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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Wednesday 15 February 2017

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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UK retail price index rose less than expected in January

On a YoY basis in the UK, the retail price index advanced 2.60% in January, less than market expectations for a rise of 2.80%. The retail price index had advanced 2.50% in the prior month.

UK core CPI rose less than expected in January

The core consumer price index (CPI) climbed 1.60% on an annual basis in the UK, in January, compared to a similar rise in the previous month. Market expectation was for the core CPI to climb 1.70%.

UK CPI rose less than expected in January

In the UK, the CPI advanced 1.80% on a YoY basis in January, compared to a rise of 1.60% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for the CPI to advance 1.90%.

UK CPI dropped as expected in January

In January, on a MoM basis, the CPI registered a drop of 0.50% in the UK, compared to an advance of 0.50% in the prior month. Markets were anticipating the CPI to drop 0.50%.

UK retail price index ex-mort int. payments rose less than expected in January

On a YoY basis, in January, the retail price index ex-mort int. payments climbed 2.90% in the UK, less than market expectations for an advance of 3.10%. The retail price index ex-mort int. payments had recorded a rise of 2.70% in the previous month.

UK output PPI rose more than expected in January

The non-seasonally adjusted output producer price index (PPI) in the UK registered a rise of 3.50% on an annual basis in January, higher than market expectations for a rise of 3.20%. Output PPI had climbed by a revised 2.80% in the previous month.

UK input PPI advanced more than expected in January

On an annual basis, the non-seasonally adjusted input PPI recorded a rise of 20.50% in January, in the UK, more than market expectations for an advance of 18.50%. In the prior month, input PPI had advanced by a revised 17.00%.

UK PPI core output rose more than expected in January

In January, the non-seasonally adjusted PPI core output recorded a rise of 2.40% in the UK on an annual basis, compared to an advance of 2.10% in the prior month. Markets were expecting PPI core output to rise 2.20%.

UK input PPI rose more than expected in January

In January, the non-seasonally adjusted input PPI climbed 1.70% in the UK on a monthly basis, more than market expectations for an advance of 1.00%. In the previous month, input PPI had advanced by a revised 2.70%.

UK output PPI advanced more than expected in January

The non-seasonally adjusted output PPI in the UK rose 0.50% on a MoM basis in January, compared to a revised unchanged reading in the prior month. Market expectation was for output PPI to advance 0.30%.

UK house price index rose more than expected in December

In December, the house price index in the UK advanced 7.20% on an annual basis, compared to a revised advance of 6.10% in the previous month. Markets were expecting the house price index to climb 6.50%.

UK retail price index declined in January

In January, the retail price index fell 0.60%, on MoM basis, to a level of 265.50 in the UK, compared to market expectations of 266.20. In the previous month, the retail price index had recorded a reading of 267.10.

Euro-zone economic sentiment index eased in February

In February, the economic sentiment index in the Euro-zone eased to 17.10. The economic sentiment index had registered a reading of 23.20 in the prior month.

Euro-zone GDP advanced less than expected in 4Q 2016

In the Euro-zone, the seasonally adjusted second estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.40% on a quarterly basis in 4Q 2016, compared to a revised similar rise in the prior quarter. Markets were expecting GDP to climb 0.50%. The preliminary figures had indicated a rise of 0.50%.

Euro-zone GDP advanced less than expected in 4Q 2016

In 4Q 2016, on an annual basis, the seasonally adjusted second estimate of GDP recorded a rise of 1.70% in the Euro-zone, less than market expectations for an advance of 1.80%. The preliminary figures had recorded an advance of 1.80%. In the previous quarter, GDP had registered a revised rise of 1.80%.

Euro-zone industrial production dropped more than expected in December

On a MoM basis, the seasonally adjusted industrial production registered a drop of 1.60% in the Euro-zone, in December, compared to a revised rise of 1.50% in the prior month. Markets were expecting industrial production to ease 1.50%.

German CPI advanced as expected in January

The final CPI in Germany advanced 1.90% in January on an annual basis, in line with market expectations. The preliminary figures had also recorded a rise of 1.90%. The CPI had recorded a rise of 1.70% in the prior month.

German GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

On a quarterly basis, in 4Q 2016, the seasonally adjusted flash GDP recorded a rise of 0.40% in Germany, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.50%. GDP had climbed 0.20% in the prior quarter.

German HICP advanced as expected in January

The final harmonised consumer price index (HICP) advanced 1.90% on a YoY basis in January, in Germany, meeting market expectations. The preliminary figures had also recorded a rise of 1.90%. The HICP had registered a rise of 1.70% in the prior month.

German economic sentiment index slid in February

In February, the economic sentiment index registered a drop to 10.40 in Germany, lower than market expectations of a fall to 15.00. In the previous month, the economic sentiment index had registered a level of 16.60.

German current situation index dropped in February

The current situation index eased to 76.40 in February, in Germany, compared to market expectations of a drop to 77.00. In the previous month, the current situation index had registered a level of 77.30.

German CPI fell as expected in January

In January, the final CPI recorded a drop of 0.60% on a MoM basis in Germany, in line with market expectations. In the prior month, the CPI had risen 0.70%. The preliminary figures had also recorded a drop of 0.60%.

German GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

On a YoY basis, the working day adjusted flash GDP advanced 1.70% in Germany, in 4Q 2016, compared to a similar rise in the previous quarter. Market anticipation was for GDP to rise 1.80%.

German HICP declined as expected in January

On a MoM basis, the final HICP dropped 0.80% in Germany, compared to a rise of 1.00% in the previous month. Markets were anticipating the HICP to ease 0.80%. The preliminary figures had also indicated a drop of 0.80%.

German GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

The non-seasonally adjusted preliminary gross domestic product GDP recorded a rise of 1.20% on an annual basis in 4Q 2016, in Germany, lower than market expectations for an advance of 1.40%. In the prior quarter, GDP had recorded a rise of 1.50%.

Italian GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

On a QoQ basis in Italy, the preliminary GDP recorded a rise of 0.20% in 4Q 2016, compared to an advance of 0.30% in the previous quarter. Markets were expecting the GDP to rise 0.30%.

Swiss EU HICP dropped in January

In Switzerland, the EU HICP recorded a drop of 0.20% in January on a monthly basis. In the prior month, the EU HICP had dropped 0.10%.

Swiss EU HICP advanced in January

On a YoY basis, the EU HICP climbed 0.30% in Switzerland, in January. In the prior month, the EU HICP had dropped 0.20%.

Swiss CPI remained unchanged in January

In Switzerland, the CPI remained steady in January, on a MoM basis, more than market expectations for a fall of 0.10%. In the prior month, the CPI had recorded a drop of 0.10%.

Swiss CPI rose as expected in January

The CPI rose 0.30% in Switzerland on a YoY basis in January, compared to a flat reading in the previous month. Markets were anticipating the CPI to rise 0.30%.

Swiss producer and import price index rose more than expected in January

In January, the producer and import price index advanced 0.40% on a MoM basis in Switzerland, higher than market expectations for a rise of 0.20%. The producer and import price index had risen 0.20% in the prior month.

Swiss producer and import price index rose more than expected in January

On an annual basis, the producer and import price index climbed 0.80% in January, in Switzerland, higher than market expectations for an advance of 0.50%. In the prior month, the producer and import price index had registered a flat reading.

Yellen sounded a hawkish tone on US interest rates

Fed Chief Janet Yellen, in a semiannual monetary policy report to the Senate Banking Committee, cautioned that delaying further interest rate hikes would be “unwise” in the wake of rising economic growth and inflation.

Fed’s Lockhart said no urgency to hike rates

Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart was of the view that the central bank should not rush to raise interest rates and instead evaluate how the new Trump administration’s policies may affect the economy.

US producer price (ex-food & energy) advanced more than expected in January

On an annual basis in the US, producer price (ex-food & energy) recorded a rise of 1.20% in January, higher than market expectations for an advance of 1.10%. Producer price (ex-food & energy) had risen 1.60% in the previous month.

US producer price advanced more than expected in January

In January, on a monthly basis, producer price rose 0.60% in the US, higher than market expectations for an advance of 0.30%. Producer price had climbed by a revised 0.20% in the previous month.

US Redbook index advanced in the last week

The Redbook index in the US climbed 0.90% on a YoY basis, in the week ended 10 February 2017. The Redbook index had risen 0.70% in the previous week.

US producer price (ex-food & energy) advanced more than expected in January

In January, on a MoM basis, producer price (ex-food & energy) in the US climbed 0.40%, compared to a revised advance of 0.10% in the prior month. Market expectation was for producer price (ex-food & energy) to rise 0.20%.

US producer price advanced more than expected in January

In January, on a YoY basis, producer price rose 1.60% in the US, compared to a similar rise in the prior month. Market expectation was for producer price to rise 1.50%.

US small business optimism index climbed unexpectedly in January

In January, the small business optimism index advanced unexpectedly to a level of 105.90 in the US, compared to market expectations of a drop to a level of 105.00. In the prior month, the small business optimism index had recorded a reading of 105.80.

US Redbook index climbed in the last week

The seasonally adjusted Redbook index climbed 0.40% on a monthly basis in the US, in the week ended 10 February 2017. The Redbook index had climbed 0.30% in the previous week.

Canadian house price index advanced in January

On a MoM basis, the house price index advanced 0.47% in January, in Canada. The house price index had registered a rise of 0.30% in the prior month.

Japanese industrial production climbed in December

On a YoY basis, the final industrial production climbed 3.20% in Japan, in December. In the prior month, industrial production had advanced 4.60%. The preliminary figures had indicated a rise of 3.00%.

Japanese capacity utilisation rose in December

In Japan, capacity utilisation registered a rise of 0.60% in December on a MoM basis. In the prior month, capacity utilisation had recorded a rise of 3.00%.

Japanese industrial production advanced in December

In December, on a MoM basis, the final industrial production climbed 0.70% in Japan. Industrial production had registered a rise of 1.50% in the previous month. The preliminary figures had indicated a rise of 0.50%.

Chinese new Yuan loans climbed in January

New Yuan loans in China rose to a level of CNY 2030.00 billion in January, compared to a revised level of CNY 1040.00 billion in the previous month. Market anticipation was for new Yuan loans to advance to CNY 2440.00 billion.

Chinese M2 money supply rose as expected in January

In January, M2 money supply rose 11.30% in China, on a YoY basis, at par with market expectations. M2 money supply had registered a similar rise in the previous month.

Chinese M0 money supply rose more than expected in January

In January, M0 money supply in China advanced 19.40% on a YoY basis, compared to an advance of 8.10% in the previous month. Markets were anticipating M0 money supply to rise 8.90%.

Chinese aggregate financing advanced in January

In January, aggregate financing in China rose to a level of CNY 3740.00 billion, higher than market expectations of an advance to a level of CNY 3000.00 billion. In the previous month, aggregate financing had registered a revised reading of CNY 1626.00 billion.

Chinese M1 money supply rose less than expected in January

M1 money supply rose 14.50% in China, on a YoY basis in January, lower than market expectations for a rise of 20.20%. In the prior month, M1 money supply had recorded a rise of 21.40%.

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