NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Options

NVDA, one month

NVDA one month

Jet. He seems to be coming around. I’ll give him that. Let’s see if he keeps it up now. He knows he has to pivot or be left in the dust bowl of so many others like Cisco etc

Arete Research Adjusts Price Target on NVIDIA to $200 From $194

Here is the link for the March 19TH GTC that was in America for those that didn't see it. Europe's knowledge of AI is definitely behind. IMO https://video.ibm.com/recorded/134280737

Jensen and Colette had a Financial Analyst Q&A at the Europe GTC hopefully my link works.https://video.ibm.com/recorded/134396778#to28

Well, it was just a little mistake involving few zeros...

Yes. Thanks for catching my mistake. Appreciate it. There is no slow down in AI spending

Guess he's not such a bad guy after all, eh? 😀

06:33 AM EDT, 06/11/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Quantum computing stocks got a boost after Nvidia (NVDA) Chief Executive Jensen Huang said the technology was at an inflection point.

In the coming years, quantum computing will solve "some interesting problems," Reuters reported Wednesday, citing Huang.

Quantum Computing (QUBT) shares were up 8.6% in recent premarket activity, while Rigetti Computing (RGTI) rose 4.6%. IonQ (IONQ) and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) were also pointing higher.

NVIDIA & NIO on Artificial Intelligence https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/solutions/autonomous-vehicles/partners/nio/ $NIO $NVDA

Nebius Group N.V. announced the first general availability of NVIDIA (NVDA) GB200 Grace Blackwell Superchip capacity for customers in Europe, as it continues to build out full-stack AI infrastructure globally to accelerate AI innovation at scale

Nvidia Collaborates With Novo Nordisk, DCAI to Use AI for Drug Discovery
08:09:24 AM ET, 06/11/2025 - MT Newswires
08:09 AM EDT, 06/11/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Nvidia (NVDA) said Wednesday that it is collaborating with Novo Nordisk (NVO) to advance drug discovery by using artificial intelligence.

The partnership supports Novo Nordisk's agreement with DCAI to use the Gefion AI supercomputer, which is powered by Nvidia DGX SuperPOD and provides an AI factory for running drug discovery and agentic AI workloads, according to Nvidia.

The companies plan to build customized AI models and agents that Novo Nordisk can use for early research and clinical development, Nvidia said, adding they also plan to use advanced simulation and physical AI technologies.

Nvidia, Siemens Expand Collaboration on Industrial AI, Digitalization
07:22:44 AM ET, 06/11/2025 - MT Newswires
07:22 AM EDT, 06/11/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Nvidia (NVDA) and Siemens said Wednesday they have expanded their collaboration on industrial artificial intelligence, digitalization, and the factory of the future.

Financial terms were not disclosed.

The companies said they will integrate their technologies to "empower" industrial firms to benefit from AI-powered technologies for factory automation.

Nvidia and Siemens signed a partnership in 2022 to introduce the industrial metaverse by linking technologies from the Siemens Xcelerator portfolio to the Nvidia Omniverse platform, according to the companies.

Nvidia Helping Build AI Factory in Germany to Support European Manufacturers
07:17:52 AM ET, 06/11/2025 - MT Newswires
07:17 AM EDT, 06/11/2025 (MT Newswires) -- Nvidia (NVDA) said Wednesday it is helping build an artificial intelligence factory in Germany, with a view to supporting industrial AI workloads for manufacturers in Europe.

The factory will feature 10,000 graphics processing units and run Nvidia CUDA-X libraries, Nvidia RTX and Nvidia Omniverse-accelerated workloads from software providers like Siemens, Ansys (ANSS), Cadence and Rescale, the chipmaking giant said.

I believe that's $65 BILLION, right? 🙂

https://www.feedtheai.com/meta-bets-big-on-ai-with-65-billion-investment/

Meta Bets Big on AI with $65 Billion Investment for 2025

LIVE NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang Live GTC Paris Keynote at VivaTech 2025

NVIDIA GTC Live at VivaTech Paris 2025 Pregame

META is going to spend $65 million on AI infrastructure

Upward we will go

I was late to NVDA party at 106 but enjoying the ride upward

NVIDIA (NasdaqGS:NVDA) Powers JUPITER As Europe's Fastest Supercomputer And Boosts Quantum Research https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-nasdaqgs-nvda-powers-jupiter-172058984.html

NVIDIA has made significant strides with the launch of the JUPITER supercomputer and its innovative collaboration with IonQ. These advancements demonstrate NVIDIA's ongoing leadership in supercomputing and quantum computing, respectively, contributing positively to the company's positioning. Additionally, despite broader market fluctuations and uncertainties related to geopolitical trade talks, NVIDIA’s recent earnings report showing strong sales and net income bolstered investor confidence. During the last quarter, NVIDIA experienced a 31% price increase, reflecting the combination of these developments and aligning with general optimism in the tech sector, as indicated by the rise in key indexes like the Nasdaq Composite.

