Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Share Price

Is MSFT going up or down under trump administration?

$MSFT Top Bearish Flow – Open
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 20, 2024

• Top Bearish Flow – Open

MSFT – $-15.42M
HD – $-2.71M
CSX – $-2.45M
COF – $-1.78M
SOFI – $-1.62M



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$MSFT Wow! Millions Worth of ATM Put Sweepers
By: Cheddar Flow | December 20, 2024

• $MSFT Wow! Millions Worth of ATM Put Sweepers

Huge volume spike on the August 430p's this morning





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$MSFT $10+ Million ATM Put SELL Orders (Large)
By: Cheddar Flow | December 19, 2024

• $MSFT $10M+ ATM Put SELL Orders (Large)

These were sold to open, because the majority were executed below the bid and the IV dropped between orders

The whale(s) wants to collect the premium on these contracts



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Microsoft $MSFT Top Bullish Flow – Open...
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 19, 2024

• Top Bullish Flow – Open

TSLA – $15.48M
AMZN – $6.39M
MSFT – $5.19M
EDR – $3.75M
REGN – $2.99M



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Price target raise:

Stifel raised its price target on Microsoft shares to $515 from $475 with a buy rating, thefly.com reported.
According to the investment firm, after a rocky start to 2024 the enterprise software sector is closing the year on a stronger note.
The analyst attributed the improvement to multiple factors like modestly accelerating revenue growth, attractive midyear valuation multiples, early signs of AI monetization, declining interest rates, solid economic performance, and Microsoft’s "safe haven" status following the election, given its minimal exposure to tariffs or China-related risks.
Looking to 2025, Stifel expects management teams to adopt a more conservative approach in their Q1 guidance. But the firm expects MSFT's overall revenue growth rates to at least match those observed in the latter half of 2024.

UBS also raised its Microsoft price target, to $525 from $500, and affimed a buy rating.
The firm highlights that Azure's growth acceleration is likely to be more back-end loaded as new capacity becomes available in the second half of the year, according to a research note.
Although the CEO's reference to an "AI winter" is unsettling, UBS remains confident of Microsoft's position at the top tier of the customer and workload spectrum.

Microsoft $MSFT $8.7 Million Put Writer
By: Theta Warrior | December 19, 2024

• $MSFT PUT WRITER .



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Ridiculously over corrected dip!

Tech traders are trying to buy this dip $TSLA $MSFT $META
By: Cheddar Flow | December 18, 2024

• Tech traders are trying to buy this dip $TSLA $MSFT $META



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$MSFT - Update: The future looks bright! If it can negate the Bear 'Wedge'...
By: Sahara | December 17, 2024

• $MSFT - Update

The future looks bright! If it can negate the Bear 'Wedge'...



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MSFT (Microsoft) Weekly Analysis
By: TrendSpider | December 13, 2024

• Microsoft has been the laggard among the MAG 7 in 2024, with a 19% YTD—trailing Apple’s 29% and far behind the 50%+ returns of AMZN, TSLA, and NVDA. But the year isn’t over yet. Long-term seasonality shows MSFT is entering two weeks of outperformance—an opportunity for a late-year rally as the tech giant looks to close the performance gap in the 11th hour.



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🚀🌓

LinkedIn starting video? A TikTok like feed!!

What everyone’s thoughts on the vote for Microsoft to not invest into Bitcoin?

