CALGARY, AB, March 15, 2022 /CNW/ - (TSX: PMT) – Perpetual
Energy Inc. ("Perpetual", or the "Company") is pleased to release
its fourth quarter and year-end 2021 financial and operating
results and a summary of the Company's year-end 2021 reserves as
reported by the independent engineering firm McDaniel and
Associates Consultants Ltd. ("McDaniel"). A complete copy of
Perpetual's audited consolidated financial statements, Management's
Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") and Annual Information Form
for the year ended December 31, 2021
are available through the Company's website at
www.perpetualenergyinc.com and SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Perpetual is also pleased to announce the appointment of
Linda Dietsche to the Board of
Directors. Linda has extensive finance and accounting experience,
including executive leadership in the oil and gas environmental
services industry. We look forward to the added depth and expertise
that Linda will bring to the Company's financial stewardship and
strategic initiatives.
This release contains certain specified financial measures
that are not recognized by GAAP and used by management to evaluate
the performance of the Company and its business. Since certain
specified financial measures may not have a standardized meaning,
securities regulations require that specified financial measures
are clearly defined, qualified and, where required, reconciled with
their nearest GAAP measure. See "Non GAAP and Other Financial
Measures" for further information on the definition,
calculation and reconciliation of these measures. This release also
contains forward-looking information. See "Forward Looking
Information". Readers are also referred to the other advisory
sections at the end of the MD&A for additional
information.
FOURTH QUARTER AND YEAR-END 2021 HIGHLIGHTS
- On July 16, 2021, Perpetual
announced the creation of a new wholly owned subsidiary, Rubellite
Energy Inc. ("Rubellite") and the sale to Rubellite of all of
Perpetual's Clearwater lands,
wells, roads and related facilities in northeast Alberta (the "Clearwater Assets"). Rubellite
acquired the Clearwater Assets for aggregate consideration of
$65.5 million (the "Rubellite
Transactions"). The consideration consisted of promissory notes
totaling $59.4 million, which were
paid in cash on October 5, 2021 upon
closing of Rubellite's private placement and arrangement warrant
financings (the "Rubellite Financings"). Additional consideration
included the issuance of 680,485 Rubellite common shares valued at
$1.4 million to Perpetual's second
lien term loan lender, the return of 8.2 million Perpetual common
shares exchanged in a plan of arrangement with Perpetual,
shareholders of Perpetual and Rubellite (the "Arrangement") valued
at $2.8 million and issuance of
warrants to purchase 4.0 million Rubellite common shares at a price
of $3.00 per share for a period of
five years, valued at $2.0
million.
- On October 5, 2021, $53.6 million in promissory notes owing to
Perpetual from the Rubellite Transactions were repaid in cash by
Rubellite. Perpetual paid approximately $38.5 million in cash and delivered 680,485
Rubellite common shares to extinguish all but $2.7 million of its second lien term loan and the
remainder of the cash proceeds were used to repay the majority of
the Company's outstanding bank debt.
- Results include the Clearwater Assets, which formed part of the
Rubellite Transactions, through to September
3, 2021, being the effective date of the completion of the
Arrangement.
- Exploration and development capital expenditures(1)
totaled $7.6 million in the fourth
quarter of 2021, bringing full year 2021 capital spending to
$19.1 million.
-
- At Perpetual's 50% working interest East Edson property, the Company participated
with its joint venture partner in a six (3.0 net) extended reach
horizontal well drilling program targeting the Wilrich formation in
the second half of the year. Two (1.0 net) wells were drilled,
completed and placed on production at the end of September while an
additional four (2.0 net) wells were drilled, completed, frac'd and
commenced production in November, bringing throughput at the West
Wolf gas plant to full capacity to maximize natural gas and NGL
sales through the winter months.
- Three (1.5 net) carried interest wells were previously drilled
at East Edson during the year to
complete the eight-well carried capital commitment of the purchaser
in the East Edson transaction in
which Perpetual sold a 50% working interest on April 1, 2020.
- Driven by positive results from the East Edson drilling program, the Company
sequentially grew production to 6,359 boe/d in the fourth quarter
of 2021 (17% oil and NGL), up 30% from 4,876 boe/d in the third
quarter (26% oil and NGL) and 34% higher than the 4,730 boe/d
recorded in the fourth quarter of 2020 (31% oil and NGL).
Production in 2021 averaged 5,389 boe/d (24% heavy crude oil and
NGL), an increase of 8% from 5,012 boe/d (29% heavy crude oil and
NGL) in 2020. Production levels steadily increased as 9 (4.5 net)
East Edson Wilrich liquids-rich gas wells were progressively
brought on production during 2021, partially offset by the
disposition of the Clearwater Assets in the third quarter of
2021.
- In 2021, Perpetual spent $1.7
million on abandonment and reclamation projects (Q4 2021 -
$0.6 million; 2020 – $1.0 million; Q4 2020 - $0.9 million) of which $0.7 million was funded by Alberta's Site Rehabilitation Program ("SRP").
Perpetual abandoned 32 wells, 19 pipelines and 15 reclamation
certificates were received from the Alberta Energy Regulator
("AER") which will result in the cessation of associated property
tax and surface lease expenses. Subsequent to year end, the Company
has received 1 additional reclamation certificates related to
projects completed in 2021.
- Adjusted funds flow(1) in the fourth quarter of 2021
was $8.6 million ($0.13/share), $7.4
million higher than the prior year period (Q4 2020 –
$1.2 million). The increase was due
primarily to the 34% increase in production and higher realized
prices for conventional natural gas, oil and NGLs, combined with
lower cash finance expense resulting from repayment of the second
lien term loan, partially offset by transaction costs related to
the Rubellite Transactions. For the year ended December 31, 2021, adjusted funds flow was
$16.7 million ($0.27/share), up materially from a negative
$7.8 million in 2020 as the 8%
year-over-year increase in production combined with significantly
higher commodity prices.