The recent advances in NVIDIA's supercomputing and quantum computing sectors, including the launch of the JUPITER supercomputer and collaboration with IonQ, are expected to bolster NVIDIA's position in these high-growth areas. This news complements the company's strategic pivot toward AI model scaling and portends potential revenue enhancements from increased AI workload demands. However, regulatory challenges and export controls could pose risks, particularly in maintaining diversified revenue streams across key markets like China.

Over the past five years, NVIDIA's total shareholder returns, including share price and dividends, have risen by a very large percentage, reflecting investor enthusiasm for its innovations and growth prospects. This compares favorably to the broader market benchmarks over the past year, where NVIDIA's share price outpaced the US Semiconductor industry growth rate.

NVIDIA's strategic collaborations with Toyota and Uber could positively impact future revenue and earnings forecasts, particularly in the automotive sector. Analysts anticipate NVIDIA's revenue to grow annually by 30.3% over the next three years, with some potential margin contraction. With the share price currently at US$113.54, there is a 20.6% discount to the consensus price target of US$163.12, suggesting room for appreciation if NVIDIA meets or exceeds these expectations.

NVDA, 10 day hourly good article

Meta in Talks Over Scale AI Investment That Could Exceed $10 Billion, Bloomberg Reports

https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/meta-ai/2025/06/08/id/1214026/

Founded in 2016, Scale AI is a data labeling startup backed by tech giants Nvidia, Amazon and Meta.

Last valued at nearly $14 billion, Scale AI also provides a platform for researchers to exchange AI-related information, with contributors in more than 9,000 cities and towns.

This is an article from Seeking Alpha. I don’t normally respect their articles but completely agree with this one.
Nvidia: I Predicted $150 By Year End - I Was Dead Wrong

Jun. 06, 2025 9:40 AM ETNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Stock, NVDA:CA StockAMD, AMD:CA, INTC, INTC:CA, NVDA, NVDA:CA22 Comments

Deep Value Investing
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Summary

Nvidia Corporation's momentum is stronger than what I initially anticipated.
I reaffirm my Strong Buy rating after spectacular growth results, even with the tariff drama, the DeepSeek fears, and the new export restrictions.
Despite an $8B headwind, Nvidia guides for 50% YoY revenue growth next quarter, with potential upside from an upcoming export-compliant AI chip, the B30.
The Street’s expectations are sky-high. Nvidia has been beating forecasts by smaller margins lately. If they fall short on revenue, it could lead to an NVDA stock selloff.
Neon up arrow icon. Abstract glowing neon up arrow illustration on black background. Navigation pointer sign. 3d glowing neon symbol of symbol of arrow up isolated on black background.
Mst Hazera Begum/iStock via Getty Images
In my previous coverage of Nvidia Corporation (NVDA), I predicted the stock would test the $150 price level by year-end.

I was dead wrong.

At this pace, I believe the stock will reach my price target in the next month or two.

With the recent earnings season, it's time to revisit my bull case. I advance in this intro that my biggest concern of a growth slowdown in the data center compute segment due to tariffs is now gone after Nvidia reported a 76% YOY revenue increase in the past quarter in this segment.

Furthermore, management reaffirmed their gross margin target of mid-70s% by year-end. I believe one of the drivers is the drop in lower margin sales to China, following the new export controls that limit sales of the H20 AI chip in this region.

As you are about to find out, the biggest risk to my bull case is the fact that The Street is starting to take this level of outperformance for granted. If Nvidia fails to hit the market with the B30 (an upcoming export-compliant replacement of the H20), and considering the $8 billion headwind expected in FQ2 2025, I believe the company is at risk of missing the top-line consensus. As for when this risk might materialize, I honestly don’t know, and I don’t think anyone else does either. But it’s a risk worth keeping in mind.

Is this risk enough to grant this stock anything less than a strong buy? I believe the answer is no. Below, I break down the reasons why.

Data Center Growth Intact

Given the kerfuffle over reciprocal and sectoral tariffs that led to a 20% drop in the S&P 500 Index (SP500, SPX), tanking almost every growth stock in the U.S., I was curious to see if the demand for AI had shown any signs of weakness.

