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MJ Gleeson Lowers Profit Expectations Amid Housing Market Headwinds

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MJ Gleeson plc (LSE:GLE) has revised its outlook downward, citing persistent challenges in the housing market that have outweighed early signs of recovery. Gleeson Homes has been particularly affected by rising construction costs and stagnant selling prices, resulting in an estimated 1% reduction in gross margin. Additionally, a planned land sale in East Yorkshire will no longer proceed, contributing to an expected operating profit shortfall of 15% to 20% compared to prior forecasts. The company also anticipates that ongoing planning delays will impact operations well into FY2026, with continued margin pressures.

Despite the difficulties faced by Gleeson Homes, the Gleeson Land division has finalized three land sales and is working on seven more, which are expected to close by the end of the year.

Outlook and Market Dynamics

MJ Gleeson maintains a healthy balance sheet with low debt and strong equity, underpinning its financial resilience. However, the company faces headwinds in revenue consistency and cash flow generation. Technical indicators point to potential market softness, although the stock’s reasonable valuation and dividend yield help offset some investor concerns. Recent corporate activities provide modest strategic support but have limited influence on the overall outlook.

About MJ Gleeson plc

MJ Gleeson plc operates through two primary business units: Gleeson Homes and Gleeson Land. Gleeson Homes focuses on delivering affordable homes across the Midlands and North of England, targeting regions with acute housing needs. Gleeson Land operates in the South of England, specializing in land promotion by securing residential planning permissions to unlock development potential.

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