Igor Kuchma

Common sense suggests that financial markets reflect the state of the economy: when things are going well, assets should soar, and vice versa; when downturns are on the horizon, risk appetite should fall, as well as the EUR/USD pair. If this were true, we could easily predict how markets will move and how to make […]

In the lead-up to the FOMC meeting, most analysts expected the Fed to take its time and start by lowering rates by 25 basis points. However, the regulator surprised with a more aggressive cut. Usually, such a move would indicate growing economic problems, increasing the risk of a recession or even a financial crisis. However, […]

At the end of last week, market expectations unexpectedly changed: investors now expect the Fed to cut the Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points instead of the usual 25, which triggered demand for risky assets. To be more precise, the S&P 500 finished the week growing 3.4%, the Nasdaq more than 5%, and gold […]

The situation in the Middle East does not seem to be easing, and the Federal Reserve is on track to lower interest rates. It seems that everything points to the dollar continuing to lose ground. Some even argue that increased trade agreements between some countries in their local currencies will further weaken the U.S. dollar […]

August may not have started very well, but it ended on a high note: Stoxx 600, DAX, and Dow Jones reached record highs just before the expected Fed rate cut. Macroeconomic data, such as the upward revision of second-quarter GDP, suggesting that the economy remains robust with little risk of recession, boosted the upbeat mood. […]

Recent developments suggest that the Federal Reserve may finally tighten its monetary policy, translating into a rate cut in September. The main question now is how big the regulator’s move will be. What is the reason for this expectation? First, the July FOMC meeting minutes showed that most members believed that if the data stayed […]

Looking at last week’s market close, it is hard to believe that everyone was talking about an impending recession and imminent collapse at the beginning of the month. A couple of positive macro reports were all it took for optimism to pick up: the three major US indices – the Nasdaq Composite, the Dow Jones, […]

The recent sell-off of Apple stock by Berkshire Hathaway has sparked much debate on the Internet, and many, thanks to media outrage, see it as a sign that the market bubble may be bursting. Some have even linked it to the recent plunge in the U.S. indices, including the S&P 500. The thing to keep […]

The week has started on a negative note: the Korean KOSPI is down almost 9%, the Turkish BIST100 is down 7% before halting trading, and the Japanese Nikkei has plunged 12.4%. The turbulence is not due to Mercury retrograde or a new escalation in the Middle East that could lead to a major conflict. However, […]

Following the adage “Even a broken clock is right twice a day,” financial market gurus continually entertain readers with their predictions. Lately, the focus has been on three key questions: When will the stock market finally crash? When will BTC/USD soar above $1 million per coin? When will the US dollar fade into oblivion?   […]