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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Thursday 16 June 2016

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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UK ILO unemployment rate slid unexpectedly in the February-April 2016 period

In the February-April 2016 period, the ILO unemployment rate in the UK recorded an unexpected drop to 5.00%, lower than market expectations of an unchanged reading. In the January-March 2016 period, the ILO unemployment rate reported a rate of 5.10%.

UK average earnings including bonus rose more than expected in the February-April 2016 period

In the UK, the average earnings including bonus climbed 2.00% in the February-April 2016 period on a YoY basis, compared to a similar rise in the January-March 2016 period. Market expectation was for the average earnings including bonus to climb 1.70%.

Employment in the UK climbed in the February-April 2016 period

In the UK, employment registered a rise of 55.00 K in the February-April 2016 period, compared to market anticipations of an advance of 60.00 K. Employment had registered an increase of 44.00 K in the January-March 2016 period.

UK claimant count rate steadied in May

In the UK, the claimant count rate remained flat at 2.20% in May, compared to market expectations of a fall to 2.10%.

UK average earnings excluding bonus advanced more than expected in the February-April 2016 period

On an annual basis, in the February-April 2016 period, the average earnings excluding bonus advanced 2.30% in the UK, more than market expectations for an advance of 2.00%. In the January-March 2016 period, the average earnings excluding bonus had registered a revised rise of 2.20%.

Number of unemployment benefits claimants in the UK surprisingly eased in May

Number of unemployment benefits claimants in the UK dropped unexpectedly by 0.40 K in May, more than market expectations of a decline of 0.00 K. Number of unemployment benefits claimants had registered a revised increase of 6.40 K in the previous month.

Euro-zone trade surplus narrowed in April

The non-seasonally adjusted trade surplus in the Euro-zone narrowed to €27.50 billion in April, compared to a trade surplus of €28.60 billion in the previous month. Markets were anticipating the region’s a trade surplus to narrow to €26.00 billion.

Euro-zone trade surplus expanded in April

The seasonally adjusted trade surplus in the Euro-zone widened to €28.00 billion in April, compared to market expectations of a trade surplus of €21.50 billion. The Euro-zone had registered a revised trade surplus of €23.70 billion in the prior month.

French CPI (ex-tobacco) rose as expected in May

The final consumer price index (ex-tobacco) in France rose 0.40% on a MoM basis in May, compared to an advance of 0.10% in the prior month. Market expectation was for the CPI (ex-tobacco) to rise 0.40%. The preliminary figures had also recorded an advance of 0.40%.

French EU normalised CPI rose more than expected in May

On a MoM basis, the final EU normalised CPI advanced 0.50% in May, in France, higher than market expectations for an advance of 0.30%. The preliminary figures had recorded a rise of 0.30%. In the previous month, EU normalised CPI had risen 0.10%.

Fed left interest rate unchanged; no hint on timing of next hike

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) unanimously voted to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged, in light of an uncertain job market. The US Fed signaled to raise rates twice in 2016, but did not mention about when its next rate hike might occur. Further, the Fed Chairwoman, Janet Yellen, indicated that Britain’s June 23 referendum decision would pose consequences for economic and financial conditions in global financial markets. The central bank also stated that the economy would grow only 2% this year and in 2017, 0.1 percentage point lower than previously forecasted for each year.

US producer price (ex-food & energy) rose more than expected in May

On an annual basis in May, producer price (ex-food & energy) recorded a rise of 1.20% in the US, compared to a rise of 0.90% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for producer price (ex-food & energy) to advance 1.00%.

US capacity utilisation recorded a decline in May

Compared to a revised reading of 75.30% in the previous month capacity utilisation registered a drop to 74.90% in May, in the US. Market expectation was for capacity utilisation to ease to a level of 75.20%.

US producer price (ex-food & energy) advanced more than expected in May

On a monthly basis, in May, producer price (ex-food & energy) advanced 0.30% in the US, higher than market expectations for an advance of 0.10%. In the prior month, producer price (ex-food & energy) had registered a rise of 0.10%.

US industrial production fell more than expected in May

In May, on a monthly basis, industrial production dropped 0.40% in the US, compared to a revised advance of 0.60% in the previous month. Markets were anticipating industrial production to fall 0.20%.

US total net TIC flows climbed in April

In the US, total net TIC flows advanced to $80.40 billion in April. Total net TIC flows had recorded a revised reading of $98.10 billion in the previous month.

US manufacturing production declined more than expected in May

In May, on a monthly basis, manufacturing production dropped 0.40% in the US, higher than market expectations for a fall of 0.10%. In the previous month, manufacturing production had advanced by a revised 0.20%.