Just curious

Microsoft’s biz dev boss on the big bets that could define the future of AI

For Microsoft head of business development, strategy and ventures Christopher Young, identifying the company’s next big thing is the name of the game. And at Fortune’s Brainstorm AI conference in San Francisco on Monday, Young walked through some of the biggest AI opportunities he sees on the horizon, from robotics to healthcare to data center sustainability.
Embodied AI — basically, AI that is integrated into the physical world — is one important category on Young’s radar. Self-driving vehicles, for example, will be big for Microsoft, he explained — but not necessarily vehicles that transport people. It will be “a lot more about transportation of goods and services around,” he said, like long-haul trucking: “Just think about all the vehicles that operate in small warehouse contexts or even a shipyard.”
Young also highlighted the potential of humanoid robotics, citing Microsoft’s investment in companies like Figure (which is also a partner with Microsoft, in a collaboration that gives Figure access to Microsoft’s AI infrastructure and services). “It’ll be quite commonplace, particularly in categories of work where it’s very dangerous for people,” he said, citing work on offshore oil rigs, or oil drilling in Antarctica. “There are going to be a lot of different opportunities to bring new types of embodied technology into those kinds of categories,” Young said.
Sustainability is another area that Young predicted will be a big trend for Microsoft in 2025, particularly when it comes to delivering more efficiency for the data centers the company is building — including the cooling necessary to make sure infrastructure does not overheat, as well as making data centers more water-efficient. “We have a series of different methods we’re employing in our data centers, some of them we’ve been doing for a while, others are new,” he said. “We continue to work with our partners, like Nvidia, AMD, even the in-house silicon we’re building at Microsoft.”
As far as venture investments, there are a couple of key categories that Young thinks are important examples of where Microsoft is looking for AI growth. AI infrastructure is one where Microsoft “is making a lot of bets,” he said, including cybersecurity. Microsoft has invested in a company called Hidden Layer, which focuses on protecting AI models against being manipulated by third-party actors. Another is the need for data governance and compliance: “As we bring more AI capabilities into organizations, those AI agents, the copilots, are going to want to access information. You need better governance, you need identity capabilities.” Microsoft has invested in a number of companies in this space, he explained, including Reliance AI.
Lastly, Young cited the healthcare space as an exciting one for investment in AI – noting that Microsoft is investing in companies that use generative AI to look for natural remedies for certain ailments, like eczema, as well as using AI to assist pathologists and radiologists in cancer screening.

Should Microsoft invest in bitcoin? Voting tomorrow.

$MSFT $1.3 Million OTM Call LEAP...
By: Cheddar Flow | December 9, 2024

• $MSFT $1.3M OTM Call LEAP

This was executed above the ask for the December 2026 expiration.



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Microsoft's plan to win the console war: Make everything an Xbox

$MSFT - After being depressed for a long time, this week's action has turned things around...
By: CyclesFan | December 8, 2024

• $MSFT - After being depressed for a long time, this week's action has turned things around. It closed the week above the upper BB and the TSI is on the verge of a bullish crossover after bottoming near 0, which favor a rally back to the all time high at 468 in the next few weeks.



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Just a matter of time here till we blow to the upside! Look out above! Go MSFT!

$MSFT has been in a prolonged compression, forming lower highs and higher lows. This type of setup often leads to a bullish expansion or a significant breakout...
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 1, 2024

• $MSFT has been in a prolonged compression, forming lower highs and higher lows.

This type of setup often leads to a bullish expansion or a significant breakout.

With the market showing strength and momentum heading into December, I anticipate Microsoft will follow suit and break out to the upside, aligning with the broader rally.



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$MSFT - The monthly TSI is on the verge of a bearish crossover. That doesn't mean its bull market topped in July, but it looks like it may touch the 20 month MA in the next few months...
By: CyclesFan | December 1, 2024

• $MSFT - The monthly TSI is on the verge of a bearish crossover. That doesn't mean its bull market topped in July, but it looks like it may touch the 20 month MA in the next few months. A bear market will be confirmed only if it closes below the 20 month MA like it did in 2022.



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Microsoft (MSFT) Weekly Market Update
By: TrendSpider | November 30, 2024

• Microsoft has been quietly coiling around its 200-day SMA for months, building tension as it enters its sixth week in a TTM Squeeze. Despite facing an FTC antitrust investigation into its Azure cloud and software bundling practices, the stock has remained steady. With technical indicators pointing to a breakout and pressure mounting, MSFT appears poised for an explosive move in the near future.



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$MSFT Microsoft has been coiling around its 200-day SMA for MONTHS now...
By: TrendSpider | November 30, 2024

• $MSFT Microsoft has been coiling around its 200-day SMA for MONTHS now...

Expansion is coming.