- Net income for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $5.7 million ($0.09/share), a significant improvement from the
prior year period (Q4 2020 – net loss of $14.4 million; $0.24/share). Net income for 2021 was
$81.1 million ($1.29/share), recovering from a net loss of
$61.6 million in 2020 ($1.01/share). Net income in 2021 was impacted by
aggregate non-cash impairment reversal charges of $30.6 million (2020 – $42.5 million impairment) and a $47.5 million gain on disposition of the
Clearwater Assets.
- Total net debt(1) outstanding at year-end 2021
dropped 44% to $59.3 million, from
$105.0 million at year-end 2020, as a
result of the Rubellite Transactions and the extinguishment of the
second lien Term Loan.
- In December, the borrowing base on the Company's credit
facility was confirmed at $17.0
million and the maturity date has been extended to
May 31, 2023. The maturity of the
$2.7 million second lien Term Loan,
has been extended to December 31,
2024. The $36.6 million 2025
Senior Notes are due January 23,
2025. Perpetual had available liquidity(1) at December 31, 2021 of $14.6
million, comprised of the $17
million Credit Facility Borrowing Limit, adjusted for
current cash of $1.1 million less
borrowings of $2.5 million and
letters of credit of $1.0
million.
- Total proved plus probable reserves were 31.6 MMboe at
December 31, 2021, a decrease of 11%
year-over-year reflecting the sale of the Clearwater Assets. Total
future development costs ("FDC") decreased $37.1 million (33%) to $75.3 million at year-end 2021, 79% ($29.3 million) of which related to the Rubellite
Transactions. The net present value ("NPV") of Perpetual's total
proved plus probable reserves (discounted at 10%), was $230.5 million (2020 – $187.8 million). Perpetual's reserve-based net
asset value(1) ("NAV") (discounted at 10%) at year-end
2021 increased 80% to $177.6 million
($2.79 per share), reflecting the
significant debt reduction associated with the sale of the
Clearwater Assets combined with the increased reserve value driven
primarily by the increase in the independent reserve evaluators'
forecast for natural gas, crude oil and NGL prices at year-end 2021
as compared to the prior year, commensurate with forward market
prices. See "Year-End 2021 Reserves".
(1)
|
Non-GAAP measure,
Non-GAAP ratio or supplementary financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Refer
to the section entitled "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures"
contained within this release.
|
2022 OUTLOOK
The Rubellite Transactions provided a "full capital solution"
for Perpetual by reducing Perpetual's net debt(4) to
$59.3 million, normalizing the
balance sheet leverage ratios and surfacing incremental value. The
Rubellite Transactions have materially improved Perpetual's
liquidity and enhanced the Company's ability to capture the
inherent value in its asset base by funding investment
opportunities to grow and sustain production and adjusted funds
flow. Interest cost savings are forecast to improve Perpetual's
adjusted funds flow by approximately $4
million annually. General and administrative cost recoveries
under the management services agreement with Rubellite will further
enhance Perpetual's funds flow by approximately $2 to $3 million
annually. Additionally, 4.0 million Rubellite Share Purchase
Warrants owned by Perpetual provide an opportunity for Perpetual to
participate in value creation from the Clearwater Assets over the
next five years.
Perpetual's Board of Directors has approved exploration and
development capital spending(4) of up to $28 million for 2022 to be fully funded from
adjusted funds flow.
The winter drilling program is currently underway at
Mannville in Eastern Alberta where two (2.0 net)
horizontal, multi-lateral wells targeting heavy oil in the Sparky
formation will be drilled and brought on stream prior to the end of
the first quarter. Sales production is expected to commence in late
April, several weeks after full recovery the oil-based drilling mud
("OBM") used during the drilling process, which are not recorded as
sales production as the OBM is reused in future drilling operations
to the extent possible or sold and credited back to drilling
capital. Perpetual plans to monitor performance of the new Sparky
multi-laterals for several months prior to executing a follow-up
drilling program of up to four (4.0 net) additional horizontal
multi-lateral wells in the second half of 2022. Perpetual will also
continue to be focused on waterflood optimization and battery
consolidation projects as well as shallow gas recompletions and
abandonment and reclamation activities in the Mannville property.
During the second half of 2022, Perpetual is planning to
participate at its 50% working interest in an East Edson drilling program to drill,
complete, equip and tie-in six (3.0 net) extended reach horizontal
wells in the Wilrich formation, targeting to fill the West Wolf gas
plant to maximize natural gas and NGL sales through next winter.
Depending on processing capability, one (0.5 net) additional
horizontal well is planned to begin evaluating the potential of
secondary zones at East Edson.
Exploration and development capital spending(4) for
Perpetual for full year 2022 is expected to be $20 to $28 million,
with $5 to $7
million to be spent in the first quarter. The table below
summarizes anticipated capital spending and drilling activities for
Perpetual for the first quarter and full year of 2022.
2022 Exploration and Development Forecast Capital
Expenditures(4)
|
Q1
2022 ($
millions)
|
# of
wells (gross/net)
|
2022 ($ millions)
|
# of
wells (gross/net)
|
West
Central(1)
|
$0 - $1
|
-
|
$14 - $15
|
6 – 7 / 3.0 -
3.5
|
Eastern
Alberta(2)
|
$5 - $6
|
2 / 2.0
|
$6 - $13
|
2 – 6 / 2.0 -
6.0
|
Total(3)
|
$5 -
$7
|
2 /
2.0
|
$20 -
$28
|
8 - 13 / 5.0 -
9.5
|
(1)
|
Include six (3.0 net)
Wilrich development wells and one (0.5 net) secondary zone
evaluation well.
|
(2)
|
Two (2.0 net)
multi-lateral wells to be drilled in the first quarter of 2022 will
be monitored for performance prior to drilling up to four 4.0
net)
follow-up wells in the second half of 2022.
|
(3)
|
Excludes abandonment
and reclamation spending.
|
(4)
|
Non-GAAP measure,
Non-GAAP ratio or supplementary financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore
may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
entities. Refer to the section entitled "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures"
contained within this release.
|
Total Company average production is expected to exceed 6,500
boe/d (18% oil and NGL) for the first quarter of 2022. Average
production is forecast to grow 20% to 25% from 2021 levels to 6,500
to 6,750 boe/d in 2022, with oil and NGL representing approximately
20% of the production mix.
