E*TRADE Study Reveals Bullish Sentiment Drops Significantly Amid Inflation Fears
October 18 2021 - 3:05PM
Business Wire
Bullishness decreased for the first time since
March 2020
E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC today announced results from the
most recent wave of StreetWise, the E*TRADE quarterly tracking
study of experienced investors. Results reveal cracks in investors’
pandemic-era bullishness:
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- Bullish sentiment dips. For the first time since the
onset of the pandemic, bullish sentiment decreased—down 11
percentage points to 54%. And investors are significantly less
likely to think the market will end in the green this quarter, down
14 percentage points from last quarter to 58%.
- Investors are feeling more “Dazed and Confused”.
Investors chose “Dazed and Confused” as the number one movie title
to describe their attitude toward the market, rising 10 percentage
points from Q3 and taking the place of “Easy Rider,” which ticked
down 3 percentage points.
- Most continue to think volatility will rise. Two out of
three (66%) investors think that volatility will rise over the next
quarter, up 2 percentage points from last quarter.
- And inflation concerns loom large. Over half of
investors (52%) are most concerned about inflation when it comes to
portfolio risks, followed by market volatility (41%).
“Investors are facing several headwinds when it comes to their
portfolios, so it’s not too surprising to see bullishness take a
big hit,” said Mike Loewengart, Managing Director of Investment
Strategy at E*TRADE Financial. “Many are questioning if inflation
is here to stay, supply constraints have weighed heavily on
purchasing power, and slowing growth prospects seem to be more of a
reality. But investors should keep in mind that volatility is part
of a healthy market and preparing for pullbacks is key.”
The survey explored investor views on sector opportunities for
the fourth quarter of 2021:
- Energy. With crude oil prices rising to 7-year highs
thanks to high demand from re-openings and supply shortages, the
historically volatile sector jumped to the top spot as over two in
five investors (44%) see opportunity.
- Health care. As booster shots come into focus, investor
interest in health care remains high, ticking down just 1
percentage point to come in tied for second at 40%. And as growth
concerns emerge, investors could be shoring up on defensive names,
which are a hallmark of this sector.
- IT. Even as tech stocks drag, two in five investors
(40%) are looking toward this ever-popular sector, but interest
still ticked down 5 percentage points from Q3.
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and investors through a powerful digital offering and professional
guidance. To learn more about E*TRADE’s trading and investing
platforms and tools, visit etrade.com.
For useful trading and investing insights from E*TRADE, follow
the company on Twitter, @ETRADE.
About the Survey
This wave of the survey was conducted from October 8 to October
16 of 2021 among an online US sample of 901 self-directed active
investors who manage at least $10,000 in an online brokerage
account. The survey has a margin of error of ±3.20 percent at the
95 percent confidence level. It was fielded and administered by
Dynata. The panel is broken into thirds of active (trade more than
once a week), swing (trade less than once a week but more than once
a month), and passive (trade less than once a month). The panel is
60% male and 40% female, with an even distribution across online
brokerages, geographic regions, and age bands.
About E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC and Important
Notices
E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC and its subsidiaries provide
financial services including brokerage and banking products and
services to retail customers. Securities products and services are
offered by E*TRADE Securities LLC (Member SIPC). Commodity futures
and options on futures products and services are offered by E*TRADE
Futures LLC (Member NFA). Managed Account Solutions are offered
through E*TRADE Capital Management, LLC, a Registered Investment
Adviser. Bank products and services are offered by E*TRADE Bank,
and RIA custody solutions are offered by E*TRADE Savings Bank, both
of which are national federal savings banks (Members FDIC). More
information is available at www.etrade.com.
The information provided herein is for general informational
purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Past
performance does not guarantee future results.
E*TRADE Financial, E*TRADE, and the E*TRADE logo are registered
trademarks of E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC. ETFC-G
© 2021 E*TRADE Financial Holdings, LLC, a business of Morgan
Stanley. All rights reserved.
E*TRADE Financial engages Dynata to program, field, and tabulate
the study. Dynata provides digital research data and has locations
in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. For more
information, please go to www.dynata.com.
Referenced Data
When it comes to the current market,
are you?
Q2'20
Q3'20
Q4'20
Q1’21
Q2’21
Q3’21
Q4’21
Bullish
38%
51%
52%
57%
61%
65%
54%
Bearish
62%
49%
48%
43%
39%
35%
46%
Where do you predict the market will
end this quarter?
Q3'21
Q4'21
Rise
72%
58%
Rise 20%
5%
4%
Rise 15%
10%
10%
Rise 10%
22%
17%
Rise 5%
35%
27%
Stay where it is (0%)
13%
14%
Drop 5%
10%
16%
Drop 10%
4%
10%
Drop 15%
1%
1%
Drop 20%
0%
1%
Drop
15%
28%
If you had to pick a movie title that
best describes how you personally feel about the market this
quarter, which would it be?
Q3’21
Q4’21
Dazed and Confused
17%
27%
Easy Rider
24%
21%
Singin’ in the Rain
20%
14%
Raging Bull
16%
11%
Pulp Fiction
9%
9%
Jackass
6%
8%
Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas
5%
5%
Apocalypse Now
4%
5%
Over the next quarter, do you think
volatility will...
Q3'21
Q4'21
Top 2 Box
64%
66%
Greatly increase
15%
21%
Somewhat increase
49%
45%
Stay the same
29%
28%
Somewhat increase
7%
5%
Greatly decrease
0%
1%
Which of the following risks are you
most concerned about when it comes to your portfolio? (Top
four)
Total
Inflation
52%
Market volatility
41%
Coronavirus and other pandemic
concerns
38%
Recession
38%
Supply chain constraints
38%
Current presidential administration
31%
Economic weakness abroad
31%
Gridlock in Washington
30%
US trade tensions
28%
Job market
24%
Fed monetary policy
24%
The yield curve
13%
None of these
3%
Other
1%
What industries do you think offer the
most potential this quarter? (Top Three)
Q3'21
Q4'21
Energy
37%
44%
Information technology
45%
40%
Health care
41%
40%
Real estate
32%
31%
Financials
29%
28%
Utilities
20%
24%
Consumer staples
21%
23%
Materials
18%
19%
Communication services
22%
19%
Industrials
19%
18%
Consumer discretionary
16%
15%
ETFC
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211018005915/en/
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