optimization strategy. Including energy
costs, operating costs were strong at $12.39/bbl in Q2/19,
decreases of 39% and 15% from Q1/19 and Q2/18 levels respectively,
reflecting higher volumes and lower energy costs.
- Pad additions at Primrose continue to be ahead of schedule and
on budget with initial production targeted in Q3/19, offsetting
production impacts from the planned turnaround at Horizon as part
of the Company's curtailment optimization strategy. These pad
additions are high return activities as the Company utilizes
available excess oil processing and steam capacity at
Primrose.
- At Kirby South, SAGD production volumes averaged 28,597 bbl/d
in Q2/19, a 4% decrease from Q1/19 and a 19% decrease from Q2/18
levels. Including energy costs, Kirby South quarterly operating
costs were strong at $10.55/bbl in Q2/19, a reduction of 14% from
Q1/19 levels, primarily as a result of lower energy costs.
Operating costs increased by 16% from Q2/18 levels primarily due to
lower production volumes.
- In Q2/19 at Kirby South, the Company began its solvent enhanced
SAGD pilot as planned. Initial results are positive indicating
reduced Steam to Oil Ratios ("SORs") in line with expectations. If
successful, solvent enhanced SAGD has the potential to
significantly reduce SORs, operating costs and greenhouse gas
emissions. The Company targets to continue to operate the pilot for
approximately 2 years.
- As previously announced, at the Company's Kirby North SAGD
project, top tier execution and strong productivity have resulted
in the project remaining two quarters ahead of the sanctioned
schedule with overall cost performance remaining on budget. The
commissioning of the central processing facility was ahead of
schedule and as a result, the project began steaming in Q2/19. As
part of the Company's curtailment optimization strategy, the
Company targets to manage the ramp up of production towards Kirby
North's overall capacity of 40,000 bbl/d in early 2021.
- The recently acquired Jackfish thermal in situ crude oil assets
are an excellent fit with our existing thermal in situ crude oil
assets, adding to the Company's long life low decline asset base.
The Company's teams are working together to leverage technology and
maximize synergies between the existing and acquired crude oil
assets.
- The Company is ahead of its initial plan in achieving targeted
annual cost savings of $135 million on the Devon properties,
including both thermal in situ and primary heavy crude oil assets.
The Company has identified the following thermal in situ crude oil
cost savings and optimization opportunities, with the potential for
more:
- Capturing operating cost synergies through consolidation of
regional camps and aerodromes.
- Capturing economies of scale for warehousing, contracting, as
well as parts and procurement.
- Leveraging operational and technical expertise for preventative
maintenance programs across the thermal in situ SAGD assets.
- Reducing costs by optimizing well servicing activities and rig
utilization.
- The Company’s annual 2019 thermal
in situ production guidance has been increased to incorporate the
Devon acquisition and is now targeted to range between 157,000
bbl/d - 172,000 bbl/d.
North America
Natural Gas |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Natural gas production (MMcf/d) |
1,482 |
|
1,454 |
|
1,485 |
|
1,468 |
|
1,515 |
|
Net wells targeting natural
gas |
2 |
|
9 |
|
4 |
|
11 |
|
9 |
|
Net successful wells
drilled |
2 |
|
8 |
|
4 |
|
10 |
|
9 |
|
Success rate |
100 |
% |
89 |
% |
100 |
% |
91 |
% |
100 |
% |
- North America natural gas
production was 1,482 MMcf/d in Q2/19, an increase of 2% over Q1/19
levels and comparable with Q2/18 levels. The increase in Q2/19 was
primarily due to associated gas from the Company's light crude oil
and liquids rich natural gas drilling program, partially offset by
natural field declines.
- Strong operating costs of $1.15/Mcf
were achieved in Q2/19, a decrease of 12% from Q1/19 and 10% from
Q2/18 levels, primarily due to the Company's continued focus on
cost control and due to the 2% increase in volumes over Q1/19
levels.
- At the Company's high value
Septimus Montney liquids rich area, 5 net wells, with targeted
production capacity of approximately 2,080 bbl/d of NGLs and 30
MMcf/d of natural gas, were completed in late Q2/19. Rates for the
new wells are in line with expectations. The Septimus plant is
expected to be maintained at full capacity for the remainder of
2019.