Perpetual continues its environmental, social, and corporate
governance ("ESG") focus, with total abandonment and reclamation
expenditures of up to $2.0 million
planned in 2022, with an estimated $0.6
million to be funded through Alberta's Site Rehabilitation Program ("SRP").
The remaining $1.4 million will more
than satisfy the Company's annual area-based closure spending
requirements of $0.9 million.
2022 Guidance assumptions are as follows:
|
|
|
2022
Guidance
|
Exploration and
development expenditures(2)($
millions)
|
|
|
$20 - $28
|
Cash
costs(1)(2) ($/boe)
|
|
|
$17.00 -
$20.00
|
Average daily
production (boe/d)
|
|
|
6,500 -
6,750
|
Production mix
(%)
|
|
|
20% oil and
NGL
|
(1)
|
Cash costs represents
operating, transportation, interest, G&A and
royalties.
|
(2)
|
Non-GAAP measure,
Non-GAAP ratio or supplementary financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Refer
to the section entitled "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures"
contained within this release.
|
YEAR-END 2021 RESERVES
Production of 2.0 MMboe and dispositions of 3.4 MMboe were
offset by reserve additions of 1.5 MMboe, resulting in an 11%
reduction in total Company proved plus probable reserves
year-over-year. Perpetual's proved plus probable reserves at
year-end 2021 are 31.6 MMboe, comprised of 19% crude oil and NGL
(2020 – 35.4 MMboe; 28% crude oil and NGL).
The quality of Perpetual's assets and positive momentum to drive
operational and execution excellence in its core operating areas
are demonstrated by the highlights below:
- Total proved reserves were 22.3 MMboe at year-end 2021,
representing 71% of the Company's proved plus probable reserves
(2020 – 71%).
- Proved plus probable producing reserves were 15.2 MMboe at
December 31, 2021, representing 48%
of total proved plus probable reserves (2020 – 12.4 MMboe;
35%).
- Total proved plus probable reserves in the Mannville district have increased by 12%
excluding production despite no capital spending in 2021. Increases
in reserves are largely due to extension of the economic limit due
to higher prices combined with lower operating costs as higher cost
wells have been permanently shut-in.
- Future development costs ("FDC") dropped to $75.3 million (2020 - $112.5 million) in the proved plus probable
category, a reduction of $37.2
million. The disposition of the Clearwater Assets was the
primary driver, contributing to a reduction of $29.3 million of FDC in the proved plus probable
category. FDC for East Edson was
reduced by $7.3 million to
$54.1 million in the proved plus
probable category with the drilling of 9 (4.5 net) carried and
working interest wells in 2021, offset by the addition of 4 (1.5
net) new proved plus probable undeveloped drilling locations
targeting the Wilrich formation. At year-end 2021, McDaniel
recognized proved plus probable undeveloped reserves for 27 (12.7
net) Wilrich horizontal drilling locations. In the Mannville area, $19.7
million of FDC to drill, complete and tie-in 16 (16.0 net)
heavy crude oil drilling locations was recorded.
- Based on the three consultant average price (McDaniel, GLJ,
Sproule) forecasts (the "Consultant Average Price Forecast") used
by McDaniel, the net present value ("NPV") of Perpetual's total
proved plus probable reserves (discounted at 10%) before income
tax, was $230.5 million (2020 –
$187.8 million). The increase related
primarily to the material increase in the independent reserve
evaluators' forecast for natural gas, crude oil and NGL prices at
year-end 2021 as compared to the prior year.
- All abandonment, decommissioning and reclamation obligations
are included in the reserve report, consistent with year-end 2020.
All reserve well decommissioning obligations as well as the
additional costs expected to be incurred to abandon and reclaim
non-reserve wells, facilities and pipelines are included.
- Based on the Consultant Average Price Forecast, Perpetual's
reserve-based NAV(1) (discounted at 10%) at year-end
2021 is estimated at $177.6 million
($2.79 per share) as compared to
$98.8 million ($1.61 per share) at year-end 2020.
(1)
|
Non-GAAP measure,
Non-GAAP ratio or supplementary financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Refer
to the section entitled "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures"
contained within this release.
|
Reserves Disclosure
Working interest reserves included herein refer to working
interest reserves before royalty deductions. Reserves information
is based on an independent reserves evaluation report prepared by
McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. ("McDaniel") with an
effective date of December 31, 2021
(the "McDaniel Report"), and has been prepared in accordance with
National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101") using the Consultant
Average Price Forecast. Complete NI 51-101 reserves disclosure
including after-tax reserve values, reserves by major property and
abandonment costs will be included in Perpetual's Annual
Information Form ("AIF"), which, when filed, will be available on
the Company's website at www.perpetualenergyinc.com and SEDAR at
www.sedar.com. Perpetual's reserves at December 31, 2021 are summarized below:
Working Interest Reserves at December
31, 2021(1)
|
Light
and Medium
Crude Oil
(Mbbl)
|
Heavy
Oil
(Mbbl)
|
Conventional
Natural Gas
(MMcf)
|
Natural
Gas Liquids (Mbbl)
|
Oil Equivalent
(Mboe)
|
Proved
Producing
|
12
|
1,629
|
61,676
|
872
|
12,793
|
Proved
Non-Producing
|
–
|
177
|
2,621
|
4
|
618
|
Proved
Undeveloped
|
–
|
865
|
44,022
|
689
|
8,891
|
Total
Proved
|
12
|
2,671
|
108,319
|
1,565
|
22,301
|
Probable
Producing
|
3
|
331
|
11,490
|
170
|
2,420
|
Probable
Non-Producing
|
–
|
44
|
4,910
|
39
|
901
|
Probable
Undeveloped
|
–
|
791
|
28,318
|
441
|
5,952
|
Total
Probable
|
3
|
1,167
|
44,719
|
650
|
9,273
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
15
|
3,838
|
153,038
|
2,215
|
31,574
|
(1) May
not add due to rounding.
|
Total proved reserves at December 31,
2021 account for 71% (2020 – 71%) of total proved plus
probable reserves. Proved producing reserves of 12.8 MMboe comprise
57% (2020 – 40%) of total proved reserves. Proved plus probable
producing reserves of 15.2 MMboe represent 48% (2020 – 35%) of
total proved plus probable reserves.