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Shares of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) have been a cornerstone of tech portfolios for many years now, and 2024 has done little to tarnish that reputation. The stock is up a solid 15% year-to-date, and while it's struggled to push past July's all-time high, there are several reasons for investors to be excited.
Chief among these is the fact that analysts are exceedingly bullish on the tech titan's prospects heading into 2025. With the stock trading in a narrowing range, we could soon be looking at a breakout. Its shares are currently less than a 10% move away from July's high, so let's jump in and see what could send them soaring past it in the coming weeks.
Microsoft's Fundamental Performance Continues to Impress
For starters, there's the company's impressive fundamental performance. Microsoft has consistently beaten analyst expectations for its earnings for over two years, with this trend continuing with its most recent report at the end of last month. That report saw the company smash expectations for both headline numbers, with revenue growth standing out with a 16% year-on-year gain.

Investors should expect further gains heading into the rest of the year, as the holiday quarter historically tends to be Microsoft's strongest.
Bullish Analyst Updates Keep Microsoft in the Spotlight
Building on the fact that the internals are ticking over nicely, always a good starting point when considering a stock, is the fact that several analysts have been calling Microsoft a red-hot buy right. The teams at Royal Bank of Canada, UBS Group, and JPMorgan, to name just a few, have all reiterated their Buy ratings or equivalents in the past month alone. These updates echo a broader sentiment among analysts who have been consistently bullish on Microsoft throughout 2024.
Just last week, the Wedbush team doubled down on their bullish outlook for Microsoft, reiterating a Buy rating and a lofty $550 price target. From where the stock closed on Tuesday night, that's pointing to a targeted upside of nearly 30%. Needless to say, were Microsoft shares to hit that in the coming weeks, they'd be well above July's high and cruising into blue sky territory.
Potential Concerns: Analysts Reassess Microsoft Price Targets
While there is a lot of optimism about the stock, there are some notes of caution to consider. While maintaining their bullish ratings, some analysts have been reining in their price targets. For example, TD Cowen recently lowered theirs, citing higher capital expenditure forecasts. Still, the fact that they held off on doing a full downgrade from their Buy says enough about their confidence in the company's long-term prospects. Plus, even their revised $475 price target would have the stock trading at a fresh high.
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For further counterbalance, it's worth noting that Morgan Stanley did the opposite with their price target on Microsoft shares and actually boosted it following last month's report.
Microsoft’s Technical Setup Suggests December Gains Are Likely
From a technical perspective, there's a lot to like as well. After months of steady consolidation and mostly sideways price action, the stock is now setting higher lows, a key indicator of building momentum.
Strengthening this thesis is the fact that Microsoft's MACD is on the verge of a bullish crossover, while its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is just 57. For context, the RSI is a popular technical indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of a stock's recent price changes to assess whether it is overbought or oversold. It runs on a scale of 0 to 100, with readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 signaling oversold conditions. At 57, Microsoft's RSI suggests that momentum is firmly on the bull's side, and the stock has a lot of room to run before it could even be considered.
With the Fed cutting interest rates and broader indices like the S&P 500 currently at record levels, the macro environment also adds to the sense that a breakout to the north could be on the cards.
Investors should look for the stock to continue setting higher lows into December, with a move above $440 all but confirming the breakout has begun.

BREAKING: The FTC launches antitrust investigation into Microsoft. $MSFT
By: TrendSpider | November 27, 2024

• BREAKING: The FTC launches antitrust investigation into Microsoft. $MSFT.



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$MSFT has been quietly tightening over the past few months... A lot of energy built up here waiting to be released.
By: TrendSpider | November 26, 2024

• $MSFT has been quietly tightening over the past few months...

A lot of energy built up here waiting to be released.



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Microsoft Insider Trading Alert: Chief Communications Officer Judson Althoff sold $10.4 million worth of $MSFT shares
By: Barchart | November 26, 2024

• Microsoft Insider Trading Alert

Chief Communications Officer Judson Althoff sold $10.4 million worth of $MSFT shares.



