Bitcoin Network Activity Is Declining — Impact On Price?
February 16 2025 - 7:30AM
NEWSBTC
A sluggish Bitcoin price performance has not been the only
disappointing theme for the largest crypto market so far in 2025.
According to the latest on-chain data, the Bitcoin network
fundamentals have been dwindling since the final quarter of last
year. Bitcoin’s Active Addresses And Transaction Count On A
Decline? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, a crypto
analyst with the pseudonym Yonsei_dent explained how recent price
stagnation is tied to declining network activity. One of the
relevant on-chain indicators here is the Active Addresses (AA)
metric, which measures the number of wallet addresses involved in a
transaction within a specific period. Related Reading: $1,000
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Happen Usually, the Active Addresses metric is used to evaluate
investor sentiment on a particular blockchain. According to
Yonsei_dent, the number of active addresses on the Bitcoin network
is steadily declining, suggesting a “potential weakness in investor
participation.” Additionally, a “death cross” recently formed
between the AA’s 30-day moving average (30DMA) and its 365-day
moving average (365DMA). For context, a “death cross” in technical
analysis refers to a bearish signal marked by a short-term moving
average crossing below a longer-term moving average. This death
cross signals a bearish momentum is forming and that a prolonged
downward trend (for both price and network activity) might be on
the horizon. Yonsei_dent added: While the two metrics have been
fluctuating in a tight range, the 365DMA remains in a downward
trend, suggesting a prolonged slowdown in network engagement.
Furthermore, another on-chain metric spotlighted by the Quicktake
analyst is Transaction Count, which measures the number of unique
transactions on the network within a specific period. According to
data from CryptoQuant, the number of unique transactions on the
Bitcoin network has been declining since Q4 2024. Yonsei_dent
associated this worrying trend with the global macroeconomic
uncertainty and increasing risk aversion that has plagued the
market since US President Donald Trump took the Oval Office. What
Next For BTC Price? As inferred earlier, the declining network
activity does not exactly bode well for the Bitcoin price action.
Periods of low transaction activity have often coincided with
prolonged sideways movement and sometimes price corrections. This
trend might explain the price performance of the premier
cryptocurrency in 2025. The Bitcoin price has struggled to maintain
any serious bullish momentum to push new highs. Related Reading:
XRP To 3 Digits? The ‘Signs’ That Could Confirm It, Basketball
Analyst Says As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin sits just
above $97,700, reflecting a measly 0.3% increase in the past 24
hours. The coin’s weekly record is not any better, as the market
leader has increased by barely 1% in the last seven days. Featured
image from iStock, chart from TradingView
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