Reserves Reconciliation
Working Interest
Reserves(1)
|
|
|
|
Barrels of Oil
Equivalent (Mboe)
|
Proved
|
Probable
|
Proved and
Probable
|
Opening Balance,
December 31, 2020
|
25,050
|
10,386
|
35,436
|
Extensions and Improved
Recovery
|
605
|
(605)
|
–
|
Discoveries
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
Technical
Revisions
|
(763)
|
(987)
|
(1,749)
|
Acquisitions
|
740
|
1,733
|
2,474
|
Dispositions
|
(2,020)
|
(1,396)
|
(3,415)
|
Production
|
(1,958)
|
–
|
(1,958)
|
Economic
Factors
|
646
|
141
|
787
|
Closing Balance,
December 31, 2021
|
22,301
|
9,273
|
31,574
|
(1) May
not add due to rounding.
|
Dispositions included the Clearwater Asset disposition to
Rubellite that was completed in 2021 and a small disposition in the
Mannville Area.
Lands acquired in East Edson
area added four additional locations and provided revisions to
three previously recognized locations to extend their length
thereby increasing their booked reserves. As well, reserve
recoveries per well assigned to 8 (3.6 net) undeveloped locations
were reduced slightly in the proved and probable undeveloped
categories following updated type curve analysis, resulting in the
negative technical revision in the conventional natural gas and
natural gas liquids categories.
An in depth review of well performance and operating costs in
the Mannville heavy oil property
identified wells with high water cuts and high individual well
operating costs. The decision to leave these wells shut-in resulted
in a heavy crude oil negative technical revision but has had a
positive impact in improved per barrel operating costs for the
property.
The table below summarizes the FDC estimated by McDaniel by play
type to bring proved plus probable non-producing and undeveloped
reserves to production.
Future Development Capital(1)
($
millions)
|
2022
|
2023
|
2024
|
2025
|
2026
|
Remainder
|
Total
|
Eastern Alberta Shallow
Gas
|
–
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
–
|
1.6
|
Mannville Heavy
Oil
|
6.7
|
3.8
|
4.4
|
4.8
|
–
|
–
|
19.7
|
Clearwater
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
East Edson
Wilrich
|
15.5
|
12.3
|
7.5
|
12.8
|
5.6
|
0.4
|
54.1
|
Total
|
22.2
|
16.4
|
12.2
|
17.9
|
6.2
|
0.4
|
75.3
|
(1) May
not add due to rounding.
|
The McDaniel Report estimates that FDC of $75.3 million will be required over the life of
the Company's proved plus probable reserves. Proved plus probable
reserve forecast FDC have decreased by $37.1
million (33%) from $112.5
million at December 31,
2020.
The most significant reduction in FDC was a result of the
disposition of the Clearwater Assets with a reduction of
$29.3 million in the proved plus
probable undeveloped reserve category.
FDC for East Edson was reduced
by $7.3 million to $54.1 million in the proved plus probable
category with the drilling of nine (4.5 net) carried and working
interest wells in 2021, offset by the addition of four (1.5 net)
new proved plus probable undeveloped drilling locations targeting
the Wilrich formation. At year-end 2021, McDaniel recognized proved
plus probable undeveloped reserves for 27 (12.7 net) Wilrich
horizontal drilling locations.
In the Mannville area,
$19.7 million of FDC to drill,
complete and tie-in 16 (16.0 net) heavy crude oil drilling
locations was recorded. This is down from 17 (17.0 net) at
year end 2020. Future capital costs also include recompletion of 14
conventional natural gas wells included in Perpetual's proved plus
probable reserves.
RESERVE LIFE INDEX
Perpetual's proved plus probable reserves to production ratio,
also referred to as reserve life index ("RLI"), was 12.2 years at
year-end 2021, while the proved RLI was 9.1 years, based upon the
2022 production estimates in the McDaniel Report. The following
table summarizes Perpetual's historical calculated RLI.
Reserve Life Index(1)
Year-end
|
2021
|
2020
|
2019
|
2018
|
2017
|
Total Proved
|
9.1
|
10.9
|
13.4
|
13.1
|
9.1
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
12.2
|
14.5
|
21.5
|
19.9
|
13.2
|
(1)
Calculated as year-end reserves divided by year one production
estimate from the McDaniel Report.
|
NET PRESENT VALUE OF RESERVES SUMMARY
Perpetual's heavy crude oil, conventional natural gas, and NGL
reserves were evaluated by McDaniel using the Consultant Average
Price Forecast effective January 1,
2022 and include the forecasted impact of the Company's
market diversification contract, but prior to provision for
financial oil and natural gas price hedges, foreign exchange
contracts, income taxes, interest, debt service charges and general
and administrative expenses. The following table summarizes the NPV
of future revenue from reserves at December
31, 2021, assuming various discount rates:
NPV of Reserves, before income
tax(1)(2)(3)
($ millions except
as noted)
|
Undiscounted
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Discounted
at 20%
|
Unit Value
Discounted at
10%/Year ($/boe)(4)
|
Proved
Producing
|
112
|
101
|
88
|
77
|
69
|
8.67
|
Proved
Non-Producing
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
5.89
|
Proved
Undeveloped
|
134
|
90
|
66
|
50
|
39
|
8.03
|
Total
Proved
|
251
|
195
|
157
|
130
|
111
|
8.31
|
Probable
Producing
|
52
|
31
|
22
|
17
|
13
|
10.01
|
Probable
Non-Producing
|
10
|
6
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
5.45
|
Probable
Undeveloped
|
113
|
71
|
48
|
34
|
26
|
8.94
|
Total
Probable
|
176
|
108
|
74
|
54
|
42
|
8.89
|
Total Proved plus
Probable
|
426
|
304
|
230
|
184
|
153
|
8.49
|
(1)
|
January 1, 2022
Consultant Average price forecast
|
(2)
|
Inclusive of the East
Edson royalty and a further reduction for the retained East Edson
royalty obligation by Perpetual through December 31, 2022 as part
of the East Edson Transaction, asset retirement obligations for
sites not assigned reserves, and natural gas market diversification
contracts.