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Microsoft $MSFT forms its 2nd Death Cross this month. Prior to November, the last Death Cross occurred in March 2022
By: Barchart | November 25, 2024

• BREAKING: Microsoft

$MSFT forms its 2nd Death Cross this month. Prior to November, the last Death Cross occurred in March 2022.



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Ex dividend date was yesterday 11/21/24

Microsoft (MSFT) the most under-owned mega cap tech stock. This stock is most over-owned
By: Investing.com | November 19, 2024

Morgan Stanley’s analysis of large-cap institutional ownership reveals shifting dynamics in mega-cap technology stocks.

While the under-ownership of these stocks relative to their S&P 500 weighting has decreased, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) remains the most under-owned mega-cap tech stock, while Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU) top the list of over-owned names, according to the bank.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) says the overall gap between mega-cap tech stocks’ institutional ownership and their S&P 500 weighting narrowed by 17 basis points (bps) during the third quarter of 2024 (3Q24), moving from -113 bps in 2Q24 to -96 bps by the end of 3Q24.

Yet, "MSFT remains the most under-owned mega cap tech stock we track," with a gap of -2.08%, despite narrowing by 34 bps quarter over quarter (QoQ).

The bank says other mega-cap stocks are also under-owned but less so than Microsoft. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), the second most under-owned, is said to have widened its gap by 14 bps in 3Q24 to -1.86%.

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), by contrast, reportedly saw the most significant improvement, narrowing its gap by 72 bps to -1.4%, a marked shift from -2.12% in the prior quarter.

On the other hand, Morgan Stanley said Intuit (INTU) and Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) are among the most over-owned stocks, with institutional ownership exceeding their S&P 500 weighting by +0.60% and +0.37%, respectively.

CRM (Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) is also said to appear over-owned, with a +0.32% gap.

Morgan Stanley concludes that while mega-cap tech under-ownership has diminished, Microsoft continues to offer a potential opportunity for investors, given its persistent under-representation relative to its S&P 500 weighting.

Conversely, they believe the over-ownership of names like Intuit and Adobe may signal concentrated positioning in these stocks.

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Microsoft $MSFT gets 51% of its Revenue from the USA
By: Evan | November 17, 2024

• Microsoft $MSFT gets 51% of its Revenue from the USA.



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This is the appetizer, DoJ and SEC will follow because what $MSFT is doing with its cloud business is fraudulent @DarioCpx

US FTC plans to investigate Microsoft's cloud business:

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/us-regulators-plan-to-investigate-microsofts-cloud-business-ft-reports-3723904

perhaps start with Cloud Credits...

Do you know what this means? $MSFT is heading towards a massive $70bn USD revenues restatement and a huge cut in the ~$60bn+ value of its investments between GPUs and OpenAI equity @DarioCpx


THE SMOKING GUN THAT PROVES HOW OPENAI IS MICROSOFT’S REVENUES LAUNDROMAT:

https://justdario.com/2024/10/the-smoking-gun-that-proves-how-openai-is-microsofts-revenues-laundromat/

$MSFT

$MSFT MASSIVE $1.6 BILLION in dark pool orders hitting the tap deep after hours
By: Cheddar Flow | November 11, 2024

• $MSFT MASSIVE $1.6 BILLION in dark pool orders hitting the tap deep after hours.



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Moving up today, thanks to Donald Trump! With him being reelected, we should see nice moves in the stock market!

$MSFT & $AAPL are seeing millions worth of unusual call sell orders
By: Cheddar Flow | November 4, 2024

• $MSFT & $AAPL are seeing millions worth of unusual call sell orders.



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$MSFT Microsoft just posted its worst day in over two years. If we lose $400 support things get real spooky.
By: TrendSpider | November 1, 2024

• $MSFT Microsoft just posted its worst day in over two years.

If we lose $400 support things get real spooky.



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Good dip buy

Options traders are blasting META and MSFT
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | October 31, 2024

• How 2 Big Tech Titans Are Faring After Earnings

• Shares of Meta Platforms and Microsoft are moving lower

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) are reeling after their highly anticipated earnings reports. While the former met Wall Street's estimates, user numbers for the third quarter came up short. Meanwhile, though the latter beat fiscal first-quarter expectations, its revenue growth outlook missed the mark.

