/NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO U.S. NEWS WIRE SERVICES OR
DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED
STATES. ANY FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY
CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF U.S. SECURITIES LAW./
CALGARY,
AB, Nov. 26, 2024 /CNW/ - Logan Energy
Corp. (TSXV: LGN) ("Logan" or the "Company") is
pleased to announce that it has entered into a definitive agreement
today to acquire an operated 50% working interest in certain assets
located in the Company's core area at Simonette, Alberta, for a cash purchase price of
$52.0 million, before closing
adjustments (the "Acquisition").
Logan is also pleased to announce an equity financing to be
offered on a bought deal, private placement basis, led by National
Bank Financial Inc. and Eight Capital as joint bookrunners and
co-lead underwriters, for aggregate gross proceeds of $35.0 million (the "Equity
Offering").
ACQUISITION HIGHLIGHTS
Logan has entered into an asset purchase agreement with a
subsidiary of Gran Tierra Energy Inc., a publicly-traded oil and
gas company (the "Vendor"), pursuant to which the Company
will acquire an operated 50% working interest in certain assets in
the Simonette area, primarily targeting the Montney, and 100% of the Vendor's interest in
certain Simonette gross overriding royalties (the "GORRs")
(collectively, the "Acquired Interest") for cash
consideration of $52.0 million,
before closing adjustments. The Acquisition has an effective date
of September 1, 2024, and is expected
to close on or around December 17,
2024, subject to the satisfaction or waiver of
customary closing conditions.
The Acquisition includes current production of approximately 795
BOE/d (48% liquids), 25 net (52.5 gross) sections of highly
prospective Montney acreage
including 45 net identified Montney drilling locations, 16 gross 5-10%
GORR sections, and interests in important infrastructure including
a 50% working interest in a 9 million barrel water reservoir and an
oil battery at 06-09-061-27W5.
The Acquisition augments Logan's long term organic growth plan
and is consistent with its stated strategy. Pro forma the
Acquisition, Logan plans to achieve production growth to between
24,000 to 27,000 BOE per day by 2028, up from its previously stated
target of 20,000 to 25,000 BOE per day by 2028. The high-quality
oil weighted inventory being acquired is accretive to Logan's
inventory and drives compelling full cycle returns on the
Acquisition.
VALUE PROPOSITION AND ACCRETION
- 2025 accretion of 11% to AFF per share (moderated by cycle time
to add production)
- 2026-2029 accretion of 13-18% to AFF per share relative to
Logan on a standalone basis
- Top tier Montney oil drilling
locations add to Logan's inventory depth and provide torque to
strong crude oil prices; South Simonette Lower Montney TPP forecast
type curve of 520 mbbl of oil expected to deliver a NPV of
approximately $14 million discounted
at 10% before-tax1
- Removes 5-10% GORRs from 38 of Logan's net Montney locations, improving project
economics
- Two-layer co-development of Lower and Middle Montney improves
capital efficiencies and reduces proportionate infrastructure
spending
- The strong synergies with Logan's existing owned gathering and
processing will result in operating cost savings of over
$7.5 million in the first five years
of development on the acquired assets
- Eliminates approximately $13.0
million in near-term infrastructure capital from Logan's
current five-year plan
- Expected to improve Logan's realized pricing due to the
increase in liquids weighting, while maintaining Logan's long term
cost structure (operating expenses are forecast to be less than
$8.00/BOE by 2027)
__________________________________
|
1 Based on
the Vendor's 2023 Reserve Evaluation (defined herein) and the 3
consultant average price forecast at December 31, 2023.
|
ACQUISITION METRICS
Purchase Price
(1)
|
$52.0MM
|
Q3 2024 Production
(2)
|
795 BOE/d (48%
liquids)
|
2025 Production
(Forecast) (3)
|
1,440 BOE/d (55%
liquids)
|
2025 Operating Netback
(Forecast) (4)
|
$34.51 / BOE
|
2025 Operating Income
(Forecast) (4)
|
$18.1MM
|
Montney Drilling
Locations – booked (5)
|
45 gross (22.5
net)
|
Montney Drilling
Locations – unbooked (5)
|
54 gross (22.5
net)
|
Proved Developed
Producing Reserves (6)(7)
|
933
mBOE
|
Reserve
Life Index (8)
|
~ 3.2 years
|
Total Proved Plus
Probable Reserves (6)(9)(10)
|
13,958
mBOE
|
Reserve
Life Index (8)
|
~ 48.1 years
|
NPV of Reserves
(before-tax at 10%)
|
PDP $6.6MM / TPP
$154.7MM
|
Decommissioning
Obligations (Undiscounted) (11)
|
~ $6.0MM
|
Notes: Refer to "Reader
Advisories".
EQUITY OFFERING
Logan has entered into an agreement with a syndicate of
underwriters (the "Underwriters") led by National Bank
Financial Inc. and Eight Capital as joint bookrunners and co-lead
underwriters (the "Lead Underwriters"), pursuant to which
the Underwriters have agreed to purchase for resale on a private
placement, bought deal basis, 47,946,000 common shares ("Common
Shares") at a price of $0.73 per
Common Share for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately
$35.0 million. It is anticipated that
certain directors, officers and employees of the Company will
subscribe for approximately $2.8
million of the Equity Offering.