- Septimus operating costs were $0.33/Mcfe in Q2/19, an 8%
reduction from Q1/19 levels, and a further reduction of 12% to
$0.29/Mcfe is targeted for the remainder of 2019. Continued low
operating costs at Septimus support the Company's high value
liquids rich development.
- The Company's natural gas
reinjection pilot at Septimus commenced its first injection of 5
MMcf/d in Q2/19. Depending on results of the pilot, this technology
has the potential to materially increase liquids recovery while
storing natural gas in the reservoir, preserving the value of the
natural gas for periods with higher market prices.
- Results from the first injection and production cycle are
targeted for late 2019 with the potential to proceed with
additional cycles at the same location. Given the
opportunities for this process across Canadian Natural's vast
liquids rich Montney land base, the Company is advancing readiness
for a second pilot site within the Company's Greater Wembley
area.
- A portion of the capital
reallocated from Alberta crude oil projects was deployed in the
Company's liquids rich Gold Creek assets, which are not subject to
curtailment. In the Gold Creek area, 2 net wells came on production
in Q2/19 with initial rates of approximately 650 bbl/d and 4.9
MMcf/d per well, exceeding liquids expectations by 44% per well.
Subsequent to quarter end, an additional 2 net wells came on
production with initial rates of approximately 900 bbl/d and 5
MMcf/d per well, exceeding liquids expectations by 43% per
well.
- The Company successfully closed the
acquisition of the Pine River plant on May 3, 2019. A 45 day
planned plant turnaround designed to improve plant efficiency, run
time, lower operating costs, and improve plant capability to 120
MMcf/d from current levels of 95 MMcf/d, is targeted to commence in
late Q3/19.
- In 2019, based upon the midpoint of
annual production guidance, Canadian Natural targets to use the
equivalent of approximately 45% of its total corporate natural gas
production in its operations, providing a natural hedge from the
challenging Western Canadian natural gas price environment.
Approximately 34% of the Company's guided 2019 natural gas
production is targeted to be exported to other North American
markets and sold internationally. The remaining 21% of the
Company's 2019 targeted natural gas production would be exposed to
AECO/Station 2 pricing.
- The Company’s annual 2019 corporate
natural gas production guidance remains unchanged and is targeted
to range between 1,485 MMcf/d - 1,545 MMcf/d.
International Exploration and
Production
|
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Crude oil production (bbl/d) |
|
|
|
|
|
North Sea |
27,594 |
|
25,714 |
|
24,456 |
|
26,659 |
|
23,028 |
|
Offshore Africa |
23,650 |
|
22,155 |
|
18,201 |
|
22,907 |
|
18,816 |
|
Natural gas production
(MMcf/d) |
|
|
|
|
|
North Sea |
23 |
|
28 |
|
30 |
|
25 |
|
34 |
|
Offshore Africa |
27 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
28 |
|
27 |
|
Net wells targeting crude
oil |
0.9 |
|
1.6 |
|
1.9 |
|
2.5 |
|
2.9 |
|
Net successful wells
drilled |
0.9 |
|
1.6 |
|
1.9 |
|
2.5 |
|
2.9 |
|
Success rate |
100 |
% |
100 |
% |
100 |
% |
100 |
% |
100 |
% |
- International E&P production
volumes were strong in Q2/19, averaging 51,244 bbl/d, increasing by
7% and 20% over Q1/19 and Q2/18 levels, respectively. The increases
from the comparable periods are due to the successful drilling
programs at Ninian and Baobab, partially offset by the planned
turnaround at Ninian and natural field declines.
- International production volumes
benefit from premium Brent pricing, generating significant free
cash flow for the Company.
- In the North Sea, production volumes of 27,594 bbl/d were
achieved in Q2/19, increasing by 7% and 13% over Q1/19 and Q2/18
levels, respectively. The increases over Q1/19 and Q2/18 were
primarily as a result of successful drilling in 2018 and the first
half of 2019, partially offset by planned maintenance activities at
the Ninian Central Platform and natural field declines. Current
production for the 2 gross (1.9 net) wells drilled in 2019 is
exceeding budgeted expectations of 4,200 bbl/d net, by
approximately 1,000 bbl/d.
