Ocular Therapeutix Inc (OCUL) Share Price

Kiwi, I focus on distressed assets. I am not sector focused. I am going to watch MPW until 2026.
Sleven,

Well on rereading that post I need clarify and note I've also owned some huge blow ups ....chk the 5 yr chart of QS.
Taken out 20-25% down from its high .
I try to adhere to a Marty Zweig principal ... "cut your loss's and let your winners run "...or something like that .
Good luck
Kiwi

Kiwi, Thanks for sharing your basic strategy.
Sleven,

N7. an example of disruptive tech ...SOUN.
I had reduced my position in the recent frenzy but will add back in tomorrow . I use voice activation whenever possible in my Tesla . When my son has his Spotify app running ....if you want to listen to Bob Marley music for instance ...you just press a button on the steering wheel and say ...play Bob Marley .
SOUN is mainly in fast food drive thru's and Lucid ...but once you start using it you can appreciate how it saves labor costs at drive thru's ...and ease of use in autos.

Kiwi

MPW ...is that a health care REIT ?
Not something I usually look at .
I mainly look for new disruptive business's / technologies
AMZN ...my biggest holding . Yes Bezos started selling books ...but you could see the wider applications . The only store I go into now ( besides Apple ) is the grocery store . Everything else ( clothes , shoes , toilet paper , tools etc etc ) is usually one day delivery on Amazon for me .
NFLX ...Last time I was in a movie theater was pre Covid ...Now everything is streamed via NFLX , Apple and Amazon
NVDA . I think I argued their case to you in early 2023 . Yes AI was making a lot of mistakes then but the amount of $ and talent going into that area you know it would eventually work . Any debate I have now is all sourced from Perplexity or ChatGPT
PLTR ...from early 2023 ..you could see their " boot camps " gaining traction .
More speculative .. APP ...my eldest son works for a media buying Co in LA ....driving sales thru Meta etc . APP appears to be disrupting part of that market

Then biotech where I may have some first hand experience ...or is in an area my wife deals with ( Kidney disease )

Those are the areas I generally stick to .
Happy to share ideas

Kiwi

Kiwi, I am no fan of biotech. Take a look at MPW. I'd be interested to hear what you think. This is a fairly dead board.
Sleven,

Kiwi, Same to you.
Sleven,

Most of my portfolio is long term holds ...like AMZN for over 10 yrs .
I do speculate in some areas of biotech and tech as you can see on " IHUB boards posted on " .......but thats 20% of my portfolio at most .
So I'm pretty risk adverse
EYPT looks more risk than OCUL ...in my layman analysis . It's down 17% in the past week . If it went below $6.8 I'd probably be out of it if I owned it ..
Re assessing / selling half on a 20-25 % individual stock pull back has saved my portfolio multiple times over the years .

There may be more upside in EYPT vs OCUL ...but its more risk then I want to take .

I'm more willing to take risk with ARDX and UNCY ( UNCY is very risky ) because my wife has patients on serum phosphorous drugs ...and most are no where near serum pho goal. She and the Nephrologists she works with want these drugs for their patients . Each of these have issues ...as you can see being discussed on those boards .
Good luck
Kiwi

Kiwi, Take a look at the share count for both companies.
Sleven,

Kiwi, I agree. I also don't want to spend time in another biotech while it launches a drug. If the eypt p2 trial is successful, (it should be) I intend switching to ocular. They should get a nice bump on p3 outcome. I Will leave and go back for the eypt p3.
What are your thoughts?
Sleven,

Thx for the link ... Saw Citi note
OCUL P 3 data Q4 2025
EYPT. P 3 data in 2026
Expects OCUL to be first to market ...efficacy skews towards EYPT while trial end pts skew towards OCUL ...expect both to meaningfully share in wAMD market with one eventually dominating .
I think OCUL will be submitting data from 2 P 3 trials ...so should have a smoother road to approval.
Dont know how much better EYPT's drug is ( based on data today ) vs OCUL ....but if close , first mover advantage for OCUL IMHO is huge

Kiwi

Kiwi,
https://www.biospace.com/press-releases/eyepoint-provides-company-update-and-anticipated-development-milestones-for-2025#:~:text=Positive%20interim%2016%2Dweek%20data,%2B8.9%20letters%20vs.%20baseline.
Sleven,