|
(3)
|
May not add due to
rounding.
|
(4)
|
The unit values are
based on net reserve volumes.
|
McDaniel's NPV10 estimate of Perpetual's total proved plus
probable reserves at year-end 2021 was $230.5 million, up 23% from $187.8 million at year-end 2020. The increase
related primarily to the material increase in the independent
reserve evaluators' forecast for crude oil prices at year-end 2021
as compared to the prior year. At a 10% discount factor, total
proved reserves account for 68% (2020 – 63%) of the proved plus
probable value. Proved plus probable producing reserves represent
47% (2020 – 24%) of the total proved plus probable value
(discounted at 10%) as obligations for non-producing wells,
facilities and pipelines and forecast corporate marketing
adjustments reduce the value of the developed producing
reserves.
FAIR MARKET VALUE OF UNDEVELOPED LAND
Perpetual held 163,953 net undeveloped acres of land as at
December 31, 2021, including 84,002
net undeveloped acres of oil sands leases. Undeveloped acres refers
to land where there are not any existing wells within the rights
associated with those lands and includes 56,198 net acres of
undeveloped land assigned value by an independent third party at
year end 2021. The estimate of the fair market value of the
Company's undeveloped acreage was prepared by Seaton-Jordan &
Associates Ltd. ("Seaton-Jordan") and is based on past Crown land
sale activity, adjusted for tenure and other considerations. No
undeveloped land value was assigned where proved and probable
undeveloped reserves have been booked. The fair market value of
Perpetual's undeveloped land at year-end 2021 is estimated by
Seaton Jordan at $6.4 million.
NET ASSET VALUE
The following NAV table shows what is normally referred to as a
"produce-out" NAV calculation under which the Company's reserves
would be produced at forecast future prices and costs. The value is
a snapshot in time and is based on various assumptions including
commodity prices and foreign exchange rates that vary over time. It
should not be assumed that the NAV represents the fair market value
of Perpetual's shares. The calculations below do not reflect the
value of the Company's prospect inventory to the extent that the
prospects are not recognized within the NI 51-101 compliant reserve
assessment, except as they are valued through the estimate of the
fair market value of undeveloped land.
Pre-tax NAV at
December 31, 2021(1)(6)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Discounted
at
|
($ millions, except
as noted)
|
Undiscounted
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
Total Proved plus
Probable Reserves(2)
|
426.4
|
303.6
|
230.5
|
184.3
|
Fair market value of
undeveloped lands(3)
|
6.4
|
6.4
|
6.4
|
6.4
|
Bank debt, net of
working capital(1)
|
(18.6)
|
(18.6)
|
(18.6)
|
(18.6)
|
Term
loan(4)
|
(2.7)
|
(2.7)
|
(2.7)
|
(2.7)
|
AIMCo contingent
payments(5)
|
(1.4)
|
(1.4)
|
(1.4)
|
(1.4)
|
Senior
notes(4)
|
(36.6)
|
(36.6)
|
(36.6)
|
(36.6)
|
NAV
|
378.7
|
255.6
|
177.6
|
136.6
|
Common shares
outstanding (million)(6)
|
63.6
|
63.6
|
63.6
|
63.6
|
NAV per share
($/share)(6)(7)
|
5.88
|
3.94
|
2.79
|
2.07
|
(1)
|
Financial information
is per Perpetual's 2021 audited consolidated financial
statements.
|
(2)
|
Reserve values per
McDaniel Report as at December 31, 2021, including adjustments for
natural gas market diversification contracts. All
abandonment and reclamation obligations, including future
abandonment and reclamation costs for pipelines and facilities and
non-reserve wells,
are included in the McDaniel Report.
|
(3)
|
Independent
third-party estimate; excludes undeveloped land in West Central
Alberta with reserves assigned.
|
(4)
|
Measured at principal
amount.
|
(5)
|
Estimated fair value
of contingent liability based on forward market commodity
prices.
|
(6)
|
Shares outstanding
are net of shares held in trust.
|
(7)
|
Non-GAAP measure,
Non-GAAP ratio or supplementary financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore
may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
entities. Refer to the section entitled "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures"
contained within this release.
|
The above evaluation includes FDC expectations required to bring
undeveloped reserves on production, as recognized by McDaniel, that
meet the criteria for booking under NI 51-101. The fair market
value of undeveloped land does not reflect the value of the
Company's extensive prospect inventory which is anticipated to be
converted into reserves and production over time through future
capital investment.