- Q2/19 operating costs in the North Sea averaged $37.31/bbl
(£22.39/bbl), a reduction of 6% from Q1/19 levels, primarily due to
timing of liftings from various fields that have different cost
structures, partially offset by the impact of turnaround
costs.
- In the second half of 2019, the Company targets to drill 3
gross (2.9 net) high netback producer wells. The total 2019 North
Sea drilling program now consists of 5 gross (4.8 net) high return
producer wells, capturing improving margins in the Company's
successful North Sea operations.
- The Company is targeting planned turnaround activities at the
Tiffany platform and Banff Floating Production Storage and
Offloading ("FPSO") vessel in Q3/19. Production impacts are
reflected in Q3/19 guidance.
- Offshore Africa production volumes in Q2/19 averaged 23,650
bbl/d, increases of 7% and 30% increase over Q1/19 and Q2/18
levels, respectively. The increases over Q1/19 and Q2/18 were
primarily as a result of production from the successful Baobab
drilling program, partially offset by natural field declines.
- Côte d'Ivoire crude oil operating costs averaged $8.40/bbl
(US$6.28/bbl) in Q2/19, a reduction of 14% from Q1/19 levels
primarily due to increased volumes and timing of liftings from
various fields that have different cost structures.
- In Q2/19, the Company drilled 1.0 gross (0.6 net) injector
well, completing the Baobab drilling program. The total Baobab
drilling program of 4 gross (2.4 net) producer wells and 2 gross
(1.2 net) injectors was completed on budget. Production from the
new wells is exceeding budgeted expectations by approximately 3,000
bbl/d net.
- As previously announced, the Company had targeted to commence a
high value drilling program in Q4/19 at Espoir. Due to ongoing
discussions with the Côte d'Ivoire Government, the Espoir drilling
program has been canceled until such time as certain foreign
exchange practices can be clarified.
- Canadian Natural successfully drilled an appraisal well (0.6
net) at Kossipo in Q2/19. The well flowed light crude oil at a
facility constrained rate of 7,360 bbl/d, exceeding expectations.
The Company is currently evaluating project economics and
contractual terms for development drilling and a pipeline tied-back
to the Baobab FPSO vessel, adding significant future value with
potential gross production capability of 20,000 bbl/d targeted in
2022.
- Following the previously announced discovery of significant gas
condensate in South Africa, where Canadian Natural owns a 20%
working interest, the operator targets to acquire 3D seismic on the
Block in 2019.
- In the first half of 2020, the operator targets to drill 1
gross exploration well and depending on results, may drill 2
additional wells to further define volumes and deliverability.
- Based on positive drilling results,
the Company's annual 2019 International production guidance has
been increased and is now targeted to range from 46,000 bbl/d -
50,000 bbl/d.
North America Oil Sands Mining and
Upgrading
|
Three Months Ended |
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Synthetic crude oil production (bbl/d) (1) (2) |
374,500 |
|
416,206 |
|
407,704 |
|
395,238 |
|
431,756 |
|
- SCO production before royalties and excludes volumes consumed
internally as diesel.
- Consists of heavy and light synthetic crude oil products.
- At the Company's world class Oil
Sands Mining and Upgrading assets, quarterly production volumes
averaged 374,500 bbl/d of SCO, a decrease of 10% from Q1/19 levels.
The decrease in production primarily reflected extended time to
complete repairs at the Scotford Upgrader, as well as proactive
maintenance activities at Horizon.
- Total production costs were $814
million in Q2/19, comparable to Q1/19 levels and a 5% decrease from
$855 million in Q2/18. Production costs for the first half of 2019
were $1,636 million, a 5% or $92 million decrease from the
comparable period in 2018, demonstrating the Company's focus on
effective and efficient operations.
- Canadian Natural realized quarterly
operating costs of $24.17/bbl (US$18.06/bbl) of SCO in Q2/19, a 13%
increase over Q1/19 and a 5% increase over Q2/18 levels, reflecting
lower production volumes in the quarter.
- As previously announced, a fire
occurred at the non-operated Scotford North Upgrader on April 15,
2019. The fire was promptly extinguished, all personnel were
accounted for, and there were no reported injuries. Repairs were
successfully completed for approximately $21 million gross and took
an additional 28 days to complete following the planned 38 day
turnaround. Operations resumed to full production on June 24, 2019
and the Company was able to minimize the impacts of Scotford
repairs by bringing on curtailed production in other areas of its
asset base.