Kiwi, Thanks for the information.
Sleven,

N7. Someone U might want to follow on Biotech Values

Worstluck
# 254273
Tuesday, January 14, 2025 10:33:21 AM
Post# of 254288
EYPT

Looked at the slide deck for tonight's JPM and it notes the first P3 is about 1/3 enrolled and the second is "exceeding expectations." Pending color I take that as toplines around Oct and Dec 2026, subject to normal variance.
https://investors.eyepointpharma.com/static-files/09d5a2c6-310f-4820-8890-b6096ca41b3a slide 18

Getting a topline for the OCUL Sol-R trial is kind of tricky given no guidance, the long lead time between enrollment and randomization and allowing for some screen failures during that period. I can envision a topline in the same timeframe as EYPT (Q4 2026) +/- a month best/worst. Again, there are some assumptions built in.

N7. I'll do some more. DD as I have time this week . Thx for the analysis ...my energies been elsewhere last couple of days .
Re timing etc . Poster Chromosome on the AMRN board . He worked at ZS pharma and they were competing with RLYP for a new / better drug for treating high serum potassium in dialysis patients . High serum pot leads to heart arrhythmia's and heart attacks .

Anyway ...ZS Pharma's drug was slightly better than RLYP's drug ...but because their production facility was delayed in getting FDA approval .....RLYP's drug was first on the market .
Now RPYP's drug dominates as most ( including my wife who prescribes it ) are familiar with it , has the codes for ordering etc etc .
Pt being ...huge advantage for first mover ...and OCUL will likely be the first on the market assuming efficacy and safety in their final P3 trials .

To date OCUL's AXPAXLI is just as safe as Eyelea and 80% are " rescue free " out to 10 mths ...I'll chk EYPT's drug for comparison .
Feel free to find holes in my analysis . I'm wrong a lot ...cant afford to let any ego get in the way of correcting course when necessary .

Rosemouthbomber ( from AMRN ) is also in a number of other biotechs I'm in ...RZLT , UNCY and ARDX ...all with their own issues and catalysts in 2025

Kiwi

Kiwi, I think there might be a good play moving between the two companies. Thoughts?
Sleven,

Kiwi, Just to be clear, I don't care who has the better drug. In this case I'm only interested in market reaction and timing. Looking to go from eypt to ocular and back to eypt.
Sleven,

Kiwi, Stay safe. The acceleration of enrollment in the ocular wet-amd trials is why I'm thinking about trading. From what I have read I think the eye point drug is better. Doesn't actually matter to me. Looking for a shift from eypt to ocular after the phase 2 results.
Sleven,

N7. I had looked at EYPT but went with OCUL instead because of the team they had assembled , how fast the trials were enrolling , safety data etc .
OCUL will have the first pivotal P 3 trial data .....SOL-1 in Q4 2025 .
Their SOL-R trial now has 311 randomized ( I need to chk the total number they were aiming for ) . If both trials are successful they will file for approval to treat wet AMD .
Bottom line ....if all goes well they will have an approved drug well before EYPT.

Meanwhile this field is not standing still
VABYSMO seems to be the new eye drug of choice ...lasting 3-4 mths for 78 % of those getting this eye injection . OCUL's AXPAXLI is expected to last up to 10 mths .
My Kaiser eye doc tells me the biggest problem with Eyelea ( Afliberecept ) is most patients won't stick to the repeat dosing if they need an eye injection every 2-3 mths..
I think AXPAXL ( OCUL ) and Eyelea have similar safety profiles .
Its a long term hold for me .
Been distracted with other things recently ( clearing shrubs , brush from around my house , setting up fire suppression sprinklers etc ) I'm in Nth Ca and surround by trees . Area has a history of bad fires ...so everyone here is a little on edge after what happened in LA

Kiwi

Kiwi, I own eypt. Phase 2 trial ends this month. Should be positive. The phase 3 that ocular is running should also be positive. Based on the phase 1 results. Considering a trade.
Sleven,

Hi N7 I generally hold thru trial results and then " sell the news " if positive .
Launching new drugs usually takes more $ and longer then most expect
Company presentation scheduled on Monday, January 13th at 5:15 PM PT

Ocular to provide enrollment update for SOL-R, Ocular’s second registrational trial of AXPAXLI™ in wet AMD, future opportunities for AXPAXLI, and a general corporate overview

If you're interested in Co suggest you listen to the JPM presentation

Kiwi

Kiwi, long term investment, or a trade based on the upcoming clinical trial?
Sleven,

Scotiabank Initiates Coverage On Ocular Therapeutix with Sector Outperform Rating, Announces Price Target of $22