Financial and Operating Highlights
|
Three months
ended
December 31
|
Year
ended December
31
|
($Cdn thousands,
except volume and per share amounts)
|
2021
|
2020
|
2021
|
2020
|
Financial
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and natural gas
revenue
|
21,449
|
8,178
|
60,814
|
29,486
|
Net income
(loss)
|
5,669
|
14,443
|
81,121
|
(61,597)
|
Per share
–basic(2)
|
0.09
|
0.24
|
1.29
|
(1.01)
|
Per share –
diluted
|
0.08
|
0.24
|
1.16
|
(1.01)
|
Cash flow from (used
in) operating activities
|
1,624
|
(1,104)
|
12,815
|
(9,533)
|
Per
share(1)(2)
|
0.03
|
(0.02)
|
0.20
|
(0.16)
|
Adjusted funds
flow(1)
|
8,585
|
1,240
|
16,746
|
(7,787)
|
Per
share(2)
|
0.13
|
0.02
|
0.27
|
(0.13)
|
Revolving bank
debt
|
2,487
|
17,495
|
2,487
|
17,495
|
Senior notes,
principal amount
|
36,582
|
33,580
|
36,582
|
33,580
|
Term loan, principal
amount
|
2,671
|
46,823
|
2,671
|
46,823
|
Other
liability
|
1,387
|
–
|
1,387
|
–
|
Net working capital
deficiency(1)
|
16,143
|
7,099
|
16,143
|
7,099
|
Total net
debt(1)
|
59,270
|
104,997
|
59,270
|
104,997
|
Capital
Expenditures
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
development(1)
|
7,558
|
466
|
19,062
|
5,939
|
Net proceeds on
dispositions, net of cash disposed
|
53,407
|
–
|
49,549
|
27,754
|
Common shares
outstanding (thousands)
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average –
basic
|
63,853
|
61,266
|
62,969
|
61,013
|
Weighted average –
diluted
|
70,873
|
61,266
|
69,989
|
61,013
|
Operating
|
|
|
|
|
Daily average
production
|
|
|
|
|
Conventional natural
gas (MMcf/d)
|
31.5
|
19.5
|
24.6
|
21.5
|
Heavy crude oil
(bbl/d)
|
714
|
1,241
|
963
|
1,082
|
NGL
(bbl/d)
|
395
|
237
|
331
|
346
|
Total
(boe/d)(6)
|
6,359
|
4,730
|
5,389
|
5,012
|
Average
prices
|
|
|
|
|
Realized natural gas
price ($/Mcf)(5)
|
4.80
|
1.46
|
3.15
|
0.85
|
Realized oil price
($/bbl)(5)
|
73.96
|
52.60
|
57.36
|
49.37
|
Realized NGL price
($/bbl)(5)
|
73.44
|
38.03
|
63.24
|
31.40
|
Wells
drilled
|
|
|
|
|
Conventional natural
gas – gross (net)
|
4
(2.0)
|
3 (1.5)
|
9
(4.5)
|
5 (2.5)
|
Heavy crude oil –
gross (net)
|
–
(–)
|
– (–)
|
5
(4.0)
|
4 (4.0)
|
Total – gross
(net)
|
4
(2.0)
|
– (–)
|
14
(8.5)
|
9 (6.5)
|
(1)
|
Non-GAAP measure,
Non-GAAP ratio or supplementary financial measure that does not
have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore
may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
entities. Refer to the section entitled "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures"
contained within this release.
|
(2)
|
Based on weighted
average basic common shares outstanding for the period.
|
(3)
|
Based on weighted
average diluted common shares outstanding for the
period.
|
(4)
|
Realized natural gas,
oil, and NGL prices included physical forward sales contracts for
which delivery was made during the reporting period, along
with realized gains and losses on financial derivatives and foreign
exchange contracts.
|
(5)
|
Please refer to "Boe
volume conversions" below.
|
About Perpetual
Perpetual is an oil and natural gas exploration, production and
marketing company headquartered in Calgary, Alberta. Perpetual owns a diversified
asset portfolio, including liquids-rich conventional natural gas
assets in the deep basin of West Central Alberta, heavy crude oil
and shallow conventional natural gas in Eastern Alberta and undeveloped bitumen leases
in Northern Alberta. Additional
information on Perpetual can be accessed at www.sedar.com or from
the Company's website at www.perpetualenergyinc.com.
The Toronto Stock Exchange has neither approved nor disapproved
the information contained herein.
ADVISORIES
RESERVES DATA AND OTHER METRICS
There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating
quantities of crude oil, natural gas and NGL reserves and the
future cash flows attributed to such reserves. The reserve and
associated cash flow information set forth above are estimates
only. In general, estimates of economically recoverable crude oil,
natural gas and NGL reserves and the future net cash flows
therefrom are based upon a number of variable factors and
assumptions, such as historical production from the properties,
production rates, ultimate reserve recovery, timing and amount of
capital expenditures, marketability of oil and natural gas, royalty
rates, the assumed effects of regulation by governmental agencies
and future operating costs, all of which may vary materially. For
those reasons, estimates of the economically recoverable crude oil,
NGL and natural gas reserves attributable to any particular group
of properties, classification of such reserves based on risk of
recovery and estimates of future net revenues associated with
reserves prepared by different engineers, or by the same engineers
at different times, may vary. The Company's actual production,
revenues, taxes and development and operating expenditures with
respect to its reserves will vary from estimates thereof and such
variations could be material.
All evaluations and reviews of future net revenue are stated
prior to any provisions for interest costs or general and
administrative costs and after the deduction of estimated future
capital expenditures for wells to which reserves have been
assigned. The after-tax net present value of the Company's oil and
gas properties reflects the tax burden on the properties on a
stand-alone basis and utilizes the Company's tax pools. It does not
consider the corporate tax situation, or tax planning. It does not
provide an estimate of the after-tax value of the Company, which
may be significantly different. The Company's financial statements
and the MD&A should be consulted for information at the level
of the Company.
The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual
properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates
of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to
effects of aggregations. The estimated values of future net revenue
disclosed in this news release do not represent fair market value.
There is no assurance that the forecast prices and cost assumptions
used in the reserve evaluations will be attained and variances
could be material.
The reserve data provided in this news release presents only a
portion of the disclosure required under NI 51-101. All of the
required information will be contained in the Company's Annual
Information Form for the year ended December
31, 2021, which will be filed on SEDAR (accessible at
www.sedar.com) on or before March 31,
2022.
This news release contains metrics commonly used in the oil and
natural gas industry, such as "finding and development" costs or
"F&D" costs. These oil and gas metrics have been prepared by
management and do not have standardized meanings or standard
methods of calculation and therefore, such measures may not be
comparable to similar measures used by other companies and should
not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics have been included in
this news release to provide readers with additional measures to
evaluate Perpetual's performance; however, such measures are not
reliable indicators of Perpetual's future performance and future
performance may not compare to Perpetual's performance in previous
periods and therefore, such metrics should not be unduly relied
upon. Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders and investors
with measures to compare Perpetual's operations over time. Readers
are cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or
that can be derived from the metrics presented in this new release,
should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes.