US net treasury international capital (TIC) long term purchases dropped in April

Net treasury international capital (TIC) long term purchases eased to $79.60 billion in April, in the US. Net treasury international capital (TIC) long term purchases had recorded a reading of $78.10 billion in the prior month.

US producer price advanced more than expected in May

Producer price in the US climbed 0.40% in May on a monthly basis, compared to an advance of 0.20% in the previous month. Market expectation was for producer price to climb 0.30%.

US mortgage applications slid in the last week

Mortgage applications recorded a drop of 2.40% in the US on a weekly basis, in the week ended 10 June 2016. Mortgage applications had recorded a rise of 9.30% in the prior week.

US NY Empire State manufacturing index advanced in June

In the US, the NY Empire State manufacturing index rose to a level of 6.01 in June, compared to a reading of -9.02 in the previous month. Markets were expecting the NY Empire State manufacturing index to advance to -4.25.

US producer price fell as expected in May

In May, producer price slid 0.10% in the US on an annual basis, compared to a flat reading in the previous month. Markets were expecting producer price to fall 0.10%.

Canadian manufacturing shipments advanced more than expected in April

Manufacturing shipments in Canada advanced 1.00% in April on a MoM basis, compared to a fall of 0.90% in the previous month. Market expectation was for manufacturing shipments to climb 0.60%.

Canadian existing home sales registered a drop in May

On a monthly basis, existing home sales slid 2.80% in Canada, in May. Existing home sales had climbed 3.10% in the previous month.

BoJ kept benchmark interest rate unchanged

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) held the key interest rate at -0.10% and maintained its massive stimulus programme intact at ¥80 trillion, as the policymakers opted to continue to gauge the economic impact of their negative-rate policy.

Foreign investors turned net buyers of Japanese stocks in the previous week

Foreign investors turned net buyers of ¥128.30 billion worth of Japanese stocks in the week ended 10 June 2016, from being net sellers of a revised ¥97.50 billion worth of Japanese stocks in the previous week.

Japanese investors remained net buyers of foreign bonds in the previous week

Japanese investors remained net buyers of ¥867.80 billion worth of foreign bonds in the week ended 10 June 2016, from being net buyers of a revised ¥894.00 billion worth of foreign bonds in the previous week.

Japanese investors remained net buyers of foreign stocks in the previous week

Japanese investors remained net buyers of ¥129.60 billion worth of foreign stocks in the week ended 10 June 2016, from being net buyers of ¥35.20 billion worth of foreign stocks in the prior week.

Japanese machine tool orders dropped in May

The final machine tool orders in Japan registered a drop of 24.70% in May, on a YoY basis. In the previous month, machine tool orders had registered a drop of 26.30%. The preliminary figures had recorded a drop of 25.00%.

Foreign investors became net buyers of Japanese bonds in the previous week

Foreign investors were net buyers of ¥764.30 billion worth of Japanese bonds in the week ended 10 June 2016, as compared to being net buyers of ¥611.00 billion worth of Japanese bonds in the previous week.

Japanese Tokyo condominium sales fell in May

Tokyo condominium sales in Japan registered a drop of 14.10% on an annual basis, in May. Tokyo condominium sales had registered a drop of 13.50% in the previous month.

Chinese aggregate financing declined surprisingly in May

In May, aggregate financing eased unexpectedly to CNY 659.90 billion in China, compared to market expectations of a rise to a level of CNY 1000.00 billion. Aggregate financing had registered a level of CNY 751.00 billion in the previous month.

Chinese M0 money supply rose more than expected in May

M0 money supply in China recorded a rise of 6.30% on a YoY basis in May, higher than market expectations for an advance of 5.60%. In the previous month, M0 money supply had climbed 6.00%.

Chinese new Yuan loans rose in May

In May, new Yuan loans rose to a level of CNY 985.50 billion in China, higher than market expectations of a rise to a level of CNY 750.00 billion. In the previous month, new Yuan loans had registered a level of CNY 555.60 billion.

Chinese M2 money supply advanced less than expected in May

On a YoY basis, M2 money supply in China recorded a rise of 11.80% in May, lower than market expectations for a rise of 12.50%. In the previous month, M2 money supply had advanced 12.80%.

Chinese M1 money supply advanced more than expected in May

In China, M1 money supply climbed 23.70% on an annual basis in May, compared to an advance of 22.90% in the previous month. Markets were expecting M1 money supply to rise 21.90%.

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