- At Horizon, as a result of Canadian
Natural's industry leading integrity program, the Company
identified a portion of the piping to the amine unit that had
reduced thickness and made the proactive decision to advance this
maintenance in Q2/19, ahead of the planned fall turnaround. The
Company was able to mitigate some of the production impact from the
16 day outage by bringing on curtailed production.
- The Company has reviewed and
optimized the scope of work for the planned Horizon fall turnaround
and as a result, the turnaround is now targeted for 25 days
starting in late Q3/19, a reduction of 3 days.
- The Company continues to progress
engineering work on the previously announced potential expansion
opportunities at Horizon to increase reliability and lower costs,
targeting to add production of 75,000 bbl/d to 95,000 bbl/d. The
engineering and design specification work continued in the quarter
and is targeted to be complete in Q3/19. The final investment
decision on these opportunities will not be made until there is
greater clarity on market access.
- The potential Paraffinic Froth
Treatment expansion at Horizon is targeting 40,000 bbl/d to 50,000
bbl/d of high quality diluted bitumen at significantly lower
operating costs as the Company leverages its existing
infrastructure. The preliminary estimate of the capital required is
approximately $1.4 billion.
- Stage 1 and 2 reliability
opportunities at Horizon are targeted to add 35,000 bbl/d to 45,000
bbl/d of SCO.
- Based on the impacts of the repairs
and maintenance activities undertaken in the Company's Oil Sands
Mining and Upgrading operations in Q2/19, the Company's annual 2019
Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading production guidance has been
adjusted and is now targeted to range between 405,000 bbl/d -
415,000 bbl/d of SCO.
MARKETING
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
|
Mar 31 2019 |
|
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
|
|
Jun 30 2019 |
|
|
Jun 30 2018 |
|
Crude oil and NGLs
pricing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
WTI benchmark price (US$/bbl) (1) |
|
$ |
59.83 |
|
|
$ |
54.90 |
|
|
$ |
67.90 |
|
|
|
$ |
57.38 |
|
|
$ |
65.41 |
|
WCS heavy differential as a percentage of WTI (%) (2) |
|
18 |
% |
|
23 |
% |
|
28 |
% |
|
|
20 |
% |
|
33 |
% |
SCO price (US$/bbl) |
|
$ |
59.96 |
|
|
$ |
52.19 |
|
|
$ |
67.27 |
|
|
|
$ |
56.10 |
|
|
$ |
64.38 |
|
Condensate benchmark pricing (US$/bbl) |
|
$ |
55.86 |
|
|
$ |
50.49 |
|
|
$ |
68.85 |
|
|
|
$ |
53.19 |
|
|
$ |
66.00 |
|
Average realized pricing before risk management (C$/bbl) (3) |
|
$ |
63.45 |
|
|
$ |
53.98 |
|
|
$ |
61.14 |
|
|
|
$ |
59.05 |
|
|
$ |
52.32 |
|
Natural gas pricing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AECO benchmark price (C$/GJ) |
|
$ |
1.11 |
|
|
$ |
1.84 |
|
|
$ |
0.97 |
|
|
|
$ |
1.47 |
|
|
$ |
1.36 |
|
Average realized pricing before risk management (C$/Mcf) |
|
$ |
1.98 |
|
|
$ |
3.09 |
|
|
$ |
1.95 |
|
|
|
$ |
2.53 |
|
|
$ |
2.35 |
|
- West Texas Intermediate
(“WTI”).
- Western Canadian Select
(“WCS”).
- Average crude oil and NGL pricing
excludes SCO. Pricing is net of blending costs and excluding risk
management activities.
- Q2/19 differentials between Western
Canadian Select ("WCS") and WTI benchmark pricing narrowed from
Q2/18 levels following the Government of Alberta's announcement of
mandatory curtailments of crude oil production that came into
effect January 1, 2019.
- AECO natural gas prices decreased
in Q2/19 from Q1/19 levels, primarily reflecting seasonal demand
factors. AECO natural gas prices increased in Q2/19 from Q2/18
levels, primarily reflecting the easing of third party pipeline
constraints to export markets.