Closing of the Equity Offering will be conditional on the
completion of the Acquisition. Logan intends to use the net
proceeds from the Equity Offering to repay indebtedness incurred to
fund a portion of the purchase price for the Acquisition. The
completion of the Equity Offering is subject to customary closing
conditions, including the receipt of all necessary regulatory
approvals, including the approval of the TSX Venture Exchange
("TSXV"). Closing of the Equity Offering is expected to
occur immediately following the Acquisition, on or around
December 17, 2024. The Company has
agreed to pay a cash commission of 4.0% of the gross proceeds of
the Equity Offering to the Underwriters, except with respect to
subscribers to be included on the president's list for which no
commission will be paid.
The Common Shares will be subject to a statutory hold period
that extends four months from the Closing Date; provided that any
Common Shares issued in the United
States will be subject to a 1 year hold period, subject to
the ability to resell the Common Shares on the TSXV prior to 1 year
in accordance with U.S. securities laws.
ADVISORS
National Bank Financial Inc. and Eight Capital are acting as
financial advisors to Logan in respect of the Acquisition and the
Equity Offering.
Stikeman Elliott LLP is acting as legal counsel to Logan in
respect of the Acquisition and the Equity Offering.
Burnet, Duckworth & Palmer LLP is acting as legal counsel to
the underwriters in respect of the Equity Offering.
PRO FORMA 2024 GUIDANCE
Logan has updated its guidance for 2024 to reflect the
Acquisition and Equity Offering, including an expanded budget for
Capital Expenditures before A&D of $157
million (previously $140
million). Additionally, the Company has reduced its average
production guidance for 2024 by 3% to approximately 8,400 BOE/d
(previously 8,700 BOE/d) due to voluntary shut-ins of uneconomic
natural gas production, deferral of certain production optimization
projects until gas prices recover, and delayed onstream and
intermittent run time from the Company's exploratory well at Lator.
Despite lower production and weaker natural gas prices for the
second half of 2024 than previously forecast, Logan's guidance for
2024 Adjusted Funds Flow of approximately $52 million is
unchanged from previous guidance due to lower cash costs. Assuming
a closing date of December 17, 2024,
the Acquisition will have a minimal contribution to 2024 average
production and Adjusted Funds Flow.
The increase in the capital expenditure budget primarily
includes acceleration of projects originally planned for the first
quarter of 2025 into the fourth quarter 2024, including one drill
and two completions at Simonette and commencing construction
for the Pouce Coupe Infrastructure ahead of schedule, to level load
activity in preparation for a further expanded 2025 development
program pro forma the Acquisition. Additionally, the expanded 2024
budget includes pad construction and drilling of the first joint
well in the Lower Montney on the acquired assets.
For the year ending
December 31, 2024
|
Previous
Guidance
|
Updated
Guidance
|
Change
|
%
|
Average production
(BOE/d) (1)
|
8,700
|
8,400
|
(300)
|
(3)
|
% Liquids
|
34 %
|
34 %
|
0 %
|
-
|
Forecast Average
Commodity Prices
|
|
|
|
|
WTI crude oil price
(US$/bbl)
|
75.67
|
75.67
|
-
|
-
|
AECO natural gas price
($/GJ)
|
1.48
|
1.37
|
(0.11)
|
(7)
|
Average exchange rate
(CA$/US$)
|
1.36
|
1.36
|
-
|
-
|
Operating Netback,
after hedging ($/BOE) (1)(2)
|
18.40
|
19.04
|
0.64
|
3
|
Adjusted Funds Flow
($MM) (1)(2)
|
52
|
52
|
-
|
-
|
AFF per share, basic
(2)(4)
|
0.11
|
0.11
|
-
|
-
|
Capital Expenditures
before A&D ($MM) (2)
|
140
|
157
|
17
|
12
|
Acquisitions
(3)
|
-
|
63
|
63
|
nm
|
Net Debt (Surplus), end
of year ($MM) (2)
|
(1)
|
47
|
48
|
nm
|
Common shares
outstanding, end of year (MM) (4)
|
534
|
582
|
48
|
9
|
(1)
|
Additional information
regarding the assumptions used in the forecasts of average
production, Operating Netback and Adjusted Funds Flow are provided
under "Reader Advisories" below.
|
(2)
|
"Operating Netback,
after hedging", "Adjusted Funds Flow", "AFF per share", "Capital
Expenditures before A&D" and "Net Debt (Surplus)" do not have
standardized meanings under IFRS Accounting Standards, see
"Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios" section of this press
release.
|
(3)
|
Includes the $52.0
million purchase price for the Acquisition plus $8.1 million of
estimated closing adjustments plus an assumed liability of $2.7
million estimated to carry the Vendor's share of the first
Simonette drill.
|
(4)
|
The forecast of basic
Common Shares outstanding assumes closing of the Equity Offering
for aggregate gross proceeds of $35.0 million. AFF per share is
based on the estimated basic weighted average common shares
outstanding during the year. Refer to additional information
regarding outstanding dilutive securities under the heading of
"Share Capital" in this press release.
|
PRO FORMA 2025 BUDGET
Logan is pleased to provide details of its pro forma budget for
2025, which is focused on delivering material liquids growth
through accelerated development at Pouce
Coupe together with an expanded program at Simonette pro
forma the Acquisition. Additionally, the Company will continue to
advance its positions in the Alberta Duvernay and at Flatrock, British Columbia, invest heavily in
infrastructure and reserve capital for additional land capture
opportunities. The pro forma capital expenditure budget of
$195 million includes approximately
$35 million directed to the acquired
assets. The 2025 capital expenditure budget remains elevated
relative to other years within Logan's five year plan due to the
one-time Pouce Coupe
infrastructure costs (details of the Pouce Coupe infrastructure project are
provided in the Company's press release dated September 12, 2024).