In my view, one of the best ways to check that is by looking at Nvidia’s financial statements.

Nvidia 10-Q FQ1 2026
Nvidia 10-Q FQ1 2026
Total data center revenue was up by 73% YOY. Below is a chart showing the trend for the past few years.

Chart preview
FinChat
To put Nvidia's data center revenue into context, I thought about adding a chart below that compares it with Advanced Micro Devices' (AMD) and Intel’s (INTC) data center revenue.

Chart preview
FinChat
The difference is abysmal, to say the least.

Traditionally, Nvidia's CFOs have been kind enough to break down the data center segment by splitting the contributions of compute (i.e., GPUs like the Blackwell and CPUs like the Grace) and networking (i.e., network switches, like the Quantum-X800 InfiniBand).

Well, it turns out that data center compute was up by 76% YOY in the last quarter, surpassing the overall data center growth. If this is not a sign that demand for AI is intact, I don't know what is.

To me, the data center compute segment is the best way to really understand what's going on with the demand for AI. Why is that?

Data center infrastructure companies, like Nebius (NBIS) or CoreWeave (CRWV), along with hyperscalers like Microsoft (MSFT), Meta (META), Google (GOOGL) (GOOG), and Amazon's (AMZN) AWS, need Nvidia's AI accelerators to satisfy the insane computing demand for their own (or their customers) large language models, or LLMs. Why did I use the word insane?

Well, here is a fun fact from CFO Colette Kress during the latest earnings conference call (emphasis added):

On average, major hyperscalers are each deploying nearly 1,000 NVL72 racks or 72,000 Blackwell GPUs per week and are on track to further ramp output this quarter.
To put this insane demand for computing power into perspective, Azure OpenAI processed more than 100 trillion tokens in the last quarter. That's a 5x increase from the same period last year.

Unsurprisingly, the rapid adoption of the Blackwell architecture, particularly the GB200 AI chip, comprised of 36 Grace CPUs + 72 Blackwell GPU, used in the GB200 NVL72 rack (composed of 36 GB200 AI chips) is driving the high double-digit growth rates in the data center segment.

According to CFO Colette, most of the revenue in the data center compute segment comes from the Blackwell series (emphasis added):

Blackwell contributed nearly 70% of Data Center compute revenue in the quarter with a transition from Hopper nearly complete.
The new(ish) GPU family surely means higher margins for the company, right? Yes and no. More details on the next section.

The Decline In Gross Margins

I have a close friend who buys stocks that make sense (like me, he is also a sub blue-collar practitioner). But unlike me, he never checks the news or reads conference call transcripts.

If you’re not familiar with Nvidia’s story, the trend in its gross margin might really catch you off guard. Here’s a chart that shows what I mean.

Chart preview
FinChat
Yikes! 60% gross margin in the past quarter, the lowest since Q1 2023 (emphasis, 2023 not 2024). We're talking about a 1300 bps sequential decline. What happened?

Well, the US administration is curbing China’s access to AI accelerators from Nvidia, AMD, and Intel. In the infamous April 15 8-K filing, Nvidia informed its shareholders that the export controls to China (including Hong Kong, Macau, and D:5 countries) are expected to lead to $5.5 billion in inventory charges associated with the H20 GPUs.

Well, it turns out that the headwind was lower than expected. Nvidia reported $4.5 billion in inventory charges in FQ1 2026, as they reused certain materials from the H20s. Naturally, this write-down led to an increase in COGS, which tanked gross margins.

Chart preview
FinChat
In the earnings call, the CFO stated that, excluding this charge, the FQ1 non GAAP gross margin would have been 71% (in line with the expectation in FQ4 2025). Therefore, I'm not sweating a drop about the apparent decline in gross margins, as Nvidia's core GPU (i.e., the Blackwell series) is still driving spectacular margins.

From a revenue perspective, Nvidia expects a decline of $8 billion in FQ2 2026 due to the export control rules related to the H20. Even with this headwind, the CFO projected $45 billion in revenue, plus or minus 2%. That's a 50% YOY increase and approximately $1 billion more than in the past quarter. Not bad considering that China accounted for 12.5% of last quarter's revenue. From a margins perspective, the company is guiding a non-GAAP gross margin of 72% (driven by the higher margin sales of the Blackwell series). Furthermore, management has reaffirmed their mid-70% non-GAAP gross margin target for the end of this fiscal year. In other words, less (lower margin) sales in China mean higher margins for the company.

