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Caledonian Trust – doing well

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I first bought into Caledonian Trust (LSE:CNN), a Scottish property developer, in July 2013 at 70p after valuing the company at much more than its market capitalisation (£7.7m).  My reasoning focused on the fact that the balance sheet failed to reflect the true market value of its properties.  This was because most of the building sites were carried at cost, failing to allow for value uplifts due to gaining planning permission.  Since then more planning permissions have been granted.  Now, Mr Market seems to recognising some of the hidden value and the shares are trading at 180p – 195p (market capitalisation £21m – £23m).

The quirks of accounting practice, and thus the phenomenon of hidden value, was amply demonstrated by this week’s announcement that just one of its properties is to be sold for £15m.  It was carried in the books at £5m.

(Previous Newsletters on Caledonian: 6th – 12th January 2015, 4th – 6th January 2016, 1 Feb 2016, 9th – 11th January 2017, 30th January 2017, 26th April 2017)

A recap

Caledonian was bought as a net current asset investment in 2013 based on the following:

  • The balance sheet showed investment properties (long term lets) of £8.1m, and a portfolio of properties (something like two dozen sites) described as for ‘trading’ (balance value £11.6m). The later were, and are, valued at the lower of cost or net realisable value – not open market value.
  • Total liabilities were £3.2m. There were a few small items, leaving NAV at £16.9m and net current asset value at £8.8m (this on the strictest approach to NCAV – if instead we count all property held by this company as current assets then NCAV moves close to NAV) .
  • The very experienced managers had spent the previous seven years intelligently adding value to the sites, rather than actually building on them and trying to flog the houses/offices during the Scottish property recession.
  • Going through each development site separately, noting that the majority had good planning consent, I concluded that true NCAV was much greater than shown in the balance sheet.

The 2015 valuation

By January 2015 the shares had almost doubled to 134p, givi

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