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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Monday 13 February 2017

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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UK trade deficit narrowed in December

Non-EU trade deficit in the UK narrowed to £2.11 billion in December. The UK had posted a revised trade deficit of £2.97 billion in the prior month.

UK NIESR estimated GDP climbed in the November-January 2017 period

NIESR estimated gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.70% on a monthly basis, in the November-January 2017 period, in the UK. NIESR estimated GDP had climbed 0.50% in the October-December 2016 period.

UK industrial production advanced more than expected in December

Industrial production in the UK rose 1.10% in December on a MoM basis, compared to a revised advance of 2.00% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for industrial production to rise 0.20%.

UK visible trade deficit fell in December

The UK has posted visible trade deficit of £10.89 billion in December, from a revised visible trade deficit of £11.55 billion in the prior month. Market expectation was for the nation to post a visible trade deficit of £11.45 billion.

UK manufacturing production rose more than expected in December

On a YoY basis in the UK, manufacturing production recorded a rise of 4.00% in December, higher than market expectations for a rise of 1.70%. In the prior month, manufacturing production had advanced by a revised 1.70%.

UK industrial production rose more than expected in December

In December, on a YoY basis, industrial production in the UK advanced 4.30%, higher than market expectations for an advance of 3.20%. In the previous month, industrial production had advanced by a revised 2.20%.

UK total trade deficit fell in December

Total trade deficit in the UK fell to £3.30 billion in December, compared to a revised total trade deficit of £3.56 billion in the prior month.

UK construction output unexpectedly rose in December

In December, construction output in the UK recorded an unexpected rise of 0.60% on a YoY basis, higher than market expectations for a drop of 0.50%. In the prior month, construction output had climbed by a revised 1.80%.

UK manufacturing production rose more than expected in December

On a MoM basis, manufacturing production in the UK advanced 2.10% in December, compared to a revised advance of 1.40% in the prior month. Markets were expecting manufacturing production to rise 0.50%.

UK construction output rose more than expected in December

In December, construction output recorded a rise of 1.80% in the UK on a monthly basis, higher than market expectations for a rise of 1.00%. Construction output had advanced by a revised 0.40% in the prior month.

French non-farm payrolls advanced more than expected in 4Q 2016

On a quarterly basis, the preliminary non-farm payrolls advanced 0.40% in France, in 4Q 2016, higher than market expectations for a rise of 0.30%. Non-farm payrolls had recorded a rise of 0.30% in the previous quarter.

French manufacturing production dropped more than expected in December

On a monthly basis, manufacturing production registered a drop of 0.80% in France, in December, higher than market expectations for a drop of 0.70%. In the previous month, manufacturing production had risen by a revised 2.40%.

French industrial production dropped more than expected in December

In December, on a monthly basis, industrial production recorded a drop of 0.90% in France, higher than market expectations for a fall of 0.70%. In the prior month, industrial production had advanced by a revised 2.40%.

Italian industrial production advanced more than expected in December

In Italy, the working day adjusted industrial production rose 6.60% in December on a YoY basis, higher than market expectations for an advance of 3.20%. Industrial production had registered a revised rise of 3.30% in the prior month.

Italian industrial production climbed unexpectedly in December

In Italy, the seasonally adjusted industrial production unexpectedly advanced 1.40% on a monthly basis in December, more than market expectations for a fall of 0.10%. In the previous month, industrial production had registered a revised rise of 0.80%.

Italian industrial production advanced in December

The non-seasonally adjusted industrial production climbed 3.40% on a YoY basis in Italy, in December. In the previous month, industrial production had registered a revised rise of 3.30%.

US import price index rose more than expected in January

In January, on a YoY basis, the import price index in the US registered a rise of 3.70%, compared to a revised rise of 2.00% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for the import price index to advance 3.40%.

US import price index advanced more than expected in January

In January, on a monthly basis, the import price index in the US recorded a rise of 0.40%, compared to a revised advance of 0.50% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for the import price index to climb 0.30%.

US Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index dropped in February

The flash Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index eased to 95.70 in the US, in February, lower than market expectations of a fall to a level of 98.00. The Reuters/Michigan consumer sentiment index had registered a reading of 98.50 in the prior month.

US export price index rose in January

The export price index recorded a rise of 0.10% in the US on a MoM basis, in January. In the prior month, the export price index had registered a revised rise of 0.40%.

US posted budget surplus in January

The US has registered budget surplus of $51.26 billion in January, following a budget deficit of $27.50 billion in the previous month.

US export price index rose in January

The export price index in the US advanced 2.30% on an annual basis, in January. The export price index had risen 1.10% in the prior month.

Part time employment in Canada climbed in January

Part time employment registered a rise of 32.40 K in Canada, in January, compared to a revised loss of 24.70 K in the prior month.

Number of full time employment in Canada rose in January

The number of full time employment advanced by 15.80 K in Canada, in January. The number of full time employment had recorded a revised increase of 70.90 K in the previous month.

Canadian participation rate climbed unexpectedly in January

The participation rate recorded an unexpected rise to a level of 65.90% in January, in Canada, compared to a level of 65.80% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for the participation rate to record a steady reading.

Net number of people employed in Canada rose surprisingly in January

The net number of people employed in Canada advanced unexpectedly by 48.30 K in January, more than market expectations of a decline of 10.00 K. The net number of people employed had registered a revised increase of 46.10 K in the prior month.

Canadian unemployment rate declined surprisingly in January

In Canada, the unemployment rate dropped unexpectedly to 6.80% in January, lower than market expectations of a steady reading. In the previous month, the unemployment rate had registered a reading of 6.90%.

Japanese GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

The flash GDP in Japan rose 0.20% in 4Q 2016 on a quarterly basis, compared to a rise of 0.30% in the previous quarter. Market anticipation was for GDP to rise 0.30%.

Japanese GDP deflator dropped less than expected in 4Q 2016

The preliminary GDP recorded a drop of 0.10% on a YoY basis in Japan, in 4Q 2016, lower than market expectations for a fall of 0.20%. In the previous quarter, the GDP deflator had dropped 0.20%.

Japanese tertiary industry index dropped more than expected in December

The tertiary industry index registered a drop of 0.40% in Japan on a MoM basis in December, compared to a revised advance of 0.30% in the previous month. Markets were anticipating the tertiary industry index to drop 0.20%.

Japanese nominal GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

In Japan, the flash nominal GDP rose 0.30% on a quarterly basis in 4Q 2016, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.50%. In the previous quarter, nominal GDP had risen 0.10%.

Japanese annualised GDP rose less than expected in 4Q 2016

In 4Q 2016, the preliminary annualised GDP recorded a rise of 1.00% in Japan on a quarterly basis, lower than market expectations for a rise of 1.10%. In the previous quarter, annualised GDP had climbed 1.30%.

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