In addition to constructing and commissioning the Pouce Coupe infrastructure, the Company plans
to bring on production nine net wells at Pouce Coupe, five net wells at Simonette, and
one well at Ante Creek driving 2025 average production of
approximately 13,650 BOE per day (additional information regarding
all drilling activity is provided under the heading "Reader
Advisories – Assumptions for Guidance – Planned Activity").
The pro forma 2025 budget delivers (from 2024E to 2025E):
- 63% average production growth (62% per share);
- 91% oil and condensate growth;
- 20% decrease in average per unit operating and transportation
costs;
- 131% Adjusted Funds Flow growth; and
- 91% Adjusted Funds Flow per share growth after giving effect to
the Equity Offering.
The Company's pro forma guidance for 2025 after giving effect to
the Acquisition and Equity Financing is summarized as follows:
For the year ending
December 31, 2025
|
2025
Preliminary
Budget
|
2025
Pro Forma
Budget
|
Change
|
%
|
2025 average production
(BOE/d) (1)
|
12,800
|
13,650
|
850
|
7
|
% Liquids
|
37 %
|
40 %
|
3 %
|
8
|
H2 2025 average
production (BOE/d) (1)
|
14,500
|
15,750
|
1,250
|
9
|
% Liquids
|
38 %
|
42 %
|
4 %
|
11
|
Forecast Average
Commodity Prices (2)(4)
|
|
|
|
|
WTI crude oil price
(US$/bbl)
|
70.00
|
70.00
|
-
|
-
|
AECO natural gas price
($/GJ)
|
2.50
|
2.50
|
-
|
-
|
Average exchange rate
(CA$/US$)
|
1.35
|
1.35
|
-
|
-
|
Operating Netback,
after hedging ($/BOE) (1)(3)(4)
|
25.92
|
27.80
|
1.88
|
7
|
Adjusted Funds Flow
($MM) (1)(3)
|
103
|
120
|
17
|
17
|
AFF per share, basic
(3)
|
0.19
|
0.21
|
0.02
|
11
|
Capital Expenditures
before A&D ($MM) (3)
|
170
|
195
|
25
|
15
|
Net Debt, end of year
($MM) (3)
|
66
|
122
|
56
|
85
|
Common shares
outstanding, end of year (MM) (5)
|
534
|
582
|
48
|
9
|
(1)
|
Additional information
regarding the assumptions used in the forecasts of average
production, Operating Netback and Adjusted Funds Flow are provided
under "Reader Advisories" below.
|
(2)
|
Forecast natural gas
prices have decreased since announcing the Company's preliminary
2025 budget in September 2024. For purposes of comparing pro forma
guidance with the Acquisition to Logan's stand alone plan, we have
held commodity price assumptions constant. Refer to commodity price
sensitivities under the heading of "Reader Advisories".
|
(3)
|
"Operating Netback,
after hedging", "Adjusted Funds Flow", "AFF per share", "Capital
Expenditures before A&D" and "Net Debt" do not have
standardized meanings under IFRS Accounting Standards, see
"Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios" section of this press
release.
|
(4)
|
A summary of
outstanding commodity price risk management contracts is provided
under the heading "Reader Advisories - Assumptions for Guidance –
Commodity Hedging".
|
(5)
|
The forecast of basic
Common Shares outstanding assumes closing of the Equity Offering.
AFF per share is based on the estimated basic weighted average
common shares outstanding during the year. Refer to additional
information regarding outstanding dilutive securities under the
heading of "Share Capital" in this press release.
|
ABOUT LOGAN ENERGY CORP.
Logan is a growth-oriented exploration, development and
production company formed through the spin-out of the early stage
Montney assets of Spartan Delta
Corp. Logan was founded with a strong initial capitalization and
three high quality and opportunity rich Montney assets located in the Simonette and
Pouce Coupe areas of northwest
Alberta and the Flatrock area of northeastern British Columbia and has recently established
a position within the greater Kaybob Duvernay oil play with assets
in the North Simonette, Ante Creek and Two Creeks areas. The
management team brings proven leadership and a track record of
generating excess returns in various business cycles.
