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Haynes Publishing – Return on capital used

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Haynes (LSE:HYNS) uses a lot of shareholders money and we need to assess whether that money generates a good rate of return.  There are different ways of measuring the money tied up in the business, ranging from “net assets” to “capital employed” defined as average total assets less current liabilities.  Haynes’ directors regard the latter to be the most suitable measure.  They divide “adjusted operating profit” by total assets less current liabilities. This is one of their key performance indicators. The results for the last five years are not pretty – their unsightliness is something I prompted the directors at the AGM last week to acknowledge.

Haynes’ calculation of their Return on Average Capital Employed

2014 9.0
2015 6.3
2016 5.6
2017 7.1
2018 7.4

In 2018 adjusted operating profit was £3.5m, total assets (averaged over the year) were £59.6m, and current liabilities (averaged) were £12.2m, therefore ROACE = £3.5m/£47.4m = 7.4%.

A plethora of returns

Any measure of return on capital can be criticised.  In the case of the metric used by Haynes you might object to ignoring all non-current liabilities.  If they were deducted then the capital number falls to £23m and the return looks respectable at £3.5m/£23m = 15.2%.

(Note that £18m of non-current liabilities is pension fund deficit – should this be deducted? Doesn’t the deficit move all over the place from one year to another, so if it was deducted we get a return on capital figure that jumps around dependent on actuarial assumptions? Is that fair? The deficit may simply disappear when interest rates rise.)

Then you might object to the use of an “adjusted” number in the numerator – should we use the warts’n all statutory reported number instead? I suppose much depends on which number most represents the underlying performance.

And shouldn’t you use profits after deducting taxation and after allowing for finance income/costs, i.e. after-tax profit rather than operating profit?  After all, shareholders are interested in what is attributable to them after the taxman has taken his cut.

So, working out a universally acceptable measure of return on capital is far from easy – impossible even, in most companies. But we have to do something to gain perspective on the managers’ use of money entrusted to them; and we have to have some evidence from the past when we are trying to think through likely future returns.

A year ago I agonised over this subject and wrote some newsletters setting out the complexities (see those posted 8th to 14th November 2017).  Out of that work I developed my own method.

I follow Warren Buffett in being interested in profit after tax has been deducted. I also add back to profit the amount deducted for amortisation of accounting goodwill. As Buffett says, “One reality is that the amortization charges that have been deducted as costs in the earnings statement each year since acquisition….were not true economic costs”.

And if you want to evaluate managers’ efficiency regarding an investment then the shareholders’ money they used to pay for an acquisition, including all the accounting goodwill already deducted should be added back to the capital figure.  Buffett commented on this,

“In evaluating the wisdom of business acquisitions, amortization charges should be ignored….They should be deducted neither from earnings nor from the cost of the business. This means forever viewing purchased Goodwill at its full cost, before any amortization.”

Return on net tangible asset value, RONTA

£’000s  Year end May   2018   2017   2016   2015
INCOME STATEMENT
Profit after tax 1,494 1,374 -1,779 -8,037
Amortisation charge this year for accounting goodwill following acquisitions
Exceptional items distorting profits (positive or negative) 504 50 2,929 9,671
Profit for shareholders 1,998 1,424 1,150 1,634
CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
Inventories 3,084 3,965 4,614 4,649
Receivables 8,484 7,806 7,499 7,929
Cash needed for operations (assumed) 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
Other current assets 124 130 926 0
Payables -9,813 -7,674 -5,188 -4,376
Short-term debt -2,276 -3,331 -2,163 -2,827
Other current liabilities -332 0 0 -444
Working capital for operations 271 1,896 6,688 5,931
Surplus cash (assumed) 3,809 6,036 1,548 1,968
NON-CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
Property, Plant and Equipment 1,525 4,011 8,434 9,027
Goodwill in BS 3,374 3,109 2,883 2,883
Previously written-off acquired goodwill – add back 171 171 0 6,425
Other acquired intangible assets in BS 8,577 4,187 3,683 3,456
Previously written-off other acquired intangibles – add back 3,842 3,842 3,411 2,680
Long-term debt 0 0 0 0
Other non-current liabilities 0 0 0 0
Net non-current assets for operations 17,489 15,320 18,411 24,471
OTHER ITEMS TO CONSIDER
Defined benefit pension deficit 18,712 23,024 15,101 14,348
Internally generated intangible assets capitalised to BS 21,293 20,400 15,815 13,826
Investments (in shares, bonds, etc.) 0  0 0 0
Operating lease non-cancellable commitments 2,448 719 572 504
Preference share capital 0 0 0 0
Minority interests in profit 0 0 0 0
Minority interests in net assets 0 0 0 0
£’000s  Year end May 2014   2013   2012   2011
INCOME STATEMENT
Profit after tax 1,136 2,476 3,225
Amortisation charge this year for accounting goodwill following acquisitions
Exceptional items distorting profits (positive or negative) 1,701 0 0
Profit for shareholders 2,837 2,476 3,225
CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
Inventories 4,877 13,335 13,376 13,255
Receivables 9,347 8,018 8,759 10,319
4,383
NON-CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES

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