Kiwi

https://investors.ocutx.com/node/13236/pdf...trial enrolling ahead of schedule

Kiwi

As per the recent conference ...recruiting is going well and the speculation is that their trial will be fully enrolled ahead of schedule .
Eyelea ...the drug they will compete with ...is still increasing sales

Kiwi

Anybody out there ? Nice day to have a position in OCUL
Kiwi

OCUL. P2 data 4/5/24
REUTERS
10:03 AM ET 04/06/2024
April 6 (Reuters) - Ocular Therapeutix Inc (OCUL):
* OCULAR THERAPEUTIX™ ANNOUNCES POSITIVE PHASE 2 PAXTRAVA™ GLAUCOMA DATA AT THE AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CATARACT AND REFRACTIVE SURGERY 2024 ANNUAL MEETING
* OCULAR THERAPEUTIX INC (OCUL) - GENERALLY WELL TOLERATED WITH NO IMPACT ON CORNEAL HEALTH OBSERVED
* OCULAR THERAPEUTIX INC (OCUL) - CLINICALLY MEANINGFUL MEAN IOP REDUCTION OF ABOUT 24-30% FROM BASELINE OBSERVED OVER SIX MONTHS Source text for Eikon: Further company coverage:

Kiwi

OCUL under $10

OCUL 10Q due March 11

OCUL....................................https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OCUL&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p86431144783

Tard sells $6.00 call option at $0.15 at the close,apparently they were born yesterday.

OCUL..........................................https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OCUL&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p86431144783

Clueless fool sells $6.00 call option at $0.10 when they were just trading at $0.30,with the big rally going on in the stock today, what a total fool they are.

I chose OCUL to invest in because the market conditions should not effect the PPS(much),plus I can sell covered calls and make some monthly cash,besides they have products that are in demand !!!!

Yes I have noticed that

Ask is super thin wont take much to move. GLTUA

My eye doctor says Dextenza is a very good drug and he raccomends it !!!!!

DEXTENZA is doing very,very well,great revs expected in 2023

This company could go to $8.00 very eassy

boys need to wake up

Is anyone at all following OCUL into the end of the months binary? TKI data could be a game changer. Total TAM is ridiculous (look at REGN mcap!)

OCUL --charting

With the aging population, eye care is becoming an increasing concern. Dry eye, glaucoma, macular degeneration etc. will be expanding market sub sectors

* * $OCUL Video Chart 04-29-2021 * *

Link to Video - click here to watch the technical chart video

Just In: $OCUL Ocular Therapeutix Announces Receipt of a Permanent Category I CPT Code from the American Medical Association for the Insertion of Intracanalicular Inserts

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL), a biopharmaceutical company focused on the formulation, development, and commercialization of innovative therapies for diseases and conditions of the eye, today announced that its application for the creation of a Category I Current Procedural Ter...

In case you are interested OCUL - Ocular Therapeutix Announces Receipt of a Permanent Category I CPT Code from the American Medical Association for the Insertion of Intracanalicular Inserts

Breaking News: $OCUL Ocular Therapeutix(TM) Announces Topline Phase 1 Clinical Trial Results of OTX-CSI

OTX-CSI demonstrates improvement in signs and symptoms of Dry Eye Disease Ocular Therapeutix™, Inc. (NASDAQ: OCUL), a biopharmaceutical company focused on the formulation, development, and commercialization of innovative therapies for diseases and conditions of the ey...

Got this from OCUL - Ocular Therapeutix(TM) Announces Topline Phase 1 Clinical Trial Results of OTX-CSI

OCUL 10.87 NEW HIGH OF DAY

Just In: $OCUL Ocular Therapeutix Announces Preliminary Net Product Revenue of $5.8 Million to $5.9 Million for Third Quarter 2020, Representing Greater Than a 250% Increase Over the Previous Quarter

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ: OCUL), a biopharmaceutical company focused on the formulation, development, and commercialization of innovative therapies for diseases and conditions of the eye, today reported preliminary, unaudited net product revenue for the third quarter ended Septe...

Find out more OCUL - Ocular Therapeutix Announces Preliminary Net Product Revenue of $5.8 Million to $5.9 Million for Third Quarter 2020, Representing Greater Than a 250% Increase Over the Previous Quarter

Thus far OCUL is trading nicely!!

* * $OCUL Video Chart 05-22-2020 * *

Link to Video - click here to watch the technical chart video