- The North West Redwater ("NWR")
refinery, upon completion, targets to strengthen the Company’s
position by providing a competitive return on investment and by
creating incremental demand for approximately 80,000 bbl/d of heavy
crude oil blends that will not require export pipelines, helping to
reduce pricing volatility in all Western Canadian heavy crude oil.
- The Company has a 50% interest in the NWR Partnership. For
updates on the project, please refer to:
https://nwrsturgeonrefinery.com/whats-happening/news/.
FINANCIAL REVIEW
The Company continues to implement proven
strategies and its disciplined approach to capital allocation. As a
result, the financial position of Canadian Natural remains strong.
Canadian Natural’s adjusted funds flow generation, credit
facilities, US commercial paper program, access to capital markets,
diverse asset base and related flexible capital expenditure
programs all support a flexible financial position and provide the
appropriate financial resources for the near-, mid- and
long-term.
- The Company’s strategy is to
maintain a diverse portfolio balanced across various commodity
types. The Company achieved production levels of 1,025,800 BOE/d in
Q2/19, with approximately 97% of total production located in G7
countries.
- Canadian Natural maintains a balance of products with Q2/19
production mix on a BOE/d basis of 51% light crude oil and SCO
blends, 24% heavy crude oil blends and 25% natural gas.
- Canadian Natural delivered strong
quarterly free cash flow of $1,295 million after net capital
expenditures of $908 million, and dividend requirements of $449
million, excluding the Devon acquisition that closed on June 27,
2019, reflecting the strength of our long life low decline asset
base and our effective and efficient operations.
- Balance sheet strength and strong
financial performance was demonstrated in Q2/19 through the the
repayment of C$500 million of 3.05% notes and reduction in
long-term debt, excluding the Devon acquisition that closed on June
27, 2019.
- In Q2/19, including the Devon acquisition, net long-term debt
increased by $2,209 million to $23,109 million. Excluding financing
related to the recently closed Devon acquisition, net long-term
debt decreased by approximately $1,200 million from Q1/19
levels.
- In June 2019, the Company
successfully executed on its funding plan for the acquisition
through a $3,250 million, 3 year term facility.
- Canadian Natural maintains strong
financial stability and liquidity represented by cash balances, and
committed and demand bank credit facilities. At June 30, 2019 the
Company had approximately $4,560 million of available liquidity,
including cash and cash equivalents, an increase of approximately
$330 million over Q1/19 levels.
- Canadian Natural is committed to
returns to shareholders, returning a total of $840 million in the
quarter, $449 million by way of dividends and $391 million by way
of share purchases. In the first half of 2019, the Company has
returned a total of $1,484 million to shareholders, $852 million by
way of dividends and $632 million by way of share purchases.
- Share purchases for cancellation in the quarter totaled
10,450,000 common shares at a weighted average share price of
$37.41.
- Subsequent to quarter end, up to and including July 31, 2019,
the Company executed on additional share purchases for cancellation
of 2,300,000 common shares at a weighted average share price of
$34.55.
- Subsequent to quarter end, the Company declared a quarterly
dividend of $0.375 per share, payable on October 1, 2019.
- In 2018, the Board of Directors
approved a more defined free cash flow allocation policy in
accordance with the Company's four stated pillars. Under the
policy, in 2019 the Company will target to allocate, on an annual
basis, 50% of its residual free cash flow, after budgeted capital
expenditures, dividends and large opportunistic acquisitions, to
share purchases under its NCIB and the remaining 50% to reducing
debt levels on the Company's balance sheet. This free cash flow
policy will target a ratio of debt to adjusted 12 months trailing
EBITDA of 1.5x, and an absolute debt level of $15.0 billion, at
which time the policy will be reviewed by the Board. This policy
was effective November 1, 2018.
- As previously announced, the Company renewed its NCIB for the
12 month period commencing on May 23, 2019 and ending May 22,
2020.
- In addition to the Company's strong
adjusted funds flow, capital flexibility and access to debt capital
markets, Canadian Natural has additional financial levers at its
disposal to effectively manage its liquidity. As at June 30, 2019,
these financial levers include the Company’s third party equity
investments of $547 million, and cross currency swaps with a total
value of $264 million.