READER ADVISORIES
Notes to Acquisition Metrics table:
1)
|
The purchase price to
be paid by Logan in respect of the Acquisition is $52.0 million in
cash, before closing adjustments. The Company expects purchase
price adjustments, which include estimated cash flows, capital
expenditures, and interest between the effective date of September
1, 2024 and closing to be approximately $8.1 million in favour of
the Vendor due to recent drilling activity. Additionally, Logan has
agreed to carry the Vendor's share of the first Simonette drill at
an estimated cost of $2.7 million. Total consideration inclusive of
closing adjustments and the drill carry is estimated to be
approximately $62.8 million.
|
2)
|
Average production for
the third quarter of 2024 from the Acquired Interest was
approximately 795 BOE/d, consisting of 325 bbl/d of oil (41%), 60
bbl/d of NGLs (7%), and 2,460 mcf/d of natural gas
(52%).
|
3)
|
Average production
forecast for 2025 is approximately 1,440 BOE/d, consisting of 725
bbl/d of oil (50%), 65 bbl/d of NGLs (5%), and 3.9 mmcf/d of
natural gas (45%).
|
4)
|
2025 Operating Netback
and Operating Income forecast based on commodity price assumptions
of US$70/bbl WTI and $2.50/GJ AECO. Operating Income and Operating
Netback are non-GAAP measures. See "Non-GAAP Measures and
Ratios" for additional details.
|
5)
|
Of the 99 gross (45
net) identified Montney locations, there are 45 gross (22.5 net)
booked locations in the Vendor's 2023 Reserve Evaluation (defined
below) with an additional 54 gross (22.5 net) of unbooked locations
identified by Logan. See "Drilling Locations" for additional
details.
|
6)
|
Proved developed
producing reserves ("PDP") and total proved plus probable
reserves ("TPP") are based on the Vendor's 2023 Reserve
Evaluation. Reserves volumes and values are based on working
interest reserves of the Acquired Interest before deduction of
royalties and without including any of royalty interest reserves.
See "Reserves Disclosure" for additional details.
|
7)
|
PDP consisting of 322
MMbbl of crude oil (34%), 102 MMbbl of NGLs (11%), and 3,057 MMcf
of natural gas (55%).
|
8)
|
Reserve life index
("RLI") is calculated by dividing PDP or TPP, as applicable,
by estimated current production of the Acquired Interest of
795 BOE/d. See note (2) for a breakdown of estimated current
production from the Acquired Interest by product type and note (6)
for further information regarding reserves estimates.
|
9)
|
TPP consisting of 8,926
MMbbl of oil (64%), 806 MMbbl of NGLs (6%), and 25,354 MMcf of
natural gas (30%).
|
10)
|
Future development
capital of $568.2 million gross ($284.1 million net) are
attributable to the Acquired Interest and represents expectations
for the remainder of the booked reserves life of 5 years
(2024-2028), per the TPP case in the Vendor's 2023 Reserve
Evaluation.
|
11)
|
Decommissioning
obligations for the Acquired Interest of approximately $6.0 million
(undiscounted and uninflated) are internally estimated by Logan
based on AER Directive 11 updates effective June 26, 2024 as well
as internal estimate of reclamation costs and site specific
information.
|
Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios
This press release contains certain financial measures and
ratios which do not have standardized meanings prescribed by
International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board ("IFRS Accounting
Standards"), also known as Canadian Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles ("GAAP"). As these non-GAAP financial
measures and ratios are commonly used in the oil and gas industry,
Logan believes that their inclusion is useful to investors. The
reader is cautioned that these amounts may not be directly
comparable to measures for other companies where similar
terminology is used.
The non-GAAP measures and ratios used in this press release,
represented by the capitalized and defined terms outlined below,
are used by Logan as key measures of financial performance and are
not intended to represent operating profits nor should they be
viewed as an alternative to cash provided by operating activities,
net income or other measures of financial performance calculated in
accordance with IFRS Accounting Standards.
The definitions below should be read in conjunction with the
"Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of the Company's
MD&A dated November 13, 2024,
which includes discussion of the purpose and composition of the
specified financial measures and detailed reconciliations to the
most directly comparable GAAP financial measures.
Operating Income and Operating Netback
Operating Income, a non-GAAP financial measure, is a useful
supplemental measure that provides an indication of the Company's
ability to generate cash from field operations, prior to
administrative overhead, financing and other business expenses.
"Operating Income, before hedging" is calculated by Logan as
oil and gas sales, net of royalties, plus processing and other
revenue, less operating and transportation expenses. "Operating
Income, after hedging" is calculated by adjusting Operating
Income, before hedging for realized gains or losses on derivative
financial instruments.
The Company refers to Operating Income expressed per unit of
production as an "Operating Netback" and reports the
Operating Netback before and after hedging, both of which are
non-GAAP financial ratios. Logan considers Operating Netback an
important measure to evaluate its operational performance as it
demonstrates its field level profitability relative to current
commodity prices.
Adjusted Funds Flow
Cash provided by operating activities is the most directly
comparable measure to Adjusted Funds Flow. "Adjusted Funds
Flow" is reconciled to cash provided by operating activities by
excluding changes in non-cash working capital, adding back
transaction costs on acquisitions (if applicable). Logan utilizes
Adjusted Funds Flow as a key performance measure in the Company's
annual financial forecasts and public guidance.
The Company refers to Adjusted Funds Flow expressed per unit of
production as an "Adjusted Funds Flow Netback".
Adjusted Funds Flow per share ("AFF per share")
AFF per share is a non-GAAP financial ratio used by the Logan as
a key performance indicator. The basic and/or diluted weighted
average Common Shares outstanding used in the calculation of AFF
per share is calculated using the same methodology as net income
per share.