As a final note, Nvidia hasn't completely ditched the China region. According to recent reports, the company is currently working on the B30 AI chip, which is designed to meet the current export control restrictions. I recommend keeping a close eye on the development of this new AI chip, as it could reignite sales in this region.

Price Action

To my eyes, the chart below looks great. The stock is on track to test all-time highs and, considering the strong narrative and growth, I believe it will break the $150 support over the next few months. I just don't see anything material prior to FQ2 2026 earnings that could stop this momentum. That said, remember the following quote from Taleb: absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

Trading View
TradingView
Finally, the RSI is at a healthy level, despite the rally since early April.

Institutional Activity

A quick look at the 13F data for Q1 2025 shows what one would initially expect: a slight decline in institutional ownership and new positions in this stock. Please bear in mind that this data is compiled until the end of March. With "liberation day" just a few days later, I am not surprised to see funds not buying this stock in Q1.

Whale Wisdom
Whale Wisdom
With Q2 coming soon to an end, I recommend keeping a close eye on institutional activity once the 13Fs are fully complied at the end of the 45-day deadline (i.e., mid-July). In my view, it would be highly favorable to see a double-digit increase in new positions, along with an increase in the number of funds holding this stock.

Risks

The problem with growing at a fast pace is that the Street starts to expect it. Check out the chart below to see how often revenue has beaten analyst forecasts (and by how much).

Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha
The top-line surprise in the past quarter was the lowest since FQ4 2023. Therefore, the biggest risk that I see right now is a miss due to a slower than expected quarter. I have no doubt that would trigger a high single digit selloff.

Other risks include the Trump administration banning the B30 AI chips. As I said, Nvidia is still in the design phase, according to some reports. If the company fails to hit the market with the B30s, I believe the risk of missing the analyst consensus for the top line is quite real.

Conclusion

To wrap up, I reiterate my Strong Buy rating. The recent earnings report shows that the growth in the data center compute segment is intact, despite the tariff drama earlier this year. Speaking of dramas, the new export controls related to the H20 AI chips have led to a considerable decline in gross margins. Did the market care about this? I believe the answer is no, as gross margins when excluding this headwind, were in line with the company's FQ4 2025 guidance.

With regard to guidance, management expects revenue to grow by 50% YOY in the next quarter, despite the $8 billion headwind in sales due to the ban of the H20 sales in China. It seems that the company is already working in a fully compliant new generation of AI chips, the B30, which could bring back some of the revenue loss in China.

Overall, I see the narrative intact, the growth impressive, and even though the Street is pricing in this outperformance, I believe there is still an upside ahead. I foresee a short life for the $150 support level.

Share price in Ascending Triple Top Breakout mode since 5-June-2025. GLTA

Thus trading pattern is normal for NVDA.

A typical beat at earnings, then the price drops a little. Everything settles down and NVDA starts creeping up in very small increments.

This stock is still a powerhouse. It will be higher at the end of the year, than the beginning of the year.

Yes, that is helpful. Thank you for the clarification.

Volume near 180 million shares; NVDA share price is + $3.78 from yesterday close.

Today's volume is in-line with the norm for this point in the day, with 141,787,842 shares having traded so far.

The On Balance Volume indicator (OBV) shows that longer term selling pressure has given way to near term accumulation by traders as of 1:30 PM ET Tuesday, 06/03/2025

PS: Unless the Demand Volume increases significantly price appears in limbo. Weekly chart looking better as Histogram is improving as to its trend.

Nvidia Stock Gains. Why This Analyst Now Sees It as a Top Pick.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/nvidia-stock-slips-why-this-analyst-now-sees-it-as-a-top-pick/ar-AA1FZdnW?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=8c79f79ccdf44854b56b3ad11b5d0c0d&ei=10

Nvidia stock was edging higher on Tuesday, as investment bank Jefferies added the chip maker to its list of highest-conviction picks.

Shares rose 1.1% to $138.90 in early trading. The S&P 500 was up 0.1%.

Nvidia climbed above $140 for the first time in months following its earnings report last week but has fallen back slightly with investors on edge amid a flare-up in tariff tensions between China and the U.S.

Still, Jefferies added Nvidia to its list of top stock picks on Tuesday. Equity analyst Blayne Curtis expects the ramp of Nvidia’s Blackwell artificial-intelligence chips to drive the company’s gross margin to somewhere between 70% and 80% this year, up from 61% as of its fiscal first quarter, which ended April 27.