F&D costs are calculated on a per boe basis by dividing the
aggregate of the change in future development capital ("FDC") from
the prior year for the particular reserve category and the costs
incurred on development and exploration activities in the year by
the change in reserves from the prior year for the reserve
category. F&D costs take into account reserve revisions during
the year on a per boe basis. The aggregate of the F&D costs
incurred in the financial year and changes during the year in FDC
generally will not reflect total F&D costs related to reserves
additions for that year.
VOLUME CONVERSIONS
Barrel of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation. In accordance with NI 51-101, a conversion
ratio for conventional natural gas of 6 Mcf:1 bbl has been used,
which is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily
applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, utilizing a conversion on
a 6 Mcf:1 bbl basis may be misleading as an indicator of value as
the value ratio between conventional natural gas and heavy crude
oil, based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil,
differ significantly from the energy equivalency of 6 Mcf:1 bbl. A
conversion ratio of 1 bbl of heavy crude oil to 1 bbl of NGL has
also been used throughout this news release.
ABBREVIATIONS
The following abbreviations used in this news release have the
meanings set forth below:
bbl
|
barrels
|
bbl/d
|
barrels per
day
|
boe
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
MMboe
|
million barrels of
oil equivalent
|
Mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
MMcf
|
million cubic
feet
|
MMBtu
|
million British
Thermal Units
|
GJ
|
gigajoules
|
NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES
Throughout this news release and in other materials disclosed by
the Company, Perpetual employs certain measures to analyze
financial performance, financial position, and cash flow. These
non-GAAP measures, non-GAAP ratios and other supplemental financial
measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS
and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented
by other entities. The non-GAAP measures, non-GAAP ratios and other
supplemental financial measures should not be considered to be more
meaningful than GAAP measures which are determined in accordance
with IFRS, such as net income (loss), cash flow from operating
activities, and cash flow used in investing activities, as
indicators of Perpetual's performance.
Adjusted funds flow: Adjusted funds flow is calculated
based on net cash flows from operating activities, excluding
changes in non-cash working capital and expenditures on
decommissioning obligations since the Company believes the timing
of collection, payment or incurrence of these items is variable.
Expenditures on decommissioning obligations may vary from period to
period depending on capital programs and the maturity of
Perpetual's operating areas. Expenditures on decommissioning
obligations are managed through the capital budgeting process which
considers available adjusted funds flow. Management uses adjusted
funds flow and adjusted funds flow per boe as key measures to
assess the ability of the Company to generate the funds necessary
to finance capital expenditures, expenditures on decommissioning
obligations and meet its financial obligations.
Adjusted funds flow per share is calculated using the weighted
average number of shares outstanding used in calculating net income
(loss) per share. Adjusted funds flow is not intended to represent
net cash flows from operating activities calculated in accordance
with IFRS.
Adjusted funds flow per boe is calculated as adjusted funds flow
divided by total production sold in the period.
The following table reconciles net cash flows from (used in)
operating activities as reported in the Company's statements of
cash flows, to adjusted funds flow and adjusted funds flow:
|
Three months ended
December 31,
|
Years ended
December 31,
|
($ thousands, except
per share and per boe amounts)
|
2021
|
2020
|
2021
|
2020
|
Net cash flows from
(used in) operating activities
|
1,624
|
(1,104)
|
12,815
|
(9,533)
|
Change in non-cash
working capital
|
4,197
|
1,479
|
(3,406)
|
(1,015)
|
Decommissioning
obligations settled
|
1,382
|
95
|
1,759
|
210
|
Oil and natural gas
revenue in-kind
|
1,382
|
917
|
4,995
|
2,319
|
Payments of gas over
bitumen royalty financing
|
-
|
(197)
|
-
|
(704)
|
Payments of
restructuring costs
|
-
|
50
|
583
|
936
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
8,585
|
1,240
|
16,746
|
(7,787)
|
Adjusted funds flow per
share
|
0.13
|
0.02
|
0.27
|
(0.13)
|
Adjusted funds flow per
boe
|
14.67
|
2.85
|
8.51
|
(4.25)
|
Available Liquidity: Available Liquidity is defined as
Perpetual's reserve-based first lien credit facility (the "Credit
Facility") borrowing limit (the "Borrowing Limit"), plus cash, less
borrowings and letters of credit issued under the Credit Facility.
Management uses available liquidity to assess the ability of the
Company to finance capital expenditures and expenditures on
decommissioning obligations, and to meet its financial
obligations.
Cash costs: Cash costs are comprised of royalties,
production and operating, transportation, general and
administrative, and cash finance expense as detailed below. Cash
costs per boe is calculated by dividing cash costs by total
production sold in the period. Management believes that cash costs
assist management and investors in assessing Perpetual's efficiency
and overall cost structure.
|
Three months
ended
December 31,
|
Years ended
December 31,
|
($ thousands,
except per boe amounts)
|
2021
|
2020
|
2021
|
2020
|
Royalties
|
3,786
|
1,831
|
9,920
|
6,571
|
Production and
operating
|
2,863
|
3,014
|
12,859
|
11,634
|
Transportation
|
871
|
804
|
2,993
|
3,617
|
General and
administrative
|
3,657
|
1,994
|
10,757
|
7,870
|
Cash finance
expense
|
1,039
|
155
|
1,309
|
6,587
|
Cash costs
|
12,215
|
7,798
|
37,839
|
36,279
|
Cash costs per
boe
|
20.88
|
17.92
|
19.24
|
19.78
|
Operating netback: Operating netback is calculated by
deducting royalties, production and operating expenses, and
transportation costs from realized revenue. Operating netback is
also calculated on a per boe basis using total production sold in
the period. Perpetual considers operating netback to be an
important performance measure to evaluate its operational
performance as it demonstrates its profitability relative to
current commodity prices. Realized revenue is realized oil revenue
which includes realized gains (losses) on financial crude oil and
foreign exchange contracts. Realized revenue is used by management
to calculate the Company's net realized commodity prices, taking
into account the monthly settlements of financial crude oil and
natural gas forward sales, collars, basis differentials, and
forward foreign exchange sales. These contracts are put in place to
protect Perpetual's adjusted funds flow from potential
volatility.