Capital Expenditures
Logan uses "Capital Expenditures before A&D" to
measure its capital investment level compared to the Company's
annual budgeted capital expenditures for its organic drilling
program, excluding acquisitions or dispositions. "Capital
Expenditures" is calculated by adding cash acquisition costs,
net of proceeds from dispositions to Capital Expenditures before
A&D. The directly comparable GAAP measure is cash used in
investing activities, before changes in non-cash investing working
capital.
Net Debt (Surplus)
Throughout this press release, references to "Net Debt
(Surplus)" includes any long-term debt outstanding on the
Company's revolving and term credit facilities, net of Adjusted
Working Capital. Net Debt and Adjusted Working Capital are both
non-GAAP financial measures. "Adjusted Working Capital" is
calculated as current liabilities less current assets, excluding
derivative financial instrument assets and liabilities.
Supplementary Financial Measures
The supplementary financial measures used in this press release
(primarily average sales price per product type and certain per BOE
and per share figures) are either a per unit disclosure of a
corresponding GAAP measure, or a component of a corresponding GAAP
measure, presented in the financial statements. Supplementary
financial measures that are disclosed on a per unit basis are
calculated by dividing the aggregate GAAP measure (or component
thereof) by the applicable unit for the period. Supplementary
financial measures that are disclosed on a component basis of a
corresponding GAAP measure are a granular representation of a
financial statement line item and are determined in accordance with
GAAP.
Assumptions for Guidance
Logan expects production to average approximately 8,400 BOE/d
during 2024 and 13,650 BOE/d in 2025. The significant assumptions
used in the forecast of Operating Netbacks and Adjusted Funds Flow
for the Company's 2024 and 2025 Guidance are summarized below.
Production
Guidance
|
2024
Previous
Guidance
|
2024
Pro Forma
Guidance
|
Change %
|
2025
Preliminary
Budget
|
2025
Pro Forma
Budget
|
Change %
|
Crude Oil
(bbls/d)
|
2,025
|
2,345
|
16
|
3,045
|
4,780
|
57
|
Condensate
(bbls/d)
|
600
|
175
|
(71)
|
1,190
|
25
|
(98)
|
Crude oil and
condensate (bbls/d)
|
2,625
|
2,520
|
(4)
|
4,235
|
4,805
|
13
|
NGLs
(bbls/d)
|
310
|
365
|
18
|
465
|
615
|
32
|
Natural gas
(mcf/d)
|
34,590
|
33,090
|
(4)
|
48,600
|
49,380
|
2
|
Combined average
(BOE/d)
|
8,700
|
8,400
|
(3)
|
12,800
|
13,650
|
7
|
%
Liquids
|
34 %
|
34 %
|
-
|
37 %
|
40 %
|
8
|
Financial Guidance
($/BOE)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil and gas
sales
|
36.17
|
35.89
|
(1)
|
40.42
|
42.46
|
5
|
Processing and other
revenue
|
0.93
|
1.05
|
13
|
0.55
|
0.57
|
4
|
Royalties
|
(3.41)
|
(3.22)
|
(6)
|
(3.30)
|
(3.32)
|
1
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(3.26)
|
(3.06)
|
(6)
|
(2.50)
|
(2.70)
|
8
|
Operating
expenses
|
(12.62)
|
(12.23)
|
(3)
|
(9.54)
|
(9.50)
|
(0)
|
Operating Netback,
before hedging
|
17.81
|
18.43
|
3
|
25.63
|
27.51
|
7
|
Realized gain (loss) on
derivatives
|
0.59
|
0.61
|
3
|
0.29
|
0.29
|
-
|
Operating Netback,
after hedging
|
18.40
|
19.04
|
3
|
25.92
|
27.80
|
7
|
General and
administrative expenses
|
(1.95)
|
(1.96)
|
1
|
(1.54)
|
(1.65)
|
7
|
Financing
expenses
|
(0.04)
|
(0.00)
|
(100)
|
(1.36)
|
(1.76)
|
29
|
Current income
taxes
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
(0.57)
|
-
|
(100)
|
Decommissioning
obligations
|
(0.20)
|
(0.24)
|
20
|
(0.38)
|
(0.36)
|
(5)
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
16.21
|
16.84
|
4
|
22.07
|
24.03
|
9
|
Planned Activity
Area
|
Net
(Gross)
Wells
Drilled
|
Net
(Gross)
Wells
Completed
|
Net
(Gross)
Wells
Onstream
|
2024
|
Simonette
|
5.5 (6)
|
6
|
4
|
Pouce Coupe
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
Flatrock
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Ante Creek
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
2025
|
Simonette
|
5 (8)
|
5 (7)
|
5 (6)
|
Pouce Coupe
|
9
|
9
|
9
|
Flatrock
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Ante Creek
|
-
|
1
|
1
|
Note: Net and gross
well counts are the same if not otherwise noted.
|
Guidance Sensitivities
Changes in forecast commodity prices, exchange rates,
differences in the amount and timing of capital expenditures, and
variances in average production estimates can have a significant
impact on the key performance measures included in Logan's pro
forma guidance for 2025. The Company's actual results may differ
materially from these estimates. Holding all other assumptions
constant, the table below shows the impact to forecasted Adjusted
Funds Flow of a US$10/bbl change in
the WTI crude oil price, a $0.50/GJ
change in the AECO natural gas price, and a $0.05 change in the CA$/US$ exchange rate.