“Going forward, we see a favorable setup for Nvidia in [the second half of 2025] as Blackwell Ultra ramps and Networking strength continues (NVLink and Spectrum-X). We also expect a smoother transition into NVDA’s next-generation Rubin platform as it will have similar rack-type architecture as Blackwell,” Curtis wrote in a research note.

Curtis has a Buy rating on Nvidia stock with a $185 target price.

Thanks a little too much for me to decipher admittedly. I was just curious how many of the 186 million plus (buy back) shares cancelled out all the granted stock options.

Here's a link to Tom's Hardware article about new China chip several articles out there it doesn't take long for speculation.https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/gpus/nvidia-reportedly-developing-new-ai-chip-for-china-that-meets-export-controls-b30-could-include-nvlink-for-creation-of-high-performance-clusters

I'm not positive and I am still going over the document - but I think that the info is in here (somewhere):

https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001045810/9ec4de3f-98f4-4dda-bb17-b5d79cb216d4.pdf

I wonder what the quantity of shares of stock they give as stock options to management and employees are, does anyone know where to determine that?

I don't know if this helps CD, but the here's a link to all of their filings

NVDA SEC filings

On Page 28 in the 10Q filed on 5/28

https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581025000116/nvda-20250427.htm#i1723b766911c46048b3557e4c901f77a_130

Capital Return to Shareholders

We repurchased 126 million shares of our common stock for $14.5 billion during the first quarter of fiscal years 2026. As of April 27, 2025, we were authorized, subject to certain specifications, to repurchase up to $24.3 billion of our common stock.

From April 28, 2025 through May 23, 2025, we repurchased 19 million shares for $2.3 billion pursuant to a pre-established trading plan. Our share repurchase program aims to offset dilution from shares issued to employees while maintaining adequate liquidity to meet our operating requirements. We may pursue additional share repurchases as we weigh market factors and other investment opportunities.

We paid cash dividends to our shareholders of $244 million and $98 million during the first quarter of fiscal years 2026 and 2025, respectively. The payment of future cash dividends is subject to our Board of Directors' continuing determination that the declaration of dividends is in the best interests of our shareholders.

MMmm.

25 billion divided by 134 is 186,567,164.18

Yup. That is 186.6 Million.

My handheld calculator couldn't do numbers that big (lost a zero). You are correct, it's closer to 185M. Barely a dent in the O/S.

Well, if my math is correct? Using that $25 billion dollars and buying shares back at todays current price of approx. $134/share would only get about 185M shares off the total OS.

That's not even 1% of the OS, right?

But you're right - it's a step in the right direction.

I can't recall the exact amount, but NVDA was approved to buy back approximately $25 or $50 billion in shares in 2024, and did not spend all of that.

Hopefully, they step up the share buy back program in 2025. $14 billion in one quarter is a nice start.

Doing a forward split has consequences both good and bad: A company might prefer to keep its shares exclusive, but a forward split can make them more accessible to a wider range of investors, potentially including those who are more focused on short-term gains thus bringing the price of the stock back down again eventually to it's original price. While the forward split will attract a wider audience, it doesn't bode well for us long term investors; too many flippers looking for a quick buck, and so the higher price usually does away with most flippers.

They spent $14 billion buying back stocks last quarter

I definitely agree with you that the other side wants failure. Thats really sad. Just obstacles in the path to success.

Also agree with you about IONQ. It should do very well.

I do like the 67-68 Deville convertibles. Great lines on those cars!
👍️

And if the price dropped more it would be in pennystock territory.

You're right. I'm thinking a Quantum computing company they should buy

Yes, another split is not going to happen. But I rode that train to $210, sold and bought IONQ: Much better investment in a speculative sense. But Nvidia will pay also. Just give it time. The courts just screwed up the time frame on the Tariff's.,They just added 3 more months of pain until It goes to the Supreme. The other side wants every thing to fail, they're rooting for it. Once it gets to the high court, they rule for the right way, the market goes into orbit. Which includes Nvidia.

Cadillacdave, why is that! I got a 67 two door Diville. Convertable. And pink. Love your take on things btw

That would put it at $10-13/share. That would not be a positive for the company. Bad idea….jmho

Share buybacks are good for EPS but basically nullify the stock options they give to employees 

Neb also predicted TSLA share price would crash and it has gone up significantly. So he was wrong there.

I believe he also predicted share price here would retract and he called the high at $150ish.

Agreed, no more splits for now. After the last forward split, NVDA seemed to lose momentum and has had difficulty recovering since the split.

Rather than a stock split, an aggressive share buyback would be helpful here.