META was last seen down 2.2% at $578.67, pivoting lower after yesterday's attempt to conquer its Oct. 7, record high of $602.95. The 40-day moving average looks poised to contain additional losses, however, and longer term, the shares still boast an 85% year-over-year lead.

MSFT is down 5.3% to trade at $409.45 at last glance, after yesterday running into a ceiling at the $440 rally that also capped price action in mid-September. The security is on track for its biggest single-day percentage loss since October 2022, but still sports a 9.5% lead for 2024.

Options traders have been quick to the trigger. META has seen 161,000 calls and 126,000 puts exchanged so far today, which is four times the intraday average volume. The weekly 11/1 600-strike call is the most popular, where new positions are being opened. MSFT has seen 198,000 calls and 111,000 puts cross the tape -- three times the volume typically seen at this point -- with the most activity at the 400-strike put.

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https://justdario.com/2024/10/untangling-the-great-microsoft-accounting-fraudulent-shenanigans/

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/futures-slide-dragged-meta-microsoft

And yet still this market overreacts and punishes the stock! Absolutely crazy. As we know it’s all fixed.. purposely bringing it down and creating panic for then retail investors to continue to bring it down before they scream it back up back to the same level that we were at yesterday. And then we wait for another quarter… Shake my head.

Microsoft $MSFT Just Reported Earnings: Double Beat
By: Evan | October 30, 2024

• MICROSOFT $MSFT JUST REPORTED EARNINGS

EPS of $3.30 beating expectations of $3.08
Revenue of $65.6B beating expectations of $64.4B

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An anomaly of good luck and bad luck I observed today:

1)  I bought 500 shares MSFT at $26/share on 12/30/2011. Those shares currently trade ~ $434/share. I have sold none over the years.
      Those shares are in a taxable account.


2)  I bought 200 shares AMRN at $7.68/share on 3/2/2011. Those shares currently trade ~ $0.60/share. I have accumulated a total of
      ~ 222,300 shares AMRN since that date at various prices, coupled with wash sales in IRA.. I am nearly break even in IRA, and have large
      short term and long term losses in a taxable account totaling ~ $182,000. 


Both MSFT and AMRN have post 4 pm earnings calls today, and Amarin has a 2 hour investor call scheduled in mid-November. I will be listening to the AMRN call. The FDA and EU along with other areas( e.g., China, Australia, New Zealand, Middle East, Canada) have given marketing approval for its Vascepa to treat, and reduce risk  of death from, various forms of cardiovascular disease( CVDs). One person dies every 38-40 seconds from heart disease in U.S., per CDC and/or WHO. The market is large, and I have confidence the market value of AMRN shares will eventually greatly exceed that of MSFT. Sarissa Capital, per its CEO Dr. Alex Denner, has bought a little less than 10% of Amarin shares in the belief that AMRN shares are undervalued. He and AMRN BOD and managers are looking for a buyout. 

Microsoft $MSFT $1 Million OTM Put LEAP Ahead of Earnings *At the Ask*
By: Cheddar Flow | October 30, 2024

• $MSFT $1M OTM Put LEAP Ahead of Earnings

*At the Ask*



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Looks like MSFT is catching a wiff of what GOOG's got cookin AH, 436

$MSFT $1.4 Million worth of OTM calls that were bought to open (Vol>OI)
By: Cheddar Flow | October 29, 2024

• $MSFT has now joined the tech fun

$1.4M worth of OTM calls that were bought to open (Vol>OI)



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$MSFT Microsoft clear relative strength today, strongest of the Mag Seven names by far
By: TrendSpider | October 23, 2024

• $MSFT Microsoft clear relative strength today, strongest of the Mag Seven names by far.

If the broader market turns around, keep an eye on this setup.



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Microsoft $MSFT Millions worth of call buyers stepping up to the plate
By: Cheddar Flow | October 23, 2024

• $MSFT Millions worth of call buyers stepping up to the plate.



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