Assuming capital expenditures are unchanged, an increase (decrease)
in Adjusted Funds Flow will result in an equivalent decrease
(increase) in forecasted Net Debt.
Year Ending December
31, 2025 – Change in Adjusted Funds Flow ($MM)
|
AECO /
WTI
|
US$60.00/bbl
|
US$70.00/bbl
|
US$80.00/bbl
|
CA$/US$
|
FX
Impact
|
$2.00/GJ
|
($24)
|
($8)
|
$6
|
1.30
|
($5)
|
$2.50/GJ
|
($16)
|
-
|
$14
|
1.35
|
-
|
$3.00/GJ
|
($7)
|
$9
|
$20
|
1.40
|
$5
|
Commodity Hedging
The following table summarizes the Company's financial risk
management contracts in place as of the date hereof:
Commodity
/
Contract
Type
|
Notional
Volume
|
Reference
Price
|
Fixed
Contract
Price
|
Remaining
Term
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
1,500 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
CA$101.33 per
barrel
|
November 1 to December
31, 2024
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
100 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
US$74.35 per
barrel
|
November 1 to December
31, 2024
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
750 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
US$71.60 per
barrel
|
January 1 to March 31,
2025
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
1,250 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
US$70.84 per
barrel
|
April 1 to June 30,
2025
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
1,000 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
US$70.46 per
barrel
|
July 1 to September 30,
2025
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
500 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
US$70.00 per
barrel
|
October 1 to December
31, 2025
|
Crude oil –
swap
|
500 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
CA$102.05 per
barrel
|
January 1 to December
31, 2025
|
Crude oil – short
call
|
500 bbls/d
|
WTI
|
CA$102.05 per
barrel
|
January 1 to December
31, 2025
|
Natural gas –
swap
|
20,000 GJ/d
|
AECO
|
CA$1.86 per
GJ
|
November 1 to 30,
2024
|
Natural gas –
swap
|
5,000 GJ/d
|
AECO
|
CA$2.50 per
GJ
|
January 1 to March 31,
2025
|
Natural gas –
swap
|
15,000 GJ/d
|
AECO
|
CA$2.23 per
GJ
|
April 1 to October 31,
2025
|
Natural gas –
swap
|
15,000 GJ/d
|
AECO
|
CA$3.15 per
GJ
|
Nov 1, 2025 to March
31, 2026
|
As of the date hereof, Logan has an average of 1,375 bbls/d of
oil hedged at an average WTI price of $99.26 per barrel (Canadian dollar equivalent
based on FX of 1.38) for calendar 2025, representing approximately
31% of forecasted crude oil and condensate production (net of
royalties) pro forma completion of the Acquisition. Additionally,
the Company has AECO swaps in place for an average of 12,534 GJ/d
of natural gas at $2.44 per GJ on
average for calendar 2025, representing approximately 23% of
forecasted natural gas production (net of royalties) pro forma
completion of the Acquisition.
Reserves Disclosure
All reserves values, future net revenue and ancillary
information in this press release relating to the Acquired Interest
is based on the evaluation prepared by GLJ Petroleum Consultants
for i3 Energy plc, the previous owner of the Acquired Interest,
effective December 31, 2023 with a
preparation date of March 8, 2024
(the "Vendor's 2023 Reserve Report") and mechanically
updated by the Company's internal qualified reserves evaluator to
reflect the working interest in the assets to be acquired by Logan
pursuant to the Acquisition, all in accordance with National
Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure of Oil and Gas
Activities ("NI 51-101") and the most recent publication of
the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluations Handbook ("COGEH"). The
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for the Acquisition
may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves
and future net revenue for all of Logan's properties, due to the
effects of aggregation.
All reserve references in this press release are "gross
reserves". Gross reserves are a company's total working interest
reserves before the deduction of any royalties payable by such
company and before the consideration of such company's royalty
interests. It should not be assumed that the present worth of
estimated future cash flow of net revenue presented herein
represents the fair market value of the reserves. There is no
assurance that the forecast prices and costs assumptions will be
attained and variances could be material. The recovery and reserve
estimates of Logan's crude oil, NGL and natural gas reserves,
including those of the Acquired Interest, provided herein are
estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated
reserves will be recovered. Actual crude oil, natural gas and NGL
reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided
herein.
Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a
high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated
proved reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is
equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus
probable reserves. Proved developed producing reserves are those
reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion
intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be
currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been
on production, and the date of resumption of production must be
known with reasonable certainty. Undeveloped reserves are those
reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a
significant expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of
drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production.
They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category
(proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. Certain
terms used in this press release but not defined are defined in NI
51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 – Revised Glossary to NI
51-101, Revised Glossary to NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for
Oil and Gas Activities ("CSA Staff Notice 51-324")
and/or the COGEH and, unless the context otherwise requires, shall
have the same meanings herein as in NI 51-101, CSA Staff Notice
51-324 and the COGEH, as the case may be.
