Keeping Newmont at Neutral - Analyst Blog
February 28 2013 - 9:40AM
Zacks
We have maintained our Neutral
recommendation on Newmont Mining Corporation (NEM)
following our assessment of its mixed fourth-quarter 2012 results.
Adjusted earnings trumped the Zacks Consensus Estimate while sales
miss the same.
Why Retained?
The gold mining giant turned to a profit on a reported basis in the
fourth quarter, reported on Feb 21. The year-ago quarter’s bottom
line was hit by a sizable impairment charge. Attributable gold
production fell in the reported quarter due to lower production
across North and South America.
Newmont is an un-hedged gold producer and, as such, it is well
positioned to gain from rising gold prices. Demand for the yellow
metal remains healthy. The prevailing macroeconomic uncertainty is
expected to support gold demand as investors look to avoid risky
investments, which bodes well for gold miners like Newmont.
The company’s unique gold price-linked dividend policy represents
another bright aspect. Newmont has increased its quarterly dividend
by 21% to 42.5 cents per share for the first quarter of 2013. Its
current dividend yield (of around 4%) is the highest among its
peers, backed by its strong liquidity position.
Moreover, Newmont continues to invest in growth projects in a
calculated manner. Its remains optimistic about its Long Canyon
project in Nevada and expect production between 200,000 and 300,000
ounces a year from the site in the first five years. The company
has also made a significant progress with respect to the Akyem
project in Ghana with production expected to commence in late
2013.
However, Newmont may continue to face headwinds due to increasing
mining and non-mining costs. In the fourth quarter, cost applicable
to sales went up 20% from last year to $720 per ounce of gold. In
addition, copper costs shot up 65% year over year.
Moreover, lower ore grades are affecting production in the
company’s Asia Pacific operation. Its production remains challenged
at the Batu Hijau mine in Indonesia.
Other Stocks to Consider
Other companies in the gold mining
industry having favorable Zacks Rank are Seabridge Gold,
Inc. (SA), Banro Corporation (BAA) and
Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (SAND). All of them carry a
Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
BANRO CORP (BAA): Free Stock Analysis Report
NEWMONT MINING (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
SEABRIDGE GOLD (SA): Free Stock Analysis Report
SANDSTORM GOLD (SAND): Get Free Report
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