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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Wednesday 10 October 2018

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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IMF cuts global growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its quarterly update on world economic outlook, slashed its global economic growth forecasts to 3.7% from 3.9% for both, 2018 and 2019, due to escalating trade tensions and pressures in emerging markets, amid US-China trade war.

IMF left growth forecasts for the US and China unchanged at 2.9% and 6.6% respectively, for the current year, but trimmed its 2019 growth forecast of the US and China to 2.5% and 6.2%, respectively.

German trade surplus widened in August

In August, the seasonally adjusted trade surplus in Germany rose to €17.20 billion, following a trade surplus of €16.50 billion in the prior month. Markets were anticipating the nation’s surplus to drop to €16.20 billion.

German exports unexpectedly slid in August

The seasonally adjusted exports in Germany unexpectedly fell 0.10% on a monthly basis, in August, compared to a fall of 0.90% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for exports to advance 0.40%.

German imports dropped more than expected in August

The seasonally adjusted imports in Germany eased 2.70% on a MoM basis in August, higher than market expectations for a drop of 0.10%. Imports had risen 2.80% in the previous month.

US small business optimism index slid in September

In the US, the NFIB small business optimism index recorded a drop to a level of 107.90 in September, lower than market expectations of a drop to a reading of 108.30. In the previous month, the index had registered a reading of 108.80.

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