- Subsequent to quarter end, in July
2019, the Company filed base shelf prospectuses that allow for the
offer for sale from time to time of up to $3,000 million of
medium-term notes in Canada and US$3,000 million of debt securities
in the United States, which expire August 2021, replacing the
Company's previous base shelf prospectuses which would have expired
in August 2019. If issued, these securities may be offered in
amounts and at prices, including interest rates, to be determined
based on market conditions at the time of issuance.
OUTLOOK
The Company targets annual 2019 production
levels to average between 839,000 bbl/d and 888,000 bbl/d of crude
oil and NGLs and between 1,485 MMcf/d and 1,545 MMcf/d of natural
gas, before royalties. Q3/19 production guidance before royalties
is targeted to average between 897,000 bbl/d and 939,000 bbl/d of
crude oil and NGLs and between 1,440 MMcf/d and 1,460 MMcf/d of
natural gas. Detailed guidance on production levels, capital
allocation and operating costs can be found on the Company’s
website at www.cnrl.com.
Canadian Natural's annual 2019 capital
expenditures are targeted to be approximately $3.8 billion.
ADVISORY
Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
Certain statements relating to Canadian Natural
Resources Limited (the “Company”) in this document or documents
incorporated herein by reference constitute forward-looking
statements or information (collectively referred to herein as
“forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable
securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can be
identified by the words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “plan”,
“estimate”, “target”, “continue”, “could”, “intend”, “may”,
“potential”, “predict”, “should”, “will”, “objective”, “project”,
“forecast”, “goal”, “guidance”, “outlook”, “effort”, “seeks”,
“schedule”, “proposed” or expressions of a similar nature
suggesting future outcome or statements regarding an outlook.
Disclosure related to expected future commodity pricing, forecast
or anticipated production volumes, royalties, production expenses,
capital expenditures, income tax expenses and other guidance
provided throughout the Company's Management’s Discussion and
Analysis (“MD&A”) of the financial condition and results of
operations of the Company, constitute forward-looking statements.
Disclosure of plans relating to and expected results of existing
and future developments, including but not limited to the Horizon
Oil Sands ("Horizon"), the Athabasca Oil Sands Project ("AOSP"),
Primrose thermal projects, the Pelican Lake water and polymer flood
project, the Kirby Thermal Oil Sands Project, the Jackfish Thermal
Oil Sands Project, the timing and future operations of the North
West Redwater bitumen upgrader and refinery, construction by third
parties of new or expansion of existing pipeline capacity or other
means of transportation of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas, natural
gas liquids ("NGLs") or synthetic crude oil (“SCO”) that the
Company may be reliant upon to transport its products to market,
and the development and deployment of technology and technological
innovations also constitute forward-looking statements. These
forward-looking statements are based on annual budgets and
multi-year forecasts, and are reviewed and revised throughout the
year as necessary in the context of targeted financial ratios,
project returns, product pricing expectations and balance in
project risk and time horizons. These statements are not guarantees
of future performance and are subject to certain risks. The reader
should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements
as there can be no assurances that the plans, initiatives or
expectations upon which they are based will occur.
In addition, statements relating to “reserves”
are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the
implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that
the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future.
There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities
of proved and proved plus probable crude oil, natural gas and NGLs
reserves and in projecting future rates of production and the
timing of development expenditures. The total amount or timing of
actual future production may vary significantly from reserves and
production estimates.
The forward-looking statements are based on
current expectations, estimates and projections about the Company
and the industry in which the Company operates, which speak only as
of the date such statements were made or as of the date of the
report or document in which they are contained, and are subject to
known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the
actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be
materially different from any future results, performance or
achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking
statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, among others:
general economic and business conditions which will, among other
things, impact demand for and market prices of the Company’s
products; volatility of and assumptions regarding crude oil and
natural gas prices; fluctuations in currency and interest rates;
assumptions on which the Company’s current guidance is based;
economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the
Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions
of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict
including conflict between states; industry capacity; ability of
the Company to implement its business strategy, including
exploration and development activities; impact of competition; the
Company’s defense of lawsuits; availability and cost of seismic,
drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company and its
subsidiaries to complete capital programs; the Company’s and its
subsidiaries’ ability to secure adequate transportation for its
products; unexpected disruptions or delays in the resumption of the
mining, extracting or upgrading of the Company’s bitumen products;
potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or
development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the
Company to attract the necessary labour required to build its
thermal in situ and oil sands mining projects; operating hazards
and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and
production and sale of crude oil and natural gas and in mining,
extracting or upgrading the Company’s bitumen products;
availability and cost of financing; the Company’s and its
subsidiaries’ success of exploration and development activities and
its ability to replace and expand crude oil and natural gas
reserves; timing and success of integrating the business and
operations of acquired companies and assets; production levels;
imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable
quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs not currently
classified as proved; actions by governmental authorities;
government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with
them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations and
the impact of climate change initiatives on capital expenditures
and production expenses); asset retirement obligations; the
adequacy of the Company’s provision for taxes; and other
circumstances affecting revenues and expenses.
The Company’s operations have been, and in the
future may be, affected by political developments and by national,
federal, provincial and local laws and regulations such as
restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other
amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or
gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations.
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or
should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual
results may vary in material respects from those projected in the
forward-looking statements. The impact of any one factor on a
particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with
certainty as such factors are dependent upon other factors, and the
Company’s course of action would depend upon its assessment of the
future considering all information then available.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of
factors is not exhaustive. Unpredictable or unknown factors not
discussed in the Company's MD&A could also have adverse effects
on forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that
the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are
reasonable based on information available to it on the date such
forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as
to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All
subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral,
attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are
expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary
statements. Except as required by applicable law, the Company
assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or other factors, or
the foregoing factors affecting this information, should
circumstances or the Company’s estimates or opinions change.
Special Note Regarding Non-GAAP and
other Financial Measures
This press release includes references to
financial measures commonly used in the crude oil and natural gas
industry, such as: adjusted net earnings from operations; adjusted
funds flow (previously referred to as funds flow from operations);
net capital expenditures; free cash flow; debt to adjusted EBITDA;
debt to cash flow; available liquidity. These financial measures
are not defined by International Financial Reporting Standards
("IFRS") and therefore are referred to as non-GAAP measures and
other financial measures. The non-GAAP measures used by the Company
may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
companies. The Company uses these non-GAAP measures to evaluate its
performance. The non-GAAP measures should not be considered an
alternative to or more meaningful than net earnings, cash flows
from operating activities, cash flows used in investing activities,
and cash flows used in financing activities as determined in
accordance with IFRS, as an indication of the Company's
performance.
Adjusted net earnings (loss) from operations is
a non-GAAP measure that represents net earnings (loss) as presented
in the Company's consolidated Statements of Earnings (Loss),
adjusted for the after-tax effects of certain items of a non-
operational nature. The Company considers adjusted net earnings
(loss) from operations a key measure in evaluating its performance,
as it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate after-tax
operating earnings from its core business areas. The reconciliation
“Adjusted Net Earnings (Loss) from Operations, as Reconciled to Net
Earnings (Loss)" is presented in the Company’s MD&A.
Adjusted funds flow (previously referred to as
funds flow from operations) is a non-GAAP measure that represents
cash flows from operating activities as presented in the Company's
consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the net change
in non-cash working capital, abandonment expenditures and movements
in other long-term assets, including the unamortized cost of the
share bonus program and prepaid cost of service tolls. The Company
considers adjusted funds flow a key measure as it demonstrates the
Company’s ability to generate the cash flow necessary to fund
future growth through capital investment and to repay debt. The
reconciliation “Adjusted Funds Flow, as Reconciled to Cash Flows
from Operating Activities” is presented in the Company’s
MD&A.
Net capital expenditures is a non-GAAP measure
that represents cash flows used in investing activities as
presented in the Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows,
adjusted for the net change in non-cash working capital, investment
in other long-term assets, share consideration in business
acquisitions and abandonment expenditures. The Company considers
net capital expenditures a key measure as it provides an
understanding of the Company’s capital spending activities in
comparison to the Company's annual capital budget. The
reconciliation “Net Capital Expenditures, as Reconciled to Cash
Flows used in Investing Activities” is presented in the Net Capital
Expenditures section of the Company’s MD&A.
Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure that
represents cash flows from operating activities as presented in the
Company's consolidated Statements of Cash Flows, adjusted for the
net change in non-cash working capital from operating activities,
abandonment, certain movements in other long-term assets, less net
capital expenditures and dividends on common shares. The Company
considers free cash flow a key measure in demonstrating the
Company’s ability to generate cash flow to fund future growth
through capital investment, pay returns to shareholders, and to
repay debt.
Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure that
represents net earnings (loss) as presented in the Company's
consolidated Statements of Earnings (Loss), adjusted for interest,
taxes, depletion, depreciation and amortization, stock based
compensation expense (recovery), unrealized risk management gains
(losses), unrealized foreign exchange gains (losses), and accretion
of the Company’s asset retirement obligation. The Company considers
adjusted EBITDA a key measure in evaluating its operating
profitability by excluding non-cash items.
Debt to Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure
that is derived as the current and long-term portions of long-term
debt, divided by the 12 month trailing Adjusted EBITDA, as defined
above. The Company considers this ratio to be a key measure in
evaluating the Company's ability to pay off its debt.
Debt to cash flow is a non-GAAP measure that is derived as the
current and long term portions of long-term debt, divided by the 12
month trailing adjusted funds flow, as defined above. The Company
considers this ratio to be a key measure in evaluating the
Company's ability to pay off its debt.
Available liquidity is a non-GAAP measure that
is derived as cash and cash equivalents, total bank and term credit
facilities, less amounts drawn on the bank and credit facilities
including under the commercial paper program. The Company considers
available liquidity a key measure in evaluating the sustainability
of the Company’s operations and ability to fund future growth. See
note 8 - Long-term Debt in the Company’s consolidated financial
statements.
Special Note Regarding Currency,
Financial Information and Production
The Company's MD&A should be read in
conjunction with the unaudited interim consolidated financial
statements for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 and the
MD&A and the audited consolidated financial statements of the
Company for the year ended December 31, 2018.
All dollar amounts are referenced in millions of
Canadian dollars, except where noted otherwise. The Company’s
unaudited interim consolidated financial statements for the three
and six months ended June 30, 2019 and the Company's MD&A have
been prepared in accordance with IFRS as issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB"). Changes in the
Company's accounting policies in accordance with IFRS, including
the adoption of IFRS 16 "Leases" on January 1, 2019, are discussed
in the "Changes in Accounting Policies" section of the Company's
MD&A. In accordance with the new "Leases" standard, comparative
period balances in 2018 reported in the Company's MD&A have not
been restated.
Production volumes and per unit statistics are
presented throughout the Company's MD&A on a “before royalties”
or “company gross” basis, and realized prices are net of blending
and feedstock costs and exclude the effect of risk management
activities. In addition, reference is made to crude oil and natural
gas in common units called barrel of oil equivalent ("BOE"). A BOE
is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural
gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This
conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation,
since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In comparing the
value ratio using current crude oil prices relative to natural gas
prices, the 6 Mcf:1 bbl conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value. In addition, for the purposes of the Company's
MD&A, crude oil is defined to include the following
commodities: light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil,
Pelican Lake heavy crude oil, bitumen (thermal oil), and SCO.
Production on an “after royalties” or “company net” basis is also
presented for information purposes only.
Additional information relating to the Company,
including its Annual Information Form for the year ended December
31, 2018, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, and on EDGAR at
www.sec.gov. Detailed guidance on production levels, capital
expenditures and production expenses can be found on the Company's
website at www.cnrl.com.
CONFERENCE CALL
A conference call will be held at 9:00 a.m.
Mountain Time, 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Thursday, August 1,
2019.
The North American conference call number is
1-866-521-4909 and the outside North American conference call
number is 001-647-427-2311. Please call in 10 minutes prior to the
call starting time.
An archive of the broadcast will be available
until 6:00 p.m. Mountain Time, Thursday, August 15, 2019. To access
the rebroadcast in North America, dial 1-800-585-8367. Those
outside of North America, dial 001-416-621-4642. The conference
archive ID number is 4282479.
The conference call will also be webcast live
and can be accessed on the home page of our website at
www.cnrl.com.
Canadian Natural is a senior oil and natural gas
production company, with continuing operations in its core areas
located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and
Offshore Africa.
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LIMITED
2100, 855 - 2nd Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta, T2P4J8
Phone: 403-514-7777 Email: ir@cnrl.com
www.cnrl.com
STEVE W. LAUT
Executive Vice-Chairman
TIM S. MCKAY
President
MARK A. STAINTHORPE
Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice-President, Finance
Trading Symbol - CNQ
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