Net Debt and Working Capital: Net debt is calculated by
deducting any borrowing under the Credit Facility from working
capital. Working capital is calculated by adding cash, accounts
receivable and prepaids less accounts payables and accrued
liabilities. Perpetual uses net debt as an alternative measure of
outstanding debt. Management considers net debt and working capital
as important measures in assessing the liquidity of the
Company.
Net debt includes the carrying value of net bank debt, other
liability, the principal amount of the Term Loan, and the principal
amount of senior notes. Net debt, net bank debt, and net debt to
adjusted funds flow ratios are used by management to assess the
Corporation's overall debt position and borrowing capacity. Net
debt to adjusted funds flow ratios are calculated on a trailing
twelve-month basis.
The following table reconciles working capital and net debt as
reported in the Company's statements of financial position:
|
As at December 31,
2021
|
Cash and cash
equivalents
|
1,090
|
Accounts and accrued
receivable
|
11,671
|
Prepaid expenses and
deposits
|
910
|
Marketable
securities
|
2,409
|
Accounts payable and
accrued liabilities
|
(32,223)
|
Working capital
deficiency
|
(16,143)
|
Bank
indebtedness
|
(2,487)
|
Term loan
(principal)
|
(2,671)
|
AIMCO contingent
payments
|
(1,387)
|
Senior notes
(principal)
|
(36,582)
|
Net debt
|
(59,270)
|
Realized revenue: Realized revenue is the sum of realized
natural gas revenue, realized oil revenue, and realized NGL revenue
which includes realized gains (losses) on financial natural gas,
crude oil, NGL, and foreign exchange contracts. Realized revenue is
used by management to calculate the Corporation's net realized
commodity prices, taking into account the monthly settlements of
financial crude oil and natural gas forward sales, collars, basis
differentials, and forward foreign exchange sales. These contracts
are put in place to protect Perpetual's adjusted funds flow from
potential volatility in commodity prices and foreign exchange
rates. Any related realized gains or losses are considered part of
the Corporation's realized price.
Capital Expenditures: Perpetual uses capital expenditures
related to exploration and development to measure its capital
investments compared to the Company's annual capital budgeted
expenditures. Perpetual's capital budget excludes acquisition and
disposition activities as well as the accounting impact of any
accrual changes.
The most directly comparable GAAP measure for capital
expenditures is cash flow used in investing activities. A summary
of the reconciliation of cash flow used in investing activities to
capital expenditures, is set forth below:
|
Three months
ended
December 31,
|
Years ended
December 31,
|
|
2021
|
2020
|
2021
|
2020
|
Net cash flows used
in (from) investing activities
|
(49,217)
|
266
|
(43,725)
|
(34,925)
|
Acquisitions
|
(700)
|
-
|
(1,325)
|
(222)
|
Net proceeds on
dispositions, net of cash disposed
|
53,407
|
-
|
49,549
|
27,754
|
Proceeds of sale of
marketable securities
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
14,316
|
Change in non-cash
working capital
|
4,068
|
200
|
14,563
|
(984)
|
Capital
expenditures
|
7,558
|
466
|
19,062
|
5,939
|
Non-GAAP Financial Ratios: Perpetual calculates
certain non-GAAP measures per boe as the measure divided by
weighted average daily production. Management believes that per boe
ratios are a key industry performance measure of operational
efficiency and one that provides investors with information that is
also commonly presented by other crude oil and natural gas
producers. Perpetual also calculates certain non-GAAP measures per
share as the measure divided by outstanding common shares.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
Certain information in this news release including management's
assessment of future plans and operations, and including the
information contained under the heading "2022 Outlook" may
constitute forward-looking information or statements (together
"forward-looking information") under applicable securities laws.
The forward-looking information includes, without limitation,
statements with respect to: future capital expenditure and
production forecasts; expectations as to drilling activity plans
and the benefits to be derived from such drilling including the
production growth and expectations respecting Perpetual's future
exploration, development and drilling activities and Perpetual's
business plan.
Forward-looking information is based on current expectations,
estimates and projections that involve a number of known and
unknown risks, which could cause actual results to vary and in some
instances to differ materially from those anticipated by Perpetual
and described in the forward-looking information contained in this
news release. In particular and without limitation of the
foregoing, material factors or assumptions on which the
forward-looking information in this news release is based include:
forecast commodity prices and other pricing assumptions; forecast
production volumes based on business and market conditions; foreign
exchange and interest rates; near-term pricing and continued
volatility of the market; accounting estimates and judgments;
future use and development of technology and associated expected
future results; the ability to obtain regulatory approvals; the
successful and timely implementation of capital projects; ability
to generate sufficient cash flow to meet current and future
obligations; the ability of Perpetual to obtain and retain
qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient
manner, as applicable; the retention of key properties; forecast
inflation and other assumptions inherent in Perpetual's current
guidance and estimates; the continuance of existing tax, royalty,
and regulatory regimes; the accuracy of the estimates of reserves
volumes; ability to access and implement technology necessary to
efficiently and effectively operate assets; and the ongoing and
future impact of the coronavirus and Russia's military actions in Ukraine on commodity prices and the global
economy, among others.
Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
information, which is not a guarantee of performance and is subject
to a number of risks or uncertainties, including without limitation
those described herein and under "Risk Factors" in Perpetual's
Annual Information Form and MD&A for the year ended
December 31, 2021 and in other
reports on file with Canadian securities regulatory authorities
which may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com) and
at Perpetual's website (www.perpetualenergyinc.com). Readers are
cautioned that the foregoing list of risk factors is not
exhaustive. Forward-looking information is based on the estimates
and opinions of Perpetual's management at the time the information
is released, and Perpetual disclaims any intent or obligation to
update publicly any such forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than
as expressly required by applicable securities law.
SOURCE Perpetual Energy Inc.