Drilling Locations
This press release discloses drilling locations with respect to
the Acquired Interest in two categories: (i) booked; (ii) unbooked
locations. Booked locations identified in this press release have
associated proved and/or probable locations, as applicable, and
proved and probable locations were derived from the Vendor's 2023
Reserve Report in accordance with NI 51-101 and COGEH. Unbooked
locations are internal estimates based on the Company's assumptions
as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on
industry practice and internal review, being 600m inter well spacing and an average horizontal
well length of ~3,000m. Unbooked locations do not have attributed
reserves or resources. Unbooked locations have been identified by
management as an estimation of Logan's multi-year drilling
activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic,
engineering, production and reserves information. There is no
certainty that the Company will drill all unbooked drilling
locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations
will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or
production. The drilling locations on which the Company actually
drills wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of
capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and
natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional
reservoir information that is obtained and other factors. While
certain of the unbooked drilling locations have been de-risked by
drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such
unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked
drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where
management has less information about the characteristics of the
reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells
will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more
uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas
reserves, resources or production.
Other Measurements
All dollar figures included herein are presented in Canadian
dollars, unless otherwise noted. This press release contains
various references to the abbreviation "BOE" which means barrels of
oil equivalent. Where amounts are expressed on a BOE basis, natural
gas volumes have been converted to oil equivalence at six thousand
cubic feet (mcf) per barrel (bbl). The term BOE may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six
thousand cubic feet per barrel is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead and is
significantly different than the value ratio based on the current
price of crude oil and natural gas. This conversion factor is an
industry accepted norm and is not based on either energy content or
current prices. Such abbreviation may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation.
References to "oil" in this press release include light crude
oil, medium crude oil, heavy oil and tight oil combined. NI 51-101
includes condensate within the product type of "natural gas
liquids". References to "natural gas liquids" or "NGLs" include
pentane, butane, propane and ethane. References to "gas" or
"natural gas" relates to conventional natural gas. References to
"liquids" includes crude oil, condensate and NGLs.
Share Capital
Common shares of Logan trade on the TSXV under the symbol
"LGN".
As of the date hereof, there are 534.0 million Common
Shares outstanding. Pro forma completion of the Equity Offering,
there will be 582.0 million Common Shares outstanding. There are no
preferred shares or special shares outstanding. Logan's convertible
securities outstanding as of the date of this press release
include: 64.3 million Common Share purchase warrants with an
exercise price of $0.35 per
share expiring July 12, 2028; and
22.6 million stock options with an exercise price of
$0.89 per share expiring November 22, 2028.
Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements
Certain statements contained within this press release
constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
applicable Canadian securities legislation. All statements other
than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always,
identified by the use of words such as "anticipate", "budget",
"plan", "endeavor", "continue", "estimate", "evaluate", "expect",
"forecast", "monitor", "may", "will", "can", "able", "potential",
"target", "intend", "consider", "focus", "identify", "use",
"utilize", "manage", "maintain", "remain", "result", "cultivate",
"could", "should", "believe" and similar expressions. Logan
believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking
statements are reasonable as of the date hereof, but no assurance
can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct and
such forward-looking statements should not be unduly relied upon.
Without limitation, this press release contains forward-looking
statements pertaining to: the completion of the Equity Offering and
the Acquisition and the terms and timing thereof (including the use
of proceeds from the Equity Offering);
satisfaction or waiver of the closing
conditions to the Equity Offering and the Acquisition; receipt
of required regulatory and stock exchange approvals for the
completion of the Equity Offering; insider participation in the
Equity Offering; anticipated benefits of the Acquisition, including
the impact of the Acquisition and the Acquired Interest on the
Company's operations, reserves, inventory and opportunities,
financial condition, realized pricing, access to capital and
overall strategy; Logan's revised 2024 and 2025 guidance and
capital budgets, including drilling programs and infrastructure
development and the timing and anticipated results thereof;
anticipated revenue, capital and operating cost synergies resulting
from the Acquisition; the Company's opportunity rich assets;
management's track record of generating excess returns in various
business cycles; success of the Company's drilling program based on
initial results; future drilling plans; EUR; risk management
activities, including hedging; continuing to advance key
infrastructure projects; forecast production for the remainder of
2024 and 2025; and the expectation that per unit operating expenses
will decrease with production growth.
The forward-looking statements and information are based on
certain key expectations and assumptions made in respect of Logan
including expectations and assumptions concerning: the receipt of
all approvals and satisfaction of all conditions to the
completion of the Equity Offering and the Acquisition; the business
plan of Logan; the timing of and success of future drilling;
development and completion activities and infrastructure projects;
the performance of existing wells; the performance of new wells;
the availability and performance of facilities and pipelines; the
geological characteristics of Logan's properties; the successful
integration of the recently acquired assets into Logan's
operations; the successful application of drilling, completion and
seismic technology; prevailing weather conditions; prevailing
legislation affecting the oil and gas industry; prevailing
commodity prices, price volatility, price differentials and the
actual prices received for Logan's products; impact of inflation on
costs; royalty regimes and exchange rates; the application of
regulatory and licensing requirements; the availability of capital
(including under the Equity Offering and the Company's credit
facilities), labour and services; the creditworthiness of industry
partners; and the ability to source and complete acquisitions.
Although Logan believes that the expectations and assumptions on
which such forward-looking statements and information are based are
reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the
forward-looking statements and information because Logan can give
no assurance that they will prove to be correct. By its nature,
such forward-looking information is subject to various risks and
uncertainties, which could cause the actual results and
expectations to differ materially from the anticipated results or
expectations expressed. These risks and uncertainties include, but
are not limited to: counterparty risk to closing the
Equity Offering and the Acquisition; fluctuations in commodity
prices; changes in industry regulations and political landscape
both domestically and abroad; wars, hostilities, civil
insurrections; changes in legislation, including but not limited to
tax laws, royalties and environmental regulations (including
greenhouse gas emission reduction requirements and other
decarbonization or social policies and including uncertainty with
respect to the interpretation of omnibus Bill C-59 and the
related amendments to the Competition Act (Canada)); foreign exchange or interest rates;
increased operating and capital costs due to inflationary pressures
(actual and anticipated); volatility in the stock market and
financial system; impacts of pandemics; the retention of key
management and employees; and risks with respect to unplanned
pipeline outages and risks relating to inclement and severe weather
events and natural disasters, such as fire, drought, flooding and
extreme hot or cold temperatures, including in respect of safety,
asset integrity and shutting-in production. Ongoing military
actions in the Middle East and
between Russia and Ukraine and related sanctions have the
potential to threaten the supply of oil and gas from those regions.
The long-term impacts of these actions remains uncertain. The
foregoing list is not exhaustive. Please refer to the MD&A and
AIF for discussion of additional risk factors relating to Logan,
which can be accessed on its SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on this
forward-looking information, which is given as of the date hereof,
and to not use such forward-looking information for anything other
than its intended purpose. Logan undertakes no obligation to update
publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as
required by law.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about Logan's five year growth plan, Logan's revised
pro forma budget and guidance for 2024 and 2025, including with
respect to prospective results of operations, production (including
average production of 8,400 BOE/d during 2024, 13,650 BOE/d in 2025
and growing to between 24,000 and 27,000 BOE/d by 2028) and
operating costs (including reducing its operating expenses to below
$8.00 per BOE by 2027), including pro
forma the completion of the Equity Offering and the
Acquisition, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk
factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the above
paragraphs. FOFI contained in this document was approved by
management as of the date of this document and was provided for the
purpose of providing further information about Logan's proposed
business activities in the remainder of 2024 and 2025. Logan and
its management believe that FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable
basis, reflecting management's best estimates and judgments, and
represent, to the best of management's knowledge and opinion, the
Company's expected course of action. However, because this
information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Logan disclaims any
intention or obligation to update or revise any FOFI contained in
this document, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable law.
Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this document
should not be used for purposes other than for which it is
disclosed herein. Changes in forecast commodity prices, exchange
rates, differences in the timing of capital expenditures, and
variances in average production estimates can have a significant
impact on the key performance measures included in Logan's
guidance. The Company's actual results may differ materially from
these estimates.
This press release is not an offer of the securities for
sale in the United States. The
securities offered have not been, and will not be, registered under
the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "U.S.
Securities Act")) or any U.S. state securities laws and may not be
offered or sold in the United
States absent registration or an available exemption from
the registration requirement of the U.S. Securities Act and
applicable U.S. state securities laws. This press release shall not
constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy,
nor shall there be any sale of these securities, in any
jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be
unlawful.
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its regulation services
provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX
Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this news release.
Abbreviations
2024E
|
Forecast for the year
ending December 31, 2024
|
2025E
|
Forecast for the year
ending December 31, 2025
|
A&D
|
acquisitions and
dispositions
|
AECO
|
Alberta Energy Company
"C" Meter Station of the NOVA Pipeline System
|
AIF
|
refers to the Company's
Annual Information Form dated March 18, 2024
|
bbl
|
barrel
|
bbls/d
|
barrels per
day
|
bcf
|
one billion cubic
feet
|
BOE
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
BOE/d
|
barrels of oil
equivalent per day
|
CA$ or CAD
|
Canadian
dollar
|
DCET
|
drilling, completion,
equipping and tie-in capital expenditures
|
DUC
|
drilled, uncompleted
well
|
EUR
|
estimated ultimate
recovery
|
GJ
|
gigajoule
|
H2
|
second half of the year
or six month period ending December 31
|
Mbbl
|
one thousand
barrels
|
MBOE
|
one thousand barrels of
oil equivalent
|
mcf
|
one thousand cubic
feet
|
mcf/d
|
one thousand cubic feet
per day
|
MD&A
|
refers to Management's
Discussion and Analysis of the Company dated November 13,
2024
|
MMbtu
|
one million British
thermal units
|
mmcf
|
one million cubic
feet
|
mmcf/d
|
one million cubic feet
per day
|
MM
|
millions
|
$MM
|
millions of
dollars
|
MPa
|
megapascal unit of
pressure
|
NGL(s)
|
natural gas
liquids
|
NPV
|
net present
value
|
NI 51-101
|
National Instrument
51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities
|
nm
|
"not meaningful",
generally with reference to a percentage change
|
NYMEX
|
New York Mercantile
Exchange, with reference to the U.S. dollar "Henry Hub" natural gas
price index
|
PDP
|
proved developed
producing reserves
|
TP
|
total proved
reserves
|
TPP
|
total proved plus
probable reserves
|
TSXV
|
TSX Venture
Exchange
|
US$ or USD
|
United States
dollar
|
WTI
|
West Texas
Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at Cushing,
Oklahoma for crude oil of standard grade
|
SOURCE